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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD THE EURZONE CONTINUES TO HOLD STRONG ON THE EXCHANGE WINDOW. my key support will be a push back into 1.16112-1.16162 for buy ...low risk due to FOMC outlook. KEY FUNDAMENTAL INFORMATION. The US 10-year Treasury yield is steady at around 3.985% Treasury yields have declined marginally in recent weeks amid expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts.​ Federal Funds Rate The Federal Funds rate target range 4.00% -4.25% ands a 25 basis point cut expected at the October 29 FOMC meeting.7:00pm FOMC Statement 7:30pm USD FOMC Press Conference The Fed is likely to continue a cautious easing path in response to slowing economic growth and inflation signs.​ Head of ECB Christine Lagarde has been President of the ECB She plays a key role in guiding the ECB’s monetary policy in a context of inflation targeting and economic uncertainties.​ Head of Fed Jerome Powell is Chairman of the Federal Reserve Powell is overseeing a delicate balancing act between inflation control and supporting economic growth during this period of policy normalization and easing. EU10Y =2.617% the current European Central Bank (ECB) main refinancing rate is 2.15%. This rate is the primary interest rate used by the ECB for its regular open market operations and serves as a key monetary policy tool to provide liquidity to the banking system. Deposit Facility Rate: 2.00% Marginal Lending Facility Rate: 2.50% The ECB has maintained this rate level signaling a relatively cautious approach to monetary tightening given economic conditions in the Eurozone. Market expectations suggest the ECB may hold rates steady into 2026. thus if this rate cut come in at 25 basis point my EURUSD LONG WILL BE COMPLET REACTION. GOODLUCK #EURUSD #US10Y #EU10Y #DXY #DOLLAR
Long
by Shavyfxhub
2
EURUSD: Buyers Gaining Momentum Near Key Support ZoneHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup. Market Analysis EURUSD has been moving within a clear downward channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows over the past few weeks. Each attempt to break above the resistance line has resulted in a fake breakout, confirming that sellers have maintained control through most of this structure. Recently, the pair found strong buyer support near 1.1550, a key support zone that has held multiple times in the past. After testing this level, the price bounced upward, breaking the channel’s upper boundary and forming a triangle structure — signaling that market momentum is shifting from bearish to corrective. Currently, EURUSD is testing the Triangle Resistance Line around 1.1670–1.1700, an important resistance area where previous rallies have stalled. The overall structure suggests that the market might face renewed selling pressure from this zone. My Scenario & Strategy From my perspective, EURUSD could see a short-term pullback from the resistance area before any potential breakout confirmation. A rejection here would likely push price back toward the Triangle Support Line or even the 1.1580–1.1550 support zone, where buyers could reenter.If, however, the pair manages to break and hold above 1.1700, it would indicate growing bullish momentum, possibly targeting 1.1750 — the top of the previous resistance area. Until such confirmation appears, I expect a corrective move downward within the triangle formation as part of a broader consolidation phase. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Short
by Ratner
6
EUR/USD Technical Outlook – October 29, 2025The EUR/USD pair is currently trading around 1.1628, showing a mild pullback after failing to hold above the 1.1660 short-term resistance. The broader structure on the H1 timeframe still suggests a bearish bias, as price remains below key swing highs and continues to respect descending structure points. Key Technical Levels Resistance 1: 1.1660 – Short-term supply zone and potential retest area. Resistance 2: 1.1720 – Major structure resistance aligned with previous liquidity grab. Support 1: 1.1570 – Key short-term demand zone. Support 2: 1.1500 – Extended target area if bearish continuation holds. Trading Strategy Idea Price may attempt a minor retracement toward 1.1660, which aligns with the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of the recent downswing. A rejection from this level could confirm renewed selling pressure, leading to a potential move back toward 1.1570 – 1.1560 zone. Traders may look for bearish confirmation (RSI divergence or EMA crossover) before entering short positions. Market Bias: Bearish below 1.1660 Invalidation: A clear breakout above 1.1720 would shift bias to neutral.
by Henrybillion
2
EURUSD Buy Setup | Liquidity Sweep + OB + LTF Confirmation📈 On EURUSD , the market has been moving within a corrective phase, showing early signs of potential bullish reaction zones forming. There’s a clear liquidity pool from the Asian session, and just below that sits a bullish Order Block (OB) — the perfect area for smart money to accumulate orders before driving price higher. 💧 Liquidity Context: During the Asian session, the market built liquidity both above and below short-term structure. Now, we can see resting liquidity above the OB, which makes this area a prime zone for manipulation and reversal setups. The plan is to wait for the market to sweep all liquidity — including Asian highs/lows and inducement above OB — before reacting from the OB zone. 💡 Setup Plan: 1️⃣ Wait for the Asian session liquidity to be taken — price should collect liquidity above OB. 2️⃣ Once the liquidity sweep is done and price taps into the OB, focus on the Lower Timeframe (LTF) (1M–5M) for strong bullish confirmation. 3️⃣ Confirmation examples: ✅ Clear MSS / CHOCH in the bullish direction, ✅ Strong rejection candle or engulfing formation, ✅ LTF structure shift forming higher highs & higher lows. 4️⃣ After confirmation, we’ll plan for buy entries, following the new order flow shift upward. 5️⃣ If no LTF confirmation, no trade — patience is key 🧘‍♂️ 🎯 Target: Aim for the next swing high, liquidity pool above recent structure, or potential intra-session high depending on momentum. 🧩 Setup Summary: Market Bias → Bullish (Liquidity + OB Reaction) Confluence → Asian Session Liquidity + OB + Inducement Sweep Entry → Only after strong LTF confirmation (1M–5M) Target → Next Swing High / Liquidity Pool Above Type → Scalp to Intraday Buy Setup Risk Rule → Confirmation required — no confirmation, no entry ❌ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Always confirm with your own analysis and manage risk properly before executing any trade.
Long
by TRTINSIGHTS
EUR/USD – Buyer Zone Activation | Wave Projection 🌊We’re currently watching EUR/USD retrace into the buyer zone (1.1620–1.1645). This area aligns perfectly with Wave D of the ongoing corrective structure, setting up for a potential Wave C impulse toward 1.16925. 📊 Technical Outlook: Structure: ABCD completion before impulsive C Key Support Zone: 1.1620–1.1645 Target Zone: 1.1690–1.1700 Bias: Bullish from buyers’ zone Timeframe: 1H ⚠️ Invalidation: If price closes below 1.1620, structure may extend into a deeper correction. 🧠 Insight: Smart money often accumulates within such retracement zones before the next impulsive leg. Patience at key levels builds confidence and accuracy.
Long
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD Huge Bearish Divergence and Cross targets 1.12000.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a 3-year Channel Up since the September 28 2022 market bottom. On September 17 2025 it hit its top (Higher Highs trend-line) for the first time since the July 18 2023 High. The current Bullish Leg has almost been the same as the previous one (around +18%) and is about to form a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1D MA100 (green trend-line) Bearish Cross. That will be the first such pattern since September 25 2023. Along with the already established 1D RSI Bearish Divergence, it is more likely to see the pattern start the new Bearish Leg now (max extension +18.28% at 1.20450). The first Target of the previous Higher High rejection was the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Our Target is again slightly above it at 1.12000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURUSD DAILY CHART🧭 1. Chart Overview • Pair: EUR/USD (Euro vs. US Dollar) • Timeframe: Daily • Method: Elliott Wave + Market Structure + Supply & Demand ⸻ 📊 2. Elliott Wave Count The chart is showing a five-wave impulsive structure (1–2–3–4–5) according to Elliott Wave theory: 🔹 Wave (1) • The initial bullish impulse wave upward — start of a new trend. 🔹 Wave (2) • Corrective retracement that came down into the Demand Zone, where buyers stepped in again. 🔹 Wave (3) • Strong bullish move upward (the largest and most powerful wave). • Marked a Break of Structure (BOS) — confirming the bullish trend. 🔹 Wave (4) • Current corrective move — forming a descending channel or flag pattern. • This wave has possibly touched the Support Zone (lower trendline), preparing for the next push. 🔹 Wave (5) • Expected next move: bullish impulse toward 1.19–1.20 area (the upper boundary of the channel). • This would complete the 5-wave impulse sequence. ⸻ ⚙ 3. Key Zones on the Chart Demand Zone (Support for Wave 2) • Found around 1.14 – 1.15 area. • Marked where previous buying momentum began. Support Zone (Current Wave 4) • Found just below the current price (~1.15 – 1.16 region). • This acts as a retest area before potential bullish continuation. BOS (Break of Structure) • Appears twice — shows where the market confirmed new bullish momentum after breaking previous highs. ⸻ 📈 4. Expected Price Action (Projection) Based on the Elliott pattern and structure: 1. Wave 4 is likely complete or nearing completion at the support line. 2. A bullish reversal is expected soon. 3. Next move = Wave 5 upward → target around 1.19 – 1.21 (top of channel). This is confirmed visually by the arrow projection on the chart.
Long
by Fin_free_figt
1
EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 2 - Q4 | W44 | D28| Y25 | 📅 Q4 | W44 | D27| Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 2 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT OANDA:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD Will Go Up From Support! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.165. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.175 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Approaching Potential SuuportAfter a strong reaction from 1.19187 and then near 1.18200, more distribution has been seen on the top left near 1.17750 zone, on this 30 min chart. The distribution was followed by a trending move on the downside, contained at 1.15400 zone with a double bottom formation. RSI divergence and absorption signs on the volume profile made it a valid but risky buy. Above 1.16310 resistance zone, the pair broke the LL-LH streak and pushed up strongly to 1.17283 which comes within the previous distribution zone on the left. The sharp reaction is representing a change in behavior but at the same time, the 1.16310 zone can't be neglected as this may now act as support. Although the RSI is entering in its oversold zone yet further evidence like RSI divergence or absorption in volume profile may further confirm if a solid reversal trade is possible in the zone or not. In simple words, some slow down near the key level mentioned above, after grabbing some liquidity below 1.16432, would be a preliminary sign of strength. On the flipside, a vertical fall past 1.16310 may take it to the next important level, that is below 1.15275 zone. Any signs of reversal at this level may offer a quick sharp move on the upside. What are your views on the pair? Do you think it will resume up or down? Do comment and boost for more such ideas. #The above analysis is for educational purpose, not a buy sell recommendation.
by Bravetotrade
13
EURUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 1.161. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.164 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1