USDCAD potential head and shoulders topOn the 4-hour chart, USDCAD rebounded to the previous downward band near 0.618 and then encountered resistance and fell back. Currently, we can pay attention to the support near 1.373 below. If it falls below, it is expected to form a head and shoulders top pattern, and the downward target is 1.358-1.365 area.
USDCAD trade ideas
Bearish drop off?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3823
1st Support: 1.3770
1st Resistance: 1.3858
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCAD H4 | Bearish reversal at key resistanceLoonie (USD/CAD is reacting off the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 1.3828, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.3918, a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3778, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Market Structure is Actually EASY- Hear me outUnderstanding Market Structure Through Arcs
Market structure always seems simple when explained on YouTube. But open up a chart, and suddenly it feels puzzling, inconsistent, even frustrating. Imagine this: you’re analyzing the structure of a forex pair, confidently tracking highs and lows. Everything makes sense. Then you switch to a different pair—or even just a different date on the same chart—and suddenly it feels like your skill vanished. Yesterday you “understood” market structure, but today you don’t. So, what’s happening?
The truth is, when this confusion sets in, it’s usually because you’re looking for the wrong signs. Traders often get caught up searching for zigzags, breaks of structure (BoS), market shifts, supply and demand zones, or liquidity sweeps. But the key to truly understanding market structure comes down to one core skill: identifying strong and weak structures.
Redefining Market Structure
Market structure is not simply a zigzag. It’s not just supply and demand. Market structure is a collection of structures that, when viewed together, naturally form zigzags, supply/demand areas, and BoS/market shift levels.
And here’s the important part: not all structures are created equal. But don’t worry—you don’t need to memorize dozens of “types.” There are only two: strong structures and weak structures.
How to Identify Structures
This is where things get surprisingly simple. To identify structure, look for arcs. Yes—the charting tool no one ever uses. An arc represents price dipping and then returning to its prior high or low.
• If price closes beyond the previous high/low, the structure is strong.
• If price fails to break the previous high/low and closes within it, the structure is weak.
That’s it. Look at the chart example provided—you’ll see how clear this becomes once you train your eye. The Red/Green arcs represent arcs that were identified on the D timeframe (HTF). The blue squiggly line represents a collection of arcs identified on the 4h timeframe (LTF).
Multi-Timeframe Power
Here’s where arcs become even more powerful. A structure on one timeframe (say, the 4H) is essentially a supply/demand zone. Drop down to a lower timeframe (4H → 1H), and that same structure becomes a full swing move. This allows you to navigate multiple timeframes seamlessly—simply by plotting structures on the higher timeframe.
The Arc as the Foundation
Once you learn to spot arcs, everything clicks into place. An arc is supply and demand. It is liquidity boundaries. It defines strong/weak highs and lows. It creates the zigzag. In short: structure identification is the only skill you need to master market structure—and it’s surprisingly quick to learn.
Additional Notes
• A valid arc requires at least three candles. Anything less is not structure.
• Two candles may represent a reaction to supply/demand or a liquidity sweep, but they don’t form a structure.
• Why? Because structure requires balance—a brief pause where price enters, slows, stabilizes, and then reverses. That balancing process cannot be captured in one or two candles.
My Advice
For now, set aside the broader concept of “market structure” and focus only on arcs.
1. Practice identifying arcs in live price action—don’t worry about backtesting yet.
2. Mark them on your chart, and classify them as strong or weak.
3. Once you’re comfortable spotting them, move into backtesting. Watch arcs unfold in motion.
4. With enough practice, you’ll be able to recognize them instantly and without hesitation.
That’s when you return to market structure as a whole. With the skill of arc recognition in place, you’ll finally see how everything ties together—and your understanding will be unshakable.
Previous Post; Complete Market Structure: Order Flow and Multiple Timeframes
Although I felt that this was a great take on market structure, the indicator provided falls short in a sense that market it relies on alternating internal shifts, when in market structure shifts can happen consecutively instead of strictly alternating. I have developed a different tool that will help identify structural levels without missing a single arc. It is called Supply/Demand Zones (Synthetic SMA Candles). I will provide a link below. It identifies arcs and classifies them as supply/demand zones. It also provides alerts which can be helpful if you are the type of trader that likes to trade passively without being glued to the charts.
