EUR/USD - Ascending Triangle (17.11.2025)🧠 Setup Overview TICKMILL:EURUSD
EUR/USD has formed an ascending triangle, but instead of breaking upward, price failed at the horizontal resistance and slipped below the rising trendline — signaling potential bearish reversal. The pair is rejecting the 1.1650–1.1660 supply zone, and downside momentum is building as fundamentals shift in favor of USD strength.
📊 Trading Plan🔻 Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias)
Look for trendline retest rejection for confirmation
Expect continuation to the downside toward key support zones
🎯 Targets:
1st Support: 1.1581
2nd Support: 1.1561
🔰 Resistance Zone: 1.1650 – 1.1660
⚡ Fundamental Updates (Today – 17 Nov 2025)
1️⃣ Fed officials remain cautious about easing policy due to persistent inflation risks.
• This reduces the chances of a near-term rate cut → USD strengthens.
2️⃣ U.S. government bond yields rise as investors move into safer assets during stock market weakness.
• Higher yields = stronger USD → bearish pressure on EUR/USD.
These fundamentals align with the technical breakdown, supporting further downside.
#EURUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #AscendingTriangle #BearishSetup #USD #EUR #FundamentalAnalysis #ForexSignals #TradingView #KABHI_TA_TRADING #ChartsDontLieTradersDontQuit #FXMarket #TrendlineBreak #SupplyZone
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice.All content is for educational purposes only. Always confirm signals and apply strict risk management before entering trades.
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Trade ideas
EURUSD Weakens at Resistance — Pullback Toward 1.1480 ExpectedHello traders! Let’s break down the current EURUSD structure. EURUSD continues to trade inside a broad descending channel, where both the resistance and support lines have been respected multiple times, forming a steady sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Each touch of the upper boundary resulted in a clear Turned Around reaction, confirming the strength of seller control within the overall bearish trend. Earlier, the pair entered a range phase in the left section of the chart, where price consolidated before breaking to the downside. This breakout accelerated bearish momentum, pushing EURUSD toward the lower half of the channel. Subsequent attempts at recovery formed shallow corrections, each aligning with the mid-channel dashed trendline, signaling persistent downward pressure. Recently, price approached the Buyer Zone near the 1.1480–1.1500 region, which also overlaps with the broader Support Level and the lower boundary of the descending channel. This area has previously acted as a strong reaction zone, and buyers are once again attempting to hold this level. At the moment, the EURUSD pair is showing early signs of a potential corrective rebound, with the price aiming for the nearest resistance level around 1.1540, which also coincides with the seller's zone. This region previously acted as support, and is now expected to serve as a barrier for a retest. As long as the pair remains below the descending resistance line, the broader trend remains bearish. A short-term correction to the level around 1.1540 is likely if buyers continue to defend the support level. However, a deviation from the resistance cluster could trigger renewed selling pressure, potentially sending EURUSD back to the channel bottom for another reaction. In my opinion, the price will move towards TP1 with a target of 1.14800. A confirmed break above the descending resistance line would be the first sign of a possible bullish shift, opening the door for a stronger recovery. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀
EURUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.15700 zone, EURUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.15700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD Buyers Defend Support — Targets 1.1600 Resistance RetestHello traders! Let’s break down the current EURUSD structure. EURUSD is trading within a broad ascending structure, finding strong support at the Buyer Zone (1.1500–1.1510), which aligns with both the Support Level and the lower boundary of the rising channel. This area has acted as a key reaction point multiple times, confirming the presence of strong buyers and forming the base for several upward impulses. Earlier, the pair broke out of the descending triangle structure, retesting the former Seller Zone before continuing lower. After reaching the channel support, EURUSD formed a local bottom and started to grow, respecting the trendline and creating higher lows. A fake breakout occurred near the mid-channel resistance, where buyers quickly returned, signaling continued demand. Currently, EURUSD is approaching the Resistance Level at 1.1600, which also serves as the first major take-profit area (TP1). This zone has previously caused corrective moves and remains the main barrier for buyers. If the pair maintains momentum and stays above the Buyer Zone, I expect a bullish push toward TP1 → 1.1600, where sellers may again attempt to hold resistance. A confirmed breakout above 1.1600 would unlock a path toward higher levels within the ascending structure. However, if EURUSD breaks below 1.1500 and fails to hold the Buyer Zone, the bullish scenario becomes invalid. In that case, the price may revisit deeper support levels and potentially exit the rising channel. For now, the structure remains moderately bullish, with buyers dominating as long as the pair trades above demand and respects the ascending support line. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀
EURUSD I Daily CLS Model 1 I Monthly I Model 2Hi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close.
