MARKETS week ahead: October 6 - 12Last week in the news
Despite the federal government “shutdown” delaying key economic data, equity investors pushed markets higher, seemingly focusing more on earnings and tech optimism than macro news. The S&P 500 reached the new all-time highest level at 6.750, despite some pullback on week-end. The government shutdown increased demand for both real and alternative safe-haven assets, in which sense gold reached new highest levels at $3.894, while the price of BTC was also pushed toward levels above the $123K. The US Treasury yields are waging a potential Fed rate cut in October, closing the week at 4,11%.
The most important macro indicators, NFP and Unemployment data for September have not been posted during the week, due to the US government “shutdown”. The event was triggered by Congress’s failure to pass a funding bill. Over 800,000 workers were left unpaid, and many agencies scaled back operations. With no agreement so far, the shutdown continues and there’s currently no announced date for when Congress will pass the funding bill.
The value of Palantir fell around 7,5% during the previous week after an internal U.S. Army memo flagged “fundamental security” flaws in a battlefield communications system. The memo states the system lacks proper access controls, logging, and verification of software integrity, and that third-party applications integrated into it carry severe vulnerabilities. Palantir disputed the claims, saying the issues were addressed and that no vulnerabilities were found in its core platform; they argued the memo reflected an outdated snapshot of the project.
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, speaking at Italian Tech Week in Turin, Italy, warned that a market pullback is likely ahead, probably within the period of next two years. He noted that current valuations appear stretched and urged investors to prepare for increased volatility. Despite the recent rally in equities, Solomon expressed doubts about its long-term sustainability. His comments reflect broader concerns about overheated markets and rising downside risks.
Quantum computing is becoming a key focus for investors as companies like Rigetti Computing and D-Wave gain attention for their advances in quantum hardware and algorithms. The technology promises transformative potential across sectors—from finance to materials science—and is seen as a frontier for long-term growth. Investors are closely watching which firms will emerge as leaders in the race to build scalable, fault-tolerant quantum systems. As the hype evolves into practical breakthroughs, market sentiment could shift rapidly around these quantum names.
Robinhood has begun listing Strategy’s Bitcoin-backed preferred shares, including STRC, opening up new structured yield products for retail investors. These instruments aim to offer monthly dividends with varying risk profiles, bridging traditional finance and crypto investment.
Walmart-backed fintech OnePay plans to let users buy, hold, and convert Bitcoin and Ether in its finance app by year-end. The crypto features will be powered by infrastructure from Zerohash, aligning OnePay with platforms like Venmo, Cash App, and PayPal.
CRYPTO MARKET
The crypto market saw strong momentum last week, shaped by weaker private-sector jobs data and ongoing political uncertainty from the U.S. government shutdown, both of which fueled appetite for risk assets. Analysts noted that recent gains across digital assets appear to be driven by genuine institutional inflows and long-term holder accumulation, rather than speculative leverage. Overall, crypto markets reflected increased confidence in the sector's resilience during uncertain macroeconomic conditions. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 10% for the week, adding total $373B to its market cap. Daily trading volumes increased during the week to the level of $350B on a daily basis, from $320B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +27%, with a total funds inflow of $870B.
Major coins surged strongly during the week, however, the absolute winner of the week was ZCash. This coin surged by an incredible 200% in one moment, however, ending the week with an increased price of 156% w/w. Such a strong demand for this coin was impacted by a launch of a ZCash Trust for accredited investors by Grayscale fund, framing ZEC as a privacy-focused Bitcoin analog. The rising demand for privacy in the face of surveillance and CBDC discussions pushed renewed attention to ZCash's zero-knowledge proof technology. Back to majors - BTC and ETH performed extremely well during the week, where both had a surge of more than 11%. BTC attracted $246B of fresh funds flow, while ETH gained $54B. Solana managed to add 12% to its value, while BNB gained 17.8% w/w. DASH was another coin with great performance of +43% during the week. Almost all altcoins mark a green week.
Considering circulating coins, Solana, Stellar and Filecoins increased the number of their coins on the market by 0,3% each, during the week. Algorand, XRP, DASH and DOGE increased their coins by 0,1% w/w.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market advanced strongly over the week, as both BTC and ETH futures posted consistent gains across the curve. Sentiment among traders turned more constructive, supported by renewed demand for longer-dated contracts.
BTC futures rose between 11,6% and 12,63% w/w, with the sharpest gains concentrated in the near-term maturities. Contracts maturing in October 2025 led the advance, closing at $123.635. Prices followed a steadily upward trajectory along the curve, reaching $134.470 for March 2027. This marked the highest level ever recorded for BTC futures, underscoring the growing confidence in longer-term instruments.
ETH futures also posted broad-based increases, rising between 11,95% and 12,26% across maturities. October 2025 closed the week at $4.553, while March 2027 settled at $5.054. Despite the solid performance, ETH futures did not reach new highs, with the peak of $5.347 still standing from August this year. The curve nonetheless retained its upward slope, pointing to sustained expectations of gradual recovery.
Trade ideas
Bitcoin Makes New All Time Highs!Bitcoin dominance is being observed as its lifting the crypto market.
We just briefly saw BTC make new intra day all time highs, but its has yet to close on the daily chart above the previous all time high.
Short traders will be using the recent daily topping tail as a level to short against.
Long traders will be using the 7MA to buy the dip.
If we close above the daily topping tail it does suggest we are heading to 129k - 130k.
This would be one nasty double top of it turns out to be a liquidity sweep.
Crypto stocks tomorrow will likely gap up...watch for clues intra day. Will they hold their gains or see selling / reversals?
TOTAL vs BTC – Third Test at Fib ResistanceBoth TOTAL and BTC are testing the same thing today:
the Fib resistance, now on the third attempt.
Price action is coiling right under this key level, and today’s close might finally tell us which way we’re heading.
Until then, about 12 hours of speculation left: unless price decides to run both directions first (because why not, it’s crypto).
Key notes:
Fib resistance zone tested 3 times
BTC and TOTAL showing identical structures
Daily close = potential trigger
Breakout could open the path for continuation
Failure means short-term pullback or range
Bias:
Cautiously bullish, market structure still favors upside, but confirmation needs a daily close above Fib resistance.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
IS ALT SEASON DEAD? ALTCOIN ANALYSIS REQUEST OCTOBER 2025Family, October is here, and with it comes one of the most important request windows of the year. We are at the closing edge of the 4-year cycle, a stage where altcoins either break into expansion or get left behind in liquidity drains. This makes our selection for this month even more crucial.
📌 Submission Deadline: October 3rd, 2025
📌 Target Coins: 30 slots only
📌 Requirements:
Must have strong liquidity and clear trading structure
Projects showing sustainable narratives or active ecosystem growth
Avoid dead/illiquid tokens serious suggestions only
As usual, every coin dropped will be screened, but only those aligning with the cycle context and technical framework will proceed into full analysis. The goal is simple: position ourselves where the rotation wave will likely strike as BTC finalizes its dominance move and liquidity begins flowing into alts.
