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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD | Short-Term Dollar Weakness, Long-Term Euro StrengthMy bigger picture view on EURUSD stays bullish. The euro has structural support, and over time I expect higher levels to be reached. But zooming into the short-term, the dollar isn’t looking strong right now. Momentum is fading, and intraday flows suggest EURUSD could still push higher before any real pullback. So the playbook is clear: Long term → Favoring euro strength, staying bullish. Short term → Dollar weakness keeps pressure tilted upward, but watch for potential corrective moves once positioning gets crowded. The key is not confusing the short-term setup with the longer trend, both can coexist. 📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. 📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. 📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. 🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely 📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box! 📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction! 📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results 📊 TIAUSDT | Still No Buyers—Maintaining a Bearish Outlook 📊 OGNUSDT | One of Today’s Highest Volume Gainers – +32.44% 📊 TRXUSDT - I Do My Thing Again 📊 FLOKIUSDT - +%100 From Blue Box! 📊 SFP/USDT - Perfect Entry %80 Profit! I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Long
by UmutTrades
EURUSD remains under pressure, potential for further decline?EURUSD remains under pressure as fragile growth in Europe, particularly in Germany, clashes with persistent inflation that keeps the ECB from cutting rates. Meanwhile, the dollar pared its recent decline due to relative US resilience, though a dovish Fed outlook may limit any gains on the dollar. For now, rallies look capped, with the bias tilted lower until Europe shows clearer signs of recovery. EURUSD slide lower following a break below the ascending trendline. The pair remains under pressure with lower swings reinforcing the potential for a further decline. If EURUSD breaks the support at 1.1720, the price could extend its decline toward the following support at 1.1680. Conversely, a retracement above 1.1720 may prompt a retest of the resistance at 1.1800. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
Short
by lixing_gan
EUR/USD Trading Plans EUR/USD Trade Plan 1. Bearish Setup (higher probability right now) Entry: If price closes below 1.16945 on the daily chart. Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.1765 (recent resistance). Take Profit (TP): TP1 → 1.1500 (psychological level & prior demand) TP2 → 1.1135 (major demand zone marked on your chart). 📉 Risk/Reward: Good (approx. 1:2 to 1:3 depending on TP). --- 2. Bullish Setup (if support holds) Entry: If price rejects 1.16945 with a bullish engulfing or strong pin bar. Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.1640 (under support wick). Take Profit (TP): TP1 → 1.1867 (immediate resistance) TP2 → 1.2191 (major resistance / supply). 📈 Risk/Reward: Decent (1:2 if aiming for 1.2191). 3. Neutral Zone (wait mode) If price is stuck between 1.16945 – 1.1765, better to wait. That’s a “decision zone” → market could flip either way. ✅ Summary Bias: Short-term bearish after rejection at 1.2191. Main level to watch: 1.16945 (support). Best plan: Sell below 1.16945 → aim for 1.1500 → 1.1135. Buy only if bullish rejection candles form at 1.16945. ⚠️ Always use proper risk management (1–2% risk per trade max).
