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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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Lingrid | EURUSD Upward Continuation Following Support RejectionFX:EURUSD is pushing higher within an established upward channel after rebounding strongly from the support zone. The structure shows consolidation breakouts followed by impulse legs, reinforcing bullish momentum. As long as price holds above the 1.1700 support, the setup favors further gains toward the upper resistance. This move aligns with the broader channel trajectory targeting 1.1788 near the resistance zone. 📉 Key Levels Buy trigger: Rejection 1.1700 with sustained momentum Buy zone: 1.1700 – 1.1710 accumulation area Target: 1.1788 zone Invalidation: Breakdown below 1.1700 support 💡 Risks A sudden USD rebound driven by CPI data could weigh on EURUSD. Failure to hold above the 1.1700 pivot would invalidate the bullish structure. ECB policy tone shifts or stronger US yields may dampen bullish momentum. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
7
EURUSD Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 091125Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 1.17/61.80% Chart time frame:B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress:B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find an entry-level position. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of the slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over the 61.80% level, that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, TradingView provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with the fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill of to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low points of rising stocks. If you prefer long-term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day
by fibonacci6180
Sell idea on EurUsdPrice tool out an internal range liquidity(buy side liquidity) and in doing so, it took me out a daily candles high(higher timeframe turtle soup). Next, on the 1h timeframe, Tuesday opening price took out liquidity and then broke structure down and leaving a fair value gap to enter from(classic Judas swing move). Intended selling from the median of the 1h fair value gap and exiting at the 50% of the daily candle range. I could potentially hold a sell position long term if I get a second entry.
Short
by ChiziFx
4
EUR/USD Rallies from 2025 Uptrend After ECB, U.S. InflationEUR/USD is trading higher on Thursday morning in the wake of the September European Central Bank (ECB) rate decision as well as the dual U.S. data releases, weekly jobless claims and the August U.S. consumer price index (CPI). From the ECB, upgrades to growth and inflation targets are helping reduce cut odds on the Euro’s side. While headline U.S. inflation was a bit warmer on the monthly reading (+0.4% vs +0.3% expected), traders seem more concerned with the jump in initial claims (263K vs 236K expected). The U.S. 10-year yield dropped below 4% for the first time since April. In the above chart, EUR/USD rates are displaying signs of a meaningful rebound from a technical perspective. The pair rallied off uptrend support that has defined price action since the start of 2025, as well as the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA). Candlestick analysis likewise suggests that a bullish reversal is transpiring. A bullish key reversal is forming, with Thursday’s low exceeding Wednesday’s low; a close today above yesterday’s high would mark the reversal candle.
by tastyfx
EURO STILL SHOWING SIGNS OF TOPPING? Hey Traders new week new trading game. Back to the Euro still has the 123 top on the charts so you could either respect the formation or ignore it. For me as a techincal analyst I always repect the formation until it is violated. The economic landscape has suddenly shifted in favor of rate cuts after that latest Unemployment Number but remember always expect the unexpected in this game. Does that mean the Dollar is about to sell off hard? Maybe or maybe not😁 Seems to me like everytime that Euro gets close to the 3 point it backs off at 1.1788. Also the COT Funds Large Specs are still Long the market. If they become overcrowded on the long side who else will be left to buy? They might have to start selling. So therefore Scenarios for today are imo. Bearish- still seems to me like the charts are showing a top unless market has daily close above 1.1833 I would say that because she already broke support at 1.1554 pullbacks are common before continuing with downtrend. So its a selling opportunity for now also just because the FED cuts int rates that does not mean the Euro will go up if the Economy is in trouble investors might flock to the US dollar as a safe haven! Bullish- ahhh yes for all you Euro Bulls out there. If it breaks above 1.1833 that would be a strong signal that market wants to move higher. Also it would then cancel the 123 top that is there. Then buy on pullback of retest of 1.1833 but I would make sure that it's a true breakout with daily close above 1.1833. Also watch the COT to add to long side. COT- They are long not overcrowded yet but they added like 50,000 long contracts since april so normally if they keep buying they could be at risk of a being squeezed out they call it short squeeze or in this case long squeeze. Watch for the new positioning this Friday after market closes. Good Luck & Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford RISK DISCLOSURE TRADING IN THE FUTURES AND FOREX MARKET INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK. ALWAYS CONSULT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AS HIGH RISK ASSET CLASSES MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY ASSETS. ALL IDEAS ARE MADE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING.
