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$TSLA to $5,000 #CathiesBack!!! #Bullflag #AlwaysHasBeenSome Bull #corn for the PermaBulls out there after this V recoVery on Indices... Just some log scale mathematical measurements from one flagpole to the next... #AnythingIsPossible if Physics allows... Tesla at 5k is simply tesla at 5Trillion valuation... once self driving fulfilled? Odds increasing with GPU/AI capabilities... NASDAQ:NVDA should be a major green light for the next leg up in markets or rejection... definitely leaning bullish still after V , dips to be bought in this environment...
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Prophecies_R_Us
Telsa - NEW ALL TIME HIGHS INCOMING (price action simplified)Here's a simplified version of my short term targets. On July 29th Tesla was around $321 and I suggested that after a long downtrend, Tesla would breakout, retest and continue up ("without any major retraces)", to between $400-$600. Tesla has now hit my T2 (currently $460) and I am anticipating a small retracement, before new all time highs in the near term. Congrats to all of you who have made gains from my charts. May the trends (continue) to be with you.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Strangely-accurate
2
Tesla - Here we goooooo!🚗Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is finally breaking out: 🔎Analysis summary: Finally, after a consolidation of four years, Tesla is attempting another all time high breakout. With the bullish triangle coming to an end, bulls are dominating this stock. It just comes down to the next couple of months but a triangle breakout remains far more likely. 📝Levels to watch: $400 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
26
Gold extensions10 1 2005 I am really happy with this video because it did so many things that could have been helpful to your trade looking at the market the way we've been looking at it for a long time. The tools that I look at work. The only thing that concerns me is that I told you how you could have made money on gold by shorting it and then when it came back to support you could have made money on gold in both directions and each Direction was nearly 3000,,, so in 2 4-hour periods of time you could have made over $6000..... But I would guess that at the beginning Trader is going to get in trouble with this without some more screen time and observation if your trades at the end of the day when you start doing an analysis from early that day. Actually on today you could have been long then short then long and it looks obvious it is very stressful trading that way. So look at it, get a feel and whenever you do don't over trade it's very important to avoid drawdowns because if you are starting and you try to train hot markets that are going to trade in both directions and you blow it and you get an 8000 drawdown... You will never appreciate the attributes of the market because it's very difficult to get back and trade when you're not prepared for the volatility. And it's very hard psychologically to go long and then go short and vice versa... But the patterns the market. And all the reversals would have minimal drawdowns and none of them would have been touched in this particular Market earlier today.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by ScottBogatin
TSLA Oct. 1 – Eyeing the $450 Breakout Zone! 🚀Intraday View (15-Min Chart) TSLA rebounded sharply intraday and is now consolidating around $443–$444 just under key resistance. Price action has formed a rising channel, but momentum is stalling. * Support Levels: $442.20, $438.60, $433.08 * Resistance Levels: $445.00, $450.99, $452.50 * Indicators: MACD histogram rolling red, showing fading momentum. Stoch RSI sitting low, suggesting room for a relief bounce. 📌 Intraday Thought (Oct. 1): If $442 holds, expect attempts to push into $445–$450. A breakdown below $442 could trigger a move back toward $438 and $433. Scalpers can play long near $442 support with tight risk, or fade $450 resistance if tested and rejected. Options & Swing View (1H + GEX) Gamma exposure shows critical levels: * Upside: Heavy call wall at $450–$452.5, with more stacked toward $465–$470. * Downside: Strong put support near $432–$425, deeper wall at $417.5. This suggests TSLA is coiling between $432–$450. A breakout over $450 could ignite momentum into $465–$470, while losing $432 risks a slide back to $425. * Bullish Play (Oct. 1): Calls or debit spreads targeting $450 → $465 if price breaks $445 with volume. * Bearish Hedge: Puts toward $432 → $425 if $442 breaks down. * Neutral Play: Iron condor between $432–$452 to capture premium during consolidation. My Thoughts (Oct. 1) TSLA is parked right below a heavy $450 gamma wall. If bulls clear $445 and sustain, we could see an explosive push toward $465+. But failure to hold $442 opens the door to retesting $432 quickly. For now, this is a make-or-break level, and I’d keep risk management tight with options plays centered around the $450 breakout. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Tesla: breakout mode, Elon’s rocket fuel for the chartTechnically , Tesla broke out of a symmetrical triangle while holding above EMA/MA supports, which confirms bullish control. The breakout unlocks targets at 368.46 (Fibo 1), followed by 411.38, 432.03, and the 1.618 extension at 464.30. Volume profile confirms strong accumulation below, leaving the upside path less crowded. Fundamentally , Tesla keeps investor attention alive. EV sales stabilized, but the focus has shifted to AI and robotaxi — Musk’s latest promises of disruption. With Fed rates peaking and yields easing, growth stocks regain momentum. Risks remain from Chinese competitors, yet Tesla’s margins are still leading the industry. Tactical plan : entry zone stands at 323–336. As long as price holds above it, buyers target 368.46 → 411.38 → 464.30. A break below 323 would flip the bias back toward 291. Bottom line: Tesla’s chart looks ready for lift-off. Musk might be dreaming of Mars, but for now, bulls are happy if he just launches the stock a few hundred dollars higher.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TotoshkaTrades
3
TSLA: Battery Low, Time to Recharge?After reaching the all-time high area again with Elliott Wave C on the daily chart, a downside retracement looks likely. There are still gaps below to be filled, along with key Fibonacci levels yet to be tested. This creates a solid opportunity for a 1 ATR short trade, with the first target set at $412. On the 1-hour chart, RSI, MACD, and Stochastic oscillators are all showing divergences, suggesting a potential break in the uptrend. The upward trendline has also been broken on the 1-hour timeframe, adding further confirmation for the short setup. On the 4-hour chart, ATR is currently 11, which puts a 2 ATR stop slightly above the recent highs, offering protection for the trade. If this level is invalidated, the short idea is likely premature. This setup is quite similar to the Oracle move, where price gapped up to all-time highs before retracing: Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by XXXX4X
1
Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Rises Ahead of Earnings ReportTesla (TSLA) Share Price Rises Ahead of Earnings Report On 16 September, we noted signs of a strong market for Tesla (TSLA) shares, including: → The price remaining above the psychological level of $400; → Reaching the highest levels since late January. We also identified an ascending channel and suggested that the long-term outlook remained optimistic, although a correction could not be ruled out. Since then, TSLA shares have stabilised near the upper boundary of the channel, holding above the $400 level. On Friday, they were among the market leaders, rising by more than 4%. This brings the gain since the start of September to around +30%. Why Are TSLA Shares Rising? Key factors supporting a bullish outlook include: → Sentiment ahead of the quarterly Production and Deliveries report, expected this week. According to recent forecasts, actual figures could exceed expectations (although still showing a decline compared to the previous year). → Target price upgrades. Dan Ives of Wedbush, one of Tesla’s most prominent bulls, last week raised his target price to $600 — the highest on Wall Street — citing substantial potential in AI and robotaxi development. → The “Musk factor”: Discussions around Elon Musk stepping away from politics are seen as a long-term positive driver. Technical Analysis of TSLA Shares The ascending channel remains intact. However, the chart suggests that the upper boundary now acts as resistance — unsurprising given the exceptional gains in September (noting that TSLA’s price has doubled since its yearly low). A slowdown in momentum is signalled by a bearish divergence on the RSI indicator. Resistance at the upper boundary is further reinforced by a strong bearish reversal from late 2024. A similar pattern was recently observed when the price struggled to break above the bearish reversal zone at $345–355, resulting in an extended sideways movement in August and early September. By analogy, the $445–465 zone may also act as resistance — meaning a correction remains a plausible scenario. For example, TSLA stock price could pull back to test the psychological $400 level, which is supported by the median of the current channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
Take a bullish position on Tesla as price action shows upside moCurrent Price: $440.4 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $470.5 - T2 = $495.0 Stop Levels: - S1 = $423.0 - S2 = $410.5 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla. **Key Insights:** Tesla has consistently shown resilience in its stock movements, benefiting from broad technological integration, market-leading innovation, and strong consumer demand for its electric vehicles. As we approach Q4 2025, the company has capitalized on expanding production capabilities in key markets, including North America and Europe, which have bolstered its outlook despite economic headwinds. Specifically, Tesla’s recent advancements in AI-driven vehicle automation and energy storage solutions have continued to sustain its competitive edge in emerging industries. Tesla also remains a key beneficiary of government incentives related to renewable energy transformation and electric vehicle adoption. Institutions are closely monitoring Tesla’s ability to expand its gross profit margins, which