by Switczyfx
The Day Ahead - The triple witching day!Data UK: September GfK consumer confidence and August retail sales → signals for household demand momentum; public finances update in focus for fiscal stance. Japan: August national CPI → key inflation read ahead of today’s BoJ decision. Germany: August PPI → important for eurozone disinflation trends. France: September manufacturing confidence → industrial outlook update. Canada: July retail sales → gauge on household spending. Central Banks Bank of Japan: Policy decision today; markets watching for any shift in yield curve control or forward guidance after recent inflation trends. Trading Impact FX: JPY volatility likely around BoJ; GBP moves tied to consumer sentiment/retail sales. Rates: UK gilt yields could react to retail sales/public finances; JGBs in focus on BoJ outcome. Equities: Japan equities sensitive to BoJ stance; European stocks watching German PPI and French confidence for growth/inflation signals. Commodities: German PPI a useful read on industrial demand trends across Europe. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 19, 2025 EURUSDThe US Department of Labor (DOL) reported on Thursday that the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to 231,000 for the week ending September 13. The latest data was lower than the initial estimate of 240,000 and lower than the previous week's figure of 264,000 (revised from 263,000). Meanwhile, the number of people continuing to claim unemployment benefits fell by 7,000 to 1.920 million for the week ending September 6. The US dollar remains strong after the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced an expected rate cut on Wednesday but did not indicate that it would rush to lower borrowing costs in the coming months. The decline in the EUR/USD pair may be limited as the euro (EUR) could be supported by growing expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will end its cycle of rate cuts after the release of the latest inflation data. ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos said the central bank should take a “very cautious” approach given the high uncertainty. Guindos added that the current rate is adequate given inflation trends and monetary policy transmission. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1735, SL 1.1765, TP 1.1685
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Euro Falls Near $1.18 as Dollar Strengthens and ECB Policy HoldsThe euro is trading around $ 1.18, just less than its highest levels in the four years reached earlier in the week, as the dollar rose after the decision of the Federal Reserve Policy. While in Europe, the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged for the second meeting in a row last week, indicating that the interest rate reduction course may have ended. Technically, the dollar recovery left the opportunity for the strength of the bears to dominate the momentum indicators for the 4-hour interval on the EURUSD pair, so the pair is likely to continue to decline during today's trading, targeting the next support levels around 1.1715, especially in case the support levels around 1.1735 do not succeed in stopping the price slippage
by shymaasheta029
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.177. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.168 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Price movement of the EUR/USD currency pairEUR/USD (Euro / US Dollar) Chart Analysis This chart shows the price movement for the EUR/USD currency pair on a 1-hour (1H) timeframe. The data is from the OANDA broker, with a timestamp of 06:38 UTC on September 19, 2025. 1. Price Analysis (Top Chart) Short-Term Trend: The price is in a downtrend since reaching its peak around 1.1900 on September 17. Rebound Zone: There is a zone marked as "RETEST AREA" in the price range of 1.17993 to 1.18200. This area likely corresponds to the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement levels. This is a critical area where the price previously dropped and then rose to test that resistance level. Possible Scenarios: If the price successfully rises and breaks through this "RETEST AREA," the downtrend could weaken or reverse. Conversely, if the price touches this area and fails to break through, then moves back down, it would be a strong confirmation that the downtrend will continue. The dashed line pointing down indicates this potential movement. 2. Indicator Analysis (Bottom Chart) RSI (Relative Strength Index) Indicator: The bottom chart displays the RSI indicator. RSI Condition: The RSI line is currently below the 50 level, at 39.66. This indicates that market momentum is bearish, meaning selling pressure is more dominant than buying pressure. Caution: The blue arrow points to a flattening or leveling of the RSI movement. This could suggest that the downtrend may be losing momentum, but there are no strong signs of a reversal yet. Analysis Summary Overall, the chart indicates that the EUR/USD pair is in a downtrend. Traders or investors looking at this chart would likely monitor the "RETEST AREA" (around 1.1800) as a key point. A break of this area or a failure to break it will provide clues for the next direction of price movement. This analysis is technical and does not consider fundamental economic factors. Always perform a comprehensive analysis before making any trading decisions.
by vrbnca
EURUSD H4 | Bearish drop confirmed after break of supportThe Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance and oculd potentially drop from this level to he downside. Sell entry is at 1.1807, which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 1.1867, which is a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 1.1692, which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
EURUSD: Bulls Are Winning! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.18175 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.18387.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/09/2025The Judas Swing strategy is all about discipline, patience, and trusting the process, and this FX:EURUSD setup from Monday’s session was a perfect reminder of why sticking to the rules matters more than chasing results. As the Judas Swing session started, FX:EURUSD gave us the first clue we look for: a liquidity sweep above the zones high. Breakout buyers jumped in, only to find themselves trapped as price quickly reversed. This was our signal to get ready. But, as always, one signal isn’t enough. We needed the next confirmation: a break of structure to the downside. Once that shift in order flow printed, the setup was officially on our radar. Next came the waiting game. The strategy demands patience until price retraces back into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) created on the price leg that broke structure. It didn’t take long FX:EURUSD pulled back neatly, tapped into the FVG, and our entry candle closed. That was the green light. Risk per trade: 1% Target: 2% Risk-to-Reward: 1:2 Checklist complete. Trade executed. Unlike some trades where price rockets instantly, this one tested our patience. FX:EURUSD moved in our favor but reversed and even pulled against us. Momentum returned, but instead of pushing toward our 2% target, price lost steam mid-way and reversed. The result: a 1% loss The important lesson here is that a losing trade executed according to plan is still a successful trade. We didn’t chase the liquidity sweep. We didn’t anticipate the break of structure. We didn’t force an early entry. Every box was ticked, and the trade simply didn’t play out. That’s trading. The Judas Swing isn’t about winning every setup, it’s about trusting the process over the long run. By managing risk and staying consistent, we position ourselves for sustainable growth, even when individual trades don’t hit target.
