S&P500, Waiting for breakoutAs is clear from the chart, the chart has reached its All-Time High (ATH), and a powerful fundamental stimulus is needed to break out of this level.
Traders have many strategies for their trades. In my opinion, having a fixed trading methodology and obeying the rules of that strategy are more important than anything else in trading. I do not ask others to copy my ideas; instead, I encourage others to analyze them using their own methods.
Based on my strategy, I should close my positions below resistance levels, especially at the ATH. Then, after a confirmed breakout or a sure pullback, I will enter new positions.
Therefore, I closed all my positions yesterday and am currently waiting for a small correction or a clean breakout to re-enter.
Do not forget: disciplined adherence to a sound strategy is the ultimate guarantee of success.
S&P 500 Index
No trades
Trade ideas
The Bear sneak attackIt's possible with everyone waiting for the Fed tomorrow that we sell off today and convince the majority that the fed will save the market Wednesday. Maybe that's true, maybe not. Vix is showing a clear breakout and the next target is likely 20. Gold still looks bullish and probably tests it's high. BTC looks bearish. USoil looks bearish. NAT gas bearish.
SPX500 | Bulls Push Higher but Key Reversal Zone NearsSPX500 – Technical Overview
The broad market index is approaching another record high, supported by a surprisingly market-friendly message from the Federal Reserve.
Powell’s acknowledgment of “significant downside risks” in the labor market immediately signaled to traders that additional rate cuts remain possible.
Although the rate cut itself was expected, the tone was less hawkish than feared, giving bulls confidence heading into year-end.
The 9–3 split vote also revealed internal disagreement within the Fed—two members preferred no cut, while one favored an aggressive 50 bps reduction—adding uncertainty to future policy direction.
Technical Analysis
SPX500 currently shows bullish momentum, with price expected to move toward 6873 and 6888.
However, this zone is likely to act as a reversal area, and a bearish reaction could follow from these resistance levels.
As long as price remains below 6888, bearish pressure can re-emerge.
If the market stays below 6852, downside continuation remains favored toward 6815.
Upside continuation only strengthens if the market breaks and holds above 6888, targeting the 6918 region.
Pivot Line: 6852
Resistance: 6873 · 6888 · 6918
Support: 6830 · 6815 · 6797
The Wall of Worry That Climbed 70% This chart should be framed and hung in every investor’s office.
From 2021 → late 2025 the S&P 500 went from ~4,000 → 6,886 (+70%+), while the entire way up we were bombarded with:
“SELL” – Michael Burry
“Worst crash since 1929” – John Hussman
“86% drop coming” – Harry Dent
“Biggest crash in history has started” – Robert Kiyosaki
“Third most expensive market ever, recession imminent” – David Rosenberg
…and literally dozens more “100% certain” doomsday calls
Every single red bubble on this chart = a famous expert screaming that the sky was falling.
And every time the market just… kept climbing.
Here's what's important to understand: "experts" produce lots of noise.
Waiting on the sidelines for the “all-clear” from the gurus is the riskiest move of all.
The opportunity cost is brutal.
Missing the best days (which usually come right after the scariest headlines) destroys returns more than any crash ever could.
Stay invested is much better than trying to time the experts.
Time in the market still beats timing the market.
You better save this chart the next time someone sends you another “crash is coming” article!
SPX selloff could have just begunRising Japanese 10Y bond yield will reverse the carry trade of borrowing in JPY and investing in other higher yielding assets in other countries. With Japan inflation on the rise and BOJ cornered by very high debt/gdp their ability to keep buying government debt could be limited.
Also long term cycle of Japan225 supports this idea
Since GFC all the central banks, mainly the USA FED have been supporting the markets by QE and the governments racking up massive debt to mitigate one crisis after another.