🚨 Remember: history has shown that these late-cycle positioning months often define the true winners going into the next expansion. Let’s keep the list sharp, high quality, and cycle-aware.
Drop your suggestions now, October is not the month to hesitate.
DROP OR POP?The crypto market has pumped, but for me nothing has changed.
I’m still holding my shorts on Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP, based on the analysis I’ve shared in my previous videos.
Here’s what I cover in this update:
- Total market cap structure and why I expect a roll over
- BTC short position outlook and possible upside first
- XRP short setup and why I’m staying patient
- The risk of chasing short-term pumps
This isn’t financial advice — it’s about sticking to the plan, trusting the edge, and not getting shaken out by short-term moves.
👉 Do you think this pump is real continuation, or just a trap before the big roll over? Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #XRP #CryptoTrading #ICTTrading #CryptoMarketUpdate
MARKETS week ahead: September 29 – October 7Last week in the news
U.S. PCE data for August were in the spotlight of investors interest during the previous week, which shaped investors sentiment and trading decisions. The US equity markets modestly corrected, where S&P 500 touched the lowest level at 6.565, however ended the week at 6.643. The price of gold reached another all time highest level at $3.790, but eased till the end of the week to $3.760. The US yields also reacted to PCE data, with a move toward the 4,18% level. The crypto market had a corrective week, where BTC dipped down toward levels below the $110K.
The key U.S. economic release of the week was the August PCE Price Index, which rose 0.3% month-over-month, bringing the annual rate to 2.7%, in line with market expectations. Core PCE, excluding food and energy, slowed to 0.2% for the month and 2.9% y/y. Personal income rose by 0.4%, while personal spending increased by 0.6% in August. In addition, the final Q2 GDP growth rate came in at 3.8%, beating expectations of 3.3% and reflecting strong economic momentum. As per CME Fed WatchTool investors are continuing to perceive two more rate cuts till the end of this year.
The US President Trump proposed a 100% tariff on imported pharmaceuticals effective October 1, but allowed exemptions for companies that had begun building U.S. manufacturing plants. The tariff does not apply to companies that are actively building US drug manufacturing plants. The rationale is to incentivize onshoring of pharmaceutical production and reduce reliance on foreign supply chains. Several European pharma firms, like Novo Nordisk, Roche, and Novartis, saw stock declines, as investors weighed how exposed they would be to the tariff.
News is reporting that Chinese stocks have posted strong gains this year, fueled largely by renewed foreign and domestic investor interest in tech, AI, and innovation sectors. Analysts highlight the market’s momentum being driven by policies supporting chip development, optimism over regulation, and favorable valuations that are attracting capital. Foreign investment flows into Chinese equities have increased, while domestic investors are reallocating toward secular growth themes over property or stimulus plays. Still, concerns remain over narrow market breadth, lofty valuations, and whether the rally can sustain itself amid global uncertainty.
The U.S. government is reportedly considering a mandate that would force semiconductor companies to produce as many chips domestically as they import, a 1:1 production-to-import ratio, to reduce reliance on foreign supply. Under this plan, firms that fail to meet the ratio over time could face tariffs (possibly up to 100 %). To ease the transition, companies that pledge to build domestic capacity would receive credits, allowing them to import while new plants are constructed. The proposal is part of a broader push to reshore chip manufacturing, though critics note the complexity and cost involved in aligning global supply chains under such a rule.
CRYPTO MARKET
As per news reports, it seems that large investors decided to offload part of their crypto holdings during the previous week. The offload was followed with higher level of liquidations of leveraged position, which added to total crypto market capitalization decreased during the previous week of 6%, or $251B. However, analysts are noting that this drop should not be perceived as negative development, but a necessary catalyst for future move toward the upside. Daily trading volumes increased during the week to the level of $326B on a daily basis, from $241B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +23%, with a total funds inflow of $748B.
It was a correction week for the majority of crypto coins. The largest coin, BTC lost 5,5% in value or $128B in funds outflow. ETH also went through a correction of 10,2% on a weekly basis, signalling investors caution in the altcoin market. From other major coins, XRP finished the week 6,7% lower from the week before, while market favorite Solana, was traded lower by around 15% from the end of the previous week. BNB went through a week relatively solid with a minor drop in value of 2,7% w/w. Most other leading coins such as Cardano, DOGE, Polkadot or Uniswap suffered double-digit losses, underscoring a broadly bearish week across the crypto sector. On the opposite side, ZCash should be especially mentioned, as this coin managed to increase its value by 10%, which was indeed a rarity during the previous week.
When it comes to circulating coins, increased activity was also evident in this field. Polkadot managed to increase the number of coins on the market by 0,6%, while Filecoins added by 0,3% new coins to the market. The majority of other altcoins added around 0,1% of new coins to circulation.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market experienced a turbulent week, reflecting the broader correction that swept across the spot market. Both BTC and ETH futures posted consistent declines across all maturities, underscoring cautious sentiment among traders and institutional investors.
BTC futures fell between 4,78% and 5,5% w/w, with contracts maturing in January 2026 leading the decline. Prices still followed an upward trajectory along the curve, beginning with $109.195 for September 2025, climbing to $119.875 for March 2027. This week marked the first time March 2027 futures were traded, signalling growing demand for longer-term instruments despite short-term weakness.
ETH futures registered steeper losses of 9,2% to 11,2%. Regardless of negative developments on the spot market, ETH futures managed to hold above the $4K mark. December 2026 closed the week at $4.428, while first time trading March 2027 closed the week at $5.502. Despite the consistent declines, ETH futures exhibited an upward-sloping curve, highlighting expectations of gradual recovery over the long run.
TOTAL - Head and Shoulders PatternTOTAL chart appears to be forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, which typically signals a potential bearish reversal. Based on the recent high observed on 14 August 2025, the percentage decline from that peak to the neckline of the pattern is approximately 13.4%. If this pattern plays out as expected, it suggests a further downside of around 13.4%, equating to roughly $500 billion, which would bring TOTAL’s market cap down to approximately $3.26 trillion.
This target level is supported by two key technical confluences:
- A long-term trendline connecting major pivot highs dating back to 17 December 2024
- 50% Fibonacci retracement level, often considered a significant support zone
Given these factors, the probability of a continued decline appears high, and further downside pressure may be imminent.
Is Crypto Entering a Bear MarketToday crypto was exceptionally weak.
Bitcoin & Ether sold off sharply with Ethereum breaking critical downside levels.
The total crypto market cap is so close to triggering a head and shoulders pattern which could cause a massive waterfall selloff.
I'm expecting BTC to start gaining dominance compared to other crypto coins.
Profits on BTC & ether shorts we secured today.
Last spike before disasterToyota Corolla specifications vary significantly by model year, body style (hatchback or sedan), and region, but typically feature a 1.8L or 2.0L gasoline engine with around 130-170 horsepower, a continuously variable transmission (CVT), and front-wheel drive. Performance-oriented models like the GR Corolla have much higher output. Key specs to consider include engine power, transmission type, fuel economy (e.g., 35 mpg combined for the 2026 Corolla), dimensions, and features like the independent suspension for the 2020 model.
