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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD : LiesMaybe when any of you who have been playing for some time now would have realised that in this game, there are a lot of lies being told. No. 1 is Elliot Wave - I am sure by now you would agree with me that the D is far better. No. 2 is, of course, the favorite Trendline. I can show you why, but I think I'll keep this to myself. No.3 is the Demand & Supply zone as well as the volume profile. Previously, I had been a keen follower. Nowadays, it is better to use something else. The answer to No.1 can be seen above. Answers to No.2 and No.3 can also be found above if you look closely. Whatever it is, once you decide to play this game, it will take a while to learn. Many would have given up. Just remember, it is full of lies out there. So, just be VERY careful. Good luck.
by i_am_siew
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 19, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the trading session of the previous week, the Euro successfully retested the completed Inner Currency Rally at 1.177 and displayed significant upside momentum, reaching and completing the Outer Currency Rally at 1.187, with Key Resistance noted at 1.181. Following this completion, the Euro reversed its course and experienced a sharp decline, ultimately resting at the Mean Support level of 1.173. It is imperative to highlight that the current market dynamics indicate a likelihood of continued downward movement from recent price levels. Attention should be directed towards additional support targets established at 1.169 and 1.162. Conversely, the present price action suggests a potential retest of the completed Inner Currency Rally at 1.177 and Outer Currency Rally at 1.187, which will lead to a substantial pullback from these upward targets.
by TradeSelecter
The Dollar Dominance: How U.S. Currency Shapes Global TradeIntroduction: The Power of a Currency Imagine a single currency that influences nearly every corner of global trade, from oil shipments in the Middle East to the price of wheat in the American Midwest. That currency is the U.S. dollar (USD), and its dominance is more than a matter of convenience—it is a pillar of global economic stability. The dollar is not just another currency; it is the benchmark for international finance, the reference point for commodities, and the primary currency in which countries hold their foreign reserves. Understanding the dollar’s influence means understanding how the global economy functions, how nations interact financially, and how the U.S. leverages its economic position. Historical Roots of Dollar Dominance The journey of the dollar to global supremacy did not happen overnight. Its rise is deeply intertwined with history, economics, and geopolitics. Post-War Foundations After World War II, much of Europe and Asia lay in ruins. The United States, relatively unscathed and economically robust, became the world's largest creditor and industrial power. This economic preeminence positioned the U.S. dollar as a natural choice for global trade. The pivotal moment came with the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944, which created a new international monetary system. Under Bretton Woods: The U.S. dollar was pegged to gold at $35 per ounce. Other major currencies were pegged to the dollar. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank were established to support global economic stability. This system made the dollar the linchpin of global finance. Countries needed dollars for trade and reserves, cementing its dominance. Post-Gold Standard Era In 1971, President Richard Nixon ended the direct convertibility of the dollar to gold, a move that could have destabilized its global role. Surprisingly, the dollar maintained its dominance. Why? Because: The U.S. economy remained the largest and most stable. Financial markets in the U.S. were deep, transparent, and liquid. Global trust in U.S. institutions persisted. Even without gold backing, the dollar had become the default currency for global trade. How the Dollar Shapes Global Trade The influence of the dollar manifests in several tangible ways. From trade transactions to financial policies, the USD permeates international commerce. Trade Invoicing and Settlement Roughly half of global trade transactions are denominated in dollars. This means whether a European company buys oil from Saudi Arabia or imports machinery from China, the dollar often serves as the currency of choice. Why is this significant? Simplifies Transactions: Using a single currency reduces the need for constant currency conversions. Reduces Risk: Companies are shielded from exchange rate volatility. Provides Transparency: Prices in dollars make international trade comparable and standardized. Commodity markets are a prime