could justify the current valuation and enable further upside. In the coming months, traders anticipate significant M&A activity in the renewable energy sector, a move that could indirectly benefit Tesla’s energy ventures. These factors, combined with its proven ability to scale efficiently, suggest strong potential for further growth in its share price. **Recent Performance:** Tesla’s market price has climbed steadily in recent weeks, reaching $440.4 at the close on September 29, 2025. The stock saw a rally earlier in September, driven by positive earnings guidance and favorable macroeconomic conditions. Tesla’s recent ability to break above a key resistance level of $430 confirms a bullish trend and supports the outlook for achieving higher price targets. Notably, trading volume continues to increase following last week’s bullish breakout, underscoring robust investor interest. **Expert Analysis:** Experts emphasize Tesla’s technical setup, with key indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing momentum in favor of a continued uptrend. The RSI currently sits at 58, approaching overbought territory but indicating sufficient upside before major resistance constrains the movement. Analysts are also optimistic about Tesla’s expanding margins as long-term megatrends favor electric vehicle adoption and clean energy solutions. From a technical perspective, Tesla has formed higher lows and higher highs on its daily chart, demonstrating a bullish market structure. The stock’s MACD crossover signal earlier this month supports upward momentum, while the 200-day moving average at $419 signals additional support if a pullback occurs. **News Impact:** Recent announcements regarding Tesla’s AI initiatives, including progress in Optimus humanoid robot development, have created a positive narrative about its technological leadership. Additionally, the opening of Tesla’s new gigafactory in Canada, focused on commercial energy storage solutions, is expected to contribute strongly to revenue growth in 2025 and beyond. The broader market’s reaction to these developments has been optimistic, further supporting the bullish sentiment. Furthermore, Tesla’s recent focus on cost control and production efficiency as shared during the Q3 earnings call has been well-received by analysts. **Trading Recommendation:** Given Tesla’s bullish price action, market positioning, and favorable macroeconomic environment, this is a strong opportunity for traders to take a long position. The stock’s break above $430 and recent news catalysts provide confidence in the short-term price targets of $470.5 and $495.0. While caution should be maintained due to potential volatility, the clear upward trajectory signals robust buy-side demand. Positioning with appropriate stop-loss levels at $423 and $410.5 ensures risk control, making this set-up appealing to both retail and institutional investors. Do you want to save hours every week? Register for the free weekly update in your language!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Introduction to Bond Investing and Its Typesation Bonds often move inversely to equities. When stock markets are volatile, bonds can provide stability, reducing overall portfolio risk. 2.4 Tax Benefits Certain bonds, such as municipal bonds in the U.S., offer tax-free interest, making them attractive for investors in higher tax brackets. Similarly, tax-free bonds in India provide interest income exempt from income tax. 2.5 Hedging Against Inflation While not all bonds hedge against inflation, inflation-linked bonds (like TIPS in the U.S. or Inflation-Indexed Bonds in India) adjust principal or interest based on inflation, protecting investors’ purchasing power. 3. Key Risks in Bond Investing Despite their reputation as safe investments, bonds carry risks: Interest Rate Risk: When interest rates rise, bond prices fall, and vice versa. Long-term bonds are more sensitive to rate changes. Credit Risk: Risk of issuer default, especially in corporate or high-yield bonds. Reinvestment Risk: Risk that interest income cannot be reinvested at the same rate. Inflation Risk: Fixed interest payments may lose value if inflation rises faster than expected. Liquidity Risk: Difficulty in selling bonds quickly at a fair price, especially for low-volume corporate bonds. Investors must weigh these risks against their income and capital preservation goals. 4. Types of Bonds Bonds can be classified in multiple ways—by issuer, maturity, interest structure, and risk level. Understanding these types helps investors choose bonds aligning with their investment objectives. 4.1 Based on Issuer 4.1.1 Government Bonds Issued by central or state governments to finance budget deficits or infrastructure projects. These bonds are considered low-risk. Examples include: Treasury Bonds (T-Bonds): Long-term securities issued by the U.S. Treasury. G-Secs (Government Securities) in India: Bonds issued by the Reserve Bank of India on behalf of the government. Municipal Bonds: Issued by local governments or municipalities; often tax-free. Features: Low default risk Lower yields compared to corporate bonds Highly liquid 4.1.2 Corporate Bonds Issued by companies to raise capital for expansion or operations. They typically offer higher yields than government bonds to compensate for higher risk. Types of Corporate Bonds: Investment-Grade Bonds: High credit quality (AAA to BBB). High-Yield (Junk) Bonds: Lower credit quality, higher risk, higher returns. 