UNF1! trade ideas
Stock Index Matrix; NQ, ES, YM Monthly UpdateThe August Non-Farm Payrolls report, due on Friday, is the centrepiece of the week and will follow a monthly private payrolls reading and job openings figures.
I am looking at the undervalued areas in price action when buying the stock indexes.
Monthly Nasdaq inefficiency: $22,582.00 - $22,083.00
Monthly S&P 500 Inefficiency:
$6,227.25 - $6,063.00
Monthly Dow Jones Inefficiency:
$43,911 - $42,999
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/3/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23387.75
- PR Low: 23335.25
- NZ Spread: 117.5
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | JOLTS Job Openings
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 9/3)
- Session Open ATR: 305.21
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 276K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ = September There are 4 candles which create 6 levels.
3 levels are found in Distribution Ranges. The other 3 found in Accumulation ranges.
A Range is 2 or more consecutive candles of the same color.
The first distribution candle in the range is referred to as the "BackSide" candle. This is because is it behind the FrontSide candle.
We mark the top of this candle (wick or body) with the horizontal ray tool,
color it based on the timeframe color code, label it BS for BackSide,
select the line type then organize it's visibility based on timeframe to keep chart scrolling neat. *part of mental analysis and have a clean chart, clean mind, clean desk while in the zone.
The last distribution candle in a range is the "FrontSide" candle. It contains the last two levels. We mark the top of the candle (wick or body) with the horizontal ray tool, label it FS for FrontSide, color it based on the timeframe color code, select the line type and timeframe visibility.
The SwingLow is marked with a horizontal ray tool on the bottom of the FrontSide candle. Mark the wick, not the body. These levels I only mark with solid lines because the represent the boundary of the range.
Once price gets inside a range, it likes to bounce inside of it, testing its fractal ranges on other timeframes. Sometimes we'll see a 4hr level bounce to a 4hr level. Othertime's price stops after a 4hr level at 1hr level (plus 1, minus 1 theory) maybe we'll see it this month.
Happy September
Nasdaq Futures (NQ) Double Correction Targets 22752 DownsideNasdaq Futures (NQ) display a bearish sequence with a lower low from the 13 August high, signaling potential for further declines. The decline from this peak is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. From the 13 August high, wave W concluded at 23035. The subsequent wave X rally formed a zigzag pattern, with wave ((a)) peaking at 23369.25 and wave ((b)) dipping to 23076.75. The Index then climbed in wave ((c)) to 23804.49, completing wave X.
The Index has since resumed its descent in wave Y, breaking below the wave W low at 23035, confirming the next downward leg. From wave X, wave (a) ended at 23370.5, followed by a wave (b) rally to 23509.5. The Index then continued lower in wave (c) to 23025.25, finalizing wave ((w)). Currently, wave ((x)) is underway, correcting the cycle from the 29 August high before the Index turns lower again. In the near term, as long as the pivot at 23804.49 remains intact, expect any rally to falter in a 3, 7, or 11 swing, leading to further downside. The projected target for wave Y lies between 22111.1 and 22752, based on the 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave W.
Thinking the impossibleIm thinking the impossible likeliness of NQ pushing higher testing 24000, before pulling back to create a leg down before moving higher again later. Sept & October is a possible red candle to allow long term buyers to buy at a lower price, perhaps similar to Feb and March pullback or perhaps not. The monthly candles are getting smaller during the past 2 months, which was also demonstrated in Feb and March. Price exhaustion based on a Demark 13 similar to Jun and July 24 before the pullback in August to October 24 adding the conviction of a probable pullback. Nobody can be certain what will happen in the future, just thinking the probable likeliness. Just an idea to ponder.
NASDAQ (NAS 100): Short Term Sells to the Weekly +FVG!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 1 - 5th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ failed to make a new ATH last week, indicating some weakness in the market. Frequently, Swing failures precede reversals, and this seems to be the case on the Daily TF.
Look for price to confirm bearish intent, as the sell side liquidity targets draw price down to the +FVG at 22.582.