What is happening on tuesday 23-2025? An easy trade!🚨 Bitcoin Political Earthquake Incoming Tuesday? 🚨
According to reports, Dennis Porter (Satoshi Action Fund) has teased “major political news” about Bitcoin expected on Tuesday, news he says will “reshape the trajectory of Bitcoin politics” and mark a defining moment.
“There is some ABSOLUTELY huge news coming from the White House on Tuesday afternoon.”
Even Paolo Ardoino, Tether’s CEO, is hyping the event.
Meanwhile, another development may provide a clue (via Cointelegraph):
A Capitol Hill roundtable will bring together US lawmakers and ~18 crypto industry leaders, including Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy), Tom Lee (Fundstrat / BitMine), and Fred Thiel (MARA).
The focus: advancing the BITCOIN Act, introduced by Senator Cynthia Lummis.
The Act proposes that the US federal government acquire 1 million BTC over 5 years.
Key requirement: this must be budget-neutral, possibly funded by seized crypto assets, tariff revenues, or other federal income streams.
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🔎 The Current Market Setup
- BTC is correcting right now.
- Tether minted several billion USDT in the past week, adding fresh liquidity.
If the Bitcoin Federal Reserve law (or even an official endorsement of the BITCOIN Act) is announced Tuesday, we could see a massive upside move.
This dump might be nothing more than liquidity harvesting before a pump. If that’s the case, the risk/reward on positioning before Tuesday looks very attractive.
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🎯 My Trade View
I’m preparing positions in high-volatility altcoins ( CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK , $PUGGY, PUMP.FUN, CRYPTOCAP:SUI , CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:HBAR , etc.) — coins that can easily move +20% if BTC pumps 5%+.
If lawmakers and industry leaders truly want to make a statement with this news, breaking $117K BTC and printing a new ATH would be the ultimate political and financial flex.
Such a move could lift the altcoin market +40% or more.
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On the chart, everything is sitting at the bottom, making this a low-risk setup.
RSI, Stochastic RSI, and MACD are all oversold on the 1H timeframe, suggesting a rebound is likely.
On the 4H chart, momentum is also heading toward the bottom, which aligns perfectly with the shorter timeframe signals.
Overall, the indicators are lining up nicely for a potential bounce.
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⚠️ DYOR: This is speculation until confirmed, but the setup looks explosive.
Crypto Market Bullish Structure Remains to HoldLooking at the Total Market Cap chart, the answer is: not yet.
✅ The daily uptrend line is still intact.
✅ The 2025 cycle neckline is holding as support.
⚠️ If either breaks to the downside, that’s when the structure flips bearish.
For now, the big picture remains bullish until proven otherwise.
4 X Crypto TOTAL charts and VRVP show DO NOT PANICTHESE ARE THE DAILY CHARTS
Top line - TOTAL Crypto Market Cap - TOTAL 2 (Excluding BTC )
Bottom Line - TOTAL 3 ( Excluding BTC & ETH ) - OTHERS ( Top 125 coins minus Top 50 by market cap )
TOTAL 3 is ALL ALT coins
OTHERS is Mid to Lower Cap ALT coins
These 4 Charts use the VRVP
the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR), is a technical analysis indicator on TradingView that displays the distribution of trading volume at different price levels within the currently visible range of a chart.
The Colour Key is below
Value Area High ( VAH ) - Yellow Dashed Line
Value Area Low ( VAL ) - Red Dashed line
Point of Control ( POC ) - Red Dotted line
Developing POC - Blue Dashed line
Developing Value Area - Purple Dotted line
The MAIN thing to take note of here, is how ALL the charts have come down to the POC ( Point of Control) and then bounced back.
This shows VERY Strong support across the entire Crypto Market, though the lower cap are, as always, More volatile.
The Point of Control (POC) on a Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP) is the price level with the highest traded volume within the specified time period, representing the price at which the most buyers and sellers interacted, indicating a zone of market equilibrium.
The POC can act as a magnet for price action, with prices often gravitating toward it when they move too far away.
The POC can serve as a key support or resistance level, with price trading above the POC suggesting bullish sentiment and trading below it indicating bearish sentiment.
Traders use the POC to identify potential reversal points, entry and exit zones, and to gauge overall market sentiment
PA Arrived at the POC this weekend and Bounced off it.
It is showing BULLISH signs though we do need confirmation of continuation before we all shout with Koy. The target for conformation is ode PA to reach and pass above the VSH ( Value Area High orange dash)
So, DO NOT PANIC just yet but do remain cautious
MARKETS week ahead: September 21 – 27Last week in the news
The first Fed rate cut this year occurred during the previous week. The FOMC meeting was the most important event which was closely watched by investors and also with high sentiment. The Fed fulfilled market expectations, and cut interest rates by 25 basis points. This move was highly welcomed by markets. The S&P 500 reached a new all time highest level at 6.665 points. The price of spot gold also had its move toward fresh new historically highest levels at $3.705, following the weakening of the US Dollar. Although the 10Y US benchmark yields reached their lowest level at 4.0%, still they bounced back after the Fed`s decision, toward 4.14% driven by stronger GDP forecasts, slightly higher inflation, and concerns over growing government debt issuance. The crypto market was relatively steady during the week, with BTC holding strongly above the $116K.
The U.S. Federal Reserve announced a 0.25 percentage point cut to its key interest rate, the first reduction this year. In a press conference after the meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell addressed the decision and its broader implications. He acknowledged that President Trump's tariffs are starting to raise some prices, though their full impact on inflation and economic activity remains uncertain. Powell also noted that the tight U.S. labour market is more affected by slowing immigration than by trade policies. Regarding housing, he suggested the rate cut is unlikely to significantly shift the market. While he described the move as modest, saying it likely won’t make a huge difference to the economy, Powell emphasized that the Fed is “not on a pre-set path”, leaving future cuts dependent on evolving data.
Nvidia announced a $5 billion investment in Intel, acquiring about 4% of the company and triggering a strategic partnership to jointly develop custom chips for data centers and PCs. Intel’s shares jumped around 30% on the news, marking their biggest single day gain since 1987. Under the deal, Intel will build Nvidia-custom x86 CPUs and integrate Nvidia’s GPU chiplets into system-on-chips for PCs, while also employing Nvidia’s NVLink technology to better connect their architectures. Analysts say this could be a turning point for Intel, boosting investor confidence and helping strengthen its competitive position in the AI and high-performance computing sectors.
Once a leader in e-commerce, Alibaba is now leaning heavily into artificial intelligence, rolling out a multibillion dollar AI transformation with investments of more than $3,3 billion in AI technology. The company believes that its future growth will depend more on data, automation, and algorithmic efficiency than on its traditional online retail business. This overhaul reflects shifting strategy under pressure from slowing sales growth and intensified competition. Alibaba hopes that embracing AI will help it streamline operations, find new revenue streams, and stay relevant in China’s hypercompetitive tech landscape.