📌HTF - Higher Timeframe view
🧩 Complete proces and Strategy explained 👇 Click Below
🎯 Why your market approach also should be mechanical ?
NO Fixed Mechanical Trading Logic - You are guessing random patterns
NO Defined trading plan - Every trade different logic
NO Same logic in each trade - Not possible to backtest
NO Backtests on at least 300 trades - Not knowing Statistics
➡️ No Statistics ➡️ No Edge ➡️ Mindset ProblemS
🧠 Core of mindset problems
If you don't know your statistics on large enough data sample. You don't know your probabilities of win rate once the losing streak happen and it happens to every strategy. You will start doubting, hesitating to take next trade because you don't know statistics of your losses. In the end you will be doubting strategy and then jump to different one. You will be in the endless loop for years, looking for new better strategy. 👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER.
✨ Trading Mastery is reflection of your life
Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life.
Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪
David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EUR/USD has bounced strongly from the identified support zone and has now broken above the descending trendline, holding firmly above it .
In the current area, we expect some short-term consolidation, followed by a continued move higher toward the next resistance levels.
A breakout above 1.166 would act as a key confirmation signal, suggesting continuation of the bullish trend and opening the path toward higher targets.
As long as the price remains above the ascending trendline, the bullish scenario remains valid.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EURUSD Short: Price Sliding Back Toward 1.1540 SupportHello traders! EURUSD continues to move within a broader bearish trend structure, consistently respecting the descending Trend Line that has acted as a dynamic resistance for several weeks. Each retest of this line has resulted in strong bearish reactions, confirming persistent seller dominance. Throughout the decline, the market formed several pivot points and repeated breakouts, showing how price reacts to key liquidity areas. A notable pattern on the chart is the Rounding Top, which formed near the mid-trend zone and signaled an early shift from bullish correction to renewed bearish pressure. After completing this pattern, EURUSD dropped sharply, breaking down through support and heading toward the demand area. Recently, price attempted a breakout above the descending Trend Line but created a Fake Breakout, indicating that buyers were unable to hold gains above resistance. This rejection occurred inside the Supply Zone around 1.1620, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
Currently, EURUSD is trading below the trend line once again, showing weakening bullish attempts and maintaining the overall downward trajectory. Price is slowly drifting toward the Demand Zone at 1.15400, which has previously served as a strong reaction area.
My scenario if EURUSD fails to break the descending Trend Line and stays below the Supply Zone, the pair is likely to continue moving lower toward the 1.15400 Demand Zone. This area is the next major support and the most probable target for sellers. However, if buyers defend the current levels and push price back toward resistance, a short-term correction toward the trend line may occur before another bearish impulse. A confirmed break below 1.15400 would open the way for further downside continuation, in line with the broader bearish structure. For now, the bias remains bearish while price trades under the Trend Line and below 1.1620. Manage your risk!
EURUSD Poised for Further Downside as Bearish Structure HoldsEURUSD Poised for Further Downside as Bearish Structure Holds
From our previous analysis, EURUSD reached our first target and found a strong support near 1.5300
EUR/USD continues to trade within a clear bearish structure after breaking down from the large symmetrical triangle formation earlier this month.
The pair is struggling to gain bullish traction, and every short-term recovery has been met with selling pressure.
Price is currently retesting the minor support area around 1.1530, but momentum remains weak.
The next support levels to watch are:
🔹 1.1470
🔹 1.1400
As long as the pair remains below 1.1665 resistance, the overall outlook favors further declines.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
EURUSD: Targets focus on declines to 1.1480 support levelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD continues to trade within a clear Downward Channel, maintaining a strong bearish structure characterized by consistent lower highs and lower lows. Early in the chart, the pair formed a prolonged Range Phase, signaling indecision before sellers eventually took control and pushed the price downward. After breaking below the range, EURUSD repeatedly retested the Resistance Area around 1.1550, where the market showed strong bearish reactions. Each bounce into this resistance zone resulted in a clear rejection, proving that sellers consistently defend this area. The chart also highlights multiple Breakout attempts, all of which failed to sustain upward continuation, confirming a lack of bullish strength. Additionally, the chart shows the formation of a Triangle Pattern, with price reacting between the Triangle Resistance Line and the Triangle Support Line. Despite temporary recoveries, every move upward was limited and capped by descending trendline pressure.
Currently, EURUSD broke below the minor structure support again, demonstrating that bearish momentum remains dominant. Price is now heading toward the Support Zone near 1.1480, which aligns with both horizontal demand and the Triangle Support Line. This confluence makes it a key level to watch. As long as EURUSD trades below the 1.1550 Resistance Area and stays inside the Downward Channel, the bearish structure remains intact. Any bullish recovery is likely to be corrective rather than trend-changing unless buyers manage to break above major resistance.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect EURUSD to continue edging lower toward the 1.1480 Support Zone, following the recent rejection from resistance. A minor upward correction may occur, potentially retesting broken support or the Triangle Resistance Line, but such a move would likely be short-lived without strong bullish confirmation.
A confirmed breakdown below 1.1480 would open the path for deeper bearish continuation within the Downward Channel. Only a solid breakout above 1.1550, backed by strong buying pressure, would challenge the prevailing bearish trend. For now, selling the pullbacks remains the more favorable strategy while price stays below major resistance.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EUR/USD – Channel Breakdown Possibility | CPR Rejection Signals The EUR/USD Pair, Price has been trading within a Channel Pattern on the H1 chart, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. Price action is now testing the lower boundary of the pattern, signalling a possible breakdown.
✅Market Context:
1️⃣Downward structure building inside the pattern.
2️⃣Sellers are showing strength near support levels.
3️⃣Breakdown below the trendline indicates momentum continuation toward lower zones.
✅Trade Plan:
Entry: Sell after confirmed breakdown below the support (Candle close below trendline or retest of the breakout).
💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – major support area identified ahead.
🛑Stop Loss (SL): Above the pattern structure / recent swing high.
✅Psychological Discipline:
1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades.
2️⃣Accept losing trades as part of the strategy.
3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade.
✅ Support this analysis with a
LIKE 👍 | COMMENT 💬 | FOLLOW 🔔
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
EURUSD Rejected From Resistance — Pullback Toward 1.1560 in PlayHello traders! Let’s analyze the current EURUSD market structure. EURUSD continues to move within a broad descending channel, where both the Resistance Line and the Support Line have been respected multiple times, confirming a well-defined bearish market structure. Throughout the past sessions, price formed several Range phases near key levels, followed by Breakouts that maintained the overall downward momentum. Recently, EURUSD approached the upper boundary of the channel and reacted strongly from the major Resistance Level near 1.16600, which overlaps with the Seller Zone. This area has triggered multiple Turned Around movements in the past, reinforcing its importance as a supply region where sellers consistently regain control. After rejecting this resistance, price started a downward move toward the mid-range structure. The pair is now approaching the Buyer Zone around 1.15500–1.15600, which aligns with both the local support area and previous Range accumulation. This zone has historically served as a strong reaction level, where short-term bullish corrections often began. As long as EURUSD remains below the descending channel’s resistance and fails to break above the Seller Zone, the bearish structure remains intact. A continuation toward TP1: 1.15600 is the most likely scenario in the short term, especially if sellers maintain momentum below the 1.16200 area. A clean break below the Buyer Zone could open the door for a deeper decline toward the Support Line at the bottom of the channel. On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 1.16600 Resistance Level would invalidate the current bearish view and potentially shift the trend toward recovery. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD: Sellers Target Move Toward 1.1550 Support ZoneHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD is currently reacting within a broader corrective structure after failing to break above the major Resistance Area around 1.16500. This zone has repeatedly acted as a strong supply region, where price formed multiple rejection points and false breakouts. Each attempt to move higher was stopped by the descending Resistance Line, confirming continued bearish pressure. Earlier, EURUSD moved inside a wide Range Phase, followed by a breakout that initiated an upward correction inside an Upward Channel. However, bullish momentum weakened once price reached the upper boundary of the channel and the major resistance area. This led to a strong reversal and a bearish breakout below channel support.
Currently, EURUSD is climbing again toward the same Resistance Area near 1.16500, but the structure suggests the move is likely a corrective pullback, not a trend reversal. Price is approaching the intersection of the Resistance Line and the Resistance Zone, creating a confluence area where sellers are expected to regain control.As long as the market trades below this resistance cluster, the overall trend remains bearish. A rejection from the 1.16500 level could trigger a decline toward the Support Zone at 1.15550, which previously acted as a key demand region.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect EURUSD to complete its pullback soon and resume the bearish trend once price reaches the 1.16500 Resistance Area. This zone remains the strongest supply region in the current structure. Potential short entries become valid once bearish confirmation appears near 1.16500, with the primary target at the 1.15550 Support Zone (TP1).
