AMD Is it approaching a multi-year top and turning into a Sell ?Almost 8 months ago (March 07, see chart below) we made a bold call (for the time) on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), expecting it to bottom on its 1M MA100 (red trend-line) and then rebound, targeting $320:
Well the Bullish Leg of its 6-year Channel Up had been even more aggressive than we expected and is already approaching its top (Higher Highs trend-line), much earlier than we expected.
This is technically the right time to book the amazing +240% profits from the April 07 bottom, as the 1W RSI just hit its 6-year Resistance, which has marked the Channel's two Tops.
Even though the Bullish Leg can technically extend as high as +287% on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (like the previous did), the focus of a long-term investor should now be to buy (much) lower, preferably as close to the 1M MA100 as possible.
The last two Higher Lows of the Channel Up have been priced just above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, so our fair long-term Target is currently at $110.00.
So do you also think AMD is approaching the end of the (long-term) road and is gradually turning into a Sell?
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Trade ideas
AMD Bullish Breakout: Flag Resolution Toward 278–290AMD on the 1D chart is pausing after a powerful October run from ~170 to above 260, with a clear Bullish Flag forming. The prior swing high near 264.58 is the immediate ceiling. Price holds above all key MAs, with the MA20 around 222.61 acting as nearest dynamic support, while the MA60 aligns with structural support near 183.87. Bollinger Bands remain expanded, and momentum is constructive but cooling—typical of a digestion phase before the next leg.
Primary path: a break-and-daily-close above ~265 with rising volume would confirm the flag and open a push toward the upper band/prior extremes around 278 first, then 290, with a stretch objective near 300 if momentum expands. If buyers don’t get the close, a controlled pullback into 222–225 (MA20 area) could offer a higher-low retest before another attempt higher.
Invalidate the short-term bullish thesis on a daily close below 220. That would shift risk toward the 185 area (183.87) where the MA60 and prior breakout structure converge. Until confirmation, position sizing should remain moderate; if the breakout triggers, trail risk under reclaimed levels to protect gains.
This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations
AMD's Tsunami Hitting $10,000+ | 8-Decade Blueprint🔥 FOR OUR DEDICATED FOLLOWER: The AMD Upside Target Blueprint is HERE! 🔥
You asked for clarity on AMD's path forward. This is for you, and for every trader who wants to see the real roadmap.
We've broken down the 3-week super-chart that tells the whole story. This isn't just about the next 10%; it's about the next 1,000%.
🎯 The Upside Target Hierarchy: From Tactical to Generational
1. The Wave 3 Target (~$1,000 by 2029)
· This is the MAIN EVENT for the next 5 years.
· We are currently inside this massive third wave.
· It is being powered by AMD's undeniable dominance in the AI and high-performance computing revolution.
· This wave represents the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension of the foundational Wave 1. The math is clear.
2. The Ultimate Wave 5 Target (~$10,000+ Beyond 2050)
· This is the generational wealth target.
· It represents the 261.8% Fibonacci Extension and is the final, parabolic peak of this entire 70+ year cycle.
· This is driven by technologies that are still in their infancy: Quantum Computing, AI Singularity, and interplanetary tech stacks .
🧭 The Trader's Compass: Navigating the Now
· Current Mission: Ride Wave 3 to $1,000 .
· Key Support (The Buy Zone): Any pullback toward the $240 - $230 Fibonacci confluence is a gift within the larger uptrend.
· The Catalyst: The AI boom is not a story; it's a fundamental shift . AMD is a primary architect of this new world.
🚨 NOW, WE TURN TO THE COMMUNITY 🚨
Our follower has their blueprint. Now, we turn to you, the TradingView family , to sharpen it.
We're starting a Chart Battle to help our follower see EVERY angle.
👇 THE CHALLENGE IS LIVE: 👇
Drop YOUR AMD chart below and show us:
· Your Wave Count: Do you agree with our ~$1,000 Wave 3?
· Your Targets: What's your ultimate price and timeline?
· Your Best Chart: Post your cleanest, most convincing technical analysis.
The most insightful bull OR bear case gets pinned at the top. Let's build the most comprehensive AMD analysis on TradingView, together.
Let's get it!
#AMD #ElliottWave #SuperCycle #GenerationalTrade #1000AMD #10000AMD #TechInvesting #Stocks #TradingView #Fibonacci #Wave3 #MarketCycle #LegacyWealth
AMD Went Crazy!!! Post Trade Analysis 10/25/24Hello all,
This is my first time posting on here. So, please feel free to leave any questions, advice, or anything else in the comments!
I took this AMD swing trade on the 10/22/25 @ 2:12ish PM CST.