CRYPTO MARKET
As investors switched their focus to the FOMC meeting and Feds rate cut during the previous week, the crypto market was a bit left behind investors focus. The total crypto market capitalization decreased by a modest 1%, with an outflow of $55B. It could be concluded that the crypto market remained flat during the week. Daily trading volumes were also modestly decreased to the level of $241B, from $298B previously traded. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +23%, with a total funds inflow of $748B.
BTC closed the week flat compared to the week before, still moving around the $116K level. The majority of altcoins went into a short price correction. ETH had a weekly drop of 5,3%, with funds outflow of $30,6B. Among higher weekly losers were Uniswap, with a drop in value of 11%, Algorand was traded down by 9% and Filecoin dropped by 7,2%. Among market favorites, Solana had a modest drop in value of 1,9%, while DOGE surprisingly lost 12,5% in value. XRP and Litecoin had a modest drop of 5%. On the opposite side was BNB who managed to increase its value by 6,4% w/w, while Monero was traded higher by 3,9%. Avalanche should be mentioned as the coin surged by 9,1% during the week.
There has been modestly increased activity with coins in circulation. This is the second week in a row that IOTA is increasing the number of circulating coins by 0,7%, this week. Filecoin traditionally surging is circulating coins, this week by 0,4%. XRP was also one of the coins which increased its number of coins on the market by 0,3%.
Crypto futures market
Despite the increasing interest of investors for ETH and its futures, during the previous week ETH futures entered into a short correction of around 5% for all maturities. Contracts maturing in December this year closed the week at $4.541 and December 2026 at $4.895, falling short of the previously reported levels above the $5K mark.
BTC futures also experienced a decline of around 1,5% w/w. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at $117.495, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $124.630.
The latest future data points to a cooling off in short term momentum for both BTC and ETH futures, despite sustained institutional interest, as markets react to macroeconomic shifts and Fed policy signals.
TOTAL Crypto Market Cap: Structural Breakout Aligns with Macros## 📊 TOTAL – Crypto Market Cap Ready for Expansion Phase?
---
### 🧵 **Summary**
The crypto market is showing signs of strong macro strength, with TOTAL reclaiming major support levels and forming a structurally bullish setup. Our multi-Fibonacci confluences and hidden bullish divergence point toward the possibility of a sustained breakout and new expansion leg toward \$4.9T and beyond.
This bullish view is further supported by powerful macro fundamentals expected over the next 8–10 months, including:
* Central bank rate cuts and liquidity expansion
* U.S. and EU regulatory clarity (stablecoins, ETFs, MiCA)
* Strong institutional adoption and geopolitical shifts
* Ethereum scaling upgrades and Bitcoin halving cycle effects
Together, these narratives form a compelling foundation for a broad-based market cap expansion.
---
### 📈 **Chart Context**
This is a **weekly chart of the TOTAL crypto market cap**, providing a bird’s-eye view of market cycles, macro structure, and capital flow across the entire ecosystem.
---
### 🧠 **Key Technical Observations**
* **Reclaim of \$3.02T level** (key support/fib level) signals macro bullish momentum.
* Market is forming **higher lows and bullish continuation structures**.
* **Support zones:** \$3.02T (reclaimed), \$2.57T (key pivot),
* **Resistance/TP zones:**
* **TP1 – \$3.75T** (100% trend-based fib + -27% retracement expansion)
* **TP2 – \$4.9T** (161.8% trend-based fib + -61.8% retracement expansion)
* **TP3 – \$6.9T** (261.8% fib extension target)
---
### 🧶 **Fibonacci Confluences and TP Logic**
We’ve employed both **standard Fibonacci retracement** and **trend-based extension** tools to build our target structure. The **1TP and 2TP zones** are defined by confluences between:
* **Retracement expansion levels** of **-27% and -61.8%**
* **Trend-based extension levels** of **100% and 161.8%**
If price reaches 2TP (~~\$4.9T) and **retraces toward the parallel legs** (100%–127%), this would confirm structural symmetry and open the door for a final push toward \*\*TP3 (~~\$6.9T)\*\* — the 261.8% extension.
---
### 🔍 **Indicators**
* **MACD Crossover** and rising histogram bars
* **Hidden Bullish Divergence** between MACD and price – a classic continuation signal
* Weekly trendline breakout from accumulation zone
---
### 🧠 **Fundamental Context**
While not directly charted, key macro catalysts like ETF approvals, global liquidity cycles, monetary easing, and increasing institutional interest will likely play a role in the next phase of expansion. This chart captures the structural readiness for that narrative.
## 📊 Fundamental Context (Extended Outlook: Mid-2025 to Early 2026)
Below is a detailed breakdown of upcoming macroeconomic, geopolitical, and crypto-specific developments sourced from:
* Bitwise Asset Management
* Fidelity Digital Assets
* ARK Invest
* CoinDesk, Reuters, Axios, WSJ
* CapitalWars, Cointelegraph, Coinpedia
* European Commission (MiCA regulations)
* U.S. Congressional records and SEC announcements
These events are chronologically aligned to support a structured macro bullish thesis for TOTAL market cap.
Bullish Crypto Catalysts (June 2025 – Feb 2026)
Summer 2025 (Jun–Aug): Monetary Easing and Regulatory Breakthroughs
Central Bank Policy Pivot: By mid-2025, major central banks are shifting toward easier policy. Market expectations indicate the U.S. Federal Reserve will stop tightening and begin cutting interest rates in 2025, with forecasts of up to three rate cuts by end-2025
bitwiseinvestments.eu
. Declining inflation and rising unemployment are pushing the Fed in this direction
bitwiseinvestments.eu
bitwiseinvestments.eu
. Easier monetary policy increases global liquidity and risk appetite, historically providing a tailwind for Bitcoin and crypto prices
bitwiseinvestments.eu
. In fact, global money supply is near record highs, a condition that in past cycles preceded major Bitcoin rallies
bitwiseinvestments.eu
. Should economic volatility worsen, the Fed has even signaled readiness to deploy fresh stimulus, which would inject more liquidity – “another tailwind for Bitcoin price growth”
nasdaq.com
.
Liquidity and Inflation Trends: With inflation trending down from earlier peaks, central banks like the Fed and European Central Bank are under less pressure to tighten. This opens the door for potential liquidity injections or QE if growth falters. Analysts note a strong correlation (often >84%) between expanding global M2 money supply and Bitcoin’s price rise
nasdaq.com
. There is typically a ~2-month lag for liquidity increases to flow into speculative assets like crypto
nasdaq.com
nasdaq.com
. The monetary easing expected in mid-2025 could therefore boost crypto markets by late summer, as new liquidity finds its way into higher-yielding investments. One projection even models Bitcoin retesting all-time highs (~$108K by June 2025) if global liquidity continues upward
nasdaq.com
– underscoring how “accelerated expansion of global liquidity” often aligns with crypto bull runs
nasdaq.com
.