Short
by TradeTheIndex
EURUSD Sharp Pullback - Downtrend Ahead?Hello everyone, today we will analyze the EURUSD chart with a short-term downtrend. The 3-hour chart shows EURUSD is currently trading in an ascending price channel, but it has recently faced a strong pullback. After reaching a peak near 1.17300, the price has started to decline and may continue moving below the support level at 1.1680. If this level breaks, the next target will be the strong support area at 1.1580. Currently, the price adjusting within the ascending channel indicates that the short-term downtrend could continue, especially as technical indicators show signs of weakening from the previous uptrend. However, this pullback might just be a temporary decline before the trend resumes its upward move. With support at 1.1680 and the next target at 1.1580, the trading strategy could be to sell as the price approaches nearby resistance levels, placing a reasonable stop loss to manage risk. In conclusion, we can expect EURUSD to decline in the short term, but it's important to watch key support levels to determine the next entry point.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
Gold Backing worldwidePart 1: The Origins of Gold as Money Ancient Civilizations Gold was used by Egyptians as early as 2600 BCE for jewelry, trade, and as a symbol of wealth. In Mesopotamia, gold was valued as a unit of exchange in trade agreements. Ancient Greeks and Romans minted gold coins, which spread across Europe and Asia. Gold as Universal Acceptance Because of its rarity, durability, and divisibility, gold became the universal standard of value across cultures. Unlike perishable goods or barter items, gold retained value and was easily transferable. This laid the foundation for gold to back economies centuries later. Part 2: The Rise of the Gold Standard 19th Century Development The classical gold standard emerged in the 19th century. Countries fixed their currencies to a certain amount of gold, ensuring stability in exchange rates. For example: Britain officially adopted the gold standard in 1821. Other major economies — Germany, France, the U.S. — followed by late 19th century. How It Worked Governments promised to exchange paper currency for a fixed quantity of gold. This restrained governments from printing excessive money, keeping inflation low. International trade was simplified because exchange rates were fixed by gold parity. Benefits Stability of currency. Encouraged trade and investment. Limited inflation due to money supply constraints. Drawbacks Restricted economic growth during crises. Countries with trade deficits lost gold, forcing painful economic adjustments. Part 3: Gold Backing in the 20th Century World War I Disruptions Most nations suspended the gold standard to finance military spending. Post-war, many tried to return, but economic instability weakened confidence. The Interwar Gold Exchange Standard A modified version emerged in the 1920s, allowing reserve currencies (like the U.S. dollar and British pound) to be backed by gold. This proved unstable and collapsed during the Great Depression. Bretton Woods System (1944 – 1971) After World War II, a new system was established at the Bretton Woods Conference. The U.S. dollar became the anchor currency, convertible into gold at $35 per ounce. Other currencies pegged themselves to the dollar. This system created a gold-backed dollar world order where gold indirectly supported most global currencies. Collapse of Gold Convertibility (1971) In 1971, President Richard Nixon suspended gold convertibility (“Nixon Shock”). Reasons: U.S. trade deficits, inflation, and inability to maintain gold-dollar balance. This marked the beginning of fiat currency dominance. Part 4: Gold’s Role in Modern Economies Even though direct gold backing ended, gold remains vital: 1. Central Bank Reserves Central banks worldwide hold gold as part of their foreign exchange reserves. Provides diversification, stability, and acts as insurance against currency crises. Major holders include the U.S., Germany, Italy, France, Russia, China, and India. 2. Store of Value & Inflation Hedge Gold is a safe haven during economic or geopolitical crises. Investors flock to gold when fiat currencies weaken. 3. Confidence in Currencies Though fiat currencies are no longer backed by gold, the size of gold reserves adds credibility to a nation’s financial system. 4. Gold-Backed Financial Instruments Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) backed by gold bullion. Gold-backed digital currencies (such as tokenized assets on blockchain). Part 5: Global Gold Reserves – Who Holds the Most? According to World Gold Council data (2025 estimates): United States: ~8,133 tonnes (largest holder, ~70% of reserves in gold). Germany: ~3,350 tonnes. Italy: ~2,450 tonnes. France: ~2,435 tonnes. Russia: ~2,300 tonnes (massively increased in past decade). China: ~2,200 tonnes (increasing steadily to challenge U.S. dominance). India: ~825 tonnes (also a large private gold ownership nation). Smaller nations also hold gold as part of strategic reserves, although percentages vary. Part 6: Regional Perspectives on Gold Backing United States No longer directly gold-backed, but U.S. gold reserves underpin the dollar’s strength. Fort Knox remains symbolic of America’s monetary power. Europe The European Central Bank (ECB) and eurozone nations collectively hold significant gold. Gold gives the euro credibility