USDCAD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
USDCAD trade ideas
Will the US Inflation Data Drive a Breakout for USDCAD?Macro approach:
- USDCAD edged higher this week amid softer Canadian labor data, boosting BoC cut odds and pre‑CPI caution that kept the USD supported as traders eyed key US inflation prints.
- Canada shed 40.8k jobs in Jul while unemployment held at 6.9%, reinforcing expectations for a 17 Sep BoC cut and pressuring the loonie.
With Canada's calendar light, focus shifted to the US, where Jul CPI/PPI and Retail Sales are set to steer Fed cut probabilities that sit near 85–90% for Sep, anchoring USD tone into the data.
- In short, US inflation and activity data could drive USDCAD direction, while oil's resilience may cushion CAD. A softer US CPI/PPI may weigh on USD and support CAD, but it is limited (Oil trend and Sep rate cut), whereas sticky prints could extend USD firmness into the week.
Technical approach:
- USDCAD formed a Triple-Bottom pattern and broke the descending channel to make a swing high at around 1.3878. The price retraced and retested the support at around 1.3755 and bounced to close around EMA78. The price is captured within a tight trading range of 1.3755-1.3850, awaiting an apparent breakout to determine the trend.
- If USDCAD closes above both EMAs and the resistance at 1.3850, the price may retest May's resistance area at around 1.4000.
- On the contrary, closing below the support at 1.3755 and the ascending channel may prompt a correction to retest the key support at 1.3567.
PS: I also provide a quick view on DXY regarding US CPI data today via Wall Street Journal: www.wsj.com
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
USDCAD: Intraday Bullish Reversal 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD will likely go up, following a confirmed
bullish Change of Character CHoCH.
Next resistance is 1.3805
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USD/CAD Bullish Heist Plan – Will You Join the Crew?💼💸 USD/CAD "The Loonie" – Bullish Vault Heist Plan 🕶️📈
"Layer the Entry. Stack the Cash. Escape Clean."
🧠 Mastermind Setup (Thief Trader Blueprint)
🔍 Asset: USD/CAD – The Loonie (Forex Market)
📜 Plan: Bullish — Thief is moving in with precision layering strategy.
📈 Entry Plan:
Thief’s not kicking the door once—he’s picking multiple locks!
Layer those buy limits for stealth entries:
(1.37700) 🏦 | (1.37500) 💰 | (1.37300) 🔑 | (1.37000) 🚪
💡 Add more layers if the vault’s deeper than expected.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):
🎯 Official Thief SL parked @ 1.37000.
But remember—OG thieves adjust SL to match their risk appetite & personal strategy.
🎯 Target: 1.38680 – Grab the loot and vanish!
📢 Heist Intel (Market Context)
USD/CAD is eyeing upside momentum, powered by USD strength + oil price plays.
Expect pullbacks before the real breakout—perfect for layered infiltration.
⚠️ Thief’s Street Rules:
Don’t enter during high-impact news — guards will be on alert.
Use trailing stops to protect the loot once in profit.
Layer patiently—don’t rush the vault door.
💣 Final Words from the Crew:
Every pip is a coin in the bag. Stay disciplined, stay layered, and leave no trace. 🐱👤💎
💖 Boost the plan, share with the crew, and let’s make this Loonie Heist legendary. 🚀💼
USDCAD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
LOONIE H4 | Bearish reversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reversr to the downside.
Sell entry is at 1.3814, which is a pullback ressitance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonaci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.3875, whihc is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3729, whihc is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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USDCAD Prepaing to Gilde Down ??USDCAD has been struglling to move up, All the monthly and Bi-Monthly analysis show down including D1. Check your support and resistances and open positions accordingly. Wait for Price Again to preform and see the strong breakouts.
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usdcad terlihat akan strong bullishConsider placing a buy stop in this area, as it represents a strong zone for potential upward movement. A confirmed breakout above this level could trigger further bullish momentum. However, if the price fails to break through and shows signs of rejection, shift your focus towards identifying selling opportunities instead.
USD/CAD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CAD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.371 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCAD Sell Setup – Watch for Bearish Engulfing at 1.37727!USDCAD is approaching a key resistance zone at 1.37727, a level where sellers have stepped in before.
My plan is clear: I’ll be watching closely for a Bearish Engulfing candle on the 4H timeframe before pulling the trigger on a short position.
Here’s my breakdown:
Market Structure: Price is currently in a corrective move within a broader range, and 1.37727 has acted as a strong rejection zone in the past.
Entry Plan: Wait for a 4H Bearish Engulfing pattern at or near 1.37727 before entering short.
Target Levels:
TP1: 1.37000
TP2: 1.36450
Stop Loss: Above 1.38000 to allow room for false breakouts.
Why This Matters: A confirmed bearish engulfing here would suggest strong selling pressure and potential continuation to the downside.
Note: This is not financial advice. Always trade with discipline and risk management in place.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 1.37727
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3687
1st Support: 1.3563
1st Resistance: 1.3882
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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USD/CADLooking for a bullish breakout here
Been in a downtrend for a while now and looking for a bullish breakout
Already rejected and showed a higher low on the retest and aiming for local high
USD strong after some positive SEC replacement news to add strength
I also have another trade shorting EUR/USD if you want to check that out!
Lets see how we go!