S&P500 CHART UPDATE !!S&P 500 Analysis
The S&P 500 is trading near 6,650, moving strongly within its ascending channel.
Support: 6,400 – key level to hold for bullish momentum.
Resistance: 6,800 – a breakout could open the door toward 7,200.
The trend remains bullish, and staying above the midline keeps upside potential intact.
A breakdown below 6,400 may signal a short-term correction.
US500FU trade ideas
Despite AI valuation pressures, US500 outlook remains positive.
Robust US data tempered Fed rate-cut bets, dragging equities lower for a third day, though investors expect the pullback to be short-lived. Nvidia’s (NVDA) 100 bln USD investment in OpenAI has raised questions over vendor financing risks, deepening worries over elevated valuations. Still, institutions expect US equities to hold a tactical bullish stance. JPMorgan (JPM) projected that while a government shutdown and fragile sentiment may trigger midweek weakness, solid economic growth, a resilient labor market, and AI momentum could drive the S&P; 500 to 7,000 by year-end.
US500 remains within the ascending channel, sustaining its steady uptrend. After briefly testing EMA21 and the channel’s lower bound, the index rebounded, indicating the potential extension of a bullish structure. If US500 continues to hold within the channel, the index may gain upward momentum toward the resistance at 6700. Conversely, if US500 breaks below the channel’s lower bound and EMA21, the index could retreat toward the support at 6530.
S&P 500 needs a correctionLooking at the volume, we see that the price is rising but the volume is declining in line with it. This indicates a high probability of a correction, in my view. Short the S&P 500 to 6146, where I expect at least an attempt to form a new bottom. Let the bears do their thing; an update will follow.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
SPX500 H1 | Bearish Momentum BuildingS&P500 is rising towards the sell entry at 6,647.13, which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 6,681.57, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 6,614.24, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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S&P500 pushing to a new ATH?The S&P 500 (+0.34%) pushed to another record high as Q4 began, showing resilience despite ongoing US government shutdown risks and a weaker ADP private payrolls report, which signaled contraction. Markets leaned on expectations of faster Fed rate cuts, with Treasury yields falling sharply as investors reassessed labor market strength.
Sector drivers:
Gold and defensive plays gained as shutdown uncertainty supported safe-haven demand.
Tech outperformed: OpenAI’s $500bn valuation lifted AI-linked sentiment, with gains spilling into suppliers like Samsung and SK Hynix.
Cybersecurity risk weighed on software names after hackers claimed a breach of Oracle’s E-Business Suite, demanding ransom payments.
Apple slipped on reports it is halting Vision Pro updates to prioritize AI glasses.
Market tone: Optimism around rate cuts and AI-driven growth continues to underpin the S&P 500, but shutdown risks and labor market fragility remain key watchpoints for near-term volatility.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6750
Resistance Level 2: 6770
Resistance Level 3: 6800
Support Level 1: 6680
Support Level 2: 6660
Support Level 3: 6640
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US500 Rally end?The S&P 500 is at a key moment right now, testing the 6580 support area after a sharp pullback from recent highs.
In my view, if this level breaks decisively with strong selling pressure, the market could head toward the 6400 zone, which has acted as an important support area in the past.
As long as 6580 holds, a bounce is still possible, but for now the risk seems tilted to the downside if we see a clear breakdown.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
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S&P500 corrective pullback Recent moves: The S&P 500 (-0.36%) extended losses, still weighed by the AI-driven selloff earlier in the week. Futures have recovered about half of yesterday’s drop, but overall momentum looks paused.
Macro drivers:
US housing data + firmer oil prices dampened expectations for rapid Fed rate cuts.
This pushed Treasury yields higher, with a fresh steepening of the curve. 10yr yields are back near pre-payrolls levels (+10–15bps since the FOMC).
Today’s jobless claims are key after last week’s sharp drop, with tomorrow’s core PCE the bigger risk event.
Politics:
US government shutdown risks escalated, with the White House ordering contingency firings if funding lapses. Market anxiety may rise as deadlines loom.
Geopolitics in focus: Erdogan’s White House visit could bring defense deals (Boeing, Lockheed Martin) and NATO tensions remain over Russia.