Have you wondered, if all the government are in debt, who is buying these debts? Well, its asset management firms like Blackrock and others using your pension and super funds to invest in these debts. In other words when you take a mortgage on your house you are staking your current and future savings, without you knowing it. Ha. Ha. Your mortgage is repackaged by your bank and sold to these funds, who use your super and pension as MARGIN money!!! That is why you are now allowed to use your super to borrow by law, because that right is given to your fund managers
BUY SPX NOW...time to buySPX 500 is in a clear upwards channel and has broken the last bit of resistance (white trendline line shown) - this is a clear confirmation that the next target will be the next resistance zone to the upside shown above (this is a great buy trade opportunity) - Time to buy the SPX 500 now
SPX - H4 - SELL SETUP - Supply Retest confirmedSPX has entered bear market territory last month and I expect a continuation to the downtrend from here onward. Based on many different macro indicators such as credit default swaps on big tech, macro regimes, sentiment and technical analysis. I see SPX falling off the clip from this precise supply zone
S&P500 Key Trading Levels
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6898
Resistance Level 2: 6922
Resistance Level 3: 6958
Support Level 1: 6809
Support Level 2: 6790
Support Level 3: 6768
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US500 Bullish Structure: Pullback → Breakout Continuation📈 SPX500/US500 Bullish Breakout Setup | Swing Trade Opportunity 🎯
🔥 Market Overview
Asset: S&P 500 Cash CFD (SPX500/US500)
Trade Type: Swing Trade (Medium-term)
Bias: BULLISH ✅
Current Price: ~$6,614 (Nov 20, 2025)
📊 Trade Setup & Technical Analysis
🎯 Strategy Confirmation
✅ Weighted Moving Average Pullback pattern confirmed
✅ Price consolidating near key resistance zone
✅ Bullish structure intact above major support levels
🚀 Entry Strategy
Breakout Entry: Enter AFTER confirmed breakout above $6,750 resistance
Wait for price to close above $6,750 with strong volume
Avoid premature entries; confirmation is key
Multiple position sizing recommended after breakout validation
🛑 Stop Loss Considerations
Suggested SL: $6,630 area
⚠️ IMPORTANT: This is a reference level only. Adjust your stop loss based on:
Your personal risk tolerance
Account size and position sizing
Trading strategy requirements
Trade at your own risk – customize stops to fit YOUR plan
🎯 Target Zones
Primary Target: $6,900-$6,950 zone
📌 Key Resistance Factors at Target:
Moving Average confluence acting as resistance barrier
Potential overbought conditions expected
Historical supply zone overlap
Risk of bull traps in this region
⚠️ Profit-Taking Strategy:
Consider scaling out near $6,900
Lock partial profits before $6,950
Trail stops for remaining position
This is YOUR trade – take profits when YOUR strategy signals
💰 Related Assets to Monitor
📉 Correlated US Indices
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100/US100) 📱
Tech-heavy index; leads SPX during risk-on moves
Correlation: ~85-90% positive
Key Level: Watch $21,000 breakout zone
DOW JONES 30 (US30) 🏭
Blue-chip indicator; confirms broad market strength
Correlation: ~80-85% positive
Key Level: $44,500 resistance critical
RUSSELL 2000 (US2000) 🏢
Small-cap indicator; risk sentiment gauge
Correlation: ~70-75% positive
Key Level: $2,400 breakout = bullish confirmation
💵 Dollar Correlation
US DOLLAR INDEX (DXY/USDX) 💵
Correlation: ~60-70% INVERSE (negative)
Dollar weakness = SPX strength typically
Key Level: Watch $106.50 support; break = SPX boost
🌍 Global Risk Assets
VOLATILITY INDEX (VIX) ⚡
Correlation: ~80% INVERSE (fear gauge)
VIX below $15 = bullish SPX environment
VIX spike above $20 = caution signal
GOLD (XAUUSD) 🥇
Correlation: Variable ~30-40% (flight to safety indicator)
Gold weakness + SPX strength = risk-on confirmed
📋 Risk Disclosure
⚠️ CRITICAL REMINDERS:
I am NOT providing financial advice
These levels are reference points only
YOU must determine your own entry, stop loss, and take profit levels
Trade with money you can afford to lose
Market conditions change rapidly – adapt accordingly
Past performance does not guarantee future results
🎓 Professional Risk Management:
Never risk more than 1-2% of capital per trade
Use proper position sizing calculators
Set alerts for key levels, don't watch charts 24/7
Have a written trading plan before entering
🔔 Action Plan Checklist
✅ Monitor price action near $6,750
✅ Confirm breakout with volume and candle close
✅ Set alerts for correlated assets (DXY, VIX, NAS100)
✅ Calculate position size based on YOUR risk tolerance
✅ Define exit strategy BEFORE entry
✅ Review market news and economic calendar
💬 Final Thoughts
This setup offers a risk-defined swing trade opportunity on the S&P 500 with clear technical levels. The weighted moving average pullback pattern provides structural support for the bullish thesis, while the $6,750 breakout level offers a defined entry trigger.