POSITION:
1 $300 Strike Call Exp Nov 7th 2025
Risk: $30 (price takes out low of hammer candle)
Initial PT: Previous highs (Red box) for $75 profit
Final PT: Actively managed since price moved past previous highs ($144 final profit)
WHY I TOOK THE TRADE
1. From the 7th-23rd AMD looked to be forming an ascending triangle pattern on the 1 day and 4HR timeframe.
2. AMD validated 2 support areas to me, which was an ascending support line (Blue arrow) and a demand zone from $222.92 to $225.11 (Purple arrow). In addition to this, price recently broke out from a W pattern (Green bubble) around 10/14 on the 1-4HR time frame (wish I saw it forming sooner lol), which confirmed to me that there was still momentum for the upside.
3. I saw that AMD was potentially forming another larger W pattern on the 1-4HR timeframes (Yellow arrows).
ENTRY Rules:
1. Measure Risk to Reward position, if less than 1.8 to 2.5 R/R, don't take the trade.
2. Wait for price to pull back to area of value (confirmed by multiple touch points.
3. Wait for a strong bullish candle to close 60% or above previous bearish candle (at the demand zone level), to confirm potential price reversal; then enter on the open of the very next candle.
4. Place SL where price invalidates analysis (below bullish hammer candle and demand zone), and PT at most recent highs (or actively manage if price pushes to the upside with momentum).
SUMMARY:
I am glad I took this trade, because it I am still relatively new to trading and I am improving on following my trade plan and TA more.
If anyone has any comments or feedback I would love to chat!
Thank you!
Amd - This is still not over yet!🚀Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) can rally another +25%:
🔎Analysis summary:
This month alone, Amd has been rallying another +50%. All of this happened because of an expected rejection at a major confluence of support. Looking at the rising channel pattern though, Amd can still rally another +25% before this rally might actually be over.
📝Levels to watch:
$300
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) Gearing For A BreakoutThe share price of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMD ) is setting sail for a 50% breakout albeit market condition is overbought.
Sitting with an RSI of 73, Advance Micro Devices (AMD) shows continuous bullish momentum with the daily price chart indicating a golden cross pattern- this is an interception between the 50day-MA and the 200-day MA indicating bullish momentum building.
In another news, - Advance Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) today announced the completion of the agreement to divest the ZT Systems U.S.-headquartered data center infrastructure manufacturing business to Sanmina (NASDAQ: SANM).
About AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company worldwide. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, x86 microprocessors, and graphics processing units (GPUs) as standalone devices or as incorporated into accelerated processing units, chipsets, and data center and professional GPUs; and embedded processors and semi-custom system-on-chip (SoC) products, microprocessor and SoC development services and technology.
Trading $AMD to the $250 in the next 6 monthsCloud & Data Center Partners
Amazon EC2, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure: These major cloud providers integrate AMD’s EPYC processors into their infrastructure, offering scalable and efficient computing solutions.
Dell Technologies, Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), Lenovo, Supermicro, and Cisco: These OEMs design and manufacture servers powered by AMD's processors, catering to enterprise and high-performance computing needs.
IBM: In August 2025, AMD and IBM announced a collaboration to develop scalable, open-source platforms, combining IBM's quantum computing innovations with AMD's high-performance computing and AI accelerators.
🧠 AI & High-Performance Computing (HPC)
OpenAI: During AMD's "Advancing AI" event in June 2025, OpenAI announced its intent to utilize AMD's upcoming MI400 chips for its AI infrastructure.
Meta, xAI, Oracle, Microsoft, Astera Labs, and Marvell Technology: These companies are collaborating with AMD to integrate its AI chips into their platforms, enhancing AI capabilities across various applications.
Liquid AI: AMD led a $250 million funding round for Liquid AI, a startup specializing in generative AI. This partnership aims to optimize Liquid AI's models using AMD's hardware.
🎮 Gaming & Consumer Electronics
Sony (PlayStation): AMD and Sony are working together on "Project Amethyst," an initiative to enhance gaming graphics and gameplay using AI technology across platforms, including PlayStation and PC.
11 bit studios: AMD has partnered with this Polish game developer to optimize future games like "Frostpunk 2" and "The Thaumaturge" for AMD hardware, incorporating technologies like FidelityFX Super Resolution 3.
🧪 Research & Development Collaborations
Absci Corporation: AMD has formed a collaboration with Absci to advance AI-driven drug discovery, leveraging AMD's computational power to enhance research capabilities.
Micron Technology: AMD and Micron share a vision of enabling and supporting customers with leading computing, memory, and storage solutions, collaborating on development and enablement to provide high-performance, secure, and efficient customer deployments.
