NQ Daily Outlook | November 11th, 2025NQ has been trading above the 50ema since the open of the weekly candle. I want to see price push higher Asia session. We had a choppy Asia session and NY morning session on yesterdays daily candle so I'm expecting a push higher on this new Daily open.
Bias: Bullish expecting Asia to push higher, lets see...
Trade ideas
NASDAQ-100 4H: demand is not gone, only waiting for the priceAfter the recent upward impulse, the price retraced into the key demand zone at 25 350–25 208, an area that has repeatedly triggered buying reactions in the past. T
he latest correction pushed the price into the 0.79–0.705 Fibonacci range, which frequently acts as a retest zone before continuation.
Below that lies an even stronger demand zone at 24 710–24 381, aligning with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and previous volume accumulation.
The trading logic here is simple: don’t chase the move, let the price come to demand and wait for confirmation.
As long as the market structure holds, the primary scenario remains bullish from demand zones with a target toward 26 360 and potentially higher.
Fundamentally, NASDAQ remains supported by expectations of softer Fed policy, strong tech capital inflows, and continued investment in AI, cloud, and data-center infrastructure. Smart money accumulates on corrections, not on peaks.
When price falls into demand, it’s not fear — it’s opportunity.
Trades with B – Daily Recap (Nov 10 2025)Ticker: QQQ / NQ1!
Strategy: ORB Pro with Filters + 5 min / 15 min Multi-Timeframe Confluence
Result: Green day ✅ (+$97.78 total gain)
🧭 Market Context
The market opened inside an early consolidation range with mixed momentum. The 5-minute chart gave the first confirmation through a clean ORB signal rejection, while the 15-minute held the higher-timeframe structure and kept the EMA slope intact.
The plan today was simple — trade the first valid signal from ORB Pro, confirm with the higher timeframe trend, and respect stops.
🎯 Trade Execution Recap
9:37 AM: First Call entry (ORB signal + fib retest) — caught the initial push before stall. + $172.94
9:44 AM: Locked profits on strength into EMA resistance.
11:14 AM: Put entry after ORB Pro signaled a short on the 5 min matching 15 min trend.
11:40 AM: Exit for + $194.94 after momentum follow-through.
Cumulative Options P/L:
QQQ $618 Put (11/10/25) → + $67.89
QQQ $621 Call (11/10/25) → + $29.89
Net: + $97.78
💡 What Went Right
Followed the ORB signal with confirmation from the higher-timeframe trend filter.
Perfect execution on the Put trade — clean entry and timely exit.
Didn’t overstay the welcome once the move completed.
⚠️ What to Improve
Stay patient for stronger confluence before taking early entries.
Avoid re-entries once price returns to mid-range (less edge after initial break).
🧘♂️ Reflection
“The 5 min showed me the trigger, the 15 min confirmed the story. ORB Pro did its job — I just had to listen.”
Long trade
15min TF overview
Pair / Contract: MNQ1! (Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures)
Date: Mon 3 Nov 2025
Session: Tokyo Session → Pre-Asia to London Transition
Direction: Buy-side Trade
Timeframe: 15 minutes
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 25 466.75
Take Profit (TP): 25 709.50 (+0.95 %)
Stop Loss (SL): 25 409.25 (–0.23 %)
Risk / Reward (RR): 3.14 R
🔹 Market Context
After a broad distribution → markdown sequence, price reached a high-volume imbalance zone near 24 900–25 000 — a previous accumulation base.
🧾The session opened with a liquidity sweep beneath prior low (24,875) → confirmed displacement above intraday structure.
🧾Multiple FVG patches stacked through 25 200–25 400 served as a refined entry trigger and confluence for continuation.
🧾Volume expansion into the retrace + KAMA flattening then uptick confirmed a shift in short-term bias to bullish.
🧾Target aligns with upper gap fill/supply zone ≈ 25 700 (level of previous imbalance).
🔹 Model Type
Accumulation → FVG Continuation Model
Displacement leg established structural BOS above 25,300.
Entry taken on retrace into discount FVG and breaker block confluence zone (25 460–25 420).
Price objective: recovery into the premium zone (gap-fill @ 25 700).
🔹 Execution Notes
Entry triggered after observing a clean MSB on the 5-minute chart, with confirmation of a candle close above KAMA. Stop set below FVG origin (25,409) to maintain a tight risk. Partial profits secured at 25,600 region before NY open volatility. Risk controlled with FVG-based entry for ~3 R return potential within the session window.
