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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD Massive Long! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for EURUSD is below: The market is trading on 1.1536 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 1.1577 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD FRGNT Weekly Forecast -Q4 | W45 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT Weekly Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
Whipsaw to fresh support for EUR/USD?Following the BoJ’s lead, the ECB held all three key rates unchanged for a third consecutive meeting yesterday – as expected – leaving the deposit rate at 2.00%. The decision should not have raised many eyebrows and reflects the central bank’s view that monetary policy remains in a ‘good place’. As you would have expected, guidance was pretty limited; the accompanying rate statement reiterated that the central bank remains on a ‘data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach’. In her press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde highlighted the economy’s growth despite headwinds, although she acknowledged geopolitical tensions, trade negotiations, as well as France’s budget crisis and Germany’s delayed fiscal stimulus. As I am sure you are aware, eurozone inflation continues to meander around the central bank’s 2.0% target – we have September’s print landing later today – with Q3 economic activity growing by 0.2% (surpassing expectations of 0.1%), according to preliminary flash estimates, and unemployment remaining near historic lows. The market reaction to the ECB announcement was muted, though should the EUR continue to rally, this could eventually lead to another rate reduction, particularly if it threatens economic recovery. A stronger EUR increases export costs while reducing import prices, potentially compressing export revenues and dampening inflationary pressures. In terms of future policy cuts, most analysts I have spoken with believe the central bank is done and dusted with rate cuts, though money-market expectations suggest a potential 25-bp cut later next year. The focus now shifts to December’s meeting, which will offer updated quarterly economic projections. As for the technicals I am watching on the EUR/USD right now, we can see that long-term flow recently rejected monthly resistance between US$1.2028 and US$1.1930, with scope to continue pressing south until monthly support as far south as US$1.1457. With that in mind, a break below US$1.1540ish on the daily chart opens the door for a run on sell-stops to test support from US$1.1490. Given this support, and the monthly support positioned below at US$1.1457, this area could be a location EUR/USD longs make a show from. Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
Long
by FP Markets
EUR/USD 1.1570 Analysis — Fibo Confluence Setup Downtrend🔹 EUR/USD Analysis — Fibo Confluence Setup in Line with the Downtrend Context:
Price is currently in a primary downtrend. The market structure remains consistently bearish, with room for the trend to continue. Technical Analysis: 
1️⃣ The overall trend remains bearish, with no clear signs of reversal yet.
 2️⃣ When drawing the Fibonacci retracement in the direction of the trend, the 0.5–0.618 zone coincides with the key level at 1.1570, forming a strong confluence of three technical factors.
3️⃣ This is a potential reaction zone where price may continue its downward momentum if the market structure remains intact. Expected Scenario:
Monitor price action around the 1.1570 area. If price shows weak bullish reaction and signals continuation, the downtrend is likely to strengthen.
The area above the confluence zone can be viewed as a risk control region. Analysis by:Hung Minsk Fibo Trung
Short
by hungminskfibotrung
EURUSD 3H: Selling the OTE High - Targeting the Drawdown🎯 EURUSD 3H: Selling the OTE High - Targeting the Drawdown Timeframe: 3-Hour (3H) Chart Analysis: High-Probability ICT/SMC Setup EURUSD has just wicked into the 3H OTE High at 1.1550, a classic high-probability level for a short entry. We are looking for an immediate reversal and a strong move lower. The Setup: Entry Zone: Price has touched the key resistance/reversal zone around 1.1550 (OTE High). Target (Liquidity Magnet): The target for this short swing is the 3H OTE Low at 1.15280. This is where sell-side liquidity is waiting, and we expect institutional flow to drive price down to fill this gap. Anticipation: The chart projects an immediate bearish move, driving down to complete the mitigation of the recent high and test the liquidity at the lower OTE level. Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes (e.g., 15m/5m) for a break in market structure to confirm the short entry! Greetings, MrYounity
Short
by MrYounity
EURUSD⬆️ Buy Entry: 1.14800 ⏹️ Stop Loss: 1.14100 *️⃣ Take Profit-1: 1.15780 *️⃣ Take Profit-2: 1.16150 🔠 The pair has been declining moderately since the beginning of the week, forming a bullish pattern. Signal lines indicated a short-term bearish trend for this pair, and the potential decline has materialized. At the time of this forecast, the price reached 1.14800, from which an upward rebound is expected, beginning a bullish momentum above 1.16000.
