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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD (Daily) – Swing Short Setup📉 EURUSD (Daily) – Swing Short Setup EURUSD has just swept internal liquidity above recent highs (~1.1743). This liquidity grab often signals that smart money has filled orders, and the path of least resistance now shifts lower. 🔑 Why bearish? • A false breakout above 1.1743 cleared resting buy stops, leaving liquidity behind. • Price is now positioned to reverse and target sell-side liquidity sitting near 1.13898. • The sweep + rejection aligns with liquidity-based trade logic. 📌 Trade Plan: • Entry: ~1.1743 (short) • Stop: Above 1.1793 (invalidate the setup if broken) • Target: 1.13898 (major liquidity pool below) • R:R: ~1:7 (risking ~50 pips to capture ~350 pips) This is a swing trade idea on the daily chart – it may take time to develop, but the structure favors a deep move down into untouched liquidity zones. ⚠️ Risk management is the key.
Short
by AahmedD_98
An updated look on EURUSD Failures make progress to success, am I wrong? EURUSD was bound to make its way up with NFP data not meeting expectations. "Buy the hype, sell the news" . While in the short term it went long, I still believe we make our way down, also since all that hype was within internal structure. On MTF price has reached and respected a strong supply zone. Long wick bull candle followed by a bearish candle is giving short term signals. In my previous posts, if followed, much was not lost if stop loss was respected. If yu still have an open trade then kudos to you, you brave trader. Don't do that again!
Short
by mosadb777
EURUSD: Price Exit from Pennant and DropHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup. Market Analysis From a broader perspective, the price has been consolidating in a wide range between the 1.1600 support level and the 1.1720 resistance level. This extended period of balance has now tightened, leading to the current, more compressed pattern where a significant move is becoming more likely. Currently, the price action is coiling within a pennant pattern. This compression of volatility suggests that energy is building for a breakout. The price is now trading very close to the apex of this pennant, testing the upper boundary near the major horizontal Resistance Zone. My Scenario & Strategy While a breakout from a pennant might seem likely, the overhead resistance at the 1.1720 level is historically significant. I'm watching for a situation where the market fakes a move to the upside to trap optimistic buyers before revealing its true intention. Specifically, I'm watching for a brief dip, followed by a rally that pushes the price just above the pennant's resistance line and into the 1.1720 - 1.1730 resistance area. The key signal would be a swift and forceful rejection from this area, pushing the price back below the breakout point. And the primary target for the resulting decline is the 1.1600 level, which aligns with the major horizontal support zone. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Short
by Ratner
2
EUR/USD – Bearish Confluence from Triangle, Wedge & Supply Zone📊 EUR/USD – Bearish Setup from Order Block + Triangle + Rising Wedge 🔹 Market Structure Price has been consolidating inside a large symmetrical triangle, creating a squeeze and signaling that a big breakout move is coming. Within this structure, a rising wedge has formed near the upper boundary – a bearish continuation pattern. 🔹 Order Block Rejection At the zone of 1.17080 – 1.16500, we have a strong bearish order block (supply zone). Price has already tested and rejected this level, confirming the presence of sellers. This rejection adds confluence to the downside move. 🔹 Confluence Factors Triangle tightening → Breakout is imminent. Rising wedge → Bearish bias inside consolidation. Order block rejection → Supply is active. Volume drop near resistance → Weak bullish pressure. 🔹 Trade Plan Entry: Short positions at CMP Stop Loss: Above 1.17080 (safe buffer above supply). Target 1: 1.15600(short-term support). Target 2: 1.14000 (major support & measured move from wedge breakdown). 🔹 Bias As long as EUR/USD trades below 1.1700, bearish continuation is expected. A clean break below the rising wedge support would confirm downside momentum
Short
by Yugal
EURUSD–Flag Breakout&Ascending Triangle Setup/Key Levels in PlayEURUSD on the 4H timeframe is showing a clean technical structure: Flag Pattern completed with a breakout. Ascending Triangle formation tested multiple times. Price currently consolidating near 1.1670 around a demand zone. Key Resistance Area: 1.1750 – 1.1800 Demand Zone: 1.1600 – 1.1550 Support Level: 1.1500 🔹 If price holds above the demand zone, a bullish continuation toward the resistance area looks likely. 🔹 A failure to hold support may lead to further downside. Plan: Waiting for confirmation of breakout before entering. Manage risk carefully around key levels. This idea is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always apply risk management and trade with discipline.
Long
by ProfitMagnet-Pro
7
More upside for EUHi traders, Last week EU went up very slow to finish (red) wave 5. This could be the last impulse wave up. So next week I think price will go higher to the bearish Weekly FVG above. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the finish of a correction down and a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower time frame to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
EURUSD Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear subscribers, EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.1717 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.1676 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/USD | 1H Outlook – Supply & Demand📊 Current Price Action Price reacting from Seller’s Zone (1.1700 region). 🔻 Short-Term Expectation Retracement likely towards Buyer’s Zones at 1.1670 – 1.1640. 🔺 Bullish Scenario If buyers defend demand, price may push back into 1.1700 supply. ⚡ Market Structure BOS → CHoCH → Possible continuation lower unless demand holds. ✅ Trading Plan Watch for reactions at marked zones. Scalping and swing opportunities available. ⚠️ Reminder Trade what you see, not what you expect. Always manage risk.
Short
by greenfire_fx
EUR/USD Reverses as Treasury Yields Drift Higher on Tuesday EUR/USD rates reversed from their yearly high on Tuesday as U.S. Treasury yields moved to their highs of the day. French President Emmanuel Macron announced that he would appoint Defense Minister Sebastien Lecornu as the next Prime Minister following the collapse of the government yesterday. Traders are now turning their attention to the PPI release out of the United States on Wednesday morning. EUR/USD rates fell back into their multi-week trading range that’s been carved out since the beginning of August. The range, broadly speaking, from 1.16 to 1.1750, has potentially been part of a months-long topping process that the pair has been undergoing. A reversal back into the range suggests a return to the other side; support comes in play at 1.16, both in the form of the range low and the uptrend from the February, March, and August swing lows.
by tastyfx
EUR/USD – Inside the Cloud, Awaiting a BreakoutOn the H1 chart, EUR/USD is consolidating within the Ichimoku cloud. Both Tenkan and Kijun are flat, while Chikou Span hovers close to price – a textbook sign of equilibrium after strong volatility. The setup has created two balanced FVG boxes: a supply zone at 1.1675–1.1690 (aligned with the upper edge of the cloud) and a demand zone at 1.1635–1.1625 (the most recent green FVG). As long as price stays between these boxes, mean-reversion around 1.165 is the likely scenario with short swings up and down. Trading outlook: A clean H1 close above 1.1690 would open space toward 1.1715–1.1730, and possibly 1.1760. Conversely, a break below 1.1625 that pushes price out of the cloud could trigger a slide to 1.1600 and further to 1.1585, the latest swing low.
by EmmaChartist
12
EURUSD : Status @ 5/9Yesterday was meaningful because of the Jobs report. We can now see the bond yield dropping - a clear signal of what is to come. From now until 17/9, we can only expect more volatility - It is ok if we stop trading and wait till things settle down. If you want to play, then you need to be extra careful. As in the chart above, I had seen 4 SELL signals and 2 BUY signals. Yesterday just saw another SELL @ D. Some may already SELL. Or we can further wait for the signal next Monday. Good luck.
Short
by i_am_siew
EUR/USD at Make-or-Break Zone: Rejection Incoming1. COT Report (Commitment of Traders) USD Index: Non-commercials (speculators) remain net short on the dollar (13,645 long vs 18,666 short). However, last week saw a slight increase in longs (+487) and a decrease in shorts (-597). This indicates a modest improvement in sentiment toward the greenback, though not yet a full reversal. Euro: Non-commercials remain heavily long (255,660 long vs 136,068 short). Yet, last week showed a reduction in longs (-2,726) and an increase in shorts (+721), suggesting profit-taking and weaker bullish conviction. 👉 Overall, the COT reflects a potential rebalancing: euro net longs are being reduced, while dollar shorts are unwinding. This aligns with a possible relative strengthening of the USD. 2. Retail Sentiment 72% of retail traders are short EUR/USD, while only 28% are long. 👉 A classic contrarian signal: when the majority is short, the risk of upside squeezes remains. However, context matters—price is near key technical resistance, which leaves room for a potential fake-out to the upside before a reversal. 3. Seasonality (September) Historically, September has been slightly positive for EUR/USD (+0.0021 average over the past 20 years). 👉 Seasonality favors a mild sideways-to-bullish bias in the early weeks of the month, with heightened volatility mid-month. 4. Technical Analysis (Chart) Price is trading around a major resistance zone (1.1750–1.1800), which has already been rejected multiple times. Structure: consolidation persists within the 1.1650–1.1750 range. Key demand lies at 1.1550–1.1600, extending down toward 1.1400 if breakdown occurs. RSI is neutral—not overbought—leaving room for directional moves. 👉 Technical setup: failure to break 1.1750 opens the risk of a retracement toward 1.1600–1.1550, and potentially 1.1400, consistent with your chart projection. Conclusion COT: euro longs unwinding, dollar shorts decreasing → tilt in favor of USD. Retail sentiment: contrarian, heavily short → risk of short-term upside spikes. Seasonality: mild positive bias in September with mid-month volatility. Technical: strong resistance at 1.1750, risk of rejection toward 1.1600–1.1550. 📌 Trading Bias : Neutral-to-bearish. In the short term, EUR/USD could test/spike above 1.1750 to hunt stops, but the medium-term outlook (COT + technicals) remains skewed toward a bearish correction into 1.1550–1.1450. Only a solid weekly breakout above 1.1800 would invalidate the short scenario.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
4