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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/17/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025 - PR High: 25188.25 - PR Low: 25022.00 - NZ Spread: 372.0 No key scheduled economic events Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM) - Session Open ATR: 458.87 - Volume: 48K - Open Int: 290K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -4.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 26636 - Mid: 25410 - Short: 24039 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2025
by mv3trader5
NQ Weekly Outlook | November 17–21, 20251H timeframe — 50 EMA (black) for trend, 5 & 10 EMAs (white) for momentum. Two scenarios I’m watching Upper path (bullish): Hold above the white EMAs, reclaim and stay over the black 50, print BOS up → ride impulse > shallow correction > continuation higher. Lower path (bearish): Reject at/under the black 50, lose the whites, print BOS down → impulse down > corrective pop into the whites > continuation lower. Bias: Leaning bullish if we reclaim/hold above the 50 with an upside BOS. If we stay capped under it and BOS down prints, I’ll follow shorts.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by icixbt
Global Energy Dynamics and Geopolitical Trade Routes1. The Foundation: Why Energy Shapes Global Power Energy is the engine behind transportation, manufacturing, digital infrastructure, agriculture, and military strength. Nations with abundant energy—like Saudi Arabia, Russia, or the U.S.—carry global influence. Nations dependent on imports—like India, Japan, or most of Europe—must secure safe trade routes and diplomatic relationships. There are three major categories in global energy dynamics: 1. Fossil Fuels (Oil, Gas, Coal) Still dominate global energy consumption (over 75%). Key for transportation (oil), heating & power (gas), and bulk energy (coal). Controlled by resource-heavy nations (Middle East, U.S., Russia, Australia). 2. Renewables (Solar, Wind, Hydro, Green Hydrogen) Growing rapidly because of climate goals and cost reduction. Countries compete to become renewable technology leaders (China, Europe, U.S., India). 3. Nuclear Energy Provides long-term stable baseload power. Geopolitically sensitive because of dual uses (civilian + military). Every country strategizes to ensure energy security—meaning energy should be affordable, accessible, and uninterrupted. 2. Major Players Controlling Global Energy Middle East – Oil & Gas Superpower Home to the largest oil reserves (Saudi Arabia, Iraq, UAE, Iran, Kuwait). The region influences global prices via OPEC+ production decisions. Any tension—war, blockade, sabotage—instantly impacts global markets. United States – Shale Revolution Leader World's largest oil and gas producer. Controls energy diplomacy through production capacity, sanctions, and technology. LNG exports from the U.S. influence European and Asian markets. Russia – Energy Leverage Over Europe Major exporter of natural gas and crude oil. Controls pipelines into Europe. Has used energy as a strategic bargaining tool. China – World’s Largest Energy Consumer Dominates solar, battery, and rare earth markets. Heavy dependence on Middle East oil and foreign natural gas. Secures maritime routes via the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). India – Fastest-Growing Energy Market Heavy importer of crude oil (~85%). Diversifying import partners to avoid over-dependence. Expanding renewables and strategic petroleum reserves. 3. Key Geopolitical Trade Routes in Global Energy Energy moves through oceans, pipelines, and chokepoints. Any disruption impacts global prices and supply security. 1. Strait of Hormuz (Persian Gulf) Most important oil chokepoint in the world. ~20% of global oil and ~25% of LNG passes through. Surrounded by Iran and U.S.-allied Gulf states—very sensitive region. Even a minor conflict can cause oil prices to spike. 2. Strait of Malacca (Between India, China, Southeast Asia) China, Japan, South Korea heavily depend on this route for fuel imports. Any disruption forces tankers to take longer, costly paths. India’s presence in the Indian Ocean gives it strategic leverage. 