Long
by FXTradingOnLine
EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W45 | D6| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | D6| Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:EURUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD bearish continuation below 1.1576The EURUSD is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend. Key resistance is located at 1.1576, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move. A bearish rejection from 1.1576 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 1.1483, followed by 1.1466 and 1.1430 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 1.1576 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 1.1600, then 1.1630. Conclusion: The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the price breaks and holds above 1.1576. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by Trade Nation
EURUSD Daily Outlook — Bearish Retracement Toward Sell-Side Liqu On the monthly timeframe, EURUSD still holds a bullish target, but before the next major upward leg, I believe the market needs a retracement phase. Looking at the daily timeframe, the structure currently supports a bearish bias. Price has been respecting bearish PD Arrays while failing to sustain bullish PD Arrays, suggesting that bearish order flow remains dominant for now. In my view, we can expect the market to move downward toward the sell-side liquidity before any potential bullish continuation begins. 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌 🔎 DYOR 💡Wait for the update!
Short
by VahidTradingCR
5
EUR/USD – Price Action Triggers Bearish Opportunity🚀 EUR/USD “FIBRE” Metals Market Profit Playbook 🪓 (Day-Trade Setup) 🧠 Market Overview Rob the Market here — diving into EUR/USD (“FIBRE”) with a bearish day-trade plan. The 200 SMA is rejecting bull riders, and a SMA 786 breakout just slashed through dynamic support — giving us the green light for a downside play. This setup runs on my signature “Thief Layered Strategy” — a professional-style, multi-entry approach that adds precision, reduces exposure, and keeps emotions cool. 💣 Trade Plan Bias: Bearish ✅ Technical Confirmation: • 200 SMA acting as key resistance — bulls got denied hard. • SMA 786 breakout confirms bearish pressure. • Dynamic support line flipped to resistance — trend favoring shorts. 🎯 Thief Layered Entry Strategy 💼 Instead of dumping one big order, this method spreads multiple sell-limit entries to scale in smartly as price develops. 💡 Why Layered Entries? • Avoids premature entries in volatile moves. • Smooths your average entry price for better R:R. • Lets you add positions only when the market confirms your bias. • Keeps the mind calm and the account safe — stealth moves only 😎 🔥 Example Layer Levels (Sell Limits): First layer ➤ 1.16400 — initial resistance test zone. Second layer ➤ 1.16200 — confirms rejection from 200 SMA. Third layer ➤ 1.16000 — mid-zone entry, balanced risk. Fourth layer ➤ 1.15800 — deep retrace trap entry, sniper fill zone. 🧠 Pro Tip: Adjust or add more layers depending on volatility and position size comfort. The Thief never rushes — he scales with patience. 🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief SL) 🔒 1.16800 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s): This is my thief-style stop, not a fixed rule. Trade at your own risk — protect your loot before you rob the market! 🏦💨 💰 Target Zone (Thief TP) 🎯 1.14500 — major support zone + oversold levels + liquidity trap potential. Perfect spot to escape with profits before the crowd catches on. Again — this TP is flexible. The Thief exits quietly when the bag is full. 