SPX500 (15m) | VolanX Protocol Analysis📊 SPX500 (15m) | VolanX Protocol Analysis
The index is pressing into the 6,617 zone, showing exhaustion at key Fib extensions.
Our VolanX model outlines two possible paths:
1️⃣ A corrective retracement toward 6,450 support before momentum rebuilds.
2️⃣ A continuation breakout, with upside targets at 6,689 and potentially 6,799.
⚖️ Bias: Neutral-to-bullish short-term, with risk of a healthy pullback before continuation.
🧠 VolanX Protocol continues monitoring momentum shifts, liquidity sweeps, and volatility clusters for adaptive trade execution.
🔗 #VolanXProtocol #WaverVanir #SPX500 #TradingAI #MarketIntelligence
SPXM trade ideas
SPX500 – Retest of ATH, Bullish Flag in FormationSPX500 reached a new all-time high today and has since pulled back to retest the previous ATH level. The structure remains intact, and price is shaping up into a potential bullish flag, signaling continuation higher.
Confluences:
• Oscillators showing bullish momentum
• No major trends broken
• Small pullback likely enough for a bounce toward retesting the new ATH
On the 1H chart, this lines up with a quick 0.5R setup:
• Target: 1 ATR
• Stop loss: 2 ATR
Unfortunately, I didn’t notice the post was set to private instead of public.
Here’s the private link where you can view the original setup:
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.
#SPX - 300 points move?Date: 24-08-2025
SPX- Current Price: 6466.92
Pivot Point: 6400
Support: 6312
Resistance: 6489
Upside Targets:
--------------------------------
| Target | Price |
---------------------------------
| 🎯 Target 1 | 6557 |
| 🎯 Target 2 | 6625 |
| 🎯 Target 3 | 6710 |
| 🎯 Target 4 | 6794 |
Downside Targets:
| 🎯 Target 1 | 6244 |
| 🎯 Target 2 | 6175 |
| 🎯 Target 3 | 6090 |
| 🎯 Target 4 | 6006 |
#TradingView #Nifty #BankNifty #DJI #NDQ #SENSEX #DAX #USOIL #GOLD #SILVER
#BHEL #HUDCO #LT #LTF #ABB #DIXON #SIEMENS #BALKRISIND #MRF #DIVISLAB
#MARUTI #HAL #SHREECEM #JSWSTEEL #MPHASIS #NATIONALUM #BALRAMCHIN #TRIVENI
#USDINR #EURUSD #USDJPY #NIFTY_MID_SELECT #CNXFINANCE
#SOLANA #ETHEREUM #BTCUSD #MATICUSDT #XRPUSDT #PEPEUSDT #SHIBUSDT
#Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTA #TradingView #PivotPoints #SupportResistance
Econ: Warning SignsI don't usually cover fundamental landscape unless several key economic indicators and policies paint a picture of emerging trouble.
Jobs market collapse is real
The NFP print of 22K is a disaster, missing estimates by a wide margin.
Revisions are key: June was revised down to -13,000 jobs. This is the first negative print since 2020 and signals the slowdown began months ago.
The U6 rate jumping to 8.1% is a huge red flag. This includes part-time workers who want full-time jobs and those discouraged from looking. It shows significant underlying weakness the headline U3 rate hides.
Tariffs didn't work
The policy was supposed to boost US manufacturing and slash the trade deficit. The opposite is happening.
US Manufacturing PMI has been in contraction for 6 straight months. Why? Tariffs on steel and aluminum have made input costs soar, crippling competitiveness.
The Goods Trade Deficit ballooned 22% in July to $103.6B. Imports rose nearly 6x faster than exports. This is a direct contradiction to the policy's goal and acts as a tax on consumers and businesses.
Stagflation Risk
Weak Growth + Persistent Inflation
Growth is stalling: Weak job creation, falling manufacturing output.
Inflation is sticky: While wages cooled slightly, prices remain high (as confirmed by consumers in Tennessee interviews).
🏛️ The Fed is now trapped. Cutting rates could fuel more inflation. Hiking rates would kill more jobs. There is no good exit.
