USDCADA long term Bearish Move is expected to take place @ Major resistance area@(WTF:1.39646)unti the demand zone@(WTF:1.30930) Is swept and changed to become CHOCH pattern as a sign for bears to fold hands while it is returning back to the Actual POI(WTF:1.47049) While snapping SL's of those who will be holding .
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Trade ideas
USDCAD: Correction is Over?! 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD may complete a correctional movement after a confirmed
breakout of a major daily resistance.
A bullish violation of a trend line of a bullish flag pattern and a neckline
of an inverted head & shoulders pattern provides a strong confirmation.
Next goal - 1.3965
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USD/CAD gearing up to breakout higher?As shown on the daily chart below, since bottoming out in mid-June (from support between C$1.3549 and C$1.3669), price action has been steadily rising. This has seen the pair take out 3M resistance at C$1.3827 (now marked support) and challenge a 1Y resistance at US$1.3948.
What is interesting about this chart is that if a breakout above the 1Y resistance comes to fruition, airspace north of the level is quite considerable up to 3M resistance at C$1.4197. Consequently, a break higher at current levels could trigger breakout buyers (potentially with stops below 30 September low of C$1.3896); alternatively, more conservative traders may opt to wait and see if price retests the 1Y level as support.
Written by the FP Markets Research Team
USDCAD Bullish Flag developing?The USDCAD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.3890 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.3890 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.4000 – initial resistance
1.4040 – psychological and structural level
1.4070 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3890 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.3856 – minor support
1.3825 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the USDCAD holds above 1.3890. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
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Could we see a drop from here?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is reacting off the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3940
1st Support: 1.3793
1st Resistance: 1.4015
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USDCAD: Uptrend ContinuationThis trade is not near a major daily level, but I think it does have potential.
Daily Timeframe
Price made a very clean break above the HTL
Bearish move only lasted two days, which is an indication of weak momentum
H1 Timeframe
Price crosses above EMA20 and continues accelerating away
EMA20 is accelerating away from EMA60
Price also crossed DTL, but caution that this was not a clean break
USDCAD: A Pullback ? 👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:USDCAD ?
Today, the pair is trading around 1.392 in the early hours of the new session, showing a slight decline. However, technical analysis still indicates that USDCAD is trading above the support zone. As long as the support holds, this decline can be seen as a pullback, after which the uptrend is expected to resume. Let’s see how this support level plays out.
What are your thoughts on the trend of this pair? Feel free to leave your comments below!
Good luck!
USDCAD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 USDCAD – Trade Plan (2025-09-30)
🆔 Plan ID: USDCAD_2025-09-30_v1
Bias: BUY (Continuation)
⸻
📋 Overview Table
Type Direction Confidence R:R (to TP2) Status
Swing / Intra-day BUY 75% (valid) ~1:3.1 Pending
⸻
🏦 Market Bias
• D1: Higher-lows intact, clear bullish continuation above 1.3860 support.
• H4: Current pullback into prior demand; rejection wicks show absorption of sellers.
• H1: Sideways consolidation, but maintaining structure above 1.3890 HL.
➡️ Bias locked = WITH HTF trend (Buy).
⸻
⚒️ Levels Card (Quick Action)
Primary Setup (High Probability Buy Zone)
• Entry 01: 1.3890 – 1.3905 (H1 demand + H4 OB + fib 38.2%)
• Stop Loss: 1.3865 (below H4 swing low, safe but not overly wide)
• TP1: 1.3960
• TP2: 1.4010
• TP3: 1.4080 (D1 supply extension)
• Order: Pending – Pre-validated ✅
• Session Focus: London/NY
Alternate Setup (Deeper Demand Retest – if flushed)
• Entry 02: 1.3840 – 1.3855 (D1 demand zone)
• Stop Loss: 1.3805
• TP1: 1.3925
• TP2: 1.4000
• TP3: 1.4075
⸻
📰 Fundamentals & Sentiment
• USD: Market awaits US ISM + NFP week, dollar bid tone persists on strong data expectations. Fed speakers cautious but not dovish.