Arc Identifying Indicator (Supply/Demand)
Potentially bullish rise?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has bounced off the pivot and would rise to the 1st resistance that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3779
1st Support: 1.3731
1st Resistance: 1.3858
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/CAD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
USD/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.382
Target Level: 1.369
Stop Loss: 1.391
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
09-09-2025 USDCADAs shown in the figure: 15M Bearish Cypher
The market is not always chaotic and disorderly, and there is a precise geometric beauty hidden in price fluctuations. The harmonic form long strategy is a powerful tool for accurately identifying potential market reversal points based on the Fibonacci ratio. When the form forms perfectly at the key support level, it often indicates the depletion of bearish momentum and the initiation of bullish trends.
USDCAD H1 | Potential bearish dropThe Loonie (USD/CAD) has reacted off the sell entry and could drop from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 1.3808, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 1.3842, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3770, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/CAD - Clean price actions with LTF consolidation📈 USD/CAD – Coiling for the Next Expansion
🕰 Weekly View
Price remains in a long-term bullish trend, holding above strong support.
Weekly structure shows resistance overhead at 1.50–1.52, but liquidity is building toward that level.
Current zone is mid-range, rejecting weekly supply.
📊 Daily Structure
Recent CHOCH + BOS confirm buyers stepping back in after tapping weekly demand.
Price consolidating near 1.38, building energy.
Daily IMB target sits at 1.41, aligning with upside liquidity.
Below, two strong buy zones line up with fib 0.618–0.71 retracement:
Buy Zone 1 (preferred): 1.37–1.3720
Buy Zone 2: 1.3650–1.3680 (extreme demand).
⏱ 8H Breakdown
Structure forming a potential head & shoulders consolidation, but neckline is unbroken.
If price dips into buy zones, expecting sharp reversal higher.
Liquidity below sitting at 1.37–1.3680, prime trap for late sellers.
Upside target: 1.41–1.4150 IMB.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Wait for sweep into 1.37 demand (preferred).
Stop: 1.3645 (below extreme demand).
Target: 1.4100–1.4150 (daily IMB).
RR: 1:4+ depending on entry.
⚡ Bias
Bullish – waiting for a corrective dip into demand before continuation to 1.41+.
Invalidation: sustained close below 1.3640.
USD/CAD – Breakout Opportunity AheadThe market is painting a clear picture: Canada’s labor data is weakening (unemployment jumping to 7.1%), while the USD still holds an advantage thanks to investor safe-haven demand. This tilts the balance strongly in favor of buyers on USD/CAD – and if timed right, this could be a golden trading setup.
On the 4H chart, price has tested the 1.3780 support multiple times without breaking it, proving this level to be a solid “launchpad.” At the same time, EMA34 and EMA89 are converging around 1.3800, adding strength to the bullish outlook. If price breaks above 1.3870, get ready – the door towards 1.3920–1.3950 will open wide.
Strategy: Buy on dip around 1.3780–1.3800, with SL just below 1.3750. First TP at 1.3870, extended TP at 1.3920+. This is a setup backed by both fundamentals and technicals, giving bulls the upper hand.
USDCAD: Bullish For The Near Term?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 8 - 12th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USDCAD
Last Week I was looking for weakness in the USDCAD. It traded through the bearish FVG on the Daily, moving higher as the CAD turned out to be even weaker last week.
Look for this to continue for the upcoming week, as there is internal range liquidity (IRL) drawing price higher for a short term gains.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Bearish reversal setup?USD/CAD has rejected off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3857
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3916
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 1.3771
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDCAD 4HTrading Outlook for the Upcoming Week
In this series of analyses, we review trading perspectives and short-term outlooks.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone near the current price of the asset. The market’s reaction to—or breakout from—this zone will determine the next price movement toward the specified levels.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to highlight key levels ahead of the price and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
USDCADChart Patterns
**Ascending Trendline Support: Price bounced from a rising trendline, acting as dynamic support.
**Previous Horizontal Support Zone: Also aligns with the Fibonacci 0.5 level from the recent move.
**Potential Double Bottom at support area (watch for confirmation with bullish momentum).
Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
**Currently near the oversold region (~30), suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
**Possible bullish divergence (price making higher lows while RSI makes lower lows – needs confirmation).
Fibonacci Retracement
**Fib levels from recent low to high are drawn.
**Price bounced near the 50% retracement, a common reversal level.
USDCAD H4 | Bullish bounce offUSD/CAD has bounced off the buy entry which has been identified as a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 1.3770, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.3729, which is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit is at 1.3855, which is an overlap resistance that laigns withthe 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.