4.1.3 Supranational Bonds Issued by international organizations like the World Bank or IMF. Considered safe due to backing by multiple governments. 4.2 Based on Maturity 4.2.1 Short-Term Bonds Maturity less than 3 years. Advantages: Low interest rate risk, high liquidity. Disadvantages: Lower yields. 4.2.2 Medium-Term Bonds Maturity between 3–10 years. Balance between yield and interest rate risk. 4.2.3 Long-Term Bonds Maturity above 10 years. Advantages: Higher yields. Disadvantages: High interest rate sensitivity, price volatility. 4.3 Based on Interest Structure 4.3.1 Fixed-Rate Bonds Pay a fixed coupon rate over the bond’s life. Simple to understand, predictable income. 4.3.2 Floating-Rate Bonds Coupon rate adjusts periodically based on a benchmark rate, like LIBOR or RBI repo rate. Protects against interest rate fluctuations. 4.3.3 Zero-Coupon Bonds No periodic interest; sold at a discount and redeemed at face value. Profit comes from the difference between purchase price and face value. 4.3.4 Inflation-Linked Bonds Principal or interest adjusts according to inflation, protecting the investor’s purchasing power. Example: U.S. TIPS or India’s Inflation-Indexed Bonds. 4.4 Based on Risk Level AAA/Investment-Grade Bonds: Low risk, stable returns. High-Yield/Junk Bonds: Higher default risk, higher returns. Convertible Bonds: Can be converted into company stock, offering upside potential with lower interest. 5. How Bonds Are Priced Bond prices fluctuate in response to interest rates, credit risk, and market demand. The key concepts in bond pricing include: Par Value: Price at which the bond is issued. Premium: Price above face value when coupon rates exceed market rates. Discount: Price below face value when coupon rates are lower than market rates. Yield to Maturity (YTM): The total return expected if the bond is held to maturity, accounting for interest payments and capital gain/loss. Example: A 5-year bond with ₹1,000 face value and 8% coupon rate may trade at ₹950 if market interest rates rise to 9%. 6. Methods of Investing in Bonds 6.1 Direct Bond Purchase Investors buy bonds through brokers or banks. Suitable for large portfolios and those seeking control over bond selection. 6.2 Bond Mutual Funds Mutual funds pool money to invest in a diversified portfolio of bonds. Benefits include professional management, diversification, and liquidity. 6.3 Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) Bond ETFs track bond indices and trade like stocks on exchanges. Offer liquidity and diversification with lower minimum investment. 6.4 Laddering Strategy Investing in bonds with different maturities to manage reinvestment risk and maintain steady income. 7. Factors to Consider Before Investing in Bonds Investment Objective: Income, capital preservation, or growth. Risk Tolerance: Comfort with interest rate fluctuations and default risk. Liquidity Needs: Ability to sell bonds without loss. Economic Outlook: Interest rate trends, inflation, and credit market conditions. Tax Implications: Consider tax-exempt bonds or tax-deferred accounts. 8. Advantages of Bond Investing Steady income and cash flow Capital preservation, especially with government bonds Portfolio diversification and lower volatility Tax benefits for certain types of bonds Access to professional management through funds and ETFs 9. Disadvantages of Bond Investing Interest rate sensitivity can lead to price volatility Credit risk in corporate or high-yield bonds Lower potential returns compared to equities Inflation can erode real returns 10. Current Trends in Bond Markets Increasing interest rates impact bond prices negatively. Rise of green bonds and ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) bonds for sustainable investing. Growing popularity of bond ETFs for retail investors. Central banks actively using bonds for monetary policy interventions. 11. Conclusion Bond investing plays a critical role in building a balanced investment portfolio. By understanding the types of bonds, their risks, and returns, investors can make informed decisions that align with their financial goals. Whether seeking stable income, capital preservation, or hedging against market volatility, bonds provide an essential foundation for both individual and institutional investors. Successful bond investing requires careful assessment of credit quality, interest rate trends, and diversification strategies. Using a mix of government, corporate, and specialized bonds like inflation-linked securities, investors can optimize returns while minimizing risk.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
TSLA – Bulls Eye a Breakout While Gamma Maps the Path 🚀 1-Hour Technical Outlook
Tesla is pressing the upper boundary of a rising wedge that’s been developing since mid-September. Friday’s strong bounce off the $415–$420 demand zone reclaimed key hourly EMAs and has price rotating around $440. The MACD histogram just flipped positive and the Stoch RSI is still rising—momentum favors the bulls in the near term.