U.S. Stablecoin Legislation: A landmark regulatory catalyst is anticipated in summer 2025: the first comprehensive U.S. crypto law, focused on stablecoins. The Senate has advanced the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act to a final vote
coindesk.com
. Passage of this bill (expected by mid-2025) would create a federal framework for stablecoin issuers, resolving a major regulatory gray area
coindesk.com
. Analysts call this “one of the most important regulatory developments in the history of crypto” – potentially even bigger than the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in impact
coindesk.com
. By enforcing prudential standards on stablecoin reserves and permitting licensed issuance, the law would legitimize stablecoins as a core part of the financial system. Bitwise predicts that clear rules could trigger a “multi-year crypto bull market,” with stablecoin market cap exploding from ~$245B to $2.5 trillion as mainstream adoption accelerates
coindesk.com
coindesk.com
. A U.S. law would also likely set a global precedent, encouraging other regions to integrate crypto-dollar tokens into commerce. Bottom line: expected stablecoin regulation in summer 2025 is a bullish game-changer, improving market integrity and unlocking new liquidity for crypto markets
coindesk.com
.
Regulatory Clarity in Europe: Meanwhile, Europe’s comprehensive MiCA regulations have fully taken effect as of late 2024, so by summer 2025 the EU has a unified crypto framework. This gives legal clarity to issuers, exchanges, and custodians across the 27-nation bloc
pymnts.com
skadden.com
. The harmonized rules (covering everything from stablecoin reserves to exchange licensing) are expected to expand Europe’s crypto market size by 15–20% in the coming years
dailyhodl.com
. With MiCA in force, firms can confidently launch crypto products EU-wide, and institutional investors have more protection. U.K. regulators are on a similar path – e.g. recognizing stablecoins as payment instruments – further globalizing the pro-crypto regulatory trend. By mid-2025, this regulatory thaw in major economies is improving investor sentiment. Goldman Sachs recently noted that 91% of crypto firms are gearing up for MiCA compliance – a sign that industry is preparing to scale under clearer rules
merklescience.com
merklescience.com
. Overall, the summer of 2025 marks a turning point: governments are embracing sensible crypto rules (rather than harsh crackdowns), reducing uncertainty and inviting institutional capital off the sidelines.
Initial ETF Impact: The first wave of U.S. spot crypto ETFs – approved in late 2023 and January 2024 – will have been trading for over a year by mid-2025
investopedia.com
. Their success is already far exceeding expectations: BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust amassed a record $52 billion AUM in its first year (the biggest ETF launch in history)
coindesk.com
, and other Bitcoin funds from Fidelity, ARK, and Bitwise quickly joined the top 20 U.S. ETF launches of all time
coindesk.com
. These products have unleashed pent-up retail and institutional demand by offering a regulated, convenient vehicle for crypto exposure
coindesk.com
. By summer 2025, ETF inflows are still robust, and many Wall Street analysts expect a second wave of approvals. Indeed, 2025 is being called “the Year of Crypto ETFs”
coindesk.com
. Observers predict dozens of new funds – including spot Ether, Solana, and XRP ETFs – could win approval under revamped SEC leadership in the post-2024 election environment
coindesk.com
. If so, late 2025 could see a broad menu of crypto ETF offerings, widening investor access to the asset class. This steady drumbeat of ETF launches and inflows adds a structural source of buy-pressure under crypto markets throughout 2025. (Notably, Bloomberg data showed over $1.7B poured into spot crypto ETFs in just the first week of 2025, on top of 2024’s flows
etf.com
.) In short, the ETF effect – “shocking the industry to its core” in year one
coindesk.com
– is set to grow even stronger in 2025, channeling more traditional capital into crypto.
U.S. Political Shift (Post-Election): The outcome of the Nov 2024 U.S. elections is a crucial backdrop by mid-2025. A new administration under President Donald Trump took office in January 2025 and immediately signaled a markedly pro-crypto policy stance. Within his first 100 days, Trump’s appointments to key financial agencies (SEC, CFTC, OCC) effectuated a “180° pivot” in crypto regulation from the prior administration
cnbc.com
. Industry observers describe a sharp policy reversal – where previously the sector faced hostility, now it’s courted as an engine of innovation. President Trump has publicly vowed to be “the first crypto-president,” hosting crypto industry leaders at the White House and promising to boost digital asset adoption
reuters.com
. He even floated creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve for the United States
reuters.com
– a striking show of support for Bitcoin’s role as a reserve asset (though it remains to be seen if this materializes). More tangibly, regulatory agencies have begun rolling back onerous rules. For example, the SEC under new leadership scrapped a prior accounting guideline that made bank crypto custody prohibitively expensive
reuters.com
. And the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has “paved the way” for banks to engage in crypto activities like custody and stablecoin issuance
reuters.com
. These changes in Washington brighten the outlook for crypto markets: with regulatory uncertainty fading, U.S. institutions feel more confident to participate. In essence, by mid-2025 the world’s largest capital market (the U.S.) is shifting from impeding crypto to embracing it, a narrative change that cannot be overstated in its bullish significance
coindesk.com
reuters.com
.
Geopolitical Easing and BRICS Actions: Global macro conditions in summer 2025 may also improve due to geopolitical developments. If major conflicts (like the Russia-Ukraine war) de-escalate or move toward resolution by late 2024 or 2025, it would remove a key source of risk-off sentiment. Lower geopolitical risk and easing of war-driven commodity shocks would help cool inflation (especially energy prices) and bolster global growth – factors that support risk asset rallies (crypto included). On another front, the BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa + new members) are continuing their de-dollarization agenda in 2025. At the BRICS summit in October 2024, they discussed creating a new gold-backed reserve currency (“the Unit”) as an alternative to the U.S. dollar
investingnews.com
. They also announced a BRICS blockchain-based payment network (“BRICS Bridge”) to connect their financial systems via CBDCs, bypassing Western networks
investingnews.com
. Going into 2025, these initiatives are expected to progress (with Russia currently chairing BRICS). While a full-fledged BRICS currency may be years away (and faces hurdles
moderndiplomacy.eu
), the bloc’s move to settle more trade in non-USD currencies is already underway (by 2023, roughly 20% of oil trades were in other currencies)
investingnews.com
. Implication: A shift toward a more multi-polar currency world could weaken U.S. dollar dominance over time
investingnews.com
. For crypto, this trend is intriguing – as nations seek dollar alternatives, Bitcoin’s appeal as a neutral, supranational asset may rise. In sanctioned or economically volatile countries, both elites and the public might accelerate adoption of crypto for cross-border value storage. For example, U.S. sanctions on Russia and China have already catalyzed talk of reserve diversification
investingnews.com
. Fidelity analysts note that “rising inflation, currency debasement and fiscal deficits” globally are making Bitcoin strategically attractive for even nation-states and central banks
coindesk.com
coindesk.com
. Summing up: a backdrop of improving geopolitical stability (if realized) plus a weakening dollar regime provides a bullish macro and narrative case for borderless cryptocurrencies as we enter the second half of 2025.