example. Oil, gold, copper, and many agricultural products are priced almost exclusively in USD. This “petrodollar” system, particularly for oil, forces nations to hold substantial dollar reserves to participate in global trade. Foreign Exchange Reserves Central banks worldwide keep a large portion of their reserves in dollars. According to the IMF: About 58% of global foreign exchange reserves are held in USD. U.S. Treasury securities are a preferred investment for governments seeking safety and liquidity. These reserves are not idle—they allow countries to stabilize their own currencies, fund imports, and manage economic shocks. In essence, the dollar serves as a global financial safety net. Financial Markets and Investment U.S. financial markets are the largest and most liquid in the world. Foreign governments, corporations, and investors pour money into: U.S. Treasury bonds Equities Real estate Corporate debt Investing in USD-denominated assets ensures stability and predictability. This cycle reinforces the dollar’s dominance: international demand for U.S. assets strengthens the currency, which in turn supports its use in trade. Dollarization and Currency Pegs Some countries adopt the dollar directly or peg their currencies to it: Dollarization: Official use of the USD as legal tender (e.g., Ecuador, El Salvador). Currency Pegs: Linking local currency to USD to maintain stability (e.g., many Gulf and Caribbean nations). These practices reduce inflation risks and provide economic stability, particularly for nations with historically volatile currencies. Geopolitical Implications of Dollar Dominance The dollar’s dominance is not just an economic phenomenon—it’s a geopolitical tool. U.S. Economic Leverage Because the USD is central to global finance: The U.S. can borrow in its own currency at low interest rates. U.S. monetary policies, such as interest rate changes, ripple globally. Economic sanctions are more effective because many international transactions involve USD and thus fall under U.S. jurisdiction. In short, the dollar gives the U.S. both economic influence and geopolitical power. Challenges from Other Currencies Despite its dominance, alternatives are emerging: Chinese yuan: China has signed numerous currency swap agreements and encourages yuan usage in trade. Euro and other regional currencies: Some regional trade agreements promote alternatives to the dollar. However, obstacles remain: Limited liquidity and convertibility of non-dollar currencies. Established trust in the dollar is hard to replace. Geopolitical tensions may slow adoption of alternatives. Technology and the Digital Revolution Emerging technologies could disrupt traditional currency dominance: Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs): China is pioneering the digital yuan, potentially making cross-border transactions easier. Cryptocurrencies: While decentralized, they face regulatory hurdles and lack widespread trust. Digital currencies may challenge the dollar in niche markets, but a full-scale replacement is unlikely in the near future. The Dollar and Global Trade Crises History shows the dollar plays a stabilizing role during crises: Oil Shocks: Countries with USD reserves can continue purchasing energy even during price spikes. Financial Crises: During 2008, central banks lent dollars to stabilize local banks. Geopolitical Conflicts: Dollar dominance helps maintain international trade flows even amid sanctions or regional instability. The dollar acts as a global anchor, providing confidence when uncertainty arises. Risks and Limitations While the dollar is dominant, it faces risks: U.S. Debt Levels: Rising national debt could undermine confidence in the dollar. Inflationary Pressures: Persistent inflation may weaken purchasing power globally. Political Uncertainty: Instability in U.S. policies could ripple through global markets. Technological Disruption: Digital currencies and decentralized finance could erode traditional dollar use. Despite these risks, no currency currently offers a viable alternative at the scale and liquidity of the USD. The Future of Dollar Dominance Predicting the dollar’s future requires looking at multiple factors: U.S. Economic Strength: Sustained growth, low inflation, and strong institutions will maintain confidence. Global Politics: Stability encourages continued reliance on the USD. Financial Innovation: Adoption of digital solutions could reinforce or challenge dollar dominance. Competition: China’s yuan or digital currencies may slowly chip away at dollar supremacy, but any change will be gradual. The dollar’s role is likely to remain central in the foreseeable future, though its share of global reserves may evolve. Conclusion: More Than Just Money The U.S. dollar is more than a currency—it is the backbone of global trade. Its dominance simplifies international transactions, stabilizes economies, