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USDCAD trade ideas

USDCAD SELL..............USDCAD is still respecting its downtrend channel, with price now testing a key resistance zone at 1.3830 – 1.3890. This area lines up with the channel’s upper boundary and previous swing highs. 🔍 Key Points: Trend: Bearish bias remains intact. Resistance: 1.3830 – 1.3890 Support: 1.3700 → 1.3528 → 1.3352 Main Idea: A rejection here could send price lower toward 1.3528, and possibly 1.3323. Break above 1.3890? Potential shift to bullish toward 1.4030 – 1.4300. #Forex #USDCAD #PriceAction #TradingView #FXAnalysis #MarketUpdate
Short
by The-20-Pips-Center
USDCAD H4 | Potential bearish dropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 1.3806, which is a pullback reistance. Stop loss is at 1.3875, which is a swing high resistance. Take profit is 1.3751, which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the overlap support. Pivot: 1.3814 1st Support: 1.3756 1st Resistance: 1.3875 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USD/CAD Bullish Bias Supported by COT Data and Seasonal Trends🗓 Monthly Chart Overview • Price Inefficiency Zone: There's a clear imbalance between 1.40165 and 1.41248, suggesting a potential magnet for price. A retracement to at least the 50% level of this inefficiency could be expected. • Bullish Structure: Price has formed a bullish order block and is currently retracing, which often precedes a continuation move upward. • This setup hints at accumulation before a bullish expansion. 📆 Weekly Chart Insights • Inefficiency Filled: Price has filled previous inefficiencies, showing healthy market structure. • Liquidity Behavior: We've seen price sweep lows, then begin sweeping highs, while respecting bullish blocks—a strong indication of a shift in directional intent. • This behavior supports the idea that USD/CAD is preparing for a bullish continuation. 📅 Daily Chart Momentum • Aggressive Breakout: After a period of consolidation, price broke out aggressively to the upside, confirming bullish momentum. • Structure: The daily chart maintains a bullish structure, reinforcing the higher timeframe bias. 💹 Commitment of Traders (COT) Data • USD Positioning: The U.S. Dollar is showing net buying interest, supporting strength. • CAD Positioning: The Canadian Dollar is net bearish on average when compared to last year’s data. • This divergence in sentiment adds confluence to a bullish USD/CAD bias. 📊 Seasonal Trends • Historically, USD/CAD tends to rise from August through November, with September, October, and especially November being the most bullish months. • This seasonal tendency aligns with the current technical and fundamental setup. 🏦 Macro Considerations • Interest Rates: Keep a close eye on central bank rate decisions and forward guidance, as they can significantly impact USD/CAD volatility and direction. 🔍 Summary USD/CAD shows strong bullish potential across monthly, weekly, and daily timeframes. Technical structure, COT data, and seasonal trends all point toward a continuation to the upside. A revisit to the inefficiency zone around 1.4060–1.4120 could be a key target in the coming months.
Long
by Wiiso
USDCAD: Bearish Continuation Setup from Premium SupplyGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of USDCAD, recent price action confirms the presence of bearish institutional order flow. This reaffirms our downside bias and positions us to seek high-probability selling opportunities. Key Observations on H4: Weekly Fair Value Gap Rejection: Last week, price rejected a weekly bearish FVG, aligning with the higher timeframe bearish draw toward discount liquidity. Bearish Market Structure Shift: The H4 chart confirmed a market structure shift to the downside, signaling institutional alignment with the weekly timeframe. Premium Bearish Order Block Confluence: Price has retraced into a premium-priced H4 bearish order block, which overlaps with an FVG—creating a strong institutional resistance zone. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Monitor lower timeframes (M15 and below) for bearish confirmation entries within the confluence zone. Target Objective: Aim for the liquidity pools resting in discount pricing, in line with the overall bearish narrative. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: As always, remain patient, wait for confirmation, and manage your risk with precision. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
USDCAD Set To Fall! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USDCAD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.3779 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.3755 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
USDCAD consolidation triggered by US inflation data The USDCAD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 1.3730 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 1.3730 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 1.3830 – initial resistance 1.3860 – psychological and structural level 1.3890 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3730 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 1.3716 – minor support 1.3690 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the WTI Crude holds above 1.3730. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USDCAD ProbableOn the M30 chart, USDCAD has dropped to a low (marked “x”), which acts as a liquidity sweep zone. Price has since pulled back into a sell-side order block (B2S OB) , which has a FVG , that is currently serving as resistance. From here, two main scenarios are possible. In the first, price taps the OB and forms a lower-time-frame bearish reversal pattern (such as a CHOCH or engulf), giving a short opportunity targeting a sweep of “x.” After that sweep, a bullish reversal at “x” could provide a long entry toward the fills and the blue-line, which is a major buy-side level. In the second scenario, price breaks cleanly above the OB and holds, treating the OB as failed supply. A retrace into new demand (like an FVG or the move’s origin) could then be a long setup to the blue-line. Shorts are invalidated if price closes above the OB high, while longs from “x” are invalidated if price closes back below the sweep low without reclaiming it. Watch for two main paths: 1. Short-first, then long Wait for a tap of the OB + a lower time-frame (“LTF”) bearish reversal (CHOCH, engulf). Short targeting a sweep of “x”. After sweep, wait for bullish LTF confirmation at “x” → then long up to fills and the blue-line (major buy-side level). 2. Break-and-go long If price breaks through the OB and holds above, treat the OB as failed supply. Wait for a retrace into new demand (FVG or origin), then long to the blue-line. Key triggers & invalidations: Short fails if price closes above OB high. Long from “x” fails if price closes back below the sweep low without reclaiming it.