Tourism: An estimated $80 billion in lost revenue is a massive hit. This has a multiplier effect, hurting local economies far beyond the initial number.
Energy: Cancelling near-complete renewable projects (like the RI wind farm) creates uncertainty and hurts long-term energy capacity planning.
Agriculture: Farmers in Arkansas and elsewhere are facing bankruptcy due to low prices, high costs from tariffs, and labor shortages. This is a repeat of the 2018 bailout scenario.
Three False Narratives:
"The Data is Wrong": Attacking the BLS methodology and promising upward revisions. This is shooting the messenger. The trend across multiple reports is clearly negative.
"Just Wait a Year": Claiming the benefits of the policies are just around the corner. This is a hope-based strategy, not data-driven.
"Look at Private Investment!": Pointing to vague, performative pledges from tech CEOs (like Zuckerberg's hot-mic "$600B" comment).
The current economic policies are:
Failing to achieve their stated goals.
Increasing costs for businesses and consumers.
Creating uncertainty that paralyzes investment.
Increasing the risk of a stagflationary environment.
The market has been resilient, but fundamentals are starting to crack.
What I'm Watching:
Next CPI and PCE prints for inflation persistence.
Next month's NFP for confirmation of the trend.
Fed rhetoric: If they would acknowledge the growth scare
S&P 500: What Is the Chart Impact of the Fed on 09/17?The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision on Wednesday, September 17, will be decisive for the trajectory of U.S. equity markets at the end of 2025. Depending on Jerome Powell’s choice, scenarios range from a stock market crash to a new all-time high, with more neutral consolidation phases in between. Five possible options emerge, each with specific implications for the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000, which I describe below.
First case: no pivot.
If the Fed decides to keep rates unchanged throughout 2025 due to overly resilient inflation, then the scenario is clearly bearish. The lack of monetary support would suffocate market momentum, triggering a 20–30% crash in the S&P 500, dropping it to between 4,800 and 5,000 points. The Russell 2000, more fragile and sensitive to the macroeconomic environment, would retreat toward its critical support zone of 1,600–1,700 points.
Second case: a limited technical pivot.
The Fed might opt for just one rate cut in September or October, justified by a temporary adjustment to the labor market. In this case, markets would not see it as a strong easing signal but rather as a circumstantial gesture. Result: the S&P 500 would decline toward the 6,000–6,100 area, with a parallel correction of the Russell 2000 around 2,000 points.
Third case: a real and healthy pivot.
This is the most favorable scenario for Wall Street. Disinflation is confirmed near 2%, employment remains under control, and the Fed initiates a genuine rate-cutting cycle starting in September or October. In this context, the underlying bullish trend would regain full strength: the S&P 500 would head toward 6,700–7,000 points, while the Russell 2000 would break out of its consolidation to surpass its November 2021 record.
Fourth case: an unhealthy pivot.
Here, the Fed cuts rates in a more fragile environment: inflation remains near 3%, but it is primarily labor market deterioration that drives the decision. Markets could still find support from lower credit costs. The S&P 500 would preserve its former record at 6,200 points and likely aim for 6,700 points. The Russell 2000, more sensitive to financing conditions, would fully benefit from this easing, also surpassing its 2021 high.
Fifth case: the emergency Fed Put.
Finally, in the darkest scenario, a shock to employment would trigger a brutal Fed intervention, with a “jumbo cut” and a series of rapid rate reductions. While this support might contain the recession, the immediate reaction would be a sharp drop: the S&P 500 would plunge into bear market territory before a potential recovery tied to monetary easing. The Russell 2000 would follow the same trajectory.
DISCLAIMER:
This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions.
This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior.
Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content.
The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services.
Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA.
Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law.
All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade.
Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties.
The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
SPX500USD – Rejected at 6,550, Holding 6,490 SupportThe S&P 500 Index faced rejection at the 6,550 resistance zone after a strong bullish run. Price is now pulling back toward the 6,490 support, which will be key for buyers to defend in order to maintain upside momentum.
