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Nasdaq 100 Eyes New ATH if CPI Undershoots ExpectationsUSNAS100 – Overview The Nasdaq will trade under CPI pressure today, with volatility expected around the release. 📉 Bearish scenario: While below 23,870, momentum favors a move toward 23,695, with further downside risk to 23,510 → 23,280. 📈 Bullish scenario: A reversal and stabilization above 23,870–23,940 would open the path toward 24,090 and a new ATH near 24,240. ⚠️ CPI impact: Below 2.9% → supports bullish continuation for indices. Above 2.9% → likely triggers bearish momentum. Key Levels Pivot: 23,870 Resistance: 24,090 – 24,240 Support: 23,695 – 23,510 – 23,280
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SroshMayi
Beyond the Chart – NAS100 Through Technicals & Fundamentals⚖️ CAPITALCOM:US100 Fundamental Impact today • The core driver is the US CPI (inflation) + Unemployment Claims at 3:30 pm. • Expect increased volatility on NAS100 around that time: • ✅ Lower CPI + weaker jobs → Bullish NAS100 (rate cut hopes). • ❌ Higher CPI + strong jobs → Bearish NAS100 (higher for longer Fed). 1. Bearish Continuation (Main Scenario) • Rejection from the bearish FVG + BB zone → downside continuation. • Targeting: • 23,750 short-term liquidity sweep. • Then 23,700–23,650 (discount FVG). • Extended target: 23,540 (major discount PD array). 2. Deeper Retracement / Liquidity Sweep (Alternative Scenario) • Price might push slightly above the bearish FVG / BB zone (~23,900–23,930) to sweep late shorts. • Then reversal down, same targets as scenario 1. 3. Bullish Recovery (Less Likely for Now) • If price reclaims above 23,950–24,000, structure shifts bullish again. • Potential revisit of 24,100+ liquidity above the HH. ⸻ ⚖️ Bias • For now, bias is bearish unless 23,950–24,000 is broken with strength. • Volume histogram also shows selling momentum increasing after the rejection.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by iamtradingdon
NASDAQ to 26,000 before year end - September, 2025No doubt this idea will be controversial as a majority of ideas published on the platform call for a bearish outlook. Earlier this year paper hands were flushed out of the market on tariff scares. They couldn’t exit the market fast enough, some didn’t actually know why they were selling as emotions were in full control. Today those same traders and investors sit in cash as they wait for an opportunity to buy in. Others betting heavily against the trend for Armageddon. All the while the market grinds upwards and onwards. Two very simple questions everyone must ask when entering or betting against the market: 1. What is the trend? 2. Support and resistance, which is it? You cannot maintain a bearish bias should you answer both of those questions positively. That’s emotion. Do you find yourself scanning lower timeframes to look for bias confirmation? You'd be in majority then. Notice how many published ideas you see operating in the 15 and 30 minute charts with 2 to 3 month forecasts? Always makes me smile, but it will not change the facts of the chart. The Trend Higher lows are evident on the daily chart below, marked out in black. The trend is your friend until the end. Support & resistance Look left. On the daily chart we can see multiple support tests with confirmation on past resistance. If the levels do not at first appear, zoom out using a higher timeframe. A majority will zoom in instead to confirm bias, that’s a red flag. The Put / Call ratio Retail traders are aggressive in their attempts to “short” this market. Nowhere is that more evident than the Put/Call ratio. Anytime you see dumb money move the put call ratio to 90 and above, the market rips. Just recently short sellers moved the ratio beyond this level. The chart below provides a comparison with the NDX to show what happens next. The rally that follows will typically last up to 2 months on average after this signal. Why 26000? The market entered price discovery after the previous all time high breakout of 22k. The forecast area was previously published, see linked ideas. The same conditions that allowed those forecasts now repeat. In addition the Fibonacci extensions; the NDX repeatably rallies to the 1.618 extension after each and every emotional flush out. It’s a gift horse of an opportunity. Previous years: Conclusion Markets climb walls of worry, and this moment is no different. The loudest voices today call for collapse, but the charts, price action, and sentiment data are telling another story entirely. Higher lows, confirmed support, extreme put/call ratios, and Fibonacci extensions all align with one clear outcome: continuation. A move to 26,000 on the NASDAQ before year-end is not a wild stretch of imagination, but the logical conclusion of repeating market behaviour. Every emotional flush out has historically created the runway for price discovery to the 1.618 extension, and this time is no different. If you’re betting against the trend, you’re not fighting the market, you’re fighting math, structure, and history. The bears may dominate headlines but that just News. The market is not listening to fear. It’s grinding higher, and the destination is 26,000. Ww