5min TF overview
🔹 Trade Narrative
This MNQ setup represents a reversal transition from a bearish liquidity flush into a controlled markup. The combination of volume absorption at the low, multiple FVG alignments, and a clear BOS confirm smart-money accumulation. With strong confluence from session timing and gap magnet at 25,700, this position targets a measured buyside retracement within a broader range-bound context.
NQ = NAS100Elite Strategy
NASDAQ (MNQ/NQ) – Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Price tapped into the 45-minute imbalance inside a 4H premium zone. The overall structure remains bearish, and the reaction confirms sellers defending this level.
Expecting continuation toward 25,300 and possibly 25,000 as the next liquidity zones.
Key confluence: 4H bearish structure + 45m FVG + liquidity grab on 5m.
📊 Educational analysis — not financial advice.
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Higher-Timeframe Context (4H Chart)
🔹 Overview
The 4H chart shows a clear bearish structure: lower highs and lower lows.
Price dropped aggressively from the 26,300–26,400 supply zone (blue).
The market then found strong demand at 24,800–25,000 (blue + gray confluence zone).
Current price is reacting to a 45-minute fair value gap (FVG) marked in red, sitting inside a bearish 4H imbalance.
🔹 Implications
The FVG at 25,550–25,600 represents a premium retracement level in a bearish leg.
This area is optimal for short-position entries as price taps into unmitigated imbalance.
Expectation: rejection → continuation toward 25,300 or lower, targeting the demand zone (24,900–25,000).
_______
Lower-Timeframe Confirmation (5-Minute Chart)
🔹 What’s happening now
Price just filled the 45-minute gap and reached the same supply zone.
Microstructure shows a slowdown + rejection wick from the red zone.
Potential entry trigger for short bias around 25,555–25,590.
Targets:
1st TP: 25,400 (internal liquidity)
2nd TP: 25,300 (structural low)
Stop-loss above 25,595 (above FVG).
🔹 Confluence
4H + 5M both align: bearish reaction at premium zone.
The liquidity buildup under 25,400 acts as the next target area.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/10/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25391.50
- PR Low: 25297.50
- NZ Spread: 210.0
No key scheduled economic events
Session Open Stats (As of 2:25 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 439.66
- Volume: 53K
- Open Int: 297K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -3.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26636
- Mid: 25410
- Short: 24039
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ / NASDAQ 100 Futures – Bullish & Bearish ScenariosNQ is currently sitting between a rising higher-timeframe trendline and a short-term descending trendline from the local top. Market is basically coiling — waiting for a direction.
Bullish Case
If buyers continue to defend the 24,850–24,950 swing low area and NQ can push back above the 25,580–25,640 zone, that would show the down-move was just a pullback into trendline support.
Break and hold above 25,640 opens the door to 25,900–26,000
Strength above 26,000 targets the previous supply zone near 26,200–26,350
Bullish structure stays valid as long as 24,850 holds.
Bearish Case
If price rejects at the descending trendline again and fails to reclaim 25,580–25,640, sellers are still in control short-term.
A breakdown below 24,850 followed by a weak retest would confirm the trendline failure.
First downside levels: 24,600, then 24,350
Losing 24,350 starts a deeper correction toward 24,000
Bears only gain real control below 24,850.
Bottom Line
The market is compressing. The real move comes on the break + retest of either:
25,640 to the upside → continuation long
24,850 to the downside → momentum shifts lower
No need to guess direction inside the wedge — react when one side wins.
NQ QuantSignals V3 Futures 2025-11-09NQ QuantSignals V3 Futures 2025-11-09
NQ Futures Signal | 2025-11-09
• Direction: SELL | Confidence: 70%
• Type: Index Futures | Timeframe: 1H
• Entry Range: $25175.00
• Target 1: $24800.00
• Stop Loss: $25450.00
• Volume vs Avg: 1.0×
• Recent Move: -2.11%
• ⚠️ MODERATE RISK WARNING: Consider reducing position size due to moderate confidence level.
⚖️ Compliance: Educational futures commentary for QS Premium. Not financial advice.
🚀 QS V3 ELITE FUTURES ANALYSIS
Generated: 2025-11-09 08:04:55 ET
Instrument: NQ ($25166.25)
Type: Index Futures
Trend: BEARISH
Confidence: 79.2%
Timeframe: 1H
Model: QS + Katy AI
Strictness: MEDIUM
🎯 TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Direction: SELL
Confidence: 70%
Conviction Level: MEDIUM
🧠 ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Katy AI Signal: Bearish with 69.2% confidence, predicting -2.11% decline to $24,635.68
Technical Analysis: Current price at $25,166.25 showing -2.11% decline, trading near session lows. Price action indicates sustained selling pressure with no gap to fill. The VWAP alignment suggests consistent selling throughout the session.
Macro & News: No major catalysts recently, allowing technical factors to dominate. Normal VIX at 19.08 indicates stable volatility environment favoring trend continuation.
Flow & Positioning: Options flow shows unusual activity at $20,000 strike with max volume calls, suggesting potential institutional hedging. Volume at 1.0x average indicates normal participation without panic selling.
Risk Level: MEDIUM - No economic catalysts creates cleaner technical play but requires monitoring for unexpected news flow.
💰 TRADE SETUP
Contract: NQ
Entry Price: $25,150 - $25,200
Take Profit 1: $24,800
Take Profit 2: $24,635
Stop Loss: $25,450
Position Size: 2 contracts (moderate conviction with tight risk parameters)
⚡ COMPETITIVE EDGE
Why This Trade: Strong alignment between Katy AI's high-confidence bearish predictio
Image
QS Analyst
APP
— 8:04 AM
n and recent price action decline creates a cohesive short bias opportunity.
Timing Advantage: Entry during Globex session allows positioning before potential institutional flow during regular hours. Katy's prediction shows consistent downward pressure over next 120 periods.
Risk Mitigation: Tight stop loss at $25,450 provides 1:2.5 risk/reward ratio. Staggered take profits lock in gains while allowing for extended move.
🚨 IMPORTANT NOTES
Monitor for any unexpected news catalysts that could reverse technical bias
Katy prediction shows some volatility between Nov 11-12 with temporary rebounds before resuming decline
Options flow at extreme strikes ($20,000) suggests hedging activity that may indicate institutional caution
Normal VIX levels support trend continuation but watch for volatility spikes above 22
⚠️ KATY CONFLICT EXPLANATION
No Conflict Detected: My analysis fully aligns with Katy AI's bearish prediction. The technical decline of -2.11%, normal volatility environment, and lack of bullish catalysts all support the short bias. Katy's 69.2% confidence rating and consistent downward trajectory throughout the prediction horizon provide strong directional conviction.
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊
🎯 Instrument: NQ
🔀 Direction:
💵 Entry Price: 25175.00
🎯 Profit Target: 24800.00
🛑 Stop Loss: 25450.00
📏 Size: N/A
📈 Confidence: 70%
⏰ Entry Timing: N/A
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-11-09 11:04:51 EST
⚠️ MODERATE RISK WARNING: Consider reducing position size due to moderate confidence level.
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QS V3 Futures Strategy System - Professional futures trading with Katy AI intelligence.
FVG & ORB5-Minute ORB + FVG Day-Trading Playbook (ES/NQ)
What you need
Platform: TradingView for markup; your execution platform (e.g., TopstepX / your broker) for orders.
Chart: ES (S&P 500 futures) or NQ (Nasdaq futures). Timeframe: 5 minutes.
Indicators:
Volume
Fair Value Gap
Key Levels (15-Min/5-Min Opening Range, New York Session or London)
Chicago time (your local): NY cash open is 8:30 a.m. CT. The “US evening reopen” (the Globex reopen) is 5:00 p.m. CT (use with caution; liquidity can be thin).
The strategy in one page
1) Define the Opening Range
Use the first 5-minute bar after the NY cash open (8:30:00–8:34:59 CT).
Mark ORH = that bar’s high, ORL = that bar’s low.
2) Direction filter = FVG
Bearish setup: Price breaks below ORL, and there is a bearish FVG nearby that has not been fully filled.
Bullish setup: Price breaks above ORH, and there is a bullish FVG nearby that has not been fully filled.
If an FVG fills/invalidates immediately after the break, skip the trade.
3) Entry
Enter on the break (or on a tiny retrace back to the level) in the FVG direction:
Below ORL with a short bias when a bearish FVG stands.
Above ORH with a long bias when a bullish FVG stands.
4) Stop & Target (bracket)
Stop: default at the opposite OR level (conservative).
Short below ORL → stop just above ORL (or the nearest invalidation level if tighter is justified).
Long above ORH → stop just below ORH.
Target: aim for 2R (risk:reward = 1:2), close above half, and trail the rest.
Example: If your stop is 10 ES points (=$500 per contract), target 20 ES points (=$1,000 per contract).
5) Risk per trade
Pick a fixed dollar risk that protects your account limits. With a $50k evaluation & ~$2,000 trailing max loss, many traders use $100–$300 per trade and micros (MES/MNQ) to scale precisely.
