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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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"Downtrend Confirmation – EUR/USD"Euro is facing strong rejection from the resistance zone (1.0725 – 1.0745). Price is respecting the descending trendline and showing weakness, confirming bearish continuation. 🔻 Entry Zone: 1.0725 – 1.0745 (Sell Area) 🎯 Target 1: 1.0620 – first bearish target (short-term support) 🎯 Target 2: 1.0540 – extended bearish target (major support) 🛑 Stop Loss: Above 1.0765 (to protect against false breakout) Price structure is in a downtrend, forming lower highs. Sellers are dominating below the resistance zone. As long as EUR/USD trades under 1.0745, downside potential remains strong toward 1.0620 and possibly 1.0540. Risk–Reward Ratio: Clear entry + defined stop loss + two-step targets = a safe & professional trade setup. Bearish sentiment remains dominant below 1.0745. This setup provides a safe selling opportunity with attractive profit targets.
Short
by FX_AGENCY
EUR/USD Support at 1.1596 Backed by Strong Volume ClusterThe support at 1.1596 on EUR/USD is significant because of a strong rejection of lower prices, where buyers aggressively stepped in and reversed the sell-off. The Volume Profile shows a heavy volume cluster at this exact area, marking it as a key zone where buyers were most active. Since this level also aligns with the weekly Volume Profile, it carries additional weight from a broader market perspective. A pullback to this zone could provide a solid long opportunity
by Trader_Dale
EURUSD Short: Rejection from Channel TopHello, traders! The price auction for EURUSD has been operating within a well-defined ascending channel. This bullish structure has been confirmed by multiple pivot points, with buyers defending the ascending demand line and sellers consistently emerging at the upper supply zone near the 1.1720 level. This has established a clear rotational pattern between the channel's boundaries. Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point, once again testing the upper boundary of this channel. The price has rallied to meet the ascending supply line, which forms a strong confluence of resistance with the horizontal 1.1720 - 1.1740 supply area. This is the same zone where previous rallies have failed, making it a key battleground. The primary scenario anticipates a rejection from this resistance confluence, continuing the established pattern of rotation. The expectation is that sellers will defend the supply zone, initiate a new downward move, and break the current support level. The take-profit for this rotational play is therefore set at 1.1655 points, targeting a key intermediate liquidity area. Manage your risk!
Short
by heniitrading
4
EUR/USD 4H | Retest of Breakout Zone – Next Leg Higher?Market Structure: EUR/USD has finally broken above its multi-week descending trendline and is now retesting the breakout zone. Price action has compressed into the 1.1680–1.1700 range, aligning with key technical factors. Technical Confluence: ✔️ Fibonacci Retracement: Price sits at the 0.5–0.618 retracement (“golden pocket”) of the latest swing. ✔️ Moving Averages: 50 EMA and 200 EMA cluster at current support. ✔️ Trendline Retest: Old resistance flipped into potential new support. ✔️ Structure: Higher-low formation holding above 1.1640. ⚡ Key Levels to Watch: Support / Buy Zone: 1.1680–1.1700 Invalidation (Stop-Loss Idea): Below 1.16080 Resistance / Targets: TP1 → 1.1780 (previous high) TP2 → 1.1825 (-0.27 Fib extension) TP3 → 1.1885 (-0.618 Fib extension) 📌 Trade Idea: (Swing Long Bias) Entry Zone: 1.1680–1.1700 Stop: Below 1.16080 Targets: 1.1780 → 1.1825 → 1.1885 Risk/Reward: ~1:1.5 to 1:2.25 🧠 Bias: Holding above 1.1690 = bullish continuation favored. Losing 1.1680 could expose 1.1608, and deeper to 1.1485 monthly support. 🔮 Outlook: The EUR/USD breakout + retest setup aligns fibs, EMAs, and structure into a strong confluence zone. If bulls hold this level, expect continuation toward 1.1825 → 1.1885 in the coming sessions. What do you think traders does EUR/USD hold this breakout, or will sellers drag it back below 1.17? #EURUSD #Forex #SwingTrading #PriceAction #Fibonacci #Breakout @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments
Long
by WrightWayInvestments
EURUSD The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1734 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.1715 My Stop Loss - 1.1744 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD – A Potentially Crucial Week AheadFX markets are just starting to warm up again after the summer lull which saw many pairs trading in sideways ranges through August. EURUSD has been a prime example of this type of price action. On August 1st it recorded a low at 1.1392, recovered quickly and then traded between a high of 1.1743 seen on August 22nd and a low of 1.1574 on August 27th. However, the start of September can often see volatility increase, especially when traders are reacting to data and events they see as relevant to upcoming interest rate decisions from the European Central Bank (ECB), on Thursday September 11th, and the Federal Reserve (Fed) on September 17th. Last week saw preliminary Eurozone inflation data edge just above the ECB’s 2% target (2.1%), potentially pushing back any hopes for an ECB rate cut in September, while Friday’s weaker than expected US Non-farm Payrolls saw traders increase their expectations for a Fed rate cut in September and further cuts across the remainder of 2025. Perhaps, unsurprisingly this helped EURUSD surge from a Friday low of 1.1646 to a high of 1.1760, before dipping to end the week at 1.1721. Looking forward across the week ahead, there are several key events from Europe and the US for traders to focus on that could confirm whether EURUSD can extend this up move or reverse back lower into its August range. The first hurdle to negotiate could be the outcome of a Monday no confidence vote in Parliament on the French PM, called as he tries to push through a deeply unpopular budget deficit reduction plan. If he loses this vote it could create uncertainty about France’s ability to service its debts with knock on implications for EURUSD. Second, traders are still waiting a judge’s decision on the legality of President Trump’s sacking of Fed Governor Cook over possible mortgage fraud. This news could drop at any stage, potentially increasing volatility in the dollar. Then later in the week it’s the turn of the scheduled events. Inflation data from the US in the form of PPI (Producer Prices) on Wednesday at 1330 BST, then CPI (Consumer Prices) 1330 BST Thursday could be important to confirm whether current market expectations for Fed cuts in September and the rest of 2025 are correct or overblown. The ECB rate decision is also released at 1315 BST on Thursday, but no change is expected, so anything else would be a major surprise. However, EURUSD volatility may come from comments in the press conference led by Madame Lagarde which starts at 1345. Anything she says regarding the potential for further cuts, inflation and the strength of the Eurozone economy could be relevant to trader positioning. Technical Update: Watching the Range Build Despite Friday’s payroll data seeing further pressure build on the US Dollar, EURUSD failed to breakout conclusively to the topside from the choppy sideways range that has formed since early August. As the chart above shows, the sideways range is defined by resistance at 1.1743 (Aug 22nd high) and support at 1.1574 (Aug 27th low). With Thursday’s ECB meeting in focus, traders may look to identify the next potential support and resistance levels to focus on that could impact prices, especially if EURUSD was to break out conclusively from its current range. Potential Resistance Levels: Having seen it hold Friday’s attempt at strength on a closing basis, the 1.1743 August 22nd high is set to continue to be the first resistance focus. However, closing breaks above this level may lead to a more extended phase of price strength. Such moves if seen, may well bring the 1.1830 July 1st high back on to traders’ radar screens, and if this level was to give way it could open the path to challenge 1.1908, which is the price high dating back to August 2021. Potential Support Levels: Of course, while price activity continues to trade below the resistance at 1.1743, it is possible an extension of the current range may be seen, with retests of the 1.1574 low possible. It is this level that is likely to be the first support focus. Closing breaks below 1.1574, while not a guarantee of further price declines, may then lead to a deeper phase of weakness towards 1.1392, the August 1st low, possibly further if this in turn gives way. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
EUR/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT Hello, Friends! EUR/USD is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.157 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
2
EURUSD : Status @ 10/09 (update)Let's continue what I discussed on 10/09. Now, I provide more details. Perhaps many of you are discouraged when the price gives a false breakdown. Those who are easily discouraged should play something else. I added two more 'trendlines' so that we can see more clearly how the price reacts to it. Which is why we need to pay attention to these lines. This is the interesting part: 99.99% see a trendline at work. Perhaps only 0.01% see something else. The next important line is 1.1730 One thing to remember is that the 'trendline' is pointing upwards. This affects how we trade, especially when executing the entry. One should know the pros and cons of selling in an upward 'trendline' The red vertical line separates - when the line is below 1.1730, wait for a breakdown with 1.1730 as SL. When the line is above 1.1730 ......... So how would you trade this? As of NOW, we can see two strong lines - the 'trendlines' and the horizontal 1.1730 line I was saying that price might make a move before 17/09. Till then, expect volatility. If one can't handle volatility, do not play. But this setup above is very R/R friendly. Trade wisely. Good luck.
Short
by i_am_siew
1
EUR/USD And There's the TestWhile US CPI printed in-line with expectations, it was the jobless claims data that seemed to get the attention around the Dollar. But perhaps more important than that was the comment from Christine Lagarde, saying that disinflation appeared to be coming to a conclusion for the Eurozone economy. This is something that could press rate cut expectations out of Europe lower, and for the USD, this is important. The Euro is a 57.6% clip in the DXY basket, so weakness in Euro is often a necessary ingredient for USD-strength and vice versa. And so far in Q3, both trends have been stalled, with USD grinding near supports and EUR/USD holding near resistance. I've posted about the EUR/USD setup multiple times as there was an open door for a turn in July that snapped back quickly in August. And then last week saw the build of two different bullish formations come to conclusion with a bull pennant and an inverse head and shoulders pattern. Both patterns gave way to breakout after the NFP report last week and today sees the 1.1663 support level in-play, helping to lead to a bounce and a test of the longer-term Fibonacci level at 1.1748. This opens the door for bulls to make a move and if we are going to see USD breakdown scenarios, this seems to be an important variable to allow that to happen. Next resistance in EUR/USD is at the 1.1830 swing high, after which it's all about the 1.2000 handle. As for fundamental drivers, next week brings the Fed and markets have heavily priced-in rate cuts out to the end of next year. - js
by FOREXcom
EURUSD – Two Bullish Paths on Daily TimeframeOn the daily timeframe, I maintain a bullish perspective for EURUSD. The draw on liquidity, in my view, is to the upside, with buy-side liquidity acting as the main target. The overall chart structure shows bullish order flow, with price respecting bullish PD Arrays and rejecting from the recent low. Currently, price has reached a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is trading near a daily order block. From here, we can anticipate a bullish reaction. I am considering two potential scenarios: 1️⃣ Scenario One – Price reacts directly from the bullish FVG or the nearby order block, continuing the upward move toward buy-side liquidity. 2️⃣ Scenario Two – Price sweeps the recent low first, collecting liquidity, and then begins the main upward move. In both cases, my bias remains bullish, with the expectation that price will ultimately target higher levels. Personally, I believe the bullish move can already start from the current area. 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌 🔎 DYOR 💡Wait for the update!
Long
by VahidTradingCR
1
EURUSD BUY?Market is overall bullish on daily and weekly. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal. We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
Long
by WiLLProsperForex