Support at: 6,490 / 6,455 / 6,350 🔽
Resistance at: 6,550 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A rebound from 6,490 could retest 6,550, and a breakout above would extend gains.
🔽 Bearish: A break below 6,490 and 6,455 would expose the 6,350 zone.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
S&P500 bullish sideways consolidation Equities: Rate-cut expectations outweighed slowdown fears. S&P 500 (+0.21%) closed just shy of record highs, NASDAQ (+0.45%) hit a fresh record. Defensive sectors lagged, leaving the equal-weighted S&P (-0.04%) slightly lower. In Europe, STOXX 600 (+0.52%) and CAC 40 (+0.78%) gained ahead of France’s confidence vote.
Corporate drivers: Apple’s launch event today puts spotlight on iPhone 17 Air, though analysts see the Pro line as the true sales catalyst. Big-ticket M&A and tech deals: Anglo American–Teck merger ($50bn) and Microsoft–Nebius AI cloud contract (~$20bn).
Conclusion for S&P 500 trading:
Momentum remains positive with the index near record highs, supported by the rate-cut narrative and strong tech sentiment. However, breadth is weak (equal-weighted index flat), suggesting gains are concentrated. Traders may lean bullish into Apple’s event, but need to watch for rotation risk if defensives keep lagging.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6553
Resistance Level 2: 6590
Resistance Level 3: 6630
Support Level 1: 6440
Support Level 2: 6410
Support Level 3: 6380
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
"When the move is tiring." "Moves in the tiring stage will try to have the best chance for clearing debt and freaking out the market with high prices. The first move of this stage will go with fewer candles but high movement in price by itself. The second is opposite—its strength is weak, but its effort is strong (more candles)."
Let me know if you want to expand this into a trading strategy or a visual example. It's got a poetic rhythm to it—almost like market philosophy.
........
"Superiority zone will break in the chance of wonderful news, but only for a while. There should not be any trade—market needs to absorb the new price."
.........
"Pressure zone free is no longer a trade with real money. It's a controlled move to break the new price for the sake of the news and shift into a political view."
..........
"Free range is the zone that will hold the price strongly below or above it."
SPX500 Holds Above 6,527 Ahead of U.S. PPI DataSPX500 – Overview
Global equities rose early Wednesday as bets for a Federal Reserve rate cut next week strengthened after more weak U.S. jobs data. Traders now await the release of U.S. PPI today and CPI tomorrow, which may spark short-term volatility, though few expect them to alter the Fed’s plans.
Technical Outlook:
📈 The index remains in a bullish trend, with potential to set a new ATH near 6,550. A confirmed breakout above this level could open another bullish leg.
📉 To confirm bearish momentum, price would need to close a 1H candle below 6,527, exposing downside targets at 6,518 → 6,506.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 6,527
Resistance: 6,550 – 6,566
Support: 6,518 – 6,506
SPX 1D Close Up Corrective to (4) and finishing the year STRONG!Based on this count I believe that the markets will begin to go corrective starting this next week into October and finishing the year at higher highs. As always trade responsibly and wait for your confirmation bias (whatever that might be)...
4h Retest and TargetThe S&P had broken above a point where sellers came in previously, but could not push price down, hence the consolidation where the red and green boxes are drawn. Price came back down, tested the previous consolidation area, buyers stepped in and price held. (Looking at the wick, it's possible to have entered and been stopped out, but as it moved back up, could've looked for a re-entry and stop below the wick)
Friday had its push up, consolidated, and so far on Monday has held its gains. If I were in at the retest area, this new consolidation area is where I'd put my stop and use previous all time highs as the target.
SPX DISTRIBUTION 2025SPX on the 4H chart is facing rejection near recent highs after notable sell volume (-243B and -276B).
Institutional absorption is visible, but upside momentum remains intact as long as the 6350–6200 support holds. Below that, the 3.4T daily distribution zone and the 5800 gap are key downside targets.
