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U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar

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USDCAD trade ideas

USDCAD Will Go Down! Short! Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 1.378. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.362 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
2
Canada's GDP contracts, US nonfarm payrolls misses forecastThe Canadian dollar continues to lose ground against its US counterpart and is trading at two-month lows. In the European session, the Canadian dollar is trading at 1.3875, down 0.13% on the day. USD/CAD has risen for six straight days, climbing 1.9% during that time. US nonfarm payrolls for July were softer than expected at 73 thousand, compared to the forecast of 110 thousand. The June report was revised sharply downwards to 14 thousand from an initial 147 thousand. Canada's GDP posted a small decline of 0.1% m/m in May, matching the market estimate. This followed an identical reading in April, as the economy is essentially treading water. A drop in retail trade was a significant factor in the weak GDP reading, particularly in motor vehicles and parts. The decline in GDP in April and May can be squarely blamed on the trade war with the US, which has put a chill in economic activity. The markets are expecting a slight improvement in June, with an estimate of a 0.1% gain. The Bank of Canada held the benchmark rate at 2.75% on Thursday for a third consecutive meeting. The rate statement noted that US trade policy remains "unpredictable" and Governor Macklem reiterated this at his press conference, saying that "some level of uncertainty will continue" until the US and Canada reach a trade agreement. Meanwhile, the trade war between the two sides is heating up. President Trump announced on Thursday that the US was slapping 35% tariffs on Canadian products, effective Aug. 1. The new tariff will not apply to goods covered under the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement. Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney said he was "disappointed" with the US decision and vowed that "Canadians will be our own best customer". These are brave words, but Carney will be under pressure to reach a deal with the US, as 75% of Canadian exports are shipped to the US and Canada can ill-afford a protracted trade war with its giant southern neighbor.
by OANDA
USD/CADThis is a trade setup for USD/CAD, based on volume and trend analysis. Entry Price: 1.38614 Stop-Loss (SL): 1.38514 Take-Profit (TP): 1.38864 The trade is intended to be executed instantly at the mentioned price, in alignment with both volume behavior and the current trend direction. Disclaimer: This setup is shared purely for backtesting purposes and to document trade ideas. It is not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Long
by alisardari
USD/CAD 1H Setup – Bearish Reversal Incoming? We’re closely watching the USD/CAD pair on the 1-hour timeframe, and the chart is flashing multiple high-probability reversal signals. 🔹 The trend has been bullish, but momentum is weakening. 🔹 A clear bearish divergence has formed on the oscillator. 🔹 A rising wedge — one of the most reliable reversal patterns — is fully developed and ready to break. 🔹 All signs point toward an imminent bearish shift, and we're preparing to catch the move early with a Sell Stop below the key Higher Low (HL). 📌 Trade Setup at a Glance: Pair: USD/CAD Timeframe: 1H Trend: Bullish (for now) Divergence: Bearish Pattern: Rising Wedge Bias: Bearish Strategy: Sell Stop at HL Breakout 🟡 Entry: 1.38379 (Sell Stop) 🔴 Stop Loss: 1.38847 🟢 Take Profit 1: 1.37911 (R:R 1:1) 🟢 Take Profit 2: 1.37443 (R:R 1:2) 📊 Position Sizing & Risk Management 🔹 Lot Size: 0.25 🔹 Risk Per Trade: $200 🔹 Total Reward Target: Up to $300 🔹 Executing two trades – one targeting TP1, the second targeting TP2. 📈 Why This Setup Matters: ✅ Bearish divergence shows clear loss of bullish strength ✅ Rising wedge pattern aligns perfectly with reversal expectations ✅ Well-structured entry with favorable risk-to-reward ✅ Using a split-target strategy to lock in profits smartly 📣 Let’s Discuss! 💬 Drop your thoughts and analysis in the comments — how are you trading USD/CAD? 🔔 Follow me for more high-probability trade setups, chart breakdowns, and real-time analysis. Let’s trade smart and grow together! 🚀 #USDCAD #ForexSetup #RisingWedge #BearishDivergence #PriceActionTrading #SmartMoney #TrendReversal #FXSignals #SellSetup #TradingStrategy #ChartPatterns #BreakoutStrategy #TradeSmart #1HourChart #RiskReward #ForexTrade #TechnicalSetup #TradeIdeas #TradingCommunity #ForexEducation #TradersOfTradingView #SmartEntry #SwingTrading #TradingMindset #TradingViewSetup #ForexAnalysis