as a global reserve currency. Russia Increased gold reserves significantly to reduce dependence on the U.S. dollar amid sanctions. Gold is a strategic geopolitical weapon. China Gradually building reserves to strengthen the yuan’s role in global trade. Gold accumulation aligns with ambitions of yuan internationalization. India Holds large reserves at the central bank level and even larger amounts privately. Gold plays a cultural, economic, and financial safety role. Middle East Gulf countries with oil wealth also diversify with gold reserves. Some are exploring gold-backed digital currencies. The Future of Gold Backing Possible Scenarios Status Quo – Fiat currencies dominate, gold remains a reserve hedge. Partial Gold Return – Nations introduce partial gold-backing to increase trust. Digital Gold Standard – Blockchain-based systems tied to gold reserves gain traction. Multipolar Currency Order – Gold used more in BRICS or Asia-led alternatives to the dollar. Likely Outcome While a full gold standard is unlikely, gold’s role as a stabilizer and insurance policy will remain or even grow in uncertain times. Conclusion Gold backing has shaped global finance for centuries — from the classical gold standard to Bretton Woods and beyond. Although modern currencies are no longer directly convertible into gold, the metal continues to influence monetary policy, global reserves, and investor behavior. Central banks across the world still trust gold as the ultimate hedge against uncertainty. In an age of rising geopolitical tensions, inflationary pressures, and digital finance, gold’s importance may even increase. Whether as part of central bank reserves, through gold-backed tokens, or as a foundation for regional trade systems, gold remains deeply woven into the fabric of the global monetary order.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
2
EURUSD Is Bearish! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 7h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.169. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.163 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
EUR/USD Nears Key Supply Zone Amid Rising Short PositionsThe EUR/USD is currently approaching a significant daily supply zone. This is an area where, in the past, the price briefly touched before reversing and heading downward. Now, the currency pair is nearing a second test of this supply level, which could signal that institutional traders are preparing to add more short positions. Historically, these supply zones tend to act as resistance points, and the repeated testing suggests a potential buildup of selling pressure. Looking at the recent positioning of different market participants, last week saw an increase in short positions among Non-Commercial traders, indicating that large speculators are betting on a decline in the EUR/USD. Conversely, Commercial traders are at their lowest levels since August 2024, which typically signals that those involved in hedging or commercial transactions are less inclined to support the current price levels. Meanwhile, retail traders continue to add to their positions, often acting as a contrarian indicator. In tandem, the US dollar itself is entering a demand zone, as evidenced by the increase in Non-Commercial contracts on the dollar index. This suggests that speculative traders are betting on the dollar strengthening, which aligns with the potential for a downside move in EUR/USD. Given these combined signals—the approaching supply zone, the increase in short positions among large traders, and the dollar entering a demand area—I am looking for a possible shift towards the downside for EUR/USD. This could lead to a strengthening of the US dollar as the market prepares for a potential reversal or continuation of the bearish trend. Additionally, I will include my analysis of the DXY (US Dollar Index), which remains valid and supports this perspective. The DXY’s current positioning and technical setup reinforce the likelihood of the dollar gaining strength in the near term. Overall, the market is showing signs that favor a downside move, and I will be monitoring these levels closely for confirmation. ✅ My DXY Point of view: ✅ Please share your thoughts about EURUSD index in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
EURUSD ShortThe EUR/USD 1H chart is showing signs of exhaustion after its recent bullish run. Price tested the 1.1768–1.1770 zone and immediately rejected with a strong bearish candle, right where the system printed a sell signal. That area is now looking like a short-term supply zone where sellers are active. On the downside, the market is hovering close to 1.1736–1.1740, which is acting as the first line of support. If the candles manage to close below that level, the path looks clearer for a drop toward 1.1710 and eventually 1.1675, which is a stronger support area from earlier in the chart. The recent bearish wick at the highs, combined with repeated sell signals, adds weight to the bearish bias. Right now, the trend is shifting in favor of sellers, but we still need confirmation with a clean break below 1.1736. Until that happens, small bounces can’t be ruled out. ________________________________________ Trade Setup (Bearish Bias): • Entry: On a 1H close below 1.1740 • Stop Loss: Above 1.1775 (last swing high / sell zone) • Take Profit 1: 1.1710 • Take Profit 2: 1.1675 • Take Profit 3: 1.1640 (extended target)
Short
by SupertradeOfficial