Short
by ndiisolomon
1
USDCAD Confirms Triple Bottom: Bullish Momentum BuildingUSDCAD Confirms Triple Bottom: Bullish Momentum Building USDCAD has confirmed a triple bottom pattern, signaling a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish trend. This formation typically suggests that selling pressure has exhausted and buyers are beginning to take control. Following the bullish confirmation, price action appears poised for an upward move. The current weakness in the USD stems from market expectations of a possible rate cut at the September FOMC meeting—a topic that remains open to interpretation. While the dollar is showing softness today, volume may stabilize in the near term. If the U.S. continues to deliver strong economic data, the odds favor further upside for USDCAD. As outlined in the chart, I expect USDCAD to follow the projected path. That said, the extent of the move is uncertain. Market analysis is a dynamic process that requires ongoing evaluation and adjustment. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
16
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3815 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3876 Why we like it: There is a swing high resistance. Take profit: 1.3728 Why we like it: There is a swing low support. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USDCAD H4 | Bearish reversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the downside. Sell entry is at 1.3814, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 1.3875, which is a swing high resistance. Take profit is at 1.3731, which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Canadian Dollar Under Pressure After Weak Jobs DataThe USD/CAD saw a mild pullback in the days following the US jobs data, but that pullback may now be over. The Canadian jobs report on 8 August was weaker than expected, showing the Canadian economy lost thousands of jobs in July as the trade war with the US began to dent economic activity. That prompted traders to increase bets that the Bank of Canada will start cutting rates again, which could cause the Canadian dollar to weaken further against the US dollar. Technically, there is also a case for a weaker Canadian dollar. The pair has found support at 1.375, a level that has acted as both support and resistance since early May. This level also aligns with the 20-day moving average, strengthening the case that USD/CAD is likely to hold and move higher again, indicating US dollar strength against the Canadian dollar. Additionally, the relative strength index remains in an uptrend, suggesting that momentum still favours a further rise in the USD/CAD exchange rate. A break above 1.385 could see the pair advance to 1.397, where it stalled in mid-May. If the US CPI report on 12 August comes in weaker than expected, USD/CAD could reverse and give back recent gains. However, it would need to fall below both support and the 20-day moving average to indicate a further decline towards the lows around 1.358. At present, momentum appears strong and, with support firmly in place, the odds favour further US dollar strength and a challenge to the mid-May levels. Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management. Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
by cmcmarkets
USDCAD 4-Hour Analysis – Bulls and Bears Battle for ControlCurrent Price: 1.37706 Timeframe: 4 Hours Technical Indicators Overview SMA (9-period): Price is hovering around the short-term moving average, signaling indecision in momentum. RSI (14): Currently near the 50 level, showing a neutral momentum—neither overbought nor oversold. Key Resistance: 1.3800 – A psychological and technical barrier tested multiple times. Key Support: 1.3700 – A level where buyers previously stepped in to prevent further decline. Price Action Summary USDCAD recently saw a strong bullish move towards the 1.3900 area but quickly reversed, pulling back below the 1.3800 mark. Since then, price action has been choppy, suggesting a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. On the 4H chart, the SMA 9 is acting as a dynamic pivot, with candles frequently crossing above and below it. This behavior often precedes a breakout, but direction confirmation is still lacking. RSI Insights The RSI remains neutral, around 50, indicating a balance between buying and selling pressures. A move above 60 could invite bullish momentum, while a drop below 40 may trigger further selling. Potential Scenarios Bullish Breakout: If price breaks and closes above 1.3800, the next upside target could be 1.3850–1.3900, where previous highs lie. Bearish Reversal: Failure to hold above 1.3750 could open the door for a move towards 1.3700, and below that, 1.3650. Conclusion USDCAD is in a consolidation phase, awaiting a catalyst for a decisive breakout. Traders should watch the 1.3800 resistance and 1.3750 support for clues on the next directional move.
Short
by forexinworld