🤑 🔗 Related Pairs & Correlations to Watch Keep your thief’s radar open for USD movement across majors: • OANDA:USDCHF – Usually mirrors EUR/USD in reverse. • FX:GBPUSD – Helps confirm overall USD strength or weakness. • OANDA:EURGBP – Reveals EUR’s independent strength. • TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) – Strong DXY usually drags EUR/USD lower. 🔍 Key Points to Monitor • Will the 200 SMA hold as resistance? • Does the SMA 786 breakout retest fail or bounce? • Volume + momentum alignment near entry layers. • Any macroeconomic event shaking USD or EUR sentiment. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #EURUSD #Forex #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #BearishSetup #LayeredEntries #SmartMoney #ForexCommunity #TradingViewIdeas #MetalsMarket #PriceAction
Short
by The-Thief
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.153. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.143 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EUR/USD Technical OutlookEUR/USD Technical Outlook – Short-Term Bullish Correction Eyeing 1.1580 Zone On the 1-hour timeframe, EUR/USD is maintaining a steady bullish recovery after a strong downside leg last week. The pair has been forming a clean ascending structure, respecting dynamic support from the 9-period DEMA and showing healthy price momentum toward the upper resistance zone. 1. Technical Overview Structure: Price broke out of the short-term range and is now forming a higher-low structure – a clear signal of early bullish momentum. Dynamic Support: The 9 EMA (1.1534) is currently acting as near-term support; holding above this level keeps the bullish bias intact.Fibonacci Context: The current retracement aligns with the 0.382–0.5 Fibo zone from the last impulsive move, suggesting potential continuation toward the 1.1580–1.1600 region. Momentum: RSI on intraday frames remains above the neutral 50 level, indicating buyers are still in control despite a minor pullback. 2. Key Price Zones - 1.1560 – 1.1580 - Short-term target area; potential supply zone - Major Resistance - 1.1660 – 1.1680 - Weekly structure high; medium-term objective - Support Zone - 1.1515 – 1.1525 - Recent swing low and DEMA confluence - Secondary Support - 1.1480 - Invalidates the bullish setup if broken 3. Trading Plan Primary Scenario (Bullish bias) Wait for a short-term pullback near 1.1520 – 1.1530 Enter Buy positions once price confirms support on the lower timeframes. Take Profit (TP1): 1.1580 Take Profit (TP2): 1.1660 Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.1480 Alternative Scenario If EUR/USD breaks and closes below 1.1480, the bullish scenario is invalidated; the pair may re-enter a consolidation or corrective phase. 4. Summary The EUR/USD pair is gradually building a bullish base after a prolonged decline. Holding above 1.1520 keeps momentum favoring buyers, with the next potential target around 1.1580 and possibly 1.1660 if breakout strength persists. Traders should keep an eye on the reaction near 1.1560 – 1.1580, as this zone will decide whether the correction evolves into a broader trend reversal.
by Henrybillion
EURUSD Sell?The entire descending trend is based on price manipulating a wedge before creating CISD where the real entry confirmation will occur, however In this case I'm abit aggressive, entering at the manipulation as indicated. If price goes up breaking above premium zone (blue area) and closing above with candle body, I will consider this entry void and most likely direction will be changing and I'll start looking for bullish moves. For now I'm still very much bearish!