Contract & tick quick-ref
ES: 1 point = $50 (tick = 0.25, $12.50/tick)
NQ: 1 point = $20 (tick = 0.25, $5/tick)
MES (micro ES): 1 point = $5
MNQ (micro NQ): 1 point = $2
Sizing example, with MES (conservative)
You want a max loss of $200~300.
Signal requires 4 ES points to stop (=$200/contract).
Trade 1 ES or 4 MES (same risk), target 8 ES points for 2R.
Exact checklist (print this)
Pre-market
Chart on 5m, session = New York.
Mark ORH / ORL after the first 5-min bar closes.
Confirm bias by FVG: bullish FVG above / bearish FVG below, still unfilled.
News/Volatility check (FOMC/CPIs/major earnings): be extra cautious or skip.
Entry
Price breaks ORH/ORL in the same direction as the FVG.
No immediate fulfillment of that FVG.
Place bracket: Stop at opposite OR level (or clear invalidation), Target = 2R.
Manage
Set-and-forget if you struggle with tinkering.
If it snaps back and fully fills the FVG, early flattening is allowed by your rules (consistency > perfection).
No averaging losers.
Post-trade
Journal the screenshot, OR values, FVG state, R multiple, and any deviation from the plan.
When to skip
The first break immediately reverses and fully fills the FVG.
The OR is abnormally wide; the stop would exceed your risk budget.
Chop: multiple whipsaws through ORH/ORL within a few bars.
Event risk minutes away (e.g., CPI/FOMC); spreads/volatility unpredictable.
Low volume conditions (late sessions, holidays), unless your data says you have an edge there.
A realistic take on funded accounts & pacing
Evaluations often have daily loss, trailing drawdown, and max position rules. Treat the trailing specifically as if it’s glued to your closed PnL high-water mark—don’t let one impulsive add blow the account.
Keep resets rare by capping loss/day (e.g., 1–2R). One clean 2R win can offset two 1R losses.
Micros let you keep your exact dollar risk steady as the OR width changes day to day.
Routines that help
Two windows: TradingView (markup) and Execution DOM/ladder. Copy ORH/ORL and draw a rectangle for the FVG if your execution platform lacks the indicator.
Auto-brackets: pre-define your $ risk and 2R target so every entry is consistent.
Two sessions max: NY opens first; optionally, the US evening reopens (5:00 p.m. CT) only if your data says you have positive expectancy there.
Trade less, filter more: It’s normal to get 2–3 quality trades/week. No setup → no trade.
A compact rules card (copy/paste)
Timeframe: 5m. Levels: First 5-min bar → ORH/ORL.
Filter: Trade only with an unfilled FVG in the same direction as the OR break.
Entry: Break of ORH (long) or ORL (short).
Invalidation: FVG fully filled right after break → stand down/exit.
Stop: Opposite OR level (or nearest structure that truly invalidates).
Target: 2R.
Risk: Fixed $ per trade; use micros to fit the plan.
Daily max: 1–2R down → stop for the day.
Journal every trade (screenshot + R result + notes).
Journal template (quick)
Date / Ticker / Session (NY/Evening)
ORH / ORL values; OR width (points)
FVG direction & location (filled? unfilled?)
Entry price & rationale (break + FVG alignment)
Stop (points/$), Target (points/$), Size (contracts)
Outcome (R): __
Did I follow the plan? Y/N (what deviated?)
Screenshot link
Guardrails (important)
“Making money in days” is possible but not typical; survivorship bias is real. Your edge is strict filtering + small, repeatable risk + patience.
Commissions/slippage matter—micros help sizing but raise the per-rake cost %; include this in your journaling.
Don’t scale to full contracts until your live track record shows consistency over at least 20–30 trades following the exact rules.
Screener:
www.tradingview.com
NQ NY Session Weekly Recap | November 2–7, 2025This 1hr chart with my EMAs 5, 10, 50 clearly show that as soon as price started to trade below the EMAs on Monday we started to fall and the 1hr timeframe kept trending below the EMAs where we could of had some great opportunities for shorts. Trading does not have to be complicated when you are following the trend.
The session indicator shows NY session 9:30am EST to 12pm where you find your opportunities to the downside.
#202545 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-miniGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: There is not much difference in my outlook compared to dax. This trend is steeper but it also bounced at expected support. Only a bear surprise could give us a third leg down. By bear surprise I mean staying below 25500 and making new lows early next week. The channel is clear and staying in it the most probable path forward next week.
current market cycle: bull trend (higher tf / weekly/monthly) and bear trend (4h/daily)
key levels for next week: 24700 - 25600
bull case: Every dip is heavily bought. That has not changed and so bulls bought where they had to. Now they want a re-test of the daily 20ema around 25460 and the bear trend line a bit higher. Friday’s reversal was strong enough that I expect at least 25400 and we could go for 25500 or even 25600. Above that my bearish thesis is wrong and there is no reason not to print a new ath.