A clean breakdown below 1.15550 would signal continuation of the downtrend.
Alternatively, if EURUSD successfully breaks above 1.16500 and stays above the descending resistance line, bullish momentum may develop — but for now, this scenario remains secondary. Market bias stays bearish as long as price trades below resistance.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUD I Daily CLS I Model 1 - Full Range TargetHi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close.
🧩 Complete proces and Strategy explained 👇 Click Below
🎯 Why your market approach also should be mechanical ?
NO Fixed Mechanical Trading Logic - You are guessing random patterns
NO Defined trading plan - Every trade different logic
NO Same logic in each trade - Not possible to backtest
NO Backtests on at least 300 trades - Not knowing Statistics
➡️ No Statistics ➡️ No Edge ➡️ Mindset ProblemS
🧠 Core of mindset problems
If you don't know your statistics on large enough data sample. You don't know your probabilities of win rate once the losing streak happen and it happens to every strategy. You will start doubting, hesitating to take next trade because you don't know statistics of your losses. In the end you will be doubting strategy and then jump to different one. You will be in the endless loop for years, looking for new better strategy. 👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER.
✨ Trading Mastery is reflection of your life
Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life.
Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪
David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
EUR/USD | Euro Preparing for a Bearish Reversal Zone! (READ)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 6H timeframe, we can see the price trading around 1.1590. I expect a small push upward first, followed by a potential rejection from the 1.16085–1.1640 zone. If we get a strong rejection there, a powerful bearish move could follow.
This bearish scenario only fails if the price breaks above 1.1660.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD Long: Buyers Eye a Push Toward 1.15700 Supply ZoneHello traders! EURUSD continues to trade within a broader bearish market structure, remaining below the long-term Supply Line, which acts as dynamic resistance and keeps the pair under selling pressure. The chart shows several pivot points forming along both the supply trendline and the rising demand trendline, confirming the current wedge-like structure. Earlier, the pair created a Rounding Top Pattern near the upper boundary of the structure, which signaled weakening bullish momentum and triggered a sharp decline toward the Demand Line. After touching the demand trendline around 1.1500, EURUSD formed a strong bullish reaction at the pivot point, showing buyers stepping in to maintain support. However, the recent breakout and retest of minor structure levels still leave the pair below the key 1.15700 Supply Zone, where price has reacted multiple times in the past. This zone aligns with horizontal supply and the descending Supply Line — forming a high-confluence resistance area.
Currently, the pair is attempting to recover toward 1.15700, which is the nearest upside target. If price reaches this level, it may face strong selling pressure once again, as previous breakouts from this zone turned into bearish rejection candles. As long as EURUSD remains trapped between the Demand Line and Supply Line, the overall structure stays corrective and heavily dependent on reactions at these key zones.
My scenario as long as EURUSD holds above the Demand Zone at 1.1500–1.1510, buyers may attempt a short-term recovery toward 1.15700, which acts as the nearest structural resistance. A clean breakout above 1.15700 would confirm bullish strength and could open the way for a deeper correction toward the descending Supply Line. However, if the pair gets rejected at the Supply Zone again, sellers may regain control and push price back toward 1.1510–1.1500, where demand is expected to react. A confirmed break below 1.1500 would invalidate the bullish recovery potential and could signal continuation of the broader bearish trend. For now, EURUSD supports a short-term bullish retracement, but the larger trend remains bearish while price stays below the descending Supply Line. Manage your risk!
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis
for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading next week.
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EURUSD - Outlook for next week!Introduction
EURUSD has been steadily climbing, maintaining a firm uptrend that continues to show strength in market structure. The series of higher highs and higher lows suggests that bullish momentum remains intact, with the market consistently respecting key demand zones on its way upward. As the pair progresses, important technical levels such as fair value gaps and liquidity pools will act as guidance for where price may gravitate next. The chart reflects this upward trajectory and offers a clear roadmap for potential continuation.
Bullish 4H FVG
One of the most significant areas currently in focus is the bullish 4-hour fair value gap. I expect this gap to be reached and to hold as a supportive zone if price pulls back into it. This region represents an area where the market previously moved with strong displacement, leaving inefficiencies behind. If price returns to rebalance this gap and reacts positively, it would provide a strong indication that buyers are still in control. A successful hold of the 4H FVG would reinforce the broader bullish narrative and serve as a foundation for further continuation to the upside.