• CAD: Oil volatility (WTI near $70) is weakening CAD slightly. BoC stance neutral, no hawkish drive.
• Risk Sentiment: Stable; equities firm, no strong risk-off yet.
➡️ Macro favors USD strength vs CAD.
⸻
✅ Final Notes
• A+ Zone: Entry 01 (1.3890–1.3905) = ~87% confluence (H1 demand + H4 OB + fib + trend).
• Stops chosen = safe but proper (not overly wide).
• Plan valid only if price respects 1.3865 HL base.
• No trades if breakdown below 1.3805 → plan invalidated.
USD/CAD Bearish Channel Breakout – Short SetupThis chart is for USD/CAD (30-min timeframe) and shows a clear bearish setup.
Here’s the breakdown:
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1. Pattern
Price is moving inside a downward channel (highlighted in pink).
Currently near the midline of the channel with potential to retest the upper boundary.
The plan here seems to be a sell setup after a small bullish pullback.
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2. Key Levels
Entry Point: 1.39286 (after price pulls back into the blue zone).
Stop Loss: 1.39392 (just above the channel and resistance zone – good risk management).
Target Point: 1.38880 (near the lower channel boundary, aligning with previous support).
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3. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
This setup offers a favorable RRR (roughly 1:3), meaning potential reward is about 3x the risk.
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4. Bias
Bearish bias – expecting continuation of the downtrend after price retests resistance.
The market is respecting the descending channel, and unless price breaks above 1.3940, sellers remain in control.
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5. Confirmation to Watch
Look for rejection candles or bearish engulfing in the blue zone before taking entry.
If price breaks and closes above 1.3940, this setup becomes invalid (bullish breakout likely).
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✅ Summary:
This is a well-planned short (sell) setup. Wait for price to pull back to 1.3928 – 1.3930, then sell with stop above 1.3940 and target near 1.3888.
USD/ CAD) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD (1H timeframe) chart analysis:
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Bullish USD/CAD Setup
Support Zone: Price is respecting the support level (yellow box around 1.3920 – 1.3930).
Moving Averages:
50 EMA (red) is below current price, providing short-term bullish support.
200 EMA (blue) is also trending upward, confirming overall bullish bias.
Market Structure: Higher highs and higher lows suggest continuation to the upside.
Projection: Price is expected to bounce from the support zone and push toward the next resistance/target.
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Target Point
1.3998 (near 1.4000 psychological level).
This aligns with the measured move projection from the last impulsive rally.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trading Idea
Bias: Bullish.
Entry Zone: Around 1.3920 – 1.3930 (support level retest).
Target: 1.3998.
Invalidation: A sustained break below 1.3900 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
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USDCAD: Impulse Wave Points to Higher LevelsUSD/CAD Price is showing the early stages of a bullish (C) leg after a large corrective sequence. The chart labels show a completed corrective (B) low at the horizontal support and an impulsive 1–2 sequence unfolding for the new upward leg. Bias: bullish while price holds above the demand zone/wave-2 low.
The market completed an ABC correction that found support on the horizontal lower boundary. That corrective phase looks finished; we should now be in wave (C) up, the final leg of the correction.
Short-term momentum has flipped, with buyers stepping in at support. This favors trend-following longs into the extension leg (wave 3 → 5)
Target 1 (T1): 1.38408
Target 2 (T2): 1.38810
Stop-Loss (SL): 1.37195
USDCAD; A Confirmed Reversal ?USDCAD have fulfilled our review on this pair, if you had followed our previous analysis on this structure you would have see where we anticipated and highlighted this movement.
However the breakout above the resistance zone refuses to hold which trigger the reversal. markets always respects its zone especially the major resistance and support.
Meanwhile should we go on short at this point or anticipate a breakout above ?
Happy trading week
Thanks for reading.






