Remember: Markets are unpredictable. This analysis is educational and reflects technical observations only. YOUR trading decisions are YOUR responsibility.
🙏 Trade Safe, Trade Smart
If this analysis helps you, drop a like 👍 and follow for more setups! Let's build wealth together responsibly.
#SPX500 #SP500 #US500 #SwingTrade #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #Trading #ForexTrading #IndexTrading #BullishSetup #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
S&P 500 Bullish Layers Setup — Demand Zone Reload Opportunity!🟩 Asset:
US500 / S&P 500 — Index Market Trade Opportunity Guide (Swing / Day Trade)
💡 Trade Plan Overview
A bullish continuation plan is confirmed as the index builds strong demand-zone pressure, supported by broad fundamental economic drivers including resilient U.S corporate earnings, easing treasury yields, and steady sector rotation behavior.
This setup favors structured long positioning using disciplined multi-layer entries.
🎯 Trade Execution Plan (Thief Strategy — Layering Entry Method)
🟦 Entry Strategy (Layer Entries)
You can enter at any price, but here is the structured Thief layering approach:
Buy Limit Layer 1: 6,750
Buy Limit Layer 2: 6,800
Buy Limit Layer 3: 6,850
(You may add more layers if you prefer deeper dips — fully customizable to your personal risk appetite.)
🛡️ Stop Loss (SL)
Thief SL: 6,650
👥 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), feel free to adjust SL based on your approach and risk preference. This SL is not mandatory — trade at your own risk tolerance.
🎯 Target Zone (TP)
Main Target: 7,050
The moving average cluster above current price acts as a strong resistance. Market structure signals a potential overbought trap, so locking profits as we approach 7,050 is wise.
👥 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this TP is not compulsory — take profits whenever your system confirms opportunities.
📊 Key Market Notes
Demand zones are holding strongly
Momentum shifts show bullish continuation
Price action respects MA levels
Fundamentals + rotation fuels upside
Trap zones above — manage exits properly
🔗 Correlation Watchlist (Related Markets You Must Track)
Monitoring correlated markets strengthens decision-making. Here are highly relevant pairs/assets:
💲 1. US Dollar Index (DXY)
Why important:
S&P 500 typically moves inverse to the USD.
When DXY weakens, US500 often gains momentum.
Strong USD → pressure on equities, especially tech.
Watch for:
USD pullback = bullish support for US500
USD breakout = equities face resistance
💲 2. US10Y / US Treasury Yields
Correlation:
Yields rising = stock market weakness
Yields falling = S&P 500 bullish fuel
Watch for:
Yields softening → risk-on flows
Freight in yield spikes → temporary pullbacks
💲 3. VIX (Volatility Index)
Correlation:
Low VIX = stable bullish conditions
Rising VIX = possible correction / trap
Watch for:
VIX drop under key zones → bullish confirmation
Spike above resistance → protect profits
💲 4. NASDAQ 100 (US100)
Correlation:
Strong tech = strong S&P 500
Tech weakness often leads broader index lower
Watch for:
Mega-cap earnings cycles
AI sector momentum
Bond yield reaction on tech stocks
💲 5. Crude Oil (USOIL / WTI)
Correlation:
High oil prices → inflation pressure → Fed concerns
Lower oil → relief → bullish S&P 500
Watch for:
Oil spike = possible S&P 500 pullback
Oil cool down = index strengthens
💲 6. Gold (XAU/USD)
Correlation:
Indirect & risk sentiment-based
Risk-off flows go into gold → equities may pause
Watch for:
Gold breakout = risk-off environment
Gold drop = risk-on supports S&P 500
📘 Final Thoughts
This setup follows the well-tested Thief layering strategy, combining technical demand zones with macroeconomic alignment. Stick to your personal risk comfort, manage layers wisely, and let price action guide exits.
SPX500 Forecast According to my forecast, SPX500 is now in a long channel where the price has almost reached its upper limit, but there is a chance that the price will break out of the channel and there will be a rapid long, although I personally doubt this because on the daily timeframe we already have a divergence, so there is a greater chance that the price will bounce off the upper limit and go short. Also, a short long is indicated by the expanding wedge, the height of which should work out almost to the remaining fibo height. This is a more global forecast and we can see the result of its working out in just a few weeks
S&P500 Next stop.. 6925The S&P500 index (SPX) is about to complete the Right Shoulder of the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern that took it from the bottom of the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) contact to having recovered the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the whole correction.