by CleoFinance
EURUSD – Critical Zone AheadBack on June 29, I shared a buy idea on EURUSD (tagged below this post). Due to a busy schedule, I couldn't post an update—but as you can see, price reacted to my marked zone, did a quick stop-hunt, and moved up strongly. Now, the current zone marked on the chart is a potential short area, but again—we don’t tell the market what to do. We follow it. 📌 If the level breaks upward, we’ll wait for a pullback to go long. If a valid short signal shows up, we’ll go short. 🔁 Anything can happen—this is why I always remind traders: Don’t stand in front of the market. Those who do… often end up like sardines eaten by the whales 🐋—liquidated and out of capital. Let the market choose the direction, and we simply follow. 📈 Stay flexible. Stay humble. Stay profitable.
by ForexCSP
Steel, Copper & Gold: How Metals Shape the World EconomyPart I: The Historical Significance of Metals 1. Steel – From Iron Age to Industrial Age Steel is essentially an alloy of iron and carbon, but its strength, flexibility, and affordability made it the single most important material of industrialization. The Iron Age (1200 BCE onwards) marked the beginning of metal-based economies, but it was the Bessemer process in the 19th century that revolutionized mass steel production. Railways, bridges, and mechanized factories in Europe and the U.S. became possible because of steel. Steel transformed warfare too, with stronger weapons, tanks, and ships. By the 20th century, steel became synonymous with industrial power — countries with steel plants were considered modern and competitive. 2. Copper – The First Metal of Civilization Copper has been used for over 10,000 years. Early civilizations like Mesopotamia and Egypt valued copper for tools, ornaments, and trade. The Bronze Age (3300–1200 BCE) began when humans mixed copper with tin to create bronze, a much stronger alloy that reshaped weapons, farming tools, and art. In modern times, copper’s true value emerged with electrification. When Edison’s light bulb lit up cities in the late 19th century, copper wiring carried electricity to homes and industries. Today, no city, smartphone, or solar panel can function without copper. 3. Gold – The Eternal Store of Value Gold has fascinated humankind for millennia. Ancient Egyptians called it the “flesh of the gods.” Unlike steel or copper, gold’s significance is less industrial and more financial, cultural, and symbolic. Ancient empires minted gold coins as currency. The Gold Standard of the 19th and 20th centuries tied currencies to gold reserves, stabilizing global trade. Today, central banks hold gold as reserves to secure financial stability. In times of crisis, investors flock to gold as a safe haven, making it a “crisis commodity.” Thus, while steel built industries and copper electrified societies, gold secured economies through trust and value. Part II: Metals in the Modern Global Economy 1. Steel – The Industrial Backbone Modern steelmaking revolves around blast furnaces and electric arc furnaces. The top steel producers today are China, India, Japan, the U.S., and Russia. Steel consumption directly reflects economic growth: When countries urbanize, steel demand spikes. China’s meteoric rise after 2000 was fueled by massive steel consumption in real estate, infrastructure, and manufacturing. India, as of the 2020s, is following a similar path, with steel demand tied to roads, housing, and railways. Global Trade: Steel is traded as finished products (like rolled sheets, pipes) and raw material (iron ore). The iron ore–steel connection links mining in Australia and Brazil to steel mills in China and India. 2. Copper – The Wiring of Globalization Copper is indispensable for electricity, transport, and electronics. With the rise of renewable energy and electric vehicles (EVs), copper demand has surged: An electric car uses nearly 4x more copper than a conventional car. Solar and wind farms need miles of copper cabling to connect to grids. Data centers and 5G networks run on copper infrastructure. Major Producers: Chile, Peru, China, and the Democratic Republic of Congo dominate global copper production. The trade network connects South America’s mines with smelters and industries in Asia, particularly China. 3. Gold – A Monetary Anchor Gold’s role in the modern economy is very different from steel or copper: Central banks (like the U.S. Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Reserve Bank of India) hold gold as part of their foreign exchange reserves. Investment demand (ETFs, bullion, jewelry) drives gold prices. In geopolitics, gold is a hedge against sanctions or currency collapse. For example, Russia increased gold reserves heavily after 2014 to reduce dependence on the U.S. dollar. Gold’s global demand is divided into three parts: Jewelry (especially in India, China, and the Middle East). Investment (bars, coins, ETFs). Central bank reserves. Part III: Price Dynamics & Market Behavior 1. Steel Market Cycles Steel prices depend on construction, auto manufacturing, and global growth. Prices crash during recessions (e.g., 2008, 2020 pandemic) and rise during recovery or infrastructure booms. Trade wars, tariffs, and overcapacity (especially from China) often distort global steel trade. 2. Copper – The “Doctor Copper” Indicator Copper is famously called “Doctor Copper” because its prices reflect the health of the world economy. When industries expand, copper demand rises, pushing prices up. A slowdown in construction, manufacturing, or electronics drags copper prices down. For instance, the copper price boom of 2003–2011 reflected China’s growth, while the slump of 2014–2016 signaled slowing global demand. 3. Gold – The Crisis Barometer Gold prices often move opposite to risk assets: During crises (financial crashes, wars, pandemics), gold rises as investors seek safety. When economies stabilize, gold prices dip as money flows back into stocks and bonds. For example, gold surged above $2,000/oz during the COVID-19 crisis and during geopolitical tensions in 2022–23. Part IV: Geopolitical & Strategic Importance 1. Steel – A Weapon of Trade & Security Nations often protect their steel industries through tariffs and subsidies, seeing it as a matter of national security. A country without steel plants risks dependence on imports for defense, infrastructure, and industrialization. 2. Copper – The New Oil of the Green Era As the world transitions to clean energy, copper is being compared to “the new oil.” Whoever controls copper mines and supply chains will dominate renewable energy and EV industries. This has made regions like Latin America and Africa strategic hotspots for global powers. 3. Gold – The Silent Power of Reserves Gold allows countries to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar. The BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) have steadily increased gold holdings, signaling a shift in global financial power. Part V: The Future of Metals 1. Steel – Towards Green Steel The steel industry is one of the largest emitters of CO₂. With climate change pressures, countries are investing in green steel (produced using hydrogen instead of coal). Europe, Japan, and India are testing pilot projects that could transform steel into a low-carbon industry. 2. Copper – Supply Crunch Ahead The International Energy Agency (IEA) warns of a possible copper shortage by 2030, as demand from EVs and renewable energy outpaces supply. This could lead to new mining projects, recycling innovations, and geopolitical competition. 3. Gold – Digital Age Relevance While Bitcoin and digital assets challenge gold as a “store of value,” gold remains unmatched in stability and trust. In fact, central banks are buying more gold, suggesting it will remain critical in global finance for decades. Conclusion Steel, copper, and gold are more than just metals; they are pillars of the global economy. Steel builds our cities, cars, and industries. Copper powers our homes, gadgets, and future green technologies. Gold protects our wealth and anchors global finance. Each metal has a unique story — steel as the backbone of industrialization, copper as the lifeline of electrification, and gold as the eternal symbol of value. Together, they reflect the intersection of economics, technology, and geopolitics. As the 21st century unfolds, these three metals will continue shaping the destiny of nations, guiding industrial revolutions, and influencing financial systems. The world economy, in many ways, is still forged, wired, and secured by steel, copper, and gold.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
EUR/USD | Buyers Active – Short-Term SetupEUR/USD | Buyers Active – Short-Term Setup Price is reacting from the buyer’s zone around 1.18339 – 1.18412. As long as buyers hold this level, we may see a push toward 1.18514 supply zone. Buyers Zone: 1.18339 – 1.18412 Resistance/Supply: 1.18514 Watching price action closely for confirmation before continuation. 📊 Timeframe: 15M ⚡ Analysis: Smart Money / Supply-Demand Zones 💡 Idea: Possible bullish continuation unless buyers fail.
Long
by Greenfireforex
1