SILVERCFD trade ideas
SILVER Massive Short! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the SILVER next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 42.176
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 41.646
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAGUSD Overextended: Watching 40.50 NecklineIn the past months I argued that Silver should rise and reach 40, and the market not only achieved that but even exceeded the level, printing a high at 41.50.
However, just like Gold, this move looks overextended and vulnerable to correction.
📌 Technically, price has tapped 41.50 twice. While it cannot yet be called a confirmed double top, the possibility exists. The neckline of this potential pattern is at 40.50.
• A break below 40.50 could trigger a deeper correction.
• First target: under 40, toward the 39 technical support zone.
🔑 Trading Plan: I remain cautious at these levels.
If 40.50 gives way, I will look for shorts targeting the 39 area. Counter-trend trades carry very high risk, but the setup is worth monitoring. 🚀
Silver Bullish breakout continuation supported at 4144The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4144 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4144 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4260 – initial resistance
4320 – psychological and structural level
4375 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4144 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4065 – minor support
4020 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 4144. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
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XAGUSD, Elliott wave analysisOutlook for XGUUSD on the 3-day chart.
There have been no changes since the last update.
The price has reached the channel line, indicated by the green line.
It may be entering a corrective wave phase.
However, a breakout above the channel line would likely reinforce bullish momentum.
XAG/USD Technical + Macro Analysis ¦ Bullish Layer Strategy⚡ XAG/USD Silver Swing & Scalping Trade | Thief Layer Strategy
🛠️ Trade Plan (Bullish Pending Order)
Entry (Breakout Trigger): $41.400 ⚡
Layered Entries (Thief Strategy):
$41.000
$41.200
$41.400
(You can increase/reduce limit layers based on your own plan — confirm after breakout. Set TradingView alarms for alerts.)
Stop Loss (Thief SL): $40.600 (after breakout confirmation)
⚠️ Adjust your SL according to your own risk tolerance.
Target (Exit Zone): $42.200 🎯
Resistance + overbought + trap zone = take profit opportunity.
💡 Thief Strategy = Using multiple buy limit orders (layering style entries) to scale into position at breakout confirmation levels.
🔎 Why This Plan (Thief Style)
✅ Technical breakout aligned with resistance test.
✅ Fundamentals & sentiment confirm upside bias.
✅ Layering entries reduce risk & capture volatility.
✅ Plan respects upcoming macro events → CPI & Fed.
📊 XAG/USD Real-Time Data
Daily Change: +0.56% (▲ +0.23)
Day’s Range: $40.54 – $41.34
52-Week Range: $27.70 – $41.49
Year-to-Date Performance: +42.32% 🚀
😰😊 Fear & Greed Index
Stock Market Sentiment: Greed (53/100) 📈
Crypto Sentiment: Neutral (0/100)
Drivers:
Weak US labor data → boosting Fed rate cut expectations.
S&P 500 above 125-day MA → bullish momentum.
Low VIX → reduced fear.
📉📈 Trader Sentiment Outlook
Retail Traders:
Bullish (Long): 60% 😊
Bearish (Short): 40% 😰
Institutional Outlook:
Technical Bias: Strong Buy ✅
🌍📉 Fundamental & Macro Drivers
Fed Rate Cut Probability (Sep 2025): 100% ✅
US Dollar Weakness → supports precious metals.
Upcoming Events:
📅 Sep 11: CPI Report (volatility risk).
📅 Sep 16–17: Fed Meeting (critical rate decision).
Industrial Demand: Electronics + solar keeping silver in steady demand.
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
Bias: Bullish (Long) 🐂
Score: 75/100 (Strong upside potential).
Why Bullish?
Technical indicators = Strong Buy signals.
Fed dovish stance → USD weakness.
Geopolitical risks → safe-haven demand.
Risks: Hot CPI data → possible USD rebound.
💎 Key Takeaways
Silver is up +42% YTD → momentum intact.
Breakout levels align with Thief Layer Strategy.
Fed meeting (Sep 16–17) = major catalyst.
CPI data (Sep 11) = short-term volatility watch.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
AMEX:SLV (Silver ETF)
COMEX:GC1! (Gold Futures)
COMEX:SI1! (Silver Futures)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#Silver #XAGUSD #ThiefTrader #SwingTrade #Scalping #Commodities #Breakout #LayerStrategy #Fed #CPI #Metals
XAGUSD 4HTrading Outlooks for the Week Ahead
In this series of analyses, we review short-term trading outlooks and perspectives.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone close to the current price of the asset. The market’s reaction to or breakout from these levels will determine the next price movement toward the specified targets.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to highlight critical price levels ahead and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
Monthly Metals Analysis:Silver (XAGUSD), Issue 209 The analyst believes that the price of XAGUSD will increase within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Silver at Its Highest Level in 14 Years, Surpassing $42!Reasons Behind the Recent Rise in Silver:
Silver (XAG/USD) extended its gains for the third consecutive session, reaching its highest levels in 14 years and surpassing the $42 mark during Asian trading. This rally has been driven by increasing bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts, alongside mounting signs of weakness in the US labor market. Weekly Jobless Claims rose to their highest level since 2021, reinforcing expectations of three rate cuts before the end of the year.
While weak economic data supports a shift toward a more accommodative monetary policy, geopolitical tensions have further boosted the appeal of Silver as a safe-haven asset.
On the industrial side, strong demand for Silver from the solar, electric vehicle, and electronics sectors continues to support prices, amid ongoing supply constraints. This mix of economic, geopolitical, and industrial demand factors has placed Silver in a strong position after breaking levels not seen since 2011, paving the way for further moves ahead.
Technical Analysis of Silver Prices:
Silver is trading in a general upward trend, forming higher highs and higher lows, reflecting strong bullish momentum pushing prices to elevated levels.
