Trade ideas
USDOLLAR before 2% decrease... The figure shows a white ATR axis and a green wave axis. I guess the "auxiliary axle" mirrored on the ATR axis can be the current rise resistance level. I look forward to turning this axis. Further wave structure can be determined by the green wave axis. The symmetrical wave motion on this axis may be descending with a target price of 11975 usd.
US Dollar: Mind the scallopsScallops are broad patterns as shown in the chart. Whilst de-dollarisation is happening at a slow macroeconomic pace, coming from Russia, China and Japan (largely), it doesn't mean that the US Dollar will simply roll over.
The pattern of the scallops is quite visible. Now the US-Dollar is at a critical point and making attempts to do another scallop. I don't assume that each scallop will be less prominent than the previous. Overall the trend from April 2018 seems to be weakening but I make no assumptions that in the short term (next few weeks) the US-Dollar will not bounce north.
US-Dollar strength is broadly inversely correlated with commodities, metals and US-stock-markets - whilst affecting the strength of other currencies indirectly.
The pattern is useful in terms of assessing other positions in the markets both on Stock Markets and Forex.
US Dollar Index Macro View 30/12 - Happy New YearLow volume is likely to continue in the US Dollar Index until coming Wednesday, the day after New year. Friday Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Rate data might bring some volatility in the market.
The US Dollar Index chart did not change last week ranging between 12300 & 12260 levels. The long-term constructive for bull, till price stay below 12200 levels going forward. Looking into medium-term where the US Dollar Index could continue its way towards 12330 levels progresses. The short-term suggesting sideways might be seen for upcoming week till prices break strongly above 12260 to constructive for bull or bounce down to 12260 levels to retest support. Overall, the medium-term bull structure prevails until prices stays below 12100 levels.
Upcoming week will be a quiet trading week ahead.
ForexBriefcase takes this opportunity to wish you and your family a Happy New Year.
Disclaimer:
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained in this content is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ForexBriefcase will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
US Dollar Index Macro View 23/12 - Merry ChristmasThere is no surprise that Federal Reserve rate hike, US Dollar Index rallied after. Investor were looking for Fed Chair Powell dovish tone but his comments came out optimistic. The dollar rose despite the fact that 10-year Treasury yields dropped. Small adjustment in the statement on lowered growth and inflation forecast, these changes were not significant to push the dollar lower. Fed Chair Powell’s comments that he made it clear that nothing is predetermined and everything is data dependent but he also said the sharp decline in US equities and tightening of financial market conditions has not fundamentally altered their outlook. The Fed still plan to raise interest rates in 2019 and most policy makers expect the economy to grow. However, if the bond market continues to fall, it will be difficult for the dollar to sustain its strength.
The US Dollar Index chart did not change last week ranging between 12330 & 12260 levels. The long-term constructive for bull, till price stay below 12200 levels going forward. Looking into medium-term where the US Dollar Index could continue its way towards 12330 levels progresses. The short-term suggesting sideways might be seen for upcoming week till prices break strongly above 12260 to constructive for bull or bounce down to 12260 levels to retest support. Overall, the medium-term bull structure prevails until prices stays below 12100 levels.
Upcoming week will be a quiet trading week ahead.
ForexBriefcase takes this opportunity to wish you and your family a very Merry Christmas.
Disclaimer:
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained in this content is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ForexBriefcase will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
USDOLLAR (24-12-2018 until 28-12-2018)Monthly:
Bullish in progress.
Weekly:
Bullish in progress.
Short term might be bearish.
Daily:
Price consolidation in progress.
The price is consolidating within the triangle range.
4-Hours:
Bullish and bearish are fighting each other.
1-Hour:
Price rebound within the triangle.
Prepare to buy when there is a dip.
Price consolidation seems to be taking more time than expected.
Be patient and keep cash with your account.
As long as there is money to trade, you still can win.
Stick to your money management plan.
Only loss 2% of your account money. Let the winner win.
US Dollar Index Macro View 16/12Past week, Producer Price Indexes came out better than expected, U.S. consumer prices unchanged and U.S. Retail Sales previous data are revised upwards. Leading to a stronger US Dollars. Upcoming FOMC Economic Projections, Statement, interest rates and Press Conference 30 mins after data release. The Federal Reserve, is highly likely to hike interest rates for the fourth time this year, but how many more hikes will come in 2019?
The US Dollar Index chart last week range between 12330 & 12260 levels. Where the views still remain as unchanged from last week. The long-term constructive for bull, till price stay below 12200 levels going forward. Looking into medium-term where the US Dollar Index could continue its way towards 12330 levels progresses. The short-term suggesting sideways might be seen for upcoming week till prices break strongly above 12260 to constructive for bull or bounce down to 12260 levels to retest support. Overall, the medium-term bull structure prevails until prices stays below 12100 levels.
Disclaimer:
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained in this content is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ForexBriefcase will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
USDOLLAR (17-12-2018 until 21-12-2018)Monthly:
Bull and uptrend still happening.
Weekly:
Price consolidation is in progress.
Daily:
Price uptrend in progress. Breakout just happen and retracted.
Need to wait price hit the resistance and prepare to buy.
4-Hour:
Price down for short term and consolidate.
1-Hour:
Wait for the price to hit resistance and prepare for uptrend.
Be careful of the short term price short fall.






