The next technical Target is of course the 6925 All Time High (ATH). Since however we are about to form a 4H MA50/100 Bullish Cross, a technical pull-back is expected as both previous such crosses since August 13, resulted into a short-term Top.
If the IH&S completes its technical expansion, then after this correction, a test of the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 7200 is possible.
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S&P 500 index Bull Run Continues — Symmetrical Triangle BreakoutThe S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ) has shown solid bullish momentum over the last 7 trading days, gaining more than +5% during this period.
The S&P 500 has once again moved back above Important Support lines, and it now appears to be breaking through a resistance line as well.
From a classical technical analysis perspective, the S&P 500 seems to be moving inside a symmetrical triangle pattern.
From an Elliott Wave standpoint, the S&P 500 looks to be completing Wave 4. A confirmed breakout above the upper line of the symmetrical triangle could validate the end of Wave 4.
I expect the S&P 500 to continue its upward movement and extend toward the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the Resistance zone ($6,902_$6,875).
What’s your view on the S&P 500 index and the broader U.S. stock market?
First Target: $6,859
Second Target: $6,887
Stop Los(SL): $6,774(Worst)
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
The Trading Range is about to be testedTomorrow we should see all time highs, but I'm thinking it will not stick and so the trading range play may be in effect. Vix also about to test it's previous channel under 14. Gold, possibly a false breakout, seems to be following the general market. Oil may have bottomed, but nothing definitive. Nat Gas is very oversold, but should eventually go lower.
To chase or not to chase?Deploying risk at or near highs while volatility is getting smacked might not be the "best" risk. I'd much rather see a pullback of some sort before attempting highs. This week was a challenge, price action was sloppy, bears attempted multiple times, quickly giving up, and bulls employed large buy programs, seldom giving anyone "good" entires - creating this chase dynamic in low volatility.
While I believe the lows in November are good to trade off of, is it smart to allocate risk to or above aths from current spot?
Correction down and up again for SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD slowly went up some more and took the liquidity above.
Now it made a Weekly bullish FVG.
So nNext week we could see a correction downto fill this and after that more upside for this pair.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a correction down. After a change in orderflow to bullish you could trade longs.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
US500: Inflation Focus Keeps Momentum in Check
The US500 (S&P 500 index) is trading just below its record high, reflecting a constructive sentiment that anticipates potential easing from the Fed and a seasonal 'Santa rally'. Investors, however, are showing caution ahead of key US inflation data.
Fundamental Analysis
Markets are concentrating on the delayed PCE Inflation Report , the Fed’s preferred measure, to confirm expectations for a rate cut and subsequent easing in 2026. Futures pricing shows a high probability of a 0.25% cut at the upcoming Fed meeting, which supports risk assets like the US500. Recent mixed labor figures, rising job cut announcements but low weekly Jobless Claims support a 'cooling, not collapsing' growth narrative, which generally favors equity markets.
Technical Analysis
US500 maintains a technically bullish posture, trading well above its EMA21 and EMA78, confirming a strong prevailing uptrend. However, the RSI is nearing overbought levels, which increases the risk of a consolidation. Immediate resistance sits at 6,920, close to the recent peak. Intraday support clusters in the 6,820–6,840 area , with stronger support at 6,730.
Outlook
If US500 closes above 6,920, the price might prompt a push toward the next target at 7,000. Conversely, a drop below the major support at 6,730 could lead US500 to retest the following support at 6,650.
Analysis by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness.
SPX500 – OUTLOOK | Price Action SetupSPX500 – Technical Outlook
Ares Management is drawing attention ahead of the S&P 500’s upcoming rebalancing announcement. Index additions often generate buying pressure as passive funds adjust their holdings, and the broader market sentiment today will be influenced by the ADP employment data.
Technical Analysis
SPX500 continues to show bullish strength while trading above 6844.
As long as price holds above this pivot level, the index is expected to push toward 6888, and a breakout above this zone could extend the move toward 6918.
However, a 1H close below 6844 would signal a bearish correction, targeting 6814 initially, followed by 6771 if downside momentum increases.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 6844
Support: 6815 · 6771
Resistance: 6888 · 6918






