Implication for S&P 500 trading:
Near-term tone is cautious, with yields back up and Fed easing hopes questioned.
Watch jobless claims for confirmation of labor resilience and core PCE tomorrow as the next major directional driver.
Shutdown risks add headline volatility, while defense sector stocks could outperform if US–Turkey talks deliver aircraft orders.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6670
Resistance Level 2: 6700
Resistance Level 3: 6747
Support Level 1: 6550
Support Level 2: 6530
Support Level 3: 6500
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P500: Flash dump continues, short bias remains!
📝 1. Market Context
BLUEBERRY:SP500 Yesterday’s analysis highlighted the weakness after the market failed at resistance. Today, that scenario was confirmed with a flash dump and a sequence of strong red candles, signaling sellers remain firmly in control. The short-term structure continues to print lower highs and lower lows, which clearly reflects the dominance of the bearish trend.
🟥 2. Resistance Zone
The 6,651 – 6,658 area (red zone on the chart) continues to act as a critical resistance. This zone is reinforced by 4 levels of resistance combined with moving averages (MA). Moreover, the latest bounce is still contained within a large red candle, signaling that buyers lack the strength to shift momentum.
Each time price tested this zone, it faced strong rejection. As long as the market trades below this red zone, the dominant trend remains bearish.
📉 3. Bearish Trend & Downside Targets
Currently, the market has confirmed the bearish trend by consistently forming lower highs. This is already the third bearish leg since the downtrend began – and according to wave logic, the third leg often turns out to be the strongest one, provided resistance at 6,658 holds.
• Immediate target: 6,629 – 6,615 (a key support cluster that previously rejected price).
• If broken: selling pressure could push the market further down toward 6,578 and even 6,560 – both strong technical and psychological support levels.
✅ 4. Conclusion
The S&P500 has confirmed its bearish trend with a flash dump. The 6,651 – 6,658 area remains the critical resistance, and as long as price stays below this zone, sellers have the upper hand. The bearish scenario remains valid with the first target at 6,629 – 6,615, and if this support fails, the move could extend toward 6,578 – 6,560.
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S&P500 uptrend continuation?Key Drivers for S&P 500
Government shutdown risk: With no deal in sight and a 79% market-implied probability of a shutdown tomorrow, headline risk is elevated. Historically, most shutdowns have been short, but lingering political uncertainty could weigh on sentiment.
Rates & bonds: A global bond rally (10yr USTs -3.6bps) supported equities, particularly rate-sensitive and cyclical sectors. Lower yields are helping housing-linked names, as shown by the strong pending home sales data.
Commodities: Oil’s sharp decline (-3.45%, biggest drop since June) reduced inflation concerns and eased pressure on equities.
Sector performance: Gains were broad-based; cyclical sectors and construction materials led, while tech (NASDAQ +0.48%, Mag 7 +0.37%) outperformed. Equal-weighted S&P also rose (+0.32%), confirming breadth.
Safe haven demand: Gold’s rally highlights investor caution despite equity gains—suggesting hedging activity alongside risk-on moves.
S&P 500 Trading Takeaway
Equities remain resilient, closing near record highs with support from falling yields and softer oil prices. However, government shutdown risks and political uncertainty could cap upside near term. Expect headline-driven volatility with cyclical and tech sectors best positioned to extend gains if yields stay contained.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6686
Resistance Level 2: 6710
Resistance Level 3: 6750
Support Level 1: 6600
Support Level 2: 6580
Support Level 3: 6556
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P 500 (US500) holds near records high on AI/Fed-cut betsS&P 500 holds near records on AI/Fed-cut bets
Technical analysis
1. US500 has been forming series of higher swings, and the bullish EMAs signal firm upside momentum. Intraday pullbacks are viewed as short-term dips.
2. If US500 breaks above the 6740 resistance, the index could extend to 6770.
3. However, if US500 pulls back and breaks below the 6720 support, a deeper consolidation toward 6700, previously a resistance, may follow.
Fundamental analysis
4. S&P 500 edged up and hovered near record highs, supported by optimism around AI and expectations of additional Fed rate cuts, even as the US government shutdown drags on and delays the release of employment data.
5. Analysts see the market impact of the shutdown as limited compared with the larger risk from a weakening labor market—evident in the mixed labor data (fewer Challenger layoffs but a weaker ADP report), which reinforces that view.