3. Suez Canal & SUMED Pipeline (Egypt) Connects Middle East oil to Europe. Blockages increase transportation time around Africa. Critical for LNG shipments too. 4. Panama Canal Important for U.S. LNG trade to Asia. Climate change–driven drought affects capacity. 5. Russia-Europe Pipelines Nord Stream, Druzhba, TurkStream, and others. Pipeline sabotage or sanctions immediately affect European power prices. 6. Africa’s West & East Coast Routes West Africa exports crude to Europe and Asia. East Africa emerging as LNG route (Mozambique). If these routes are disrupted due to war, piracy, sanctions, or blockades, global energy markets react instantly. 4. How Geopolitics Shapes Energy Decisions Sanctions as Weapons Nations use sanctions to punish rivals. U.S. sanctions on Iran and Russia reduced their oil exports. These sanctions shift global trade flows—India, China, and Turkey buy discounted oil. Energy as Diplomatic Leverage Energy-rich nations influence global politics: Russia pressures Europe through gas supply. Saudi Arabia adjusts production to stabilize or shock global markets. Qatar’s LNG gives it major diplomatic importance. Military Presence Protects Trade Routes Countries place naval forces near key chokepoints: U.S. Fifth Fleet in the Persian Gulf. India in the Indian Ocean. China near the South China Sea. Technology & Supply Chain Power China dominates: Solar module production. Battery manufacturing. Rare earth mining. This gives China a new form of energy leverage similar to OPEC’s oil power. 5. The Shift Toward Renewables and New Geopolitics The world is moving toward clean energy, creating new winners and losers. Winners Countries with abundant sun/wind (India, Australia, Middle East). Nations leading in battery and EV technology (China). Nations rich in critical minerals like lithium, cobalt, nickel (Chile, DRC, Indonesia). Losers Countries dependent solely on oil exports. Nations slow in clean-tech investments. Green Hydrogen Trade Routes Future trade routes will shift from crude oil tankers to hydrogen carriers. Major exporters expected: Saudi Arabia UAE Australia India (later stage) Importers: Japan South Korea Europe 6. Energy Security Strategies Countries Use Countries globally adopt 6 major strategies: 1. Diversification of Suppliers Don’t depend too much on one country. India buys from Gulf, Russia, U.S., Africa. 2. Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) A buffer against supply shocks. India, China, U.S., Japan maintain large SPRs. 3. Building New Pipelines & Ports Example: India’s west coast LNG terminals. EU’s pipelines from Norway and Caspian region. 4. Building Alliances QUAD, OPEC+, IEA—energy diplomacy groups. 5. Investing in Renewables Reduces fossil fuel dependence and price volatility. 6. Securing Maritime Routes Stronger navy, anti-piracy operations, trade agreements. 7. The Future of Global Energy Dynamics The next decade will be shaped by: 1. Multipolar Energy World Energy power shifting from the Middle East–U.S.–Russia triangle to: India China Africa Renewable superpowers 2. Electrification Era EVs, solar parks, energy storage systems reduce oil demand long-term. 3. Digital and AI-driven Energy Systems Smart grids, demand forecasting, AI optimization. 4. New Vulnerabilities Cyberattacks on power plants and pipelines. Supply chain dependencies on minerals and chips. Conclusion Global energy dynamics and geopolitical trade routes form the backbone of global economic stability. They decide fuel prices, industrial growth, inflation levels, and even military strategies. As the world transitions from oil dominance to renewable energy leadership, the geopolitical map will evolve. New trade routes, new alliances, and new energy powers will emerge. In short, understanding energy geopolitics means understanding the future of global power balance.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
NASDAQ 100: Same Song, Different LyricsAfter a 12% pullback, NQ is retesting price levels from 400 days ago, and to many, it looks like a crash is coming. But what’s really driving the jitters? 1.Apple’s sales concerns & downgrades 2.Tariff fears (that haven’t even been imposed yet) 3.Doomsday takes on the U.S. economy Sounds familiar? Same melody, just different words. Yes, the stop is wide, but the profit target from here is at least 5X. The question is—who sees an opportunity, and at what levels?
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by onlytrade2win
1
NQ - Week 46 (1hr chart) T.A explained - BackSide (BS) FrontSide (FS) Inverse BS (Inv.BS) Inverse FS (Inv.FS) BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines. The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines. Monthly timeframe is color pink weekly grey daily is red 4hr is orange 1hr is yellow 15min is blue 5min is green if they are shown. strength favors the higher timeframe. 2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move. yesterday Trade closed manually price followed the candle science and timeframes from the 5min green levels to the weekly grey level. Price has left behind some inverse frontside and inverse backside candles which look to be forming the bridge to flip the script if price manages to gain those levels and start accumulation. That liquidity will "unlock" and fuel price action.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by StudyGuideTA
NQ - 15min chart T.A explained - BackSide (BS) FrontSide (FS) Inverse BS (Inv.BS) Inverse FS (Inv.FS) BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines. The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines. Monthly timeframe is color pink weekly grey daily is red 4hr is orange 1hr is yellow 15min is blue 5min is green if they are shown. strength favors the higher timeframe. 2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by StudyGuideTA
NQ Weekly Recap | November 10–14, 2025Method: I track impulse/correction and BOS (break of structure). Trend filter is the 50 EMA (black); momentum/trigger EMAs are the 5 & 10 (white). Recap Mon: Clear upside impulse with BOS up. White EMAs above the black 50 → bullish continuation vibe. Tue: Early follow‑through, then momentum faded; corrections got deeper and EMAs started to flatten. Wed: Failed attempts to hold above the white EMAs, then a clean BOS down as price slipped under the black 50 → trend flipped. Thu: Follow‑through short. Lower highs into the white EMAs; corrections kept getting sold while staying below the black 50. Fri: Flush then sharp bounce. Price reclaimed the white EMAs intraday but stalled around the black 50—looks corrective; no full BOS up yet. Takeaways Early week was bullish. Midweek we failed below the EMAs and followed shorts. The late‑week bounce is just a correction unless we get a fresh BOS up and hold above the EMAs with the black 50 turning back up.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by icixbt
NQ Range (11-10-25, Week 7)The 7 week Forecast is in the final week and we are up about 300 points after getting rejected at upper Target. NAZ back in the Churn Zone and did U Turn off Friday lows just under the Mid Level CZ. KL 483 is TZ to 25,333. Key fact is the NAZ and NDX are at long tern TL. Under the TL is Danger Zone to lower CZ and then TLX 24,056. Current range to watch is 25,333 and 24,817. Friday lift was Failed Auction up and these usually will get retested. Could be a start of a U Turn (that will drop and retest). Or, just another Friday pump drop offset that will trap the BTD/FOMO's.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MAZing
43
"It's Me Again, Margaret"Ajax, aka Monster Head & Shoulders, is back again. He has been dominating our charts since 9/16. His neckline: 24680 Buy the Dip area 1: 24640 - 24570 Buy the Dip area 2: 24550 - 24500 Pullbacks are a normal part of bull markets. We are ~4% off the high. Correction territory is 10% or more. As Day Traders we welcome pullbacks as opportunities to trade the same Px zone at least one more time. This one is due to the govt. shutdown and the resulting lack of economic data as well as the economic losses, profit taking after the Dow posted two all-time highs in a row, and concern about over valuation especially of tech stocks. All a normal and healthy part of the markets. One major attraction of the Nasdaq 100 to us as day traders are its big swings. It gives more opportunity for Px action and profits than the other markets. He has a new Breakout Ladder set @ 24770. every 20 points he will buy 1 contract. Each and every target will be 19 points. Above you can see the BTD areas. This neckline may turn out to be a good BTD area. I'd wait until at least 09:50 NY Time before placing a BTD trade above the green shaded BTD areas. From 9/16 to the present this support zone has been a very important one. Let's see if it holds.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Sidgate
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/14/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025 - PR High: 25151.75 - PR Low: 25087.75 - NZ Spread: 143.0 No key scheduled economic events Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM) - Session Open ATR: 439.51 - Volume: 47K - Open Int: 302K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -5.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 26636 - Mid: 25410 - Short: 24039 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2025Short
by mv3trader5