Liquidity Sweep
With the prevailing trend pointing upward, EURUSD is likely to continue seeking liquidity positioned above current price levels. As momentum carries the market higher, a liquidity sweep becomes increasingly probable. This would involve price reaching into the cluster of resting liquidity above previous highs, tapping into stop orders and filling imbalances before potentially testing the bearish 4-hour fair value gap above. Such a move aligns with typical market behavior, where price targets areas of inefficiency and pockets of liquidity before deciding on its next direction.
Final Thoughts
In conclusion, EURUSD remains firmly positioned within an uptrend, and the draw on liquidity continues to point upward. The liquidity residing above the market, particularly around and just above the bearish 4-hour FVG, presents a natural target for price to explore. As long as the bullish structure remains intact and the 4H FVG holds as anticipated, the path of least resistance is still to the upside. Traders should remain attentive to how price behaves around these key zones, as they will provide important clues for the next significant movement in the pair.
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EURUSD - Waiting on the direction!Introduction
EURUSD is currently trading in a very technical zone where price is positioned between two significant daily fair value gaps. These opposing imbalances—one bearish and one bullish—are acting as major directional barriers. As long as price remains contained between them, the pair is effectively trapped in a compression phase, awaiting a decisive breakout. The next clear move will likely arise when either the upper or lower FVG gives way, allowing the market to target the liquidity zones that lie beyond these imbalances.
Daily Bearish FVG
Above current price sits the daily bearish fair value gap, which is acting as a strong resistance area. If EURUSD manages to break through this upper FVG with conviction, it would indicate that buyers have reclaimed control. A clean break above this zone would open the path toward the liquidity area located at the top of the chart. This region is where a large cluster of stop orders and resting buy-side liquidity is likely positioned. A move into this area would be a natural target as price seeks to rebalance inefficiencies and tap into the liquidity pool above previous highs.
Daily Bullish FVG
Below the current range lies the daily bullish fair value gap, functioning as a major support zone. If EURUSD breaks below this lower FVG, it would signal a shift in momentum back to the downside. Such a move would send price toward the liquidity zone at the bottom, where sell-side liquidity rests beneath prior lows. This would align with typical market behavior in a bearish continuation—first taking out inefficiencies, then reaching into the liquidity pools that form below structural lows.
Conclusion
EURUSD is currently confined between two major daily FVG levels, creating a tightly compressed structure where the next breakout will dictate direction. Until price decisively breaks either the bearish FVG above or the bullish FVG below, the pair remains in a waiting phase. The eventual breach of one of these imbalances will determine whether EURUSD hunts liquidity at the top or at the bottom, making this a critical moment for directional clarity in the market.
EUR/USD – H1 Wedge Breakout |Bullish Momentum Targeting 1.1600📌 Setup Overview FX:EURUSD
EUR/USD has broken out of a falling wedge on H1, signalling a potential bullish trend reversal.
Price has reclaimed the Ichimoku cloud — now acting as support, showing fresh buyer strength.
• Pattern: Wedge Breakout Pattern
• Timeframe: H1 Chart
• Bias: Bullish
• Reason for setup: Breakout & Retested
🎯 Trading Plan
• Entry idea: Retest of breakout zone for confirmation before continuation
• TP1: 1.15886 (1st Resistance)
• TP2: 1.16148 (2nd Resistance / liquidity sweep zone)
🧠 Fundamental Drivers
1️⃣ 80% probability the Federal Reserve cuts rates in December → weaker USD supports bullish EUR/USD
2️⃣ Upcoming high-impact data to watch:
• EUR – German GDP
• USD – Core PPI
• USD – Retail Sales
Fundamentals currently favour bullish EUR side, with USD losing momentum.
#EURUSD #forex #forexanalysis #priceaction #chartanalysis #technicalanalysis #fundamentalanalysis #tradingview #supportandresistance #smartmoney #breakout #wedgebreakout #ichimokucloud #marketstructure
📌 What to expect
Break/retest continuation structure suggests 1.1588 is the first magnet.
If momentum remains strong, price could extend to 1.1614 liquidity zone.
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⚠ Disclaimer:
Trade for education/study only. Manage risk according to your own system.






