Short
by asimafridi
1
USD/CAD Rises to 2-Month HighUSD/CAD Rises to 2-Month High Today, the USD/CAD exchange rate briefly exceeded the 1.3870 mark – the highest level seen this summer. In less than ten days, the US dollar has strengthened by over 2% against the Canadian dollar. Why Is USD/CAD Rising? Given that both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday (as expected), the primary driver behind the pair’s recent rally appears to be US President Donald Trump's decision to impose tariffs on several countries – including Canada: → Despite efforts by Prime Minister of Canada Mark Carney to reach an agreement with Trump, no deal was achieved; → Canadian goods exported to the US will now be subject to a 35% tariff; → The tariffs take effect from 1 August; → Goods compliant with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) are exempt. Media analysts note that the tariffs are likely to increase pressure on the Canadian economy, as approximately 75% of the country's exports are destined for the United States. USD/CAD Technical Analysis At the end of July, the price formed a steep ascending channel (A-B), with bullish momentum confirmed by a decisive breakout above the 1.3790 resistance level, as illustrated by the arrow: → the pullback before the breakout was relatively shallow; → the bullish breakout was marked by a long bullish candlestick with a close near the session high; → following the breakout, the price confidently consolidated above 1.3790. Provided that the fundamental backdrop does not undergo a major shift, bulls might attempt to maintain control in the market. However, the likelihood of a correction is also increasing, as the RSI indicator has entered extreme overbought territory. Should USD/CAD show signs of a correction after its steep ascent, support might be found at: → line C, drawn parallel to the A-B channel at a distance of its width; → the previously mentioned 1.3790 level, which now acts as a support following the breakout. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
USDCAD SELLUSD/CAD rallies further, approaches 1.3900 on higher levies to Canada The US Dollar keeps marching higher, as the Canadian Dollar struggles after Trump decided to increase tariffs to Canada to 35% from the previous 25%, escalating the trading tension with one of its main trading partners. The US President justified his decision on Canada’s alleged reluctance to cooperate on curbing the traffic of fentanyl and other drugs across the US border The year will be politically marked by Trump’s return to the White House. A Republican government is seen as positive for financial markets, but Trump’s pledge to cut taxes and impose tariffs on foreign goods and services may introduce uncertainty to both the political and economic landscape. Canada’s political crisis peaked in late 2024 with a no-confidence vote against Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, leading to snap elections and a weakened Liberal minority government. Policy uncertainty and economic challenges dominate 2025’s outlook, raising concerns over market stability and investor confidence. The BoC is set to continue easing interest rates through 2025, at least at a faster pace than the Fed is expected to, which could apply pressure on CAD’s already-rising rate differential. SUPPORT 1.38444 SUPPORT 1.38039 SUPPORT 1.37621 RESISTANCE 1.38889 RESISTANCE 1.39049
Short
by Mark804
USD/CAD Breaks Triangle: Bullish Target in SightHello guys! USD/CAD has broken out of a clear triangle formation, signaling strong bullish momentum. The breakout above the top line of the triangle, supported by earlier bullish divergence, confirms that buyers are now in control. Triangle breakout confirmed Strong bullish impulse post-breakout Retest of the broken trendline expected Target: 1.38791 A clean retest of the breakout level could provide another entry opportunity before price reaches the target zone highlighted in blue.