Key resistance sits at $445.7 (recent swing high) and the wedge top near $448–$450. A sustained hourly close above $450 would invalidate the wedge’s bearish bias and open room toward $455 and $460. On the downside, first support is $432–$430, then $423 and the critical $415 zone. 2-Gamma Exposure (GEX) Confirmation
Today’s GEX map backs the bullish case: * Largest Call Wall / Max positive GEX is concentrated at $450 (≈73% call concentration). * Next meaningful upside GEX cluster is $455 with ≈19% call flow. * Put support is layered at $430 / $425 where negative gamma thins out. This tells us market-makers will hedge by buying if price pushes above $450, amplifying a breakout. Conversely, a drop through $430 could accelerate hedging pressure lower. 3-Trade Ideas & Option Plays for This Week * Aggressive Bullish Play: Hourly close above $445.7 and strong volume → Consider short-dated 0DTE/2DTE calls targeting $450–$455. Stop-loss below $440. * Measured Bullish Play: Wait for clean breakout over $450 → 1-week 450 or 455 calls, or debit spreads like 445/455 to reduce premium. * Protective Hedge: If TSLA loses $430 with momentum, quick puts to $425/$420 can work as insurance. With IVR at ~25 and IVx near 64, premiums are not overly inflated, offering a decent risk/reward window for spreads. My Take
TSLA is in a constructive hourly up-move that can quickly accelerate if $450 flips to support. Gamma positioning and fresh momentum give the bulls an edge, but the wedge pattern warns that a fake-out is possible. Keep stops tight and respect $430 as the line in the sand. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
TSLA SEP - OCT 2025TSLA is consolidating below a major supply zone near 450, showing signs of distribution after the recent rally. Strong supports remain at 350 and 305, with a broader accumulation area between 250–220 tied to institutional orders. Price action suggests buyers remain in control unless 350 breaks. Upside target: 500, with extension to 580 if momentum continues Downside target: 350, then 305 if pressure builds #TSLA #globaltrade #investment #investing #stockmarket #wealth #realestate #markets #economy #finance #money #forex #trading #price #business #currency #blockchain #crypto #cryptocurrency #airdrop #btc #ethereum #ico #altcoin #cryptonews #Bitcoin #ipo
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TWMMPRO
The Options Mirage: The Jackpot That’s Rigged Against YouMost retail traders fall in love with options because they seem to offer the impossible: with just a few hundred dollars you can dream of outsized returns. Fast money, easy money—at least that’s the story. With the right broker account and a handful of trades, the dream of becoming rich feels just around the corner. What you’re not told—and what few truly understand given the complexity of the product—is that the “explosive payout” is not an opportunity. It’s a price. A very high one. And often inflated by the industry itself, knowing that the average investor (or rather, gambler) has no real way to calculate what they’re actually paying for. What you’re really buying is access to an extremely low probability of success, dressed up as a sophisticated strategy. Yes, it’s the same psychology that drives lotteries and sports betting. And in finance, the odds aren’t any kinder. The Baseline: the Where At its simplest, speculation is about anticipating an up or down move in price. Think it’s going up? Buy and aim to sell higher. Think it’s going down? Sell and aim to buy back lower. It sounds simple, but anyone with more than a month of trading experience can tell you it’s anything but. No one can predict the future with certainty. Still, this is at least a binary game: two mutually exclusive outcomes, like flipping a coin. In technical terms, the market starts as a 50/50 distribution. With skill, analysis, and discipline, you might bias those odds slightly—say, 60/40 in your favor. That bias, repeated consistently, is what we call an edge. And with an edge, the path to long-term success is paved. The Illusion of Acceleration But let’s be honest: who wants to grind out a 60/40 edge slowly? We’re here for the Lamborghini, right? And the sooner the better. That’s where the industry steps in with its “solution”: options. The promise is seductive—leverage the