AUDUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.660.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.658.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Trade ideas
The #1 Reason You Should Wait For The RangeThis pattern is something am seeing most of the time.
Look at the candle stick before the green one.
It looks like a bull with horns poking a hole in the range.
Wait for the next candle stick or this same one
to close in the range to enter you trade.
This looks like it will be a good move upwards.
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Look at the chart again.That green candle looks
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Short trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair & Session
Pair: AUDUSD
Date: Tue 9th Sept 2025
Session: NY PM
Trade Setup
Direction: Sellside
Entry: 0.65826
Profit Level (TP): 0.65694 (−0.35%)
Stop Level (SL): 0.65904 (+0.11%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 3.22
Context 🧠
The market reached exhaustion after the London–NY expansion higher.
Supply zone rejection: 0.6604–0.6609 capped upside.
VWAP & EMA breakdown confirmed shift to bearish order flow.
Entry refined at 0.65826 after retest of FVG / breaker rejection.
Volume spikes on downside candles showed aggressive selling pressure.
Key Levels
VWAP: 0.65982
EMA: 0.65830
Asia Range: 0.65820 – 0.66120
TWO (Target Weekly Open): 0.65528
TMA: 0.65519
TML: 0.64832
Structural Notes
Textbook ICT-style setup: liquidity sweep at highs → VWAP rejection → bearish FVG entry.
Further extension possible toward 0.6550–0.6546 if NY PM momentum holds.
Outcome
✅ Short triggered at 0.65826, very tight SL of just +0.11%.
✅ Targeting 0.65694, aligning with TWO/TMA cluster.
⚡ Strong RR 3.22, asymmetric reward for micro-risk.
Bullish continution?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level, which serves as a pullback support slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and could bounce from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 0.6552
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6510
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6620
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing high resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Australian confidence data slips, Aussie rally continuesThe Australian dollar continues to propel higher. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6618, up 0.40% on the day. The Aussie has shot up 1.5% since Thursday and is trading at six-week highs.
Australia's consumer and business confidence have taken a hit, pointing to pessimism over the economic outlook. The Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index fell 3.1% m/m in September, after a strong 5.7% gain in August. Westpac said that the index is back in "cautiously pessimistic" territory.
Consumers remain uneasy over high interest rates, as the Reserve Bank has been slow to lower rates. The Westpac survey found that consumers are more concerned about unemployment and less likely to purchase a major household item.
The NAB Business Confidence Index also headed lower, falling in August to 4 points, down from 8 in July. This marked a three-month low. Still, business conditions showed improvement and forward orders moved higher.
The Reserve Bank of Australia is coming off a quarter-point rate cut and meets next on September 30. The money markets don't expect a cut in September, as GDP rose in Q2 to 1.8% from 1.4% and core inflation jumped to 2.7% in July, up from 2.1%. A stronger economy and higher inflation will make it more difficult for the RBA to lower rates.
We could see a rate cut in November and further easing early in the new year. Much will depend on the direction of inflation, the strength of the labor market, and the health of the Chinese economy.
In the US, the Federal Reserve is poised to deliver a rate hike next week for the first time since December 2024. The weak nonfarm payrolls report has raised the likelihood of a half-point cut to 12%, with a quarter-point cut priced in at 88%, according to CME's FedWatch.
AUDUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25📅 Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25
📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:AUDUSD
08-09-2025 AUDUSDAs shown in the figure: 4H Bearish Gartley
The market is not always chaotic and disorderly, and there is a precise geometric beauty hidden in price fluctuations. The harmonic form long strategy is a powerful tool for accurately identifying potential market reversal points based on the Fibonacci ratio. When the form forms perfectly at the key support level, it often indicates the depletion of bearish momentum and the initiation of bullish trends.
AUDUSD Daily Forecast Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:AUDUSD
AUDUSD H4 | Reversal signal at swing high resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the sell entry, which acts as a swing high resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 0.6620, which is a swing high resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss is at 0.6638, a resistance that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit is at 0.6558, which is a pullback support.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD Daily Forecast Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25
🔎 AUDUSD Focus:
Watching for a bearish 4H close at our POI. Eyes are on shorts — but only when timing aligns.
Plan: wait for the 4H bearish close → pullback into POI above → 1M break of structure to confirm entry.
Discipline first, execution second.
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:AUDUSD
Approaching Fibonacci confluence level?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a swing high resistance and could reverse to the overlap support.
Pivot: 0.6620
1st Support: 0.6556
1st Resistance: 0.6667
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSD long to 0.66500soft U.S. economic data and heightened expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, which have weakened the dollar and supported the Australian currency.
Australian economic resilience highlighted by stronger-than-expected Q2 GDP and improving market sentiment ahead of key domestic surveys are reinforcing the buying momentum.
AUD USD H1A long opportunity has occurred on AUDUSD as price is pulling back to a nice support which happens to be the 0.382 fib level as well.
Confluences for the trade:
- Price in an uptrend making higher highs and higher lows.
- Price pulling back to the 0.382 fib
- Price reacting off a previous support
- Price above 50 EMA
- Price in sync with RSI
$AUDUSD Buyers are regrouping about to push the pair to the .664The buyers are on the move, about to push the pair higher. Supported by stronger commodities and a softer U.S. dollar, the pair created a new support area around .06565. Any pullback to this area will confirm further buying, pushing the pair to the .6640 area, then back down to the new support area.
AudUsd Trade IdeaIts been a minute since I posted one of these. I just took some shorts on AU with price respecting the previous high and price shifting to the downside. If all goes well we could expect price to crash back below to the major support level where price could potentially continue ranging. Looking for a 1:3rr on this set up. We'll see how it goes.
AUDUSDConsider entering long positions as the trend continues upwards, but monitor the resistance level near 0.65926. Place a stop-loss below recent support around 0.65640 to manage downside risk. Watch for volatility spikes that could indicate a change in the current trend. If momentum fades, consider reversing to short positions if bearish patterns form around resistance levels.