Will US Stock Market Crash Repeating 2020's TrajectoryThe NASDAQ 100 is creating a similar price action symmetry and RSI behavior to the pattern seen just before the 2020 crash.
* In 2020, this setup led to a sharp correction.
* In 2025, the symmetry looks almost identical.
Is it déjà vu — or just another pause before the next leg up?
Trade ideas
Nasdaq Selloff Extends in Asia — But How Bad Is It, Really?Asian markets saw a second wave of selling today, with Nasdaq futures falling around 1% during Asian trade. After fielding several emails from journalists asking “why,” I can’t help but think this move may be more about technical repositioning after an extended run higher.
In this video, I walk through the monthly, weekly, and daily Nasdaq charts to share where I think we could go from here.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
NQ UpdateI told everyone to stay bearish until the NQ gap fills. We're almost there, just a small gap left.
The big question is, does the TACO gap need to fill? 2 previous TACO gaps were left unfilled in the spring so I'm not sure. There is also a small gap above from yesterday afternoon.
If NQ breaks below the lower channel line then we know it's headed for TACO. (Today is Taco Tuesday at my local bar as well, lol)
The Empty Feeling After A WinA trader messaged me recently after closing a big win.
He said, “I should’ve felt great but I just felt… flat.”
That sudden emptiness after the high it’s more common than you think.
Follow along. I hope this helps.
BUT FIRST
NOTE – This is a post on mindset and emotion. It’s not a trade idea or system designed to make you money.
My intention is to help you preserve your capital, focus, and composure — so you can trade your own system with calm and confidence.
HERE’S WHAT HAPPENS
You execute beautifully.
Plan followed. Risk managed.
Trade hits target. Account up.
You should feel satisfied.
But instead… there’s a drop.
The charts look dull.
The mind goes searching.
“Maybe one more setup.”
“Just check the next pair.”
That’s not greed.
That’s chemistry.
When you’re in a trade, your brain is flooded with dopamine the chemical of pursuit, anticipation and drive.
When you exit, that hit disappears almost instantly.
To the nervous system, that chemical drop feels like loss .
And loss, even after a win, triggers the instinct to get it back.
WHAT’S REALLY GOING ON UNDERNEATH
You’re not chasing profit.
You’re chasing stimulation, the feeling of being alive in the action.
The mind interprets that feeling as boredom or missed opportunity.
But really, it’s your biology craving more.
The subconscious has learned to equate stillness with emptiness.
So it pushes for movement to escape the come-down.
That’s why so many traders give back profits after doing everything right.
They’re not making bad decisions.
They’re trying to fix a feeling.
HOW TO CATCH IT BEFORE IT CATCHES YOU
1️⃣ Notice your come-down cue.
After closing a trade, does your body feel restless?
Do you scroll, check charts, or reopen the platform out of habit?
That’s the withdrawal in motion.
2️⃣ Name it, don’t fight it.
Say it internally: “This is dopamine dropping.”
It takes the mystery out of the urge.
3️⃣ Breathe through the drop.
A long exhale through the mouth… six seconds out tells the body it’s safe.
Let your eyes rest on something still.
4️⃣ Reframe the pause.
That quiet space after a win isn’t emptiness.
It’s integration.
It’s the moment your nervous system resets for the next run.
Trading mastery isn’t just execution.
It’s emotional regulation before, during and after execution.
I put a lot of time and thought into every post that goes out here so I appreciate your support.
Thank you
NASDAQ (NQ1!) – Bearish Divergence Potential PullbackOn the 1-hour chart, a clear bearish divergence has formed at recent highs, aligning with loss of bullish momentum and price rejection near the upper trend channel. The short-term structure suggests sellers may gain control, with potential retracement zones around the 0.5–0.618 FIB levels and an unfilled GAP below.
If price confirms continuation after a minor relief bounce, we could see a corrective wave unfold before the broader uptrend resumes.
Bias: Short-term Bearish – looking for retracement opportunities toward key support levels before potential trend continuation.