Invalidation is below 24709.
bear case: For now it’s tough to see how this is getting rejected below 25400 to have a decent chance of a third leg. The higher we go, the less likely it will be but the bear trend line is valid until broken. For now my best guess is that we will go sideways for longer. Probably something between 24500 - 25600. For next week I want to see a move to 25400/25500 and then wait for a reaction from the bears.
Invalidation is above 25600.
short term: Slightly bullish for a bit higher before hoping for a rejection from the bears and another leg down - hopefully for 24000 but that’s a bit much for next week only.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-02: Market went further in the wrong direction so my targets become increasingly unrealistic. Right now the 50% retracement is 21750 and would mean a 18% drop. That’s a bit too much to ask for as of now. 23150 is the breakout-retest of the prior ath from 2024-12 and a more realistic target.
NQ consolidate US government shutdown and stock price overheat become downward issues. technically weekly chart show stochastic and candlestick pattern potensial make price going down for a few week ahead.
price will consolidation between last high and strong support. will see price next movement later
NQ Weekly Recap | November 2–7, 2025Hey everyone, this is the 1-hour chart. It shows the big picture of where price is going. We also use the 5-minute and 1-minute charts to find the exact spot to get in and put our stop loss nice and tight.This week NQ started around 26,400 and just kept falling, falling, falling… all the way down to 25,226. That’s over 1,100 points straight down! Price made a big rounded top (like a hill), then broke lower and never looked back. Every time it tried to bounce a little, the bounce was weak and got sold right away. Bears were in full control. Why was this so easy to trade? Because we only traded WITH the trend. Rule #1 for beginners: the trend is your friend. Going against it is hard. Going with it is like floating downstream instead of swimming upstream. Here’s exactly what we did every day in the New York session: Tuesday: price broke the last low (break of structure), we shorted the small bounce back.
Wednesday: another break lower, shorted the bounce again.
Thursday: opened with a gap down, jumped in on the 5-minute chart and rode it.
Friday: price sped up into the close, took the last piece on the 1-minute chart.
We never guessed. We waited for a clear break, shorted the weak bounce, put stop above the old low, and let the move run. Simple. If you’re new: stick to the 1-hour for direction, drop to 5-minute or 1-minute to pull the trigger. Trade with the trend. That’s it. Still no sign of bulls taking over. Trend is down until price proves otherwise.
Government ShutdownGaps all the way down to the 18k's on MNQ are evident since the occurences.News creates direction of the market's bias. We shall see 18k's again. Mark my words! That's why Robert Kiyosaki says BUY GOLD. and the stochastics are on the verge of breaking down to the 20's so thats a slight confirmation, we just need to break the first area of resistance that the 11.7 candle printed with the death doji
Trades with B – Daily Recap (Nov 7, 2025) "Lesson Learned"Ticker: QQQ / NQ1!
Strategy: ORB Pro + Fib Confluence + EMA Trend Filters
Result: Small red day – self-inflicted
🧭 Market Context
Today’s price action gave a clear short opportunity during the mid-morning fade, but momentum stalled mid-session. The first entries lined up beautifully with the ORB breakdown and EMA confluence, offering solid profits early on.
Where it fell apart was after the first wins — I overstayed, chasing secondary flushes that never came. The market started to base, and I kept expecting continuation instead of taking what the chart gave me.
📉 Trade Summary
Multiple put entries between $601–$602 levels
Early trades locked quick gains (+$271.94, +$159.94)
Gave back a chunk re-entering late into chop
Final P/L across contracts: -$205.66 total
Cumulative Options P/L breakdown:
QQQ $602.50 07 Nov 25 Put – +$51.89
QQQ $575 10 Nov 25 Put – -$4.11
QQQ $598 07 Nov 25 Put – -$57.11
QQQ $601 07 Nov 25 Put – -$196.33
💡 Lessons & Takeaways
The first clean move is often the best move. Don’t overcomplicate a confirmed win.
Late-day trades = low probability. Volume dries up, conviction fades.
Protect the capital, not the ego. There’s no “making up” missed points — only protecting what’s already earned.
🧘♂️ Reflection
“The setup worked, but I didn’t. I tried to extract more from a move that was already complete. Next time, once my target hits, I’m walking away.”






















