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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD BUYTrade idea I’m planning a long on EUR/USD since the price just touched the 0.7 Fibonacci retracement level. I’ll enter with a 1:10 risk-reward setup and target 1.166 for the move. Fundamental bullish reasons for EUR/USD this week The European Central Bank (ECB) could surprise with a hawkish-tilt commentary (or at least less dovish than expected) — markets are flashing that any hawkish surprise from the ECB would give the euro a boost. The Federal Reserve (Fed) appears to have less room to cut interest rates or loosen policy aggressively, which weakens the U.S. dollar in relative terms and supports the euro. There is also scope for the euro to gain momentum if U.S. economic data disappoints (weaker data = weaker dollar) or if European data holds up. The euro is being priced as having upside potential relative to the dollar.
Long
by Dan-Goldfx
EURUSD Review November 3 2025Short-term price movement ideas. The price has updated its weekly low, and for the downward move to continue, a test of the daily area of interest is required. The nearest daily area is this FVG, which contains a 4H high acting as a trigger. If that high is taken out and confirmed on a lower timeframe, a short position can be considered. If this does not occur, a full test of the daily area of interest and confirmation on the 4H timeframe will be needed. Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
by SFASignals
eurusd 1h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths. As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels. ⚠️ Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way. ✅ Recommendation for Use: To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
by Deltafx_Broker
EURUSD – Weekly Market Outlook (Read Caption)EUR/USD continues to trade within a controlled bearish structure after rejecting the 4H resistance area. Price has confirmed a break of structure, keeping short-term sentiment bearish while testing the nearby support zone that could attract a temporary rebound before continuation. Key Levels: Resistance Zone: 1.1600 – 1.1570 Support Zone: 1.1520 – 1.1490 Structure Break Area: Near 1.1540 Reasoning: The 4H price action shows consistent lower highs and bearish candles after rejection from resistance. Momentum remains in sellers’ favor, suggesting a potential continuation toward the 1.1490 area if the support gives way. However, if bullish rejection forms around the current support range, a short-term rebound toward 1.1570 may occur. Fundamentally, ongoing USD strength amid cautious risk sentiment continues to pressure the Euro this week. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade with a defined plan and manage risk appropriately before taking any position.
by SwingTrade_Concept
Euro Weakens as Stronger ADP Job Data Fuels Dollar MomentumStronger-than-expected ADP private payroll data is boosting the dollar's gains against the euro, which continues to weaken. The EUR/USD seems set to test support at 1.14, and possibly the 200-day moving average. A weaker euro was not widely expected and may now become a year-end 'pain trade' as the dollar regains strength. The EUR/USD has dropped below support at 1.1560, with no technical barriers to it reaching 1.140. Furthermore, there is now an established trading channel that appears to resemble a descending broadening wedge. This indicates that the EUR/USD might even fall below 1.14 and move towards the lower end of the trend line around 1.135 — much closer to the 200-day moving average, which is more likely to serve as a strong support level. Although the EUR/USD is trading at its lower Bollinger Band, the RSI remains above 30 at 32.50 and continues to trend lower. This suggests that the momentum in the EUR/USD persists in favouring further weakening. If US economic data continues to improve, driven by an improving labour market, as the ADP report suggests. The end-of-year pain trade likely means the dollar’s gains are only just beginning — and that the euro has much further to weaken, as the market reduces the odds of a December rate cut further. Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management. Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
by CMC Markets
EUR/USD Bearish SetupEUR/USD continues to respect the descending channel, rejecting the upper trendline once again — a clear sign that sellers are still in control. The pair has failed to break above the 1.1680 resistance area, confirming potential downside continuation. As long as price remains below this level, the bias stays bearish, with possible targets near 1.1620 and 1.1600. 🔹 Resistance: 1.1680 🔹 Support: 1.1620 / 1.1600 🔹 Bias: Bearish below 1.1680 The trend structure remains weak, and momentum suggests another leg down could be forming.
Short
by Charts_M7M
EURUSD: Target Is Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.14920 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.14799.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EURUSD -DAILY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Here’s a professional breakdown of EUR/USD daily timeframe chart: --- 🧭 1. Overall Market Structure The pair is in a clear bearish trend, characterized by a sequence of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). The dominant descending trendline reinforces bearish momentum — every attempt to retrace has been rejected at this trendline. --- 📉 2. Supply (Institutional Sell) Zones The marked three visible supply zones on the chart — these represent areas where institutional orders previously pushed price downward: Zone Approx. Price Range Description Zone A 1.1850 – 1.1900 Highest and most significant supply zone. Major origin of bearish impulse. Zone B 1.1720 – 1.1770 Mid-level supply; secondary retracement rejection. Zone C 1.1640 – 1.1670 Most recent rejection zone aligning with trendline resistance. All these zones remain unmitigated, meaning price hasn’t yet revisited them deeply — institutions may have pending sell orders waiting. --- 🧱 3. Key Price Levels Immediate support: around 1.1510, where price is currently resting. Next downside target: if 1.1510 breaks cleanly, next support zone could be around 1.1450 – 1.1420. Trendline confluence: The descending trendline continues to cap every bullish rally, maintaining downside bias. --- ⚖️ 4. Institutional Positioning Institutional traders are likely stacking shorts within the highlighted supply zones aligning with trend continuation logic. --- 📊 5. Volume & Momentum Volume bars remain steady during bearish pushes, confirming active participation in the downtrend. Bullish candles show weaker volume, implying limited buyer conviction. --- 💡 6. Trading Outlook Scenario 1 – Bearish Continuation (Most Likely): Wait for minor retracements back into 1.1600–1.1650 area (previous supply + trendline). Watch for bearish rejection candles or liquidity sweeps at that zone to confirm re-entry short. Target: 1.1450 → 1.1380 zones. Scenario 2 – Bullish Pullback (Low Probability for Now): If price breaks above 1.1670 and sustains, that would signal weakening bearish pressure. Only then look for retracement buys toward 1.1740–1.1760 zone before reassessing. --- 📌 Summary Trend: Bearish Bias: Short continuation below 1.1670 Institutional Zones: 1.1640–1.1670 (active), 1.1720–1.1770, 1.1850–1.1900 Immediate Support: 1.1510 → 1.1450 Sell Confirmation: Rejection at supply zone + trendline confluence
Short
by enwemadufranklyn1989
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.1620 1st Support: 1.1541 1st Resistance: 1.6684 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by IC Markets
1
Bullish bounce off?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which is an overlap support and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.1626 1st Support: 1.1512 1st Resistance: 1.1690 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by IC Markets