On the upside, the projected path points toward the 7000 area.
target: 7000
target: 5800
#SPX #globaltrade #investment #investing #stockmarket #wealth #realestate #markets #economy #finance #money #forex #trading #price #business #currency #blockchain #crypto #cryptocurrency #airdrop #btc #ethereum #ico #altcoin #cryptonews #Bitcoin #ipo
SPX500USD – Important Levels Below (Watch for Next Week)The S&P 500 is holding near all-time highs. When markets sit at extremes, it’s useful to map out where the structure lives underneath. These are levels that:
Could act as strong support if price pulls back (buy interest).
Or, if broken, could accelerate downside momentum into deeper zones.
Here are some confluent areas to keep in mind for next week (as today is Friday):
6.525 – 6,534 → Weekly vWAP, weekly time POC, and a poor low.
6,495 - 6,506 → Naked weekly POC and naked daily POC.
6,455 – 6,479 → Naked daily, naked weekly, monthly vWAP, daily naked POC, weekly naked POC, current monthly POC, and weekly time naked POC. So clearly the biggest level to watch!
Why these matter: when multiple levels overlap (VWAP, POC, HTF highs/lows, etc, liquidity often pools there. That makes them “decision points” — either support for a bounce or, if broken, fuel for a larger move down.
If you’re new to terms like VWAP or POC, don’t worry — they can be confusing at first. Leave a comment and I’ll happily explain, or DM me if you prefer to ask privately.
This post is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a trading signal.
S&P500 reactsd to US Inflation dataUS CPI rose to 2.9% YoY in August (vs. 2.7%), showing inflation is re-accelerating.
Markets still expect a 25bp Fed cut next week, but scope for deeper easing is reduced.
For equities, this means headwinds for tech and other rate-sensitive growth stocks, while defensives and commodity-linked sectors may hold up better.
Overall, the print adds to volatility ahead of the Fed meeting, with equities likely to trade cautiously.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6590
Resistance Level 2: 6610
Resistance Level 3: 6630
Support Level 1: 6440
Support Level 2: 6410
Support Level 3: 6380
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SPX500 Awaits CPI – Pivot 6,527 in Focus (Details Below...)SPX500 – Overview
U.S. futures were flat Thursday as traders awaited the August CPI report, which could shape expectations for a potential 50bps Fed rate cut next week. Earnings from Kroger and Adobe are also due.
On Wednesday, the S&P 500 gained +0.3% and the Nasdaq +0.03% to fresh record highs after a surprise drop in PPI and strong Oracle guidance, while the Dow fell -0.48% on Apple weakness.
Technical Outlook
📉 Below 6,527 → bearish momentum may extend to 6,506 → 6,490 → 6,470.
📈 Above 6,527 → bullish bias continues toward 6,550 → 6,565, with a potential push to 6,600 if CPI comes in softer (<2.9%).
⚠️ A hotter CPI print could trigger sharp downside volatility.
Key Levels
Pivot: 6,527
Resistance: 6,550 – 6,565 – 6,600
Support: 6,506 – 6,490 – 6,470
SPX - 2 Month Bearish DivergenceHello Traders,
As shown you can see the two month bearish divergence on the index. My thoughts are it needs resolved soon than later and the inflation data coming up next could be the spark that finally gets it going.... We will find out tomorrow at 8:30 if the data comes in hot the market will not like that.. We could get a selloff in stocks and crypto on no other than 9-11 anniversary. Stay tunes and lets see if I nailed this one or not.
SPX500 Awaits Breakout – Key Levels 6,506 & 6,486SPX500 – Overview
The S&P 500 is holding above the 6,490 pivot, with short-term momentum favoring a retest of 6,506.
Technical Outlook:
📈 Bullish scenario: While above 6,490, price is expected to test 6,506. A confirmed breakout above this level would extend upside toward 6,527 → 6,550.
📉 Bearish scenario: A confirmed 1H close below 6,486 would open the way to 6,469, with further downside toward 6,425 if that level breaks.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 6,490
Resistance: 6,506 – 6,527 – 6,550
Support: 6,469 – 6,453 – 6,425