Short
by ManMcPriceaction
EUR/USD – Daily Demand Zone | Potential Bullish ReactionAfter a steady decline, EUR/USD has reached the October low region — aligning with a previously respected demand zone near 1.1450–1.1380. This zone has acted as a strong base in the past, and bulls might step in again for a corrective move toward the October High (1.1780) or even the September High (1.1918) if momentum strengthens. 🔍 Technical Outlook Price is testing a daily demand block near 1.1450 Possible bullish reaction from this area Break below 1.1380 will invalidate bullish bias Upside targets: 1.1700 → 1.1780 → 1.1910 💰 Trade Idea (Example) Entry: 1.1460–1.1420 Stop Loss: 1.1370 Take Profit: 1.1780 / 1.1900 🧭 Bias: Bullish (Reversal Expected from Demand Zone) #EURUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #DailyChart #DemandZone #TradingView #SwingTrade
Long
by forexfire1
EURUSD 30MIN NEWYORK CHARTEURUSD EXCHANGE RATE =1.15053 LONDON RATE . IF EURUSD BRAKOUT OF 1.5653 ,LOOK FOR POSITION AND GO LONG,AS A BROKEN DAILY SUPPLY ROOF BECOMES A DEMAND FLOOR AND THE TARGET COULD BE AROUNT THE 1.17925 ON A FLIP SIDE IF DOLLAR INDEX AND US10Y STAYS STRONG ON APPROACHING KEY RESISTANCE EURUSD COULD LOOSE THE BUY POTENTIAL TO 1.15653 ,ITS IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND THAT 1.15653 WAS A BROKEN DEMAND FLOOR AND IF IT REJECTS IT NORMAL( BREAK AND RETEST) SO IF WE REJECT 1.15653 THEN THE SELLING WILL CONTINUE INTO ANOTHER KEY DEMAND FLOOR AT 1.14054 +EMA 200 ON DAILY . THE DAILY EMA 200 PROVIDING ANOTHER PROVE OF STRONG BUY IN COMBINATION WITH OUR MARKET STRUCTURE . NOTE ; THE DOLLAR INDEX AND US10Y WILL BE FACTORED BEFORE GOING LONG AGAIN ON EURUSD. FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK US10Y=4.089% EUR10Y=2.651% 10-year German Bund yield: ~3.1% ECB RATE the current European Central Bank (ECB) main refinancing rate is 2.15%. This is the primary rate used by the ECB to provide liquidity to the banking system and guide monetary policy. Head of ECB President: Christine Lagarde She has been leading the ECB and continues to oversee monetary policy decisions aimed at maintaining price stability and supporting economic growth in the Eurozone. FEDERAL FUND RATE =3.75%-4.0% INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL= 1,6%-1.85% BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL=1.438% CARRY TRADE = FAVOUR USD FROM BOND YIELD AND RATE PERSPECTIVE . HEAD OF FEDS (FEDERAL RESERVE)=SIR Jerome Powell ECONOMIC OUTLOOK DESPEITE BOND AND RATE ADVANTAGE . EUR/USD is continuing to show strength or “going long” despite the apparent interest rate and bond yield advantage favoring the USD for several key reasons: 1. Market Uncertainty and Fed Outlook The US Federal Reserve’s recent rate cuts have introduced some uncertainty about the future trajectory of US monetary policy. Traders are cautious as upcoming US economic data and geopolitical risks (like ongoing government shutdowns) create hesitation. This uncertainty tempers the strength of the USD despite higher nominal rates and yields relative to the Eurozone. 2. Eurozone Economic Resilience Economic data from the Eurozone indicates stabilizing inflation near the ECB’s target and moderate but resilient growth. Investors are factoring in the Eurozone's improving fundamentals, supporting the euro even against higher US yields. 3. Risk Sentiment and Technical Factors Global investors often use the euro as a diversification or risk-on currency relative to the safe-haven dollar. Technical analysis shows EUR/USD holding key support and resistance levels that attract buyers, sustaining momentum. 4. Yield Differential is Not the Sole Driver Although interest rate and bond yield differentials importantly influence currency flows, other factors such as capital flows, trade balances, geopolitical risk, and market positioning also shape EUR/USD behavior. The market is currently weighing a complex mix, where USD strength from higher yields is balanced by political and economic risks, leading to net euro demand. UPCOMING ECONOMIC EVENTS AND DATES . 5TH NOVEMBER 2:15pm USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change Forecast 31K previous -32K Final Services PMI forecast 55.2 55.2 ISM Services PMI forecast 50.7 50.0 7th November Average Hourly Earnings m/m Non-Farm Employment Change Unemployment Rate Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 53.0 53.6 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations. NOTE ;TRADING IS 100% PROBABILITY,ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL . RISK MANAGEMNET IS KEY. #EURUSD #EU10Y #US10Y #DXY
by Shavyfxhub