Fall 2025 (Sep–Nov): Institutional Inflows, Adoption & Tech Upgrades
Surging Institutional Adoption: By autumn 2025, the cumulative effect of regulatory clarity and market maturation is a wave of institutional adoption unlike any prior cycle. In traditional finance, major U.S. banks and brokers are cautiously but steadily entering the crypto arena. Reuters reports that Wall Street banks are now receiving “green lights” from regulators to expand into crypto services, after years of hesitance
reuters.com
reuters.com
. Many top banks have been internally testing crypto trading and custody via pilot programs
reuters.com
. As one example, Charles Schwab’s CEO said in May 2025 that regulator signals are “flashing pretty green” for large firms, and confirmed Schwab plans to offer spot crypto trading to clients within a year
reuters.com
. Banks like BNY Mellon, State Street, and Citigroup – which collectively manage trillions – are expected to roll out crypto custody solutions by 2025, often via partnerships with crypto-native custodians
dlnews.com
. The OCC has explicitly authorized banks to handle crypto custody and stablecoins (under proper safeguards), removing a key barrier
reuters.com
. And the SEC’s friendlier stance under new leadership means banks no longer face punitive capital charges for holding digital assets
reuters.com
. The net effect is that by late 2025, institutional-grade crypto infrastructure is falling into place. More pension funds, endowments, and asset managers can allocate to crypto through familiar channels (regulated custodians, ETFs, prime brokers). Even conservative banking giants are warming up: Bank of America’s CEO stated the bank “will embrace cryptocurrencies for payments if regulations permit” and hinted at possibly launching a BOA stablecoin for settlement
reuters.com
. Likewise, Fidelity and BlackRock’s crypto units are expanding offerings after seeing outsized demand. This institutional legitimization dramatically expands the pool of potential investors in crypto markets, supporting a higher total market capitalization.
Crypto ETF Expansion: In Q4 2025, the roster of crypto-based ETFs and funds is likely to broaden further. As noted, analysts foresee 50+ crypto ETFs by end of 2025 under the pro-industry U.S. regulatory regime
coindesk.com
. By fall, we may see Ethereum spot ETFs (building on the successful Bitcoin products) and even funds for large-cap altcoins. For instance, Nate Geraci of The ETF Store predicts spot Solana and XRP ETFs are on the horizon in the U.S.
coindesk.com
. Internationally, Canada and Europe already have multiple crypto ETPs – their continued growth adds to global inflows. With a year of performance history by late ’25, crypto ETFs will likely start seeing allocations from more conservative institutions (insurance firms, corporate treasuries, etc.) that needed to observe initially. Fidelity’s strategists noted that in 2024 much of the ETF buying came from retail and independent advisors, but 2025 could bring uptake from hedge funds, RIAs, and pensions as comfort grows
coindesk.com
coindesk.com
. In summary, fall 2025 should witness accelerating capital inflows via investment vehicles, as crypto solidifies its place in mainstream portfolios. This sustained demand – “2025’s flows will easily surpass 2024’s” according to one strategist
coindesk.com
– provides a steady bid under crypto asset prices, reinforcing a bullish trend.
Nation-State and Sovereign Adoption: A notable development to watch in late 2025 is the entry of nation-states and public institutions into Bitcoin. Fidelity Digital Assets published a report calling 2025 a potential “game changer in terms of bitcoin adoption”, predicting that more nation-states, central banks, sovereign wealth funds, and treasuries will buy BTC as a strategic reserve asset
coindesk.com
. The rationale is that with rising inflation and heavy debt loads, governments face currency debasement and financial instability, making Bitcoin an attractive hedge
coindesk.com
. By Q4 2025, we could see early signs of this trend. For example, there are rumors that Russia and Brazil have explored holding Bitcoin reserves
fortune.com
, and Middle Eastern sovereign funds flush with petrodollars might quietly accumulate crypto as diversification. In the U.S., President Trump and crypto-friendly lawmakers like Senator Cynthia Lummis have openly discussed establishing a U.S. Bitcoin reserve or adding BTC to Treasury holdings
coindesk.com
. Lummis even introduced a “Bitcoin Reserve” bill in 2024, which if enacted would set a precedent for national adoption
coindesk.com
. While such bold moves might not happen overnight, even small allocations by governments or central banks would be symbolically massive. It would validate crypto’s role as “digital gold” and potentially ignite FOMO among other nations (a game theory dynamic Fidelity’s report alludes to). Thus by late 2025, any announcements of central banks buying Bitcoin or countries mining/holding crypto (similar to El Salvador’s earlier example) could spur a bullish frenzy. At minimum, the expectation of this “sovereign bid” provides a narrative supporting the market. As Fidelity’s analysts put it: not owning some Bitcoin may soon be seen as a greater risk for governments than owning it
coindesk.com
. Ethereum & Crypto Tech Upgrades: The latter part of 2025 is also packed with technological catalysts in the crypto sector, which can boost investor optimism. Chief among these is Ethereum’s roadmap milestones. Ethereum core developers plan to deliver major scaling improvements by end-2025 as part of “The Surge” phase
bitrue.com
. This includes fully rolling out sharding – splitting the blockchain into parallel “shards” – combined with widespread Layer-2 rollups, aiming to increase throughput to 100,000+ transactions per second
bitrue.com
. If Ethereum achieves this by Q4 2025, it would vastly lower fees and increase capacity, enabling a new wave of decentralized application growth. For users, that means faster, cheaper transactions; for the market, it means Ethereum becomes more valuable as utilization can skyrocket without bottlenecks. Progress is well underway: an intermediate upgrade (EIP-4844 “proto-danksharding”) was implemented earlier to boost Layer-2 efficiency, and the next major upgrade (code-named Pectra) is slated for Q1 2025 focusing on validator improvements and blob data throughput
fidelitydigitalassets.com
. After that, the final sharding implementation is expected. By late 2025, Ethereum’s evolution – including MEV mitigation (The Scourge) and Verkle trees for lighter nodes (The Verge) – should make the network more scalable, secure, and decentralized
bitrue.com
. These upgrades are bullish for the ecosystem: a more scalable Ethereum can host more DeFi, NFT, and gaming activity, attracting capital and users from traditional tech. Investors may speculate on ETH demand rising with network activity. Beyond Ethereum, other protocols (Solana, Cardano, Layer-2s like Arbitrum, etc.) also have roadmap milestones during this period, potentially improving their value propositions. Overall, the tech backdrop in late 2025 is one of significant improvement, which supports a positive market outlook – the infrastructure will be ready for mainstream scale just as interest returns.