6. With NFP likely to be delayed, investors are focusing on the September ISM services index, which is expected to ease to 51.8 from 52.0.
7. Analysts expect the S&P 500 to remain bullish this week, driven by strong earnings, seasonal trends, and positive technicals. While macro news could cause volatility, the overall trend points upward.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Capital Flows: Introduction and Its Types1. Introduction to Capital Flows
Capital flows refer to the movement of money for the purpose of investment, trade, or business production across borders or within a country. These movements are essential for financing economic activities, promoting growth, and integrating economies globally. Capital flows can occur in various forms, such as foreign direct investment (FDI), portfolio investment, loans, and grants, and they play a crucial role in determining a country’s financial stability, exchange rates, and overall economic health.
In a globalized economy, capital flows are influenced by multiple factors, including interest rate differentials, economic growth expectations, political stability, and global financial conditions. They not only provide resources for investment but also affect the balance of payments, exchange rates, and financial market dynamics.
Importance of Capital Flows
Economic Growth: Capital inflows provide funds for investment in infrastructure, technology, and industry.
Financial Market Development: They enhance liquidity and depth in domestic capital markets.
Exchange Rate Stability: Capital inflows can stabilize or destabilize currencies, depending on their nature and volume.
Integration with Global Economy: Facilitates trade and investment linkages across countries.
Risk Diversification: Allows investors to diversify portfolios internationally, reducing exposure to domestic risks.
Capital flows can be both short-term and long-term, each having distinct impacts on an economy. Understanding the types of capital flows helps policymakers manage them effectively and mitigate associated risks.
2. Classification of Capital Flows
Capital flows can be classified based on their nature, duration, and purpose. Broadly, they are categorized into foreign direct investment (FDI), portfolio investment, other investments, and financial derivatives and loans.
2.1. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
FDI refers to investments made by a foreign entity to acquire a lasting interest in a domestic company or asset. This usually involves significant influence or control over the enterprise. FDI is a long-term form of capital flow and is considered relatively stable compared to short-term portfolio flows.
Types of FDI
Horizontal FDI: Investment in the same industry abroad as in the investor's home country.
Vertical FDI: Investment in a business abroad that plays a role in the investor’s supply chain.
Backward Vertical: Investment in suppliers.
Forward Vertical: Investment in distributors or buyers.
Conglomerate FDI: Investment in unrelated industries in the host country.
Advantages of FDI
Transfer of technology and management expertise
Creation of jobs in the host country
Promotion of export-oriented growth
Risks of FDI
Political and regulatory risks
Profit repatriation affecting domestic capital availability
2.2. Portfolio Investment
Portfolio investment refers to investments in financial assets such as stocks, bonds, or other securities in a foreign country without seeking control over the entities invested in. These flows are typically more volatile and are influenced by market sentiment, interest rate differentials, and exchange rate expectations.
Types of Portfolio Investments
Equity Investments: Buying shares in foreign companies.
Debt Investments: Investment in foreign bonds or debt instruments.
Mutual Funds & ETFs: Indirect investment through global funds.
Advantages of Portfolio Investment
Provides liquidity to financial markets
Encourages efficient capital allocation
Access to higher returns
Risks of Portfolio Investment
Sudden outflows due to changes in global investor sentiment
Exchange rate risks affecting returns
Vulnerability to financial crises
2.3. Other Investments
This category includes capital flows that are not strictly FDI or portfolio investments but still impact the financial system significantly.
Examples
Bank Loans & Trade Credits: Funds borrowed from foreign banks or trade partners.
Currency & Deposit Flows: Short-term movements of foreign currency deposits.
Intercompany Loans: Funds transferred between parent companies and subsidiaries.
Advantages
Provides short-term liquidity to markets
Facilitates international trade and business operations
Risks
Susceptibility to sudden reversals
Exchange rate volatility impacts repayment costs
2.4. Financial Derivatives
Derivatives such as forwards, futures, options, and swaps also constitute capital flows in the form of investment in risk management and speculative activities. Though not physical capital, these instruments influence liquidity, hedging, and capital allocation in global markets.