🌐 Global & Strategic Collaborations
HUMAIN: AMD and HUMAIN have formed a strategic collaboration, investing up to $10 billion to deploy 500 megawatts of AI compute capacity over the next five years, aiming to power AI workloads across various markets.
ZT Systems & Sanmina: AMD has reached an agreement to sell the server-manufacturing division of ZT Systems to Sanmina for $3 billion, while retaining control of ZT's AI systems design business, strengthening U.S.-based production of AI data center systems.
$AMD – Bull Flag Breakout & Momentum StructureNASDAQ:AMD broke out from its bull flag on October 1st, following a two-month consolidation phase that began in August. The breakout opened up a sharp 19% gap, driven by strong volume and follow-through buying pressure — a classic continuation move after months of coiling price action.
Current Structure & Momentum
After a 90% rally YTD, price has now run into congestion near $240, which aligns with prior resistance and psychological round-number supply. Despite that, AMD continues to hold the 8-day moving average, indicating that short-term momentum remains intact and buyers are still in control.
Watch for how price reacts around the 13-day and 21-day MAs:
Holding above the 8-day → momentum intact.
Break below the 13-day → short-term pause or cooling phase.
Decisive close below the 21-day → potential trim/take-profit zone before reassessing.
The trend remains bullish until proven otherwise — let the chart tell its story before making assumptions.
Gap Zone & Risk Levels
The October breakout left a significant unfilled gap, a key reference area for potential re-tests if market sentiment turns.
Gap mid-point (~$186) marks a 50% retrace zone — a logical first level for dip buyers if AI or semiconductor sentiment weakens.
As long as price holds above $205–$210, the breakout structure remains valid.
A full gap fill would only become likely on heavy distribution or macro risk-off rotation across tech.
So far, the gap has not been filled, underscoring the underlying strength of the move.
Volume & Target Projection
Volume supported the breakout, confirming institutional participation and validating the pattern. Using a 1:1 flagpole measured move, the projected target for the breakout sits around $275 — which also aligns with the next visible volume-profile node on higher timeframes.
Summary
✅ Trend: Bullish continuation
✅ Momentum: Holding 8-day EMA → strong
⚠️ Risk line: Close below 21-day MA → trim/reevaluate
🎯 Target: ~$275 (flagpole 1:1 projection)
📊 Gap zone: Watch $186–$205 for any retrace reactions
Final Notes
Momentum remains in AMD’s favor as long as short-term EMAs hold and sector sentiment supports the move. Watch how the stock behaves into $240 — acceptance above turns that zone into potential new support, opening the path to $260–$275.
For educational and technical analysis purposes only.
#Stocks #Crypto #TA #Semiconductors #NASDAQ NASDAQ:AMD
AMD ShortOn the 15-minute chart for AMD, the broader market structure has been bullish over the past several sessions, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows. However, the most recent Break of Structure (BOS) occurred at $267.07, where price broke below a prior swing low, signaling a potential shift in trend or at least the beginning of a deeper corrective leg. This BOS indicates that buyers have weakened and sellers are starting to gain control, which puts the current structure at risk of transitioning from bullish to bearish.
The nearest supply zone, highlighted around the small gray region where price recently reacted, has shown weakness; price did reject it, but only mildly, suggesting sellers are present but not aggressively driving price lower yet. Still, this zone remains the most immediate area where price previously stalled and turned lower, showing a short-term imbalance that sellers could defend again. There’s no visible strong demand in the current frame—recent drops show buyers stepping in with less conviction each time, leaving shallow reactions rather than sharp reversals.
Within the marked region, price is currently climbing back toward that local supply. The move upward looks corrective and lacks strong momentum—candles are smaller, wicks are longer, and there is little impulsive follow-through. This behavior usually indicates that price is retracing into liquidity before continuing lower. The likely scenario is a push back into the supply zone, followed by a continuation down toward the lower liquidity levels near $254–$256, consistent with the structural BOS and weakening bullish momentum.
The trade bias is bearish, with expectations of downward continuation after the pullback completes. The key invalidation level for this bearish setup would be a clean break and sustained close above $265.00, as that would invalidate the recent bearish shift and reintroduce bullish structure.
Momentum currently favors sellers, as downward moves remain impulsive while upward moves are corrective.
AMD: Pre-Earnings 8% Surge Fuels 25% Upside in AI Chip MomentumAMD: Pre-Earnings 8% Surge Fuels 25% Upside in AI Chip Momentum – SWOT, Price Action, and Intrinsic Value Insights
📊 Introduction
As of October 30, 2025, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is building pre-earnings momentum with a bullish uptick, gaining 8% over the last week to trade around $262 in pre-market after closing at $264.33 yesterday, on heightened volume amid analyst upgrades. This price action coincides with viral anticipation for Q3 earnings expected next week, with #AMDQ3 trending on social media over 500K mentions following TipRanks' AI analyst raising the price target to $295.
Applying timeless investing principles to identify profitable setups, this highlights a potential mispricing in the semiconductor sector, driven by macroeconomic factors like $500B AI infrastructure investments and stable rates at 4.25%, while sector dynamics show AMD's AI GPU share rising to 20%, though challenged by supply chain tensions.
🔍 SWOT Analysis
**Strengths 💪**: AMD's AI-focused innovations, with quarterly revenue growth at 31.7% YoY and earnings surging 229% per Q2 filings, support a solid balance sheet with debt-to-equity at 6.51% and TTM revenue of $29.6B. These metrics have propelled recent price highs near $264, aligning with strategies to exploit growth asymmetries for sustained returns.
**Weaknesses ⚠️**: Reliance on third-party fabs like TSMC exposes to disruptions, contributing to 10-12% price corrections in volatile periods, while high R&D costs (25% of revenue) could pressure margins if growth moderates.
**Opportunities 🌟**: Q3 revenue projections around $8.7B (28% YoY growth) and AI chip demand, backed by partnerships like Microsoft Azure, position for 20-30% price breakouts post-earnings, with valuation metrics like forward P/E at 28.57 offering re-rating potential to compound gains through market expansion.
**Threats 🚩**: Intense competition from NVIDIA and potential earnings misses could trigger 15% pullbacks, as seen in prior downgrades, with regulatory export controls adding volatility—underscoring proven approaches to navigate threats for net-positive outcomes.
💰 Intrinsic Value Calculation
Employing a value investing approach to estimate intrinsic value, we use weighted book value per share plus EPS multiples, incorporating a margin of safety as emphasized in classic methodologies to ensure actionable, money-making insights. Inputs from recent quarterly data: Book value per share $36.78, TTM EPS $1.67, assumed growth rate 45% (based on AI-driven CAGR and consensus projections).
Formula: Intrinsic Value = (Book Value * Weight) + (EPS * Growth Multiplier)
- Weight for book value: 0.3 (tech-adjusted)
- Growth Multiplier: 98.5 (classic: 8.5 + 2*45)
Calculation:
(36.78 * 0.3) + (1.67 * 98.5) = 11.034 + 164.495 = 175.529
Adjusted for sector comparables (e.g., 40x P/E peers): Refined = 175.529 * 1.8 ≈ $315.95
Apply 20% margin of safety: $315.95 * 0.8 ≈ $252.76
At current ~$262 (despite the 8% surge), AMD appears fairly valued but undervalued by 20-25% to $316 fair value on growth realization—no major debt flags at 6.51%, with sustainability tied to EPS growth exceeding 40%. 📈 Undervalued.
🚀 Entry Strategy Insights
Rooted in time-tested disciplines for compounding wealth, target support zones at $250-255 (near 50-day SMA) for unleveraged, long-term positions via dollar-cost averaging, scaling in during 5-10% corrections post-earnings hype. Emphasize non-repainting signals for breakouts above $270, tying to news-driven volatility like Q3 results for viral, profitable timing.
⚠️ Risk Management
Cover position sizing at 1-5% allocation, diversification across tech and defensives, and long-term holding based on fundamental strength, drawing from principles that preserve capital while capturing upside. Include cautions on 15-20% swings from earnings reactions with ⚠️ for risks, to ensure sustainable profitability.
🔚 Conclusion
AMD's pre-earnings surge, AI growth drivers, and undervalued metrics offer a principle-driven opportunity for 25%+ returns through mispricing and safety-focused analysis. Key takeaways: Focus on sustainable AI expansion for gains, verify earnings data independently. Share your thoughts in comments – does this Q3 buzz change your view? #ValueInvesting #AIChips #Semiconductors #EarningsSeason #StockAnalysis
This is educational content only; not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.
AMD Potential Long. 85% Win Rate. Using the above chart as a Macro indicator you can see that the time to buy AMD has arrived.
Each time the RSI moves to an oversold position in the 3 week we often see great returns. The exception being 2008 where the period was much longer than usual.
Yesterday I finished back testing AMD from 1972 to 2025. I came out with a 85% win rate over those years. I did not use the chart above either as it would have created an unfair bias for my normal trading strategy and rules. 1994-1995ish was the first bad trade and another stumbling block was 2008-2009. As it was very drawn out and stop losses were triggered.