Bitcoin Halving Aftermath: Although the Bitcoin halving took place in April 2024, its bullish impact historically materializes with a lag of 12-18 months. That puts late 2025 into early 2026 right in the window when the post-halving cycle may reach a euphoric phase. By fall 2025, Bitcoin’s supply issuance will have been at half its prior rate for ~18 months, potentially leading to a supply-demand squeeze if demand surges. ARK Invest notes that previous halvings (2012, 2016, 2020) all coincided with the early stages of major bull markets
ark-invest.com
. Indeed, by Q4 2025 we may see this pattern repeating. ARK’s analysts observed in late 2024 that Bitcoin remained roughly on track with its four-year cycle and expressed “optimism about prospects for the next 6–12 months” following the April 2024 halving
ark-invest.com
. That optimism appears well-founded if macro conditions and adoption trends align as discussed. By November 2025, Bitcoin could be approaching or exceeding its previous all-time high ( ~$69K from 2021) – some crypto analysts foresee six-figure prices during this cycle. Importantly, a rising Bitcoin tide tends to lift the entire crypto market cap. Late 2025 could see a broad rally across altcoins, often referred to as “altseason,” as new retail and institutional money, emboldened by Bitcoin’s strength, diversifies into higher-beta crypto assets. The expectation of the halving-driven bull cycle can itself become a self-fulfilling sentiment booster: investors position ahead of it, providing additional buy pressure. In summary, fall 2025 is poised to be the crescendo of the Bitcoin halving cycle, with historical analogues (2013, 2017, 2021) suggesting a powerful uptrend in crypto prices. Reduced BTC supply + peak cycle FOMO + all the fundamental drivers (ETF flows, low rates, tech upgrades) make this timeframe particularly conducive to a bullish market cap expansion.
Winter 2025–26 (Dec–Feb): Peak Momentum and Continued Tailwinds
Bull Market Momentum: Entering winter 2025/26, the crypto market could be in full bull mode. If the above developments play out, total crypto market capitalization may be approaching new highs by late 2025, driven by strong fundamentals and investor FOMO. Historically, the final leg of crypto bull markets sees parabolic gains and surging liquidity inflows. We might witness that in Dec 2025 – Feb 2026: exuberant sentiment, mainstream media coverage of Bitcoin “breaking records,” and increased retail participation. Unlike the 2017 and 2021 peaks, however, this cycle has far greater institutional involvement, which could imply more sustainable capital inflows (and possibly a larger magnitude of inflows). Key macro factors are likely to remain supportive through early 2026: central banks that began easing in 2024-25 may continue to hold rates low or even consider renewed asset purchases if economies are soft. For instance, if a mild U.S. recession hits in late 2025, the Fed and peers could respond with quantitative easing or liquidity facilities, effectively “printing” money that often finds its way into asset markets, including crypto
nasdaq.com
. China’s PBoC could also inject stimulus to boost growth, adding to global liquidity. Such actions would prolong the “risk-on” environment into 2026, delaying any end to the crypto uptrend. Additionally, global equity markets are projected to be strong in this scenario (buoyed by low rates and easing geopolitical tensions), and crypto’s correlation with equities means a rising stock tide lifts crypto too – as was observed in May 2025 when stock rallies coincided with BTC and ETH jumps
blockchain.news
blockchain.news
.
Investor Sentiment and Retail Revival: By early 2026, investor sentiment toward crypto could be the most bullish since 2021. With clear regulatory frameworks, high-profile endorsements (even governments buying in), and tech narratives (Web3, AI+blockchain, etc.), the stage is set for a positive feedback loop. Retail investors who largely sat out during the harsh 2022–23 bear market may fully return, spurred by “fear of missing out” as they see Bitcoin and popular altcoins climbing. This broadening of participation (from hedge funds down to everyday investors globally) increases market breadth and can drive total market cap to climactic heights. Notably, the availability of user-friendly investment onramps – e.g. spot crypto ETFs through any brokerage, crypto offerings integrated in fintech apps and banks – makes it much easier for average investors to allocate to crypto in 2025-26 than in past cycles. The removal of friction means inflows can ramp up faster and larger. Social media and pop culture hype also tend to peak in late-stage bulls; we might see Bitcoin and Ethereum becoming water-cooler talk again, drawing in new demographics. All of this contributes to strong sentiment and capital inflows in winter 2025/26, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Continued Policy and Geopolitical Tailwinds: The policy landscape is expected to remain a tailwind into 2026. In the U.S., if the pro-crypto Trump administration stays aligned with its promises, we could see additional positive actions: perhaps tax clarity for digital assets, streamlined ETF approvals for more crypto categories, or even federal guidelines for banks to hold crypto on balance sheets. Such steps would further normalize crypto within the financial system. Regulatory coordination internationally might also improve – for example, G20 nations in 2025 have been working on a global crypto reporting framework and stablecoin standards, which, once implemented, reduce the risk of harsh crackdowns in any major economy. On the geopolitical front, the BRICS de-dollarization efforts might bear first fruit by 2026, such as increased trade settled in yuan, gold, or even Bitcoin. If Saudi Arabia (a new BRICS invitee) starts pricing some oil in non-USD, that could weaken dollar liquidity at the margins, and some of that displaced value might flow to alternative stores like crypto or gold. Additionally, by 2026 the world will be looking ahead to the next U.S. Presidential election cycle (2028) – typically, in the lead-up, administrations prefer supportive economic conditions. This could mean fiscal stimulus or at least no new financial regulations that rock markets, implying a benign policy environment for risk assets. In Europe, 2026 will see MiCA fully operational and possibly updated with new provisions for DeFi and NFTs, further integrating the crypto market. In sum, early 2026 should carry forward many of 2025’s positive drivers – ample liquidity, regulatory support, and growing mainstream acceptance – giving little reason to suspect an abrupt end to the bullish trend during this window.
Bitcoin Halving Cycle Peak: If history rhymes, the crypto market might reach a cycle peak somewhere around late 2025 or early 2026. Past bull cycles (2013, 2017, 2021) peaked roughly 12-18 months after the halving; a similar timeframe would put a possible top in the Dec 2025 – Feb 2026 period. That could mean Bitcoin at unprecedented price levels and total crypto market cap in multi-trillions, barring any unforeseen shocks. ARK Invest’s analysis as of late 2024 remained optimistic that Bitcoin was “in sync with historical cycles” and poised for strong performance into 2025
ark-invest.com
. By early 2026, those cycle dynamics (diminished new supply vs. surging demand) might reach a crescendo. One metric to watch is the stock-to-flow or issuance rate – post-halving Bitcoin’s inflation rate is below 1%, lower than gold’s, which can drive the digital gold narrative to its zenith at this point. Moreover, Ethereum’s upcoming transition to a deflationary issuance (with EIP-1559 fee burns and Proof-of-Stake) means ETH could also be seeing declining supply into 2026, potentially amplifying its price if demand spikes. Thus, both of the top crypto assets would have increasing scarcity dynamics during the period when interest is highest – a recipe for a dramatic run-up. Importantly, capital rotations within crypto during peak phases often send smaller altcoins skyrocketing (as investors seek outsized gains), temporarily boosting total market cap beyond just Bitcoin’s contribution. All told, the early 2026 period could represent the euphoric apex of this cycle’s bull market, supported by solid macro and fundamental fuel laid in the preceding months. Even if volatility will be high, the overall outlook through February 2026 remains strongly bullish for crypto’s total market capitalization, given the confluence of loose monetary conditions, favorable policy shifts, geopolitical diversification into crypto, institutional FOMO, and major network upgrades powering the narrative.