3. Direction of Capital Flows
Capital flows can be inflows (into a country) or outflows (from a country). Each type has different economic implications.
3.1. Capital Inflows
Capital inflows bring foreign funds into a domestic economy.
Benefits: Boosts investment, improves liquidity, strengthens currency reserves.
Risks: Can create asset bubbles, currency appreciation, and overdependence on foreign capital.
3.2. Capital Outflows
Capital outflows involve domestic capital moving abroad.
Reasons: Seeking higher returns, diversification, or risk hedging.
Risks: Can weaken domestic currency, reduce investment, and trigger financial instability.
4. Determinants of Capital Flows
Several factors influence the magnitude and direction of capital flows:
Interest Rate Differentials: Higher returns attract capital inflows.
Economic Growth Prospects: Fast-growing economies attract FDI and portfolio flows.
Political Stability & Policy Environment: Investor confidence depends on legal and political frameworks.
Exchange Rate Expectations: Anticipated currency appreciation or depreciation drives speculative flows.
Global Financial Conditions: Changes in global liquidity, crises, or monetary policies influence flows.
5. Risks and Challenges Associated with Capital Flows
While capital flows are essential for growth, they pose several risks:
Volatility Risk: Sudden inflow or outflow can destabilize financial markets.
Exchange Rate Risk: Large inflows can lead to currency appreciation, harming exports.
Debt Sustainability Risk: Excessive reliance on foreign borrowing may lead to debt crises.
Inflationary Pressure: Large capital inflows can increase money supply and inflation.
Policymakers often use capital controls, macroprudential measures, and hedging mechanisms to manage these risks.
6. Trends in Global Capital Flows
Global capital flows have changed significantly in recent decades due to globalization, technological advancement, and financial market liberalization:
Pre-2008 Crisis: Rapid growth in cross-border portfolio flows, especially to emerging markets.
Post-2008 Crisis: Greater emphasis on long-term FDI and cautious portfolio flows.
Current Trends: ESG-driven investments, digital asset flows, and regional investment blocs (e.g., ASEAN, EU).
7. Policy Implications
Governments and central banks actively manage capital flows to achieve economic stability:
Encouraging FDI: Through tax incentives, ease of doing business, and infrastructure development.
Regulating Portfolio Flows: To prevent sudden reversals affecting currency and financial markets.
Macroprudential Measures: Controlling credit growth, currency exposure, and leverage.
Capital Controls: Temporary restrictions on inflows or outflows to stabilize markets.
8. Conclusion
Capital flows are vital for the functioning and development of modern economies. They provide the necessary funds for investment, enhance financial market liquidity, and facilitate economic growth. However, the benefits of capital flows come with inherent risks, including volatility, currency fluctuations, and potential financial instability. Understanding the types, determinants, and impacts of capital flows is essential for policymakers, investors, and economists to maximize economic benefits while mitigating potential adverse effects.
By effectively managing capital flows, countries can harness global financial integration to fuel sustainable growth and development. As globalization continues, monitoring and adapting to changes in capital flows will remain a critical aspect of economic planning and financial stability.
The dollar on the brink: how the 80-year cycle from Bretton WoodThe US is on the verge of a monetary breakdown, worse than a recession. He compared the situation to the debt crisis of the 1930s, which led to the Great Depression. Today, the US is in the same trap: debt exceeds $37 trillion, and the ratio to GDP is 119 percent as of August 2025.
Today, the dollar is losing ground faster than ever since 1973, and this is no accident.
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates to 4.25 percent in September, but that is not enough. US GDP growth has slowed to 1.7 percent in the forecast for the year, with unemployment at 4.3 percent.
Consumers are spending less: spending rose by only 0.6 percent in August. And inflation? It fell to 2.3 percent in May, but the risks of a return are growing due to Trump's tariffs. These import duties — 10-20 percent on China and Europe — are hitting exporters such as Midwestern farmers.
If confidence collapses, bond rates will soar and inflation will return. Dalio paints a picture in his book How Nations Go Bankrupt: empires fall when debt stifles growth.
I expect that the rate will not be lowered, portfolio position fixing will begin across the entire market, including precious metals and cryptocurrencies. As was the case in April 2025.
The decline will be like in April 2025.