A pullback toward $40.83 would be considered a correction within the broader uptrend, with potential for a rebound targeting $41.966 in the short to medium term.
Meanwhile, the $40.39 level represents the last line of support on the 4-hour chart. A break below this level, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, would signal a bearish shift and mark the end of the prevailing uptrend on this timeframe.
UPDATE: Golds baby sister is rocking to 4,708Silver (what I call Gold's baby sister).
Has recently sky rocketted, along with Gold.
There are a couple of reasons we can continue to see Silver's upside and to it's target of 4,708.
💸 Fed rate cuts on the horizon → Lower interest rates make silver more attractive 🚀
☀️ Green energy boom → Solar panels + EVs = soaring silver demand 🔋
⛏️ Supply squeeze → Mines can’t keep up, inventories shrinking 📉
💵 Weak dollar vibes → Investors hedge with silver as the dollar softens 🌍
🔥 14-year highs → Silver just hit ~$42/oz and momentum looks strong 📈
Since the Rounding Bottom and as the price is above 20MA and 200MA - Looks good for upside to the first target 4,708.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SILVER: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 42.542 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 41.351 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 41.269.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAGUSD Holding Firm Above $41, Bulls Eye Higher LevelsSilver continues to consolidate after its recent strong rally, holding above the $41.00 handle while respecting its rising trendline. Recent bearish interest rate news has pressured the U.S. dollar, further boosting precious metals. With this macro tailwind, silver’s bullish structure remains intact as long as key supports hold.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Current price: $41.17.
Price has maintained momentum above the ascending trendline since August.
Immediate consolidation near recent highs signals market strength rather than exhaustion.
Multiple layered supports sit below, keeping the bullish case intact.
🛡️ Support Zones & Stop-Loss (White Lines):
🟢 $39.87 – 1H Support (High Risk)
First short-term defense.
Stop-loss: $39.52
🟡 $37.22 – 4H Support (Low Risk)
Stronger structural zone.
Stop-loss: $36.95
🟠 $34.76 – Daily Support (Long-Term Entry)
Major macro base. Attractive for longer-term positioning.
Stop-loss: $34.16
🔼 Resistance Levels:
Near-term resistance: $41.50
Break above → opens path toward $42.20 and $43.00.
🧭 Outlook
Bullish Case: Consolidation above $41.00 + breakout past $41.50 → continuation to $42+.
Bearish Case: Failure of $39.87 → correction into $37.22 or $34.76 before renewed demand.
Bias: Bullish while above $39.87 and trendline remains intact.
🌍 Fundamental Insight
Silver benefits from a dual role: a precious metal hedge against monetary easing and a key industrial input.
Bullish tailwind: Bearish U.S. rate news has weakened the dollar, lifting silver alongside gold.
Caution: Stronger-than-expected USD rebounds or risk-on sentiment could trigger pullbacks.
✅ Conclusion
XAGUSD remains in a bullish structure above $41.00, with demand stacked across multiple support zones. A break above $41.50 confirms continuation toward higher levels, while pullbacks into $39.87 or $37.22 offer attractive long setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
SILVER: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 41.198 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Grand Silver SupercycleI present the Grand Silver Supercycle. Silver has followed Elliott Wave Theory nicely through the years. The price hit a century low during The Great Depression, beginning what I believe to be the first wave of a supercycle. There is a clear five wave pattern up from this low, peaking in 1980. This is supercycle wave 1. Then, we see a five wave corrective pattern down, bottoming out in the early 90s. Alternatively, a three wave ABC pattern could be drawn. This is where supercycle wave 3 begins. Wave 3 is typically much more prominent than wave 1 in Elliott Wave Theory. For this reason, it makes sense that the next five wave pattern ending in 2011 is only the first subwave of supercycle wave 3. The second subwave corrected to the 2020 low, and we are currently on the third subwave. Within this subwave, we could either be starting a third wave (as shown in the chart) or still be on the corrective second wave. I believe the former is much more likely due to fundamentals.
Price targets within the current subwave were estimated as follows:
wave 3 length = 1.618 X wave 1
wave 3 target = $48
wave 4 length = 38.2% retracement of wave 3
wave 5 length = 1.618 X (wave 3 end - wave 1 start)
I'm more confident on wave 3 ending near $48 than I am of wave 5 ending near $95. There is strong resistance at $50, which coincides with the Elliott target zone. Wave 5 length can vary significantly. For silver at least, fifth waves have traditionally been long ones.
Fundamentals
Elliott Wave Theory is only a tool. It needs to be backed up by fundamentals when forecasting on long time frames. Silver is undervalued due to many years of supply outstripping demand, creating cheap prices. That is in the early stages of changing as now demand outpaces supply. Global silver demand was expected to hit an all time high of 1.21 billion ounces in 2022 (www.silverinstitute.org). This is largely due to increases in demand in both industry (Green Revolution) and personal investment (stackers hedging against inflation). Silver reserves currently stand at 530,000 metric tons (www.statista.com). The current demand is 38,000 metric tons per year. A simple calculation shows existing reserves could be depleted in 14 years. However, this calculation doesn't take into account new discoveries and recycling, which have so far kept pace with demand. Estimates of time to depletion of reserves vary wildly from a couple decades to a few centuries. At the moment, the prime driver of price (in addition to inflation) will be the deficit, not depletion of reserves.
Inflation is a totally different animal that is much harder to forecast long term due to its close relationship to government and Federal Reserve policy. It is more likely that when presented the choice, our leaders choose high inflation over debt default and depression. How this all is going to play out is anyone's guess. It seems for now our leaders are trying to kick the can down the road for as long as possible. If hyperinflation hits, the silver price will reach extraordinary heights.