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by without_worries
1
NAS100 – Liquidity Sweep & Short Setup (1H + 15M Scaling)After an aggressive bullish run, NAS100 swept last week’s high and immediately shifted structure (ChoCH). This confirms external liquidity has been taken and market sentiment is turning bearish. 🔎 Trade Narrative 1. Liquidity Sweep → Last week’s high taken. 2. ChoCH → Order flow shifted bearish after sweep. 3. POIs in Play: 1H Supply Zone → First entry short (early exposure, confirmation). 15M Refined POI → Sell limit placed (precision scaling inside the 1H zone). 4. Target → Previous Day’s Low (PDL) as the next liquidity pool. 📐 Execution Plan Entry 1: Short from 1H POI ✅ Entry 2: Sell limit at refined 15M POI ✅ Stop Loss: Above 1H supply sweep candle. Take Profit: Previous Day’s Low (PDL). Risk Management: Total risk capped at 1% across both entries. 🧠 Institutional Logic Scaling entries across HTF + LTF zones provides: Higher TF confirmation ✅ Lower TF precision ✅ Blended entry for better RR ✅ ⚖️ Bias: Bearish Targeting PDL unless price structure shifts bullish again.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by BFUFX_MARKETS
2
NSDQ100 Bullish breakout support at 23500Key Developments US labor market revisions: BLS cut payrolls by -911k through March 2025, implying weaker labor conditions than thought. Markets took it in stride, with rate cut pricing steady at ~27bps for next week (-1.5bps on day). Fed outlook: Treasury Secretary Bessent urged recalibration of policy, echoing Trump’s criticism of “choking off growth.” Governor Lisa Cook remains in her role after a court blocked Trump’s attempt to remove her, ensuring full FOMC participation next week. Geopolitics: Middle East: Israel’s strike on Hamas leaders in Qatar drew criticism from Trump, seen as not aiding conflict resolution. Europe: Poland shot down drones from a Russian strike on Ukraine, escalating tensions with Moscow. Market Takeaways Payroll downgrades confirm a weaker labor backdrop but don’t materially change Fed cut expectations for September. Political noise around the Fed could fuel uncertainty, but markets are treating it as background risk. Geopolitical tensions remain elevated but had limited immediate market impact. Conclusion for Nasdaq 100 The Nasdaq 100 is likely to remain steady to slightly supported: Weaker labor revisions reduce concerns about overheating, reinforcing the Fed cut narrative. Limited geopolitical spillover into tech equities so far. Bond yields and Fed pricing, not payroll revisions, remain the key driver. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24200 Resistance Level 2: 24380 Resistance Level 3: 24600 Support Level 1: 23500 Support Level 2: 23320 Support Level 3: 23125 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
US100 - New Highs are coming!Market Context The US100 is trading within a strong bullish structure after bouncing from a well-defined support zone. Price has been respecting key levels on the way up, forming fair value gaps (FVGs) that act as stepping stones for continuation. The overall picture points to a market that is building momentum for a potential liquidity grab higher. Support Zone & Initial Rally The chart shows a strong support zone at the lows, which provided the foundation for the current bullish impulse. Once price tapped into this area, buyers stepped in aggressively, leaving behind multiple bullish imbalances on the way up. This confirms that institutional interest is present at these levels. Fair Value Gaps & Structural Strength On the rally, price created overlapping FVGs, including a bullish fair value gap and an inversion fair value gap (IFVG). Importantly, candles never closed below the primary FVG — reinforcing its validity as strong demand. This means that even if price retraces, these areas will be closely watched for re-entries. Liquidity Grab & Next Move Above current price action lies a clear buy-side liquidity (BSL) level. The market is likely to target this zone, either directly from current levels or after a retest into the stacked FVGs. A liquidity sweep above the highs would be the natural continuation of the bullish structure, unlocking the potential for new short-term highs. Final Thoughts The US100 is showing a textbook bullish setup: strong support, healthy retracements, and unmitigated FVGs acting as demand. As long as the lower support holds, the expectation remains for a run into the BSL above. If this analysis brought value, drop a like — and let me know: are you waiting for the retest, or do you think the market runs the highs straight away?