Using the 85% Win Rate strategy and using the above chart shows us the following:
RSI: Tickled the oversold zone. I am sceptical of this as I do not think the move will be a massive one as it barely touched the zone but in previous years we will still see a 30-40% move in similar cases.
Phoenix Bollinger Bands: This indicates that price is where its suppose to be. On lower timeframes it also shows that price does have the potential to expand to 130-140 range.
Strategy: The strategy that I use is indicating that the 2 week buy signal is 2 days away from confirming.
I have the following things to do:
1) Update tomorrow if Buy Signal is confirmed. If was more aggressive I would be buying today but because its only a 85% win rate and not 90%+ like the others I will wait.
2) Regardless if price goes down from here or not. I will start to build a position from tomorrow.
Sorry that I did not post all the charts etc in this one today. I am just a bit busy with my own trades and thought I would try get this out ASAP.
Have a blessed day and Stay Adaptable.
AMDechnical Analysis – AMD (NASDAQ: AMD)
Current Price Action:
AMD is trading around $158.57, after rebounding strongly from the recent bottom.
The stock has broken out of the short-term downtrend line, which is a bullish signal.
Major Trend:
The chart shows a long-term uptrend (black trendline), which has been respected since 2018.
Each correction has formed higher lows, confirming AMD’s overall bullish structure.
Support Levels & Buy Zone:
Key support zone: $115–$95 (highlighted as the “waiting correction buy zone”).
If AMD retraces to this area, it would provide a high-probability buying opportunity aligned with the major trend.
Stronger support lies at $72, marked as the stop-loss level if long-term structure fails.
Resistance & Target Levels:
Immediate resistance is around $160–$180.
A breakout above this zone could lead to acceleration toward the previous all-time high ($229), which is the major upside target.
If $229 is cleared, AMD could enter a new bullish cycle toward uncharted highs.
Trend Outlook:
Short-term: Potential pullback from current levels due to overextension, with a likely retest toward $130–$115 before continuation.
Mid-term: As long as the stock stays above $95, the bullish trend remains intact.
Long-term: Target remains at $229 (new high), provided the uptrend is sustained.
Risk Management:
Aggressive traders may hold at current levels, but best R:R entries are in the $115–$95 correction zone.
Stop-loss: $72 to protect against a major trend reversal.
Conclusion
AMD remains in a major long-term uptrend with strong bullish momentum. Current levels ($158) are closer to resistance than ideal entry points, so a correction into $115–$95 would be the most favorable buying opportunity. Long-term investors can target $229, while keeping $72 as the invalidation level.
Amd - This is just the beginning!🎈Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) breaks out soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just a couple of months ago, we witnessed a very strong bullish retest on Amd. Back then the channel continuation remained extremely likely, perfectly playing out until today. But despite the recent parabolic rise, Amd can still rally another +50% according to the chart.
📝Levels to watch:
$200 and $300
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
AMD could see further downsidePreviously, before the 10 Oct crash, I posted here () that AMD is timed for a pullback with $213 as a price to sell puts off.
It worked perfectly. NDX looked tired to the upside, thus, possible further pullback underway, with $195/$200 as price targets based on my confluence of algo levels.
AMD: Wave [iv] Low AMD shares have recently gained upward momentum as anticipated, confirming the low of wave in magenta. In light of this, we have added a new resistance level at $223.50 to the chart. The primary outlook is for the stock to continue completing the magenta five-wave sequence to the upside, thereby finishing the larger magenta wave (1). Afterward, wave (2) is expected to pull price back toward support at $164.53. Alternatively, AMD could see a direct sell-off, which would bring the alternative wave alt.(2) to an early conclusion. In this scenario, wave alt.(1) would already be complete, with a probability of 27%.
AMD clearing a daily tight flag right after a weekly C&HAfter Clearing a Weekly Cup with Handle, AMD is now clearing a tight flag on the daily chart.
Key points at the time of writing.
✣ New bull market cycle running since June 2025
✣ Market Direction is Up 90%
✣ Stock Fundamentals are good with multi-month growth except in December 2024
✣ Recent Open AI deal acted as catalyst to clear recent Cup with Handle base.
✣ Strong Institutional Interest with 2091 Buyers vs 1451 sellers TTM and a ownership of 71%
✣ Stock recently reset it's base count.
✣ TTM Performance is 53%
✣ Earnings due in 2 weeks !
If this tight flag is broken to the upside, it could be a buy opportunity and a confirmation to a more important upside move.
AMD I think this is an ascending channel rsi is a little overbought it would be nice for a small retrace here before going higher buy at support sell at resistance and if this resistance fails buy the break out but I think it’s a good shorting oportunity here since rsi is overbought and touching channel resistance






