Long
by melikatrader94
8
USDCAD Analysis – July 16, 2025 Following the ceasefire between Iran and Israel, oil prices have weakened, reducing support for the Canadian dollar, which is closely tied to crude. As a result, CAD could remain among the weaker currencies over the next two weeks. Meanwhile, the US dollar may gain strength following the CPI data released on July 15, 2025, potentially setting up a favorable swing opportunity for USDCAD bulls. 🟥 High-Risk Setup – R:R 7.0 This aggressive setup targets a sharp upside move with a tight stop loss, aiming for a high reward relative to the risk. It's suitable for traders comfortable with volatility and willing to accept a lower probability for a higher payout. 🟦 Moderate-Risk Setup – R:R 2.5 A more balanced scenario with a wider stop and a closer target, offering a higher probability of success and smoother trade management. This setup aligns well with swing trading strategies seeking consistent results. Both setups are based on the current price action structure visible on the chart. Trade safe, manage your risk, and follow your plan. ✅
Long
by MasoudEskandari
Will the Canada-US Trade Tension Continue to Impair CAD?Fundamental approach: - USDCAD advanced this week, supported by broad US dollar strength and renewed trade tensions as the US announced higher tariffs on Canadian imports. - The pair was further buoyed after the BoC left rates unchanged and signaled caution amid persistent core inflation and ongoing trade negotiations. - Meanwhile, US labor data indicated that job openings were moderating growth while tariff-related uncertainty weighed on risk sentiment. - The BoC’s decision to keep its policy rate at 2.75% cited domestic economic resilience and the unpredictable US trade policy outlook. - At the same time, negotiations between Canada and the US over trade terms remained in an “intense” phase, with additional tariffs entering effect 1 Aug, adding to downside risks for the Canadian economy. - USDCAD may remain elevated next week as markets monitor follow-through from new tariffs and assess further data on US jobs and Canadian trade. Potential progress or setbacks in Canada-US trade talks and upcoming economic releases could influence direction, while central bank policy signals and risk appetite will remain key catalysts. Technical approach: - USDCAD formed a Triple-bottom pattern at around 1.3567 and bounced up to break the neckline at 1.3755. The price also broke the descending trendline and closed higher than both EMAs, indicating a potential trend reversal. - If USDCAD remains above the support at 1.3755 and both EMAs, the price may retest the resistance at 1.3980. - On the contrary, closing below the support at 1.3755 and both EMAs may lead USDCAD to retest the key support at 1.3567. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
by DatTong
2
TREND REVERSAL CONFIRMATION Looking at the weekly timeframe for USDCAD, we can see that price action has respected a rising trendline and also reacted to a weekly bullish order block. The Sell momentum for USDCAD has come to an end, so now we saw price action accumulating around the rising trend line and bullish order block. Now there's a minor resistance which is indicated with a small blue rectangle in which price action has broken to the upside, I'm expecting price to complete an impulse correction leg or retrace to the blue rectangle or minor resistance and then from there continue to the upside. ........,...,............................................. Please share your thoughts on this analysis, do you think the downward trend is over.
Long
by enwemadufranklyn1989
USDCAD Wave Analysis – 31 July 2025 - USDCAD broke resistance zone - Likely rise to resistance level 1.3900 USDCAD currency pair recently broke the resistance zone located between the resistance level 1.3785 (upper border of the sideways price range from the start of June) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from May. The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse wave 3, which belongs to medium-term impulse wave (B) from the start of July. USDCAD currency pair can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 1.3900 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).
Long
by FxProGlobal
USDCAD bounced from Support and can continue higherLooking at the chart and the overall structure, I think we can favor the continuation setup with a emphasis on price action at key zones, particularly when price breaks out then can revisit this structure for a retest. This bounce off support has been accomplished in my previous analysis: Here, if price breaks with strength and dips back into the area and holds with bullish confirmation (likely a wick rejection or bullish engulfing on lower timeframes), that would be the cue to get in. I am projecting the next target to 1.38600 that makes sense as a logical level for trend continuation and that I find achievable.
Long
by TrendDiva
38
USDCAD Update: Don’t Sleep on This Uptrend’s First LegYo traders, Skeptic from Skeptic Lab here! 🚀 USDCAD’s serving a hot long trigger for pattern traders chasing the first leg of a big uptrend! We’ve got an ascending triangle breakout on the daily, with bullish candles stacking up, hinting at a return to the weekly bullish trend. Too early to confirm, but the momentum’s fire. 📈 Today’s FOMC meeting’s got everyone buzzing—will Powell cut, hold, or drop resignation hints? Check the full setup in the video, but with crazy news like Federal Funds Rate , s tick to high-probability trades, keep risk low, and no FOMO or revenge trading! Drop your thoughts, boost if it vibes <3
Long
by SkepticLab
1
Trade deal thread could pump USDCAD?USDCAD as with the bounce off the monthly support level, current is a strong uptrend.4H perspective, price is trading above 10ema since the cross over of 20ema and 10ema price is pushing back to the upside. With trade deal thread, including upcoming GDP on CAD could pump this price back to the resistance ? As 10ema has not been tested since cross over, we may see the price to back to the upside with respecting the 10ema. Buying on EMA is a high probability trade setup.
Long
by ForexWizard01