FX:NAS100Long
by Louigi_24
38
NAS100 - Trading Zones and Market SentimentZone 1 – 23,926 – 23,943 This is a critical resistance area sitting just below the all-time high. Sellers are likely positioned here, making it a strong zone for potential rejection. A clean breakout and successful retest, however, would flip the zone into demand and open the path toward fresh highs. Zone 2 – 23,854 – 23,880 Formed around recent consolidation and breakout structure. Buyers are expected to defend this zone on pullbacks, creating potential long opportunities. If broken decisively, it could turn into resistance, signaling weakening momentum. Zone 3 – 23,782 – 23,798 A deeper demand level aligned with prior absorption and intraday lows. Likely to attract liquidity sweeps and sharp reactions on first touch. A failure here would shift control back to sellers and suggest a larger corrective move. Sentiment in US100 Today: Between Optimism and Caution Retail investors pull back from most Big Tech, except Nvidia and Palantir. According to Charles Schwab’s STAX activity, retail investors have generally reduced exposure to large-cap tech stocks, with the exception of Nvidia and Palantir, which both saw significant net buying. This points to rising risk appetite, particularly toward select growth names in the tech sector. Job revision data weakens the economy, but keeps rate expectations alive. Wall Street remains subdued but continues to lean on the likelihood of a Fed rate cut, after job growth was revised down by nearly 1 million over the past 12 months. Conclusion: Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously optimistic, driven by a strong tech sector and dovish Fed expectations but the foundation is fragile, especially in light of weaker economic signals.
FPMARKETS:US100
by Kathrine_Sofie
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 9 September 2025 - Nasdaq-100 reversed from the support area - Likely to rise to resistance level 24500.00 Nasdaq-100 index recently reversed up from the support area between the pivotal support level 23000.00 (which has been reversing the price from July), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from June. The upward reversal from this support zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer – which started the active impulse wave iii. Given the clear daily uptrend, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 24000.00 (top of wave 3), the breakout of which can lead to further gains toward 24500.00.
IG:NASDAQLong
by FxProGlobal
NASDAQ WILL FALL TO 22400 end even moreSo the economy in the US is weakening with every DATA released daily...this is not an easy situation for the FED to cut rates... the dollar is rising, although it should have fallen with anticipation that the FED cuts rates, gold is falling, oil prices are skyrocketing, US10Ys is on the rise... Just to make sure you get me right, I am not mixing Nasdaq with economy, BUT, do not forget about FED and about MONEY which is borrowed with high rate in the hope of rate cut...now imagine what would happen if the next DATA, namely PCE and PCI come hotter, and i am pretty sure it will...all that borrowed "expensive" (with current rates) money will be dumped out of window...and that money sits ALSO in stock market, crypto, Gold etc... Trading is not always about higher highs or technical trendlines; it is also about geopolitics, the economy, and monetary policy... By the way, the current uptrend, which started from 22980 on Friday the 22nd of August, is broken today...another indicator for the upcoming bearish explosion
IG:NASDAQShort
by Hayk_Petrosyan
4
NAS100 (Nasdaq) Key Levels and Probable Draw on LiquidityA clear bullish market structure driven by an aggressive upward displacement. This energetic move to the upside has created several price inefficiencies, or gaps, which are areas where price delivery was one sided. Currently, price is consolidating in a premium range, above the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg. The logical draw on liquidity, or the ultimate target for this bullish momentum, is the distinct old high labeled as the "d cisd level" (Daily change in the state of delivery). The market is likely reaching for this level to clear out any resting buy side orders. ‍ Before reaching that ultimate target, a retracement is a high probability event. Price may pull back to rebalance the inefficiency at the "4h cisd level", which should now act as a significant support area. This would represent a move back into a relative discount, offering a more favorable entry for buyers aiming for the highs. Should this level fail, a deeper retracement into the larger green zone labeled "OTE" would signify an optimal entry point within the overall bullish leg. The narrative remains bullish as long as these key lower levels of support are respected. The alternative path would likely have led to chasing price in a premium, resulting in a poor risk to reward entry. PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by TradeConfirmed
USNAS100 Holds Above 23,690 – Bulls Eye 23,870 ATHUSNAS100 – Overview The Nasdaq 100 remains in bullish momentum while trading above the pivot at 23,690, with the next target near the ATH at 23,870. Technical Outlook: 📈 As long as price holds above 23,690, bullish momentum is expected toward 23,860 → 23,940 → 24,090. 📉 A confirmed 1H close below 23,690 would shift bias bearish, opening the way to 23,600 → 23,500 → 23,280. Key Levels: Pivot: 23,690 Resistance: 23,860 – 23,940 – 24,090 Support: 23,600 – 23,500 – 23,280
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi