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U.S. DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR REFERENCE RATE

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Lingrid | AUDUSD Shorting Opportunity After Fake BreakoutFX:AUDUSD is facing rejection near resistance after a recent upward push, signaling weakening momentum. The structure shows price moving within an upward channel but failing to hold above the short-term resistance. A further decline is likely if the pair sustains below 0.6550, targeting the next support zone. Broader price action points to a corrective move within the channel as momentum fades. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: Rejection of 0.6552 resistance Sell zone: 0.6550 – 0.6530 region Target: 0.6503 Invalidation: Break above 0.6555 💡 Risks Strong USD weakness from unexpected macro data could flip the setup. Breakout above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish scenario. Shifts in risk sentiment from global markets could drive renewed AUD strength. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
6
AUD/USD Sustains Bearish Momentum on 4-Hour ChartTechnical Analysis: AUD/USD Sustains Bearish Momentum on 4-Hour Chart The AUD/USD pair continues to exhibit a firmly bearish technical structure on the 4-hour chart, with all signs pointing towards a continuation of the prevailing downtrend. The price action is currently consolidating near a recent lower high, a key characteristic of a sustained downward trajectory. This pattern of successively lower highs and lower lows confirms that sellers remain in firm control of the market momentum. A clear weakening of buyer strength is evident in the recent price movements. Attempted rallies lack conviction and volume, quickly being overwhelmed by renewed selling pressure. This indicates a market that is eager to sell into any short-term strength, a classic behavior in a defined bear trend. The inability of buyers to muster a significant recovery further solidifies the negative outlook. Consequently, the pair is expected to remain under pressure in the upcoming trading sessions. The path of least resistance is firmly to the downside, suggesting that any near-term bounces are likely to be shallow and present potential selling opportunities rather than signaling a reversal. For traders, key levels to watch are well-defined. On the downside, the immediate target for sellers is the 0.64200 level. This zone represents a significant technical support and a previous swing low. A decisive break below this floor could accelerate the decline, opening the path for a steeper fall. On the upside, any corrective bounce is likely to face a formidable barrier at the 0.65700 resistance level. This level is critical as it represents a previous support level that has now turned into resistance, and it aligns with the recent lower high. For the current bearish bias to be invalidated, buyers would need to force a sustained break above this ceiling. Until that occurs, the overall sentiment remains decisively negative.
Short
by Brillant_Capital
AUD/USD CONTINUING BEARISH TREND STRUCTURE IN 4H CHARTTechnical Analysis: AUD/USD Maintains Bearish Trajectory on 4-Hour Chart The Australian Dollar versus the US Dollar (AUD/USD) pair continues to exhibit a definitive bearish trend structure on the 4-hour chart, signaling a prevailing dominance of selling pressure. A comprehensive analysis of the current price action, momentum, and key technical levels suggests a high probability of further declines in the upcoming trading sessions. This persistent downward bias is critical for traders to understand as it shapes the strategic approach for both entry and exit points. The most telling characteristic of the current market structure is the pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This sequence is the fundamental hallmark of a healthy downtrend, indicating that each attempt by buyers to rally the price is met with even stronger selling pressure at a lower level than the previous rally. Currently, price is trading precariously near one such lower high, acting as a dynamic resistance. This positioning is a critical juncture; a failure to break above this level would reaffirm the bearish sentiment and likely catalyze the next leg down. The weakening of the buying force is visibly apparent in the price movements. Rally attempts appear lackluster, characterized by small-bodied candles and low volume, which are quickly overwhelmed by strong, decisive bearish candles that push the pair to fresh lows. This demonstrates a clear lack of conviction among bulls and a market eager to sell into any minor strength. Based on this technical configuration, the expectation is for the bearish momentum to persist. Sellers are expected to defend any upward moves aggressively, keeping the overall trajectory pointed downward. The path of least resistance remains to the south, aligning with the broader fundamental headwinds often faced by the risk-sensitive Australian Dollar, such as concerns over global growth and Chinese economic data. In terms of specific price targets, the analysis points to a downside target near the 0.64200 level. This level is identified as a significant technical objective, likely representing a previous major swing low or a key psychological support zone. A breach below this level could open the door for an extension of the decline towards even deeper supports. However, markets rarely move in a straight line, and counter-trend rallies are to be expected. On any upward move, the 0.65700 resistance level stands as a critical barrier. This is not just any level; it is a major inflection point that represents a previous support-turned-resistance or a confluence of other technical factors like a key moving average (e.g., the 50 or 100-period EMA). For the current bearish outlook to be invalidated, buyers would need to generate enough momentum to force a sustained break above this 0.65700 ceiling. Until such a break occurs, all bounces are likely to be viewed as selling opportunities within the broader negative trend. In summary, the AUD/USD's 4-hour chart paints a clear bearish picture defined by its structure. Traders should monitor reactions near the current lower high for potential short entries, with a primary profit target set towards the 0.64200 region, while using a break above the formidable 0.65700 resistance as a key stop-loss or trend invalidation signal.
Short
by TraderAishDXB
AUDUSD H4 | Price Approaching Major Resistance The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the sell entry, which acts as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 199% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 0.6558, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss is at 0.6619, which is a swing high resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit is at 0.6496, which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
AUDUSD Bulls Wake Up | Long Setup After CPI ReportToday I want to share with you my LONG position on AUDUSD ( OANDA:AUDUSD ) on the pretext of the release of the CPI y/y index . Let's take a look at the AUDUSD from a fundamental and technical perspective . AUDUSD Fundamental Outlook: Australia’s CPI surprised to the upside at 2.8% YoY (vs. 2.3% exp., 1.9% prev.), mainly boosted by higher electricity costs after rebates expired. Core inflation (trimmed mean) also rose to 2.7% , reducing the odds of a near-term RBA rate cut. Short-term : Mildly bullish — strong CPI supports AUD as markets price out aggressive RBA easing. Medium-term : Neutral-to-slightly bullish — sustainability of inflation is uncertain since part of the rise came from temporary energy factors. ---------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the AUDUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame . AUDUSD is approaching the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the Support zone($0.6450-$0.6437) , the Yearly Pivot Point , and a Heavy Support zone($0.6440-$0.6338) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , AUDUSD appears to be completing a corrective wave . The corrective wave on the 1-hour time frame is most likely an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . I expect AUDUSD to start rising to at least $0.6490 . Second Target: $0.6514 Stop Loss(SL): $0.6425(Worst) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze (AUDUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
9
AUDUSD Is Going Down! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.652. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.649 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
AUDUSD – Possible Reversal Coming?Here’s a simple way you can write your AUDUSD analysis for TradingView in a clean and Price has been moving up, but now it looks like it’s facing resistance around 0.6525 – 0.6530. If it fails to break higher, I’m expecting a pullback toward the 0.6500 zone , which is also a key volume support area. OBV is showing weakness, and candles look tired after the rally — could be the start of a short-term bearish move. 📉 My plan: Watching for confirmation before shorting. Target near 0.6500
by IshaqShinwari
Bullish Momentum Building?AUD/USD has reacted off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6491 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Stop loss: 0.6451 Why we like it: There is a pullback support. Take profit: 0.6558 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Bearish Reversal at Pullback Resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could reverse to the pullback support. Pivot: 0.6532 1st Support: 0.6495 1st Resistance: 0.6558 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Australian CPI expected to jump, Aussie steadyThe Australian dollar is in negative territory on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/IUSD is trading at 0.6468, down 0.40% on the day. Australia's CPI for July surprised on the upside, jumping to 2.8% y/y. This followed a 1.9% gain in June and was above the market estimate of 2.3%. The spike in inflation, the highest level since July 2024, was driven by a sharp increase in electricity prices due to the end of government electricity rebates for many households. The trimmed mean, a key gauge of core CPI, rose to 2.7% in July from 2.1% in June. The surprise jump in inflation has dampened expectations for a September rate cut. The money markets have reduced the probability of a rate cut to 22%, down from 30% before the inflation release. Despite the hot inflation report, the Reserve Bank is expected to continue its easing cycle, with a 61% probability of a cut in November. The central bank remains very concerned about inflation but is also focused on employment, with the labor market showing signs of weakening. The minutes of the RBA's August meeting said that upcoming rate decisions would depend on the data. The RBA meets next on September 19 and there are three key releases in September prior to the meeting - inflation, GDP and employment. The RBA has surprised the markets before and if these upcoming releases show a drop in economic activity or inflation, the RBA could respond with a rate cut next month. The nasty feud between the Federal Reserve and Donald Trump has taken another twist, as the President said he had removed Fed Governor Lisa Cook due over charges that she made false statements on mortgage applications. The Fed says that Trump does not have authority to fire Cook. This latest spat further undermines the credibility of the US and could hurt the US dollar.
by OANDA