IPO Market Is Hot – Explore Winners, Losers & Listing CandidatesThe IPO market has woken up from its multi-year nap and is now in beast mode. But as always, Wall Street’s hottest party comes with an entrance fee and a dose of uncertainty – opaque prices, sketchy balance sheets, and a whole lot of FOMO.
So who’s winning, who’s losing, and who’s still waiting in the pipeline? Let’s find out.
🚀 The IPO Mania Returns
After years of drought, IPO mania is back in full swing. More than 150 companies have listed this year – up from 99 at this point in 2024 and just 76 in 2023, according to Renaissance Capital.
Together, they’ve raised nearly $30 billion, compared with $24 billion last year. First-day gains? Averaging 26%, the best since 2020. IPOs aren’t just back, they’re back with conviction.
Renaissance estimates we could see 40–60 more deals before the year is out. In other words, if you thought you missed the fun, the afterparty’s still ahead.
🤗 The Winners
Some debuts have been straight out of an IPO fantasy league.
Circle NYSE:CRCL , the stablecoin issuer, lit up the screens with a jaw-dropping 168% surge on its first trading day.
Firefly Aerospace NASDAQ:FLY , a rocket and lunar lander, blasted 30% higher on its IPO day, living up to its name.
Klarna NYSE:KLAR didn’t exactly moon, but a 15% pop for a lossmaking buy-now-pay-later firm isn’t shabby in this environment.
Then there’s Figure NASDAQ:FIGR , the blockchain-native mortgage lender. Since its listing in mid-September , it’s up 44% even after a midweek stumble. Investors love a fintech-meets-crypto mashup story – and Figure is playing it well.
Who said Figma NYSE:FIG ? The design software maker went vertical in its market debut , although reality has since slapped it down from those frothy day-one highs. Still, design nerds everywhere are proudly watching their favorite platform make its way up the rankings among the world's biggest software companies .
😭 The Losers
Not every IPO has the golden touch.
StubHub NYSE:STUB , the ticketing platform, came in hot with an 8% intraday pop above its $23.50 listing price, only to end its first session underwater at $22 . The days after? Even worse – the stock is floating near the $18 mark.
CoreWeave NASDAQ:CRWV , the AI up-and-comer, is a really interesting one. First off, it stumbled at the start after pricing its shares at $40 to float in March.
It traded under its IPO price for a while before clawing back with AI hype fueling the shares by 450% May through June. Then insider selling knocked the winds out of its sails in August.
Now it’s gravitating at triple its offering price, proving IPOs are a marathon, not a sprint.
🎲 The Pricing Game
The truth is, IPO pricing is as much science as it is art (and sometimes performance art). Investment banks like Goldman NYSE:GS , Morgan Stanley NYSE:MS , and Citi NYSE:C run the roadshows, build the books, and set the price. Oversubscribed IPOs often guarantee a strong open. Undersubscribed ones? Crickets.
Bears hate this one simple trick: most IPOs only float about 15–20% of the company. That tiny slice of tradable shares means volatility is baked into the flotation. Throw in a 180-day lockup (when insiders can’t sell), and early trading is a weird mix of price discovery and pure speculation.
💡 The Fundamentals Still Matter
The hype is real, but the numbers don’t lie. Valuations on some of these newly public firms are eye-watering. Circle trades at 130x earnings estimates, Figma at 184x. Compare that to Adobe’s 5x and you see how far the IPO froth can go.
Meanwhile, many of these firms aren’t consistently profitable. They post alternating quarters of red ink and black ink while investors cheer growth over everything.
🦄 Unicorn Watch: Who’s Next?
Here’s who’s buzzing on the IPO radar and what they’re worth in 2025:
• OpenAI, AI overlord, $500 billion
• SpaceX, rockets and satellites, $450 billion
• xAI / x.com, Elon Musk’s AI play, $200 billion
• Anthropic, OpenAI rival, $190 billion
• Databricks, data and AI analytics, $100 billion
• Stripe, payments giant, $92 billion
• Revolut, digital banking, $75 billion
• Canva, design platform (and your CV maker), $42 billion
• Fanatics, sports merch and betting, $30 billion
• Discord, chat for gamers (and everyone else), $15 billion
• Solera, software and data for auto and insurance, $10 billion
• Grayscale, crypto asset manager (part of Digital Currency Group), $10 billion
• AlphaSense, market intelligence, $4 billion
• Wealthfront, robo-advisor, $2 billion
• Quora, knowledge-sharing platform, $500 million
📉 The Risk of Chasing
So should you pile in? Here’s the trader’s dilemma: first-day pops are seductive, but inflated pricing means you’re often exit liquidity for early investors.