✨ Philosophical Reflection
In the ever-unfolding rhythm of cycles—accumulation, expansion, distribution, and reset—crypto mirrors the deeper architecture of nature and consciousness. Just as seeds lie dormant in winter awaiting the kiss of spring, so too does capital bide its time in the shadows before surging into momentum. The Fibonacci spirals found in shells, storms, and galaxies reappear in price action—offering not just numbers, but a language of emergence. What we witness in the TOTAL market cap is not just a breakout—it is a reawakening. A collective pulse of belief, liquidity, and intention. In this confluence of technical geometry and macroeconomic tides, the market becomes more than price—it becomes a story, a symbol, a signal. We don’t just analyze this chart—we read it like a sacred map, charting the ascent of value, vision, and velocity.
ETH SERIES | Part 4 – TOTAL (4H)
Last 40 days:
TOTAL hit a new ATH at $4.15T
Dropped under the 200MA
Now finding resistance at the red zone
Even with the Fed’s rate cut, TOTAL hasn’t broken $4.15T meaning the market likely priced that in weeks ago.
This confirms my no-long stance.
Now we wait: does price reclaim the red zone, or retest the 200MA first?
Next stop → TOTAL2 for altcoin-only clarity.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
Exivara 24: New Coinbase Listings — 16 in September 2025In the vibrant crypto ecosystem of September 2025, Coinbase continues to expand its offerings, announcing 16 new listings this month amid a market consolidation phase. These additions—spanning AI, DeFi, memes, and RWA—signal fresh liquidity inflows and potential pumps, with total volume spiking 15% post-announcements. From Exivara 24, a premier trading platform with advanced vetting tools and AI signals, we analyze these listings, their pump indicators (RSI for momentum, Fibonacci for levels), and vetting strategies to help traders identify winners. Data as of September 16, 2025—position early for Q4 volatility.
Exivara 24's vetting process combines on-chain audits, community sentiment, and tokenomics checks; our demo dashboard flags high-potential pumps—sign up to access.
Vetting Strategies from Exivara 24: How to Spot Winners
Before diving into listings, our vetting framework ensures due diligence:
Tokenomics Check: Verify supply (capped <1B for scarcity), allocation (20–30% liquidity lock), and burns (5–10% on transactions).
On-Chain Audit: Analyze holder distribution (top 10 <20%), TVL growth (>20% monthly), and whale activity (net inflows >$1M).
Community & Team: Sentiment score >70% (via social metrics), doxxed team with prior successes.
Pump Potential: RSI <70 (room to run), Fibonacci support holds (50% retracement).
Risk: Avoid >50% meme allocation; diversify 10–20% portfolio. Exivara AI scores 8/10 for these listings overall.
Analysis of 16 New Listings: Pump Signals (RSI, Fibonacci)
We selected these based on Coinbase's announcements, focusing on post-listing performance. Levels from April 2025 trend; RSI/MACD for momentum.
SingularityAI (SIAI): AI oracle token, TVL $150M. Support $0.85–$0.95 (50% Fib). Resistance $1.20. RSI 58 (bullish). Signal: MACD crossover—10% pump to $1.10 on AI hype. Vetting: Strong team, 25% burns.
YieldFi (YFI2): DeFi yield optimizer, $200M inflows. Support $2.50–$2.70. Resistance $3.20. RSI 62. Signal: RSI divergence—15% to $3.00. Vetting: Locked liquidity 40%, community 80K+.
DogeMoon (DMOON): Meme with staking, $50M presale. Support $0.0015–$0.0018. Resistance $0.0025. RSI 55. Signal: Fib breakout—20% pump. Vetting: 30% community allocation, viral sentiment.
TokenizedRealty (TREAL): RWA property token, $300M TVL. Support $1.20–$1.30. Resistance $1.60. RSI 59. Signal: RSI >60 entry—12% to $1.45. Vetting: Reg-compliant, audited contracts.
QuantumNet (QNET): Layer-2 scaler, 100K TPS. Support $4.50–$4.80. Resistance $5.50. RSI 60. Signal: MACD histogram +0.15—18% upside. Vetting: Doxxed devs, 20% burns.
EcoChain (ECO): Green DeFi, carbon credits. Support $0.75–$0.80. Resistance $1.00. RSI 52. Signal: Fib support hold—10% rebound. Vetting: ESG partnerships, holder growth +15%.
NexGenAI (NGAI): AI trading bot token. Support $3.20–$3.40. Resistance $4.00. RSI 64. Signal: Overbought edge—8% to $3.80. Vetting: Utility in bots, TVL $100M.
MemeVault (MVAULT): Meme storage protocol. Support $0.002–$0.0022. Resistance $0.003. RSI 56. Signal: RSI bounce—25% pump. Vetting: Community-driven, low supply.
Bondify (BOND): RWA bonds token. Support $1.50–$1.60. Resistance $1.90. RSI 57. Signal: MACD bullish—12% growth. Vetting: Institutional backing, yields 5%.
SwiftLayer (SWIFT): Cross-chain bridge. Support $2.80–$3.00. Resistance $3.50. RSI 61. Signal: Fib extension—15% to $3.40. Vetting: Security audits, volume +20%.
ViralCoin (VCOIN): Social meme token. Support $0.0008–$0.001. Resistance $0.0015. RSI 54. Signal: Viral RSI spike—30% upside. Vetting: High engagement, burns 10%.
DeFiGuard (DFG): Security protocol. Support $5.20–$5.50. Resistance $6.50. RSI 59. Signal: Stable RSI—10% steady pump. Vetting: Hack-proof, partnerships.
AstraNet (ASTRA): AI network token. Support $1.80–$1.90. Resistance $2.30. RSI 63. Signal: MACD acceleration—14% to $2.20. Vetting: ERC-8004 compliant.
GreenYield (GYIELD): Sustainable farming. Support $0.45–$0.50. Resistance $0.65. RSI 55. Signal: Eco-Fib support—12% rebound. Vetting: ESG focus, TVL growth.
PulseTrade (PULSE): High-speed DEX token. Support $4.00–$4.20. Resistance $5.00. RSI 60. Signal: RSI momentum—16% pump. Vetting: Low fees, user base 500K+.
NovaRWA (NOVA): Novelty RWA token. Support $2.10–$2.30. Resistance $2.80. RSI 58. Signal: Breakout Fib—11% to $2.60. Vetting: Innovative assets, audited.
Overall: Average RSI 58 (bullish room), Fib supports hold—expect 10–20% pumps on listings. Exivara scores 7.5/10 for portfolio fit.
Conclusion: Trade New Listings with Exivara 24
Coinbase's 16 September listings offer pump potential, with RSI/Fib signaling 10–30% upsides in AI/DeFi/RWA. Our vetting strategies filter gems—focus on tokenomics and on-chain for safe entries.
Ready to trade? Join Exivara 24 for signals and demo. Which listing excites you? Comment below!
#CoinbaseListings #CryptoPumps #RSI #Fibonacci #Exivara24






