Trade in Crude Oil and the Geopolitical Impact on Prices1. How Crude Oil Is Traded Globally Crude oil is traded through two primary markets: physical markets and futures markets. Physical Market (Spot Market) In the physical market, oil is bought and sold for immediate delivery. Key players include: National Oil Companies (NOCs) like Saudi Aramco, ADNOC, and Petrobras International Oil Companies (IOCs) like ExxonMobil, BP, Chevron Refiners, traders, and governments Physical trades depend on: Quality of crude (light, heavy, sweet, sour) Logistics and transportation availability Supply contracts and long-term agreements Physical prices often follow benchmark indexes such as Brent, WTI, and Dubai/Oman. Futures Market This is where the financial side of oil trading happens. Futures contracts traded on exchanges like CME (WTI) and ICE (Brent) determine global reference prices. Participants include: Producers and refiners hedging future production or fuel needs Speculators and hedge funds betting on price direction Banks and financial institutions providing liquidity Futures are influential because they signal market expectations based on supply, demand, storage levels, interest rates, and—critically—geopolitics. 2. Key Drivers of Crude Oil Prices Crude oil prices are shaped by multiple fundamental factors: Global supply and demand dynamics Production output decisions by OPEC+ US shale production changes Inventory levels in the US and OECD Currency movements (especially USD) Transportation bottlenecks and shipping rates But none of these drivers create sudden or extreme price movements the way geopolitics does. 3. Geopolitical Forces That Influence Oil Prices A. Wars and Conflict Zones Oil prices react instantly to conflicts in or near major producing regions. Middle East The Middle East, home to over 50% of global reserves, is the most crucial geopolitical hotspot. Conflicts involving Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Israel, or Yemen can create fears of supply disruption, leading to rapid price spikes. Examples include: Gulf War (1990–91) US–Iran tensions Attacks on Saudi Aramco facilities Hamas–Israel conflicts Even if physical supply remains unaffected, the risk premium added by traders is enough to lift prices sharply. Russia–Ukraine War Since Russia is a major crude and gas exporter, the Ukraine conflict reshaped global energy trade. Sanctions, embargoes, and shipping restrictions caused significant volatility. Europe’s shift away from Russian crude forced new trade patterns, empowering Middle Eastern producers and raising shipping costs. B. OPEC and OPEC+ Decisions The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), along with Russia and allies (OPEC+), controls around 40% of global crude supply. OPEC decisions to: Cut production → Prices rise Increase output → Prices fall Geopolitical relationships inside OPEC—Saudi Arabia vs. Russia, Iran vs. Saudi Arabia—often shape these decisions. Market participants follow OPEC announcements closely during ministerial meetings because even a small surprise in production quotas can trigger double-digit price moves. C. Sanctions and Trade Restrictions Economic sanctions are one of the most powerful geopolitical weapons in oil markets. Countries frequently targeted include: Iran – sanctions limit exports Russia – price caps and bans affect shipments Venezuela – political instability limits production When sanctions reduce supply from large producers, global prices usually rise. Conversely, when sanctions are eased or removed, prices fall as supply enters the market. D. Shipping Routes and Chokepoints Oil transportation passes through vulnerable chokepoints. Any threat to these routes impacts prices immediately. Major chokepoints include: Strait of Hormuz – carries 20% of global oil Suez Canal and SUMED Pipeline Strait of Malacca – key Asian route Bab-el-Mandeb near Yemen Geopolitical tensions—such as piracy, military blockades, Houthi rebel attacks, or naval confrontations—can disrupt shipping or increase insurance premiums, raising crude prices. E. Elections, Regime Changes, and Political Instability Elections in major producers can influence price direction. United States US presidential elections often create uncertainty regarding: Drilling policies Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) releases Environmental regulations Shale oil investment Middle East & Latin America Regime changes in oil-rich countries like Iraq, Libya, Nigeria, or Venezuela can impact production stability and investor confidence. Political uncertainty generally increases the volatility of oil prices. F. Climate Policies and Energy Transition Geopolitics Global climate policies also have geopolitical effects on crude markets: Carbon taxes raise production costs Subsidies for renewables reduce oil demand Restrictions on exploration affect long-term supply Countries like Saudi Arabia are diversifying toward renewables, while others like Russia depend heavily on fossil fuels. This creates political tensions over climate agreements, indirectly impacting crude markets. 4. How Traders React to Geopolitical Events Traders incorporate geopolitical risks into their strategies in multiple ways. Risk Premium When tensions rise, traders add a risk premium, lifting futures prices even without actual supply disruption. Flight to Safety Geopolitical risks often push investors toward safer assets like gold and US Treasuries. Oil prices can rise or fall depending on: Whether supply is threatened Whether demand is expected to drop due to recession fears Speculative Volatility Hedge funds use algorithms and strategies that react to news headlines, increasing short-term volatility. 5. Case Studies of Geopolitical Impact Saudi Aramco Drone Attack (2019) A coordinated drone attack in Saudi Arabia shut down 5% of global supply overnight. Brent crude spiked nearly 20%. Prices later stabilized, but the event showed how vulnerable global supply chains are. Russia–Ukraine War (2022) Fears of supply shortages drove prices above $120 per barrel. Sanctions reshaped global trade flows, and Europe struggled to find alternatives. Israel–Hamas Tensions While Israel is not a major producer, instability in the Middle East creates a psychological risk premium. 6. Conclusion: The Future of Crude Oil Prices in a Geopolitical World Crude oil will remain deeply affected by geopolitics for decades. As global tensions persist—from Middle Eastern conflicts to US-China rivalry—oil prices will continue experiencing rapid, unpredictable swings. While long-term trends like energy transition may reduce dependence on oil, geopolitical events will still dominate short-term price movements.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Education
by GlobalWolfStreet