Nasdaq NQ - tapping into previous Gap Pivot ZoneNQ -Nasdaq Futures- pulled all the way back to the previous Gap up zone from October 26, 2025. Also, confluence with the 1 hour 400 EMA. Does this signal a bounce opportunity? Or does this signal that there will be a major news event that will occur? Is the market predictive of real life?
Will History Repeat Itself? NASDAQ 2025 vs 2020The NASDAQ 100 is currently showing a striking structural symmetry to the 2020 pre-crash formation.
Both phases formed a 5-wave impulsive rally, followed by tight consolidation near highs — a typical distribution top pattern.
The 20-day EMA is starting to flatten, signaling a possible loss of momentum.
If symmetry continues, the index could mirror a short- to mid-term correction, similar to early 2020’s breakdown.
While macro conditions differ today, market behavior often repeats in fractal patterns — a reminder that price structure often precedes headlines.
📊 Keep watch for a confirmed EMA rollover and breakdown below support near 25,500 — that could validate the bearish symmetry.
Recap: ORB Pro in Action | “Discipline > Direction”Date: November 3rd 2025
Ticker: QQQ / NQ1! (5-min TF)
Strategy: ORB Pro + Golden Pocket Retest + Volume Filter
Focus: Trend confirmation & controlled execution
🧭 Market Context
The morning opened sideways inside the ORB range — no clean conviction early on.
Around mid-morning, sellers gained control as lower highs formed beneath the EMA band and the Golden Pocket retest (0.5/0.618) failed with volume confirmation.
That break produced the clean short setup of the day, perfectly aligned with the higher-timeframe (HTF) downtrend.
🧠 Trade Review
Early Entries: Entered pre-confirmation and took initial heat.
Mid-Morning Setup: All filters aligned — EMA, volume, HTF direction. This was the textbook short that delivered follow-through.
Late Session Attempts: Momentum faded after lunch, with signals correctly blocked as “Too Late.”
Result: Several small wins offset by early losses, closing the day + $7.34 realized P/L after fees.
📊 Performance Snapshot
Metric Value
Win Rate ≈ 42 %
Best Trade + $287.94
Largest Loss – $189.05
Net Result + $7.34 (Realized)
Setup Accuracy High — execution mixed
📈 Chart Breakdown
The 5-minute chart highlighted a short trigger around 26 260 – 26 280, with smooth continuation into ORB extensions.
The ORB Pro filter marked “Blocked / Too Late” after the move — confirming that the system logic protected capital from late chases.
💡 Key Takeaways
Patience > Prediction — early entries rarely pay off.
Protect Green — partial profit lock once 1 R:R is reached.
System Strength — ORB Pro continues to validate structure when filters align.
🧘♂️ Reflection
“The system nailed the move — I jumped early. Still finished green, proving that execution discipline is the real edge. Tomorrow’s goal: one clean setup, one confident hold, and protect the profit.”
🧩 Next Steps
✅ Wait for full confirmation before entry
✅ Hold until 1:2 R:R min
✅ Avoid re-entries once HTF zone is tapped
"Stand by Me"Ben E. King, 1961. Classic Soul, Rhythm & Blues. Inspired by a popular gospel hymn of the South, same title.
Your author wanted to show a clean trading chart, and he also wanted to show his "Stand by Me" chart with its many supports and resistances.
He always trades from a clean 5minute chart. He simply clicks the hide button on & off.
If you switch to a 5m chart and you follow his trading plans you know he "bot" the Dip from 26110 - 26085. He also "bot" the Dip from 26060 - 26010.
You know he is nearly always Long and Short. He "would have" already pocketed much profit from 11.2 open to 11.3 10:15 - the first BTD entry.
You would also know he "started" a new Pawn for a King sequence selling 1 Pawn @ 26079.50 & buying 2 Kings @ 26080.00.
What's up with the quotation marks? Thrice this year he has been flagged as a national security risk. Twice he has been deplatformed and twice his trading account seized. This third time he pulled his account before it could be seized once again, & he deplatformed once again.