A bullish BOS at current levels would invalidate this trade idea.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Futures - Commodities / Financial: Nasdaq case (MNQ)+ Strong overnight support zone / ask increasing in volume at the zone. Contrarian trade.
Standard approach:
Applying A+ setup, volume profile (high volume nodes, low volume nodes day and intra-day and possibly extended to swing probability), smart money concept, numerical volume buy/sell side. trend confirmation, tick charts.
NQ - Sept 2, 2025 - 11AMWere moving lower. Trend lines broke, strong selling overnight.
FUNDAMENTALS: ISM manufacturing came out weak, employment weak but prices were also lower which is a good sign for inflation. Thursday we will get ISM-Non manufacturing data & Friday we will get Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). This should let us know if we get a rate cut in September.
TECHNICALS: Trend lines all broke, were slowly grinding lower. NVIDIA has been seeing some profit taking since the last earnings a few days ago. Levels to watch in NQ! will be 23,000 and if we can break that, than 22,775.
Good trading!
NQ: 424th trading session - recapGood day today, atleast price action wasn't ugly - it just was not on my side. But that's OK since I am developing something and overall just expanding my knowledge - also gotta focus on the bulls obviously, since when I trade bearish identifying bullish movement and understanding it as well as I do twith the bears could help me making better decisions
NQ1! 4H Technical SnapshotNQ1! 4H Technical Snapshot
NQ1! is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle formation on the 4-hour timeframe.
The price is testing the Fib Golden Level (50-61.8% retracement) along with the ascending trendline, which serves as immediate confluent support.
The descending trendline above has acted as resistance, limiting upside momentum and defining the upper boundary of this consolidation.
Should current support break, further downside targets include the 'Good Support' zone around 23,000-23,100, followed by the 'Key Support' area near 22,800-22,900.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/2/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23509.50
- PR Low: 23461.00
- NZ Spread: 108.5
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Manufacturing Prices
Typical strong volume following long holiday weekend
- Contract expiration month
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 9/2)
- Session Open ATR: 297.15
- Volume: 114K
- Open Int: 279K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
$NQ_F $MNQ_F Trading Range for 9.2.25
Ok, so we are heading into tomorrow after the three day weekend a little bearish. Friday every candle printed red and the 35EMA is above us facing down so definitely look to that as resistance.
Nasdaq is more bearish than S&P, that 30min 200MA has already turned down so DEFINITELY note that level.
Volatility map on the right for tomorrow’s range. Let’s go, y’all. I have officially been converted into a futures trader so new regular ticker right here.
August 2025 pnl
This month I ran 3 algos on the micro futures (MES & MNQ).
Z-Score Strategies (MES + MNQ)
• 25 trades in total
• 60% win rate
• Net P/L: $294 after fees
→ These trades showed steady performance, leaning on consistency with solid risk/reward.
MNQ DVD Strategy
• 8 trades total
• 50% win rate
• Net P/L: $237 after fees
→ Fewer trades, but higher expectancy ($31 per trade) — when this one hits, it pays well.
📈 Takeaway:
The Z-Score setups gave more consistency, while the DVD algo added bigger pops per trade. Running them together balances steady gains with higher payoff opportunities.
NQ structure break down / bullish structure 4h time frame break down on NQ, respecting higher lows on the 4h signaling potential move towards all time high.
on the opposite bearish scenario, a 4h full body candle closing bellow 23,400 can signal a new lower low signaling a downtrend .
thank you for watching , let me know your thoughts
NQ – NFP Week Setup: Premium Distribution & Bearish IntentGoing into NFP week, the market is positioned in a premium array, trading above equilibrium. The recent attempt to push higher failed with a swing high left behind – an inducement that sets the tone. (a later target i would say)
We now have a buy-side rejection and displacement lower into sell side delivery. Price is hovering just up around equilibrium , with 2 inefficiencies overhead serving as potential rejection points.
I expect that the Bearish target will be taken close before or at NFP.
If Bullish target is taken first I would re-assess.