process, accelerate the outcome. With little money down, you can aim for massive returns. What’s not to like? The problem is that the acceleration doesn’t come for free. To deliver those explosive payouts, the game adds layers of complexity. From Where… to How and When In options, you don’t just need to be right about where price is going. You also need to be right about how it moves. That’s volatility—the speed and amplitude of the move. Even if you guess the direction correctly, if the move isn’t strong enough to beat strike + premium, you lose. And then comes the when. Options expire. Time works against you. With the rise of 0DTE options, this window has shrunk to a single day. You might be perfectly right on direction and volatility—but if it happens tomorrow instead of today, your trade is worthless. Now here’s the key point: this isn’t additive complexity. It’s multiplicative. Each layer collapses your probability of success exponentially. Even though the mathematical proof could be enlightening, I have promised not to use heavy math in this blog. All you need to know is this: in the majority of cases, that collapse in probability is not evenly compensated by the outsized payout. And this is exactly what most retail traders fail to perceive. It’s not just that you’re playing a harder game—it’s that you’re playing a biased one, where the odds are stacked even further against you. The Lottery Bias: The Cognitive Trap Here’s where psychology plays its cruelest trick. The lower the probability of success, the higher the payout offered. In fact, it’s not even the full payout you deserve—it’s a discounted, haircut payout, cleverly packaged so you don’t notice because the potential number is so large. And that number lights up the brain like a jackpot. The industry knows this. It builds its business on the fact that humans systematically overestimate tiny probabilities and underestimate the certainty of losing. Retail traders convince themselves they’re being clever: risking little for the chance at something huge. But the math is merciless—the expected value is brutally negative. The market is not handing you an edge. It’s dismantling any possibility you had of one. That giant payout you see? It’s not a gift—it’s a warning label. And yes, I know you can point to stories about the guy who hit the jackpot, who “proved the math wrong.” But let me ask you this: do you know what survivorship bias is? If you don’t, and you’re trading options, here’s some professional advice for free—go and read about it before you place your next trade. The Real Path to the Lambo What gets sold as “smart leverage” is, in truth, just a lottery ticket wearing a suit. The Lambo doesn’t come from hitting jackpots. It comes from consistency—from repeating disciplined decisions with positive expectancy until compounding does its quiet but powerful work. And yes, I know most traders are in a hurry. The good news? The process can be accelerated—but not by gambling on options with negative expectancy. It can be accelerated using technical, rational tools. Once an edge is established, leverage makes sense. That’s where concepts like the Kelly criterion come in: scaling growth aggressively, but without walking straight into ruin. (I’ve already written about Kelly earlier in this blog: here.) Conclusion We’ve stripped the illusion bare: more conditions don’t make you smarter, they make you less likely to succeed. What feels like a shortcut is nothing more than a statistical mirage—the financial equivalent of a lottery ticket, marketed to you as a “highway to riches,” exploiting your belief that complexity equals intelligence. Unfortunately, the narrative is powerful, because it preys directly on cognitive bias. I know I’m swimming against the tide here. I know this post won’t go viral. I don’t expect many to believe what the math has to say about options trading. But maybe, just maybe, a small number of traders reading this will see beneath the surface and save their time, energy, and money for better pursuits. If that’s you, then this post has already done its job. If you can resist the mirage and stick to building real edges, you’ve already won a key battle—and most likely saved yourself a costly trading lesson.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by CF_444
18