Adokimos is the Greek word Paul used in Rom.1:28 to describe our present society. It's a form of insanity. A society that declares itself autonomous from Eternal Truth always ends up here. Such a society perverts good and evil to such an extent that it punishes good and exalts evil.
We do have the best form of human government ever conceived - the culmination of millennia of Judaism and Christianity. We do get the government we deserve. When we choose to throw off self-government, i.e. virtue, we end up with Nihilism, Adokimos, our present society.
John Adams, one of our founding fathers, is well-known for having written, "Our Constitution was made only for a moral and religious people. It is wholly inadequate to the government of any other." Regarding self-government, i.e. individuals governing their behavior by Judeo-Christian ethics, he wrote, "The only foundation of a pure Constitution is pure virtue." "When public virtue is gone, when the national spirit is fled, the republic is lost in essence, though it may still exist in form." "The Declaration of Independence laid the cornerstone of human government upon the first precepts of Christianity."
On this, the eve of the New York mayoral election, Adams wrote this - "...poets read history to collect flowers not fruits - they attend to fanciful images, not the effects of social institutions."
There is so much that is just, pure and virtuous that our founding fathers have left us that many volumes have been written and, unfortunately, rejected by our present society. I will end with this quote from Adams, "The jaws of power are always open to devour, and her arm is always stretched out, if possible, to destroy the freedom of thinking, speaking, and writing." And I shall add - Trading. Adokimos.
Long trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair / Symbol: MNQ1! (Micro E-Mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures)
Direction: Buy-Side Trade
Date: Mon 3 Nov 25
Time: 1:00 am
Session: London Session AM
Timeframe: 1 Hour
🔹 Trade Details
Metric Value
Entry 26,057.50
Profit Level (TP) 26,390.50 (+1.28 %)
Stop Level (SL) 26,004.00 (–0.21 %)
Risk–Reward (RR) 4.36 R
🔸 Technical Context
Market Structure:
The index has been consolidating after a prior impulsive up-leg from mid-October.
A liquidity sweep below the 26,000 handle and BOS on lower time frames confirmed short-term accumulation.
15min TF Overview
Confluence Factors:
KAMA (Kaufman Adaptive MA) has flattened and begun to curl upward — early momentum shift.
Volume Expansion: Spike during the London open, suggesting institutional re-entry after the weekend gap. Intraday PD Array Alignment: Demand zone and VWAP cluster at 25,980–26,020 confluence zone. Session Overlay: Previous NY session lows have been taken out; London reclaim confirms buyside intent.
Key Zones:
Demand Base: 26,000 – 26,030
Target Zone: 26,380 – 26,400 (liquidity resting above prior London swing highs)
Extended Target: 26,790 (1.618 fib projection of current impulse)
🔹 Narrative & Bias
The setup reflects short-term accumulation within the broader bullish structure, consistent with rotation back into tech futures as the USD consolidates.
The 26,000 psychological level acted as a liquidity magnet — price swept stops, reclaimed structure, and produced a bullish displacement candle.
Macro Sentiment:
Renewed optimism in the Q4 earnings cycle; U.S. indices stabilising post-CPI data.
NASDAQ is outperforming due to sector rotation into large-cap growth (AAPL, ZS, NVDA correlation).
Projection:
Expect price to continue toward 26,390–26,400, with a partial profit zone near the prior swing high and potential continuation to the 26,780 1.618 extension if NY session momentum follows through.
NQ1 - Bullish OpenIndexes looking fine to start the week.
Nasdaq has had plenty of chop post interest rate cut, but its been quite tame to print a descending expanding pattern - likely to be bullish but perhaps with some more chop in the pipeline.
Let's see how regular trading hour indexes open 🧐.
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Bullish! Buy This Dip!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Nov. 3 - 7th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ reached all time highs last week, then started a pullback, landing in a +FVG.
As the +FVG continues to hold, look for valid buy setups to form.
Sells are not valid, my friends. Go with the trend!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
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