Waiting a few days, weeks, or even months for the froth to fade, lockups to expire, analyst coverage to roll in, and the hype to cool may be the smarter play.
🫶 Final Take
The current IPO season is hot, but so is the risk. But every IPO is different. Circle shows monster returns are possible, while StubHub proves not every ticker deserves a ticker-tape parade.
The winners? Companies with strong fundamentals (not just growth, but profits) and a story that Wall Street loves right now (AI, crypto, fintech).
The losers? Overpriced firms without consistent performance. The candidates? Mega-unicorns waiting for their grand entrance and some smaller players ready to make a splash.
As always, timing is everything. Here’s to hoping your favorite IPO won’t list right after a hawkish Jay Powell.
Off to you : What IPOs are on your radar for this year and the next? Share your thoughts in the comments!
S&P 500 Reaches Resistance in Both 1H and 1W TimeframesThe S&P 500 has made nearly a 40 percent run from the April dip despite rising stagflation risks. Traders have chosen to focus on earnings and AI optimism, and that is likely to continue.
However, the market has now reached a point where the upper lines of both the 1H and 1W trend channels are being tested, which should not be ignored. There is no reason to dismiss the strength of this magnificent bull market, but a bit of caution may be wise for those fully loaded with stocks or long the index via CFDs.
In the short term, there is a risk of a correction toward 6,500.
S&P500 approaching a Resistance that was last tested in 1998 !!This isn't the first time we present you this chart, in fact from time to time (usually on a quarterly basis) we like to bring this forward with some adjustments in order to help us maintain a long-term perspective.
And that technically shows the S&P500 index (SPX) trading within a century long Fibonacci Channel Up (since the 2029 Great Depression) with clear Bull and Bear Cycles. We will not get into much details on those, as they've been analyzed extensively in previous publications but we will point out that currently we remain inside a multi-year Bull Cycle.
In fact, since the November 2022 market bottom, we believe we've entered the A.I. Bubble, which is in our opinion (perhaps a more aggressive) version of the Internet Bubble of the 1990s. Again this has been analyzed extensively before.
Right now the index is approaching the top of the 0.5 - 0.618 Fib Zone (orange range). The one above (0.618 - 0.786 Fib, red Zone), was first entered in February 1998 and exited for good at the start of the Dotcom crash in February 2001. Since then, the market never even touched it (almost 25 years).
We believe that a marginal test and break inside this 'ghost zone' could be attempting by late 2025 - Q1 2026 and then a strong correction back near the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) will present the next long-term buy opportunity that could fuel the A.I. Bubble until it finally bursts within 2030 - 2032.
Until then, a 12000 Target on SPX isn't at all an unrealistic one, in our opinion.
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SP500 Consolidation Higher to fresh HighsThe S&P 500 is consolidating within a strong range as U.S. stocks gained traction on Monday, extending record highs with additional support from the technology sector. Markets continue to assess the outlook for interest rates, but sentiment remains broadly positive.
The index advanced more than 0.5%, maintaining a bullish structure. Key resistance is seen around 6760.40, while support rests near 6650. As long as price action remains above the support zone, the path of least resistance favours continued growth.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck,
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Financial crisis like no other coming to the SPX V SOON!Guys, it is what it says in the title.
I don't know what will cause it.
But, some how it'll happen.
Max upside potential to 6,860$, which is nothing in comparison to max downside potential of 3,958$.
What do you think will happen to other traditional assets such as property etc ?
I am not here spreading FUD, I am just stating what I see, and very much so I am near always right in the long run.
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6700.Colleagues, I think we should expect the upward movement to continue. The upward impulse is not over yet, but I think we may see a correction to the 6500 area, then I expect the upward movement to continue to the 6700 area, which is a pretty strong psychological level and is the area of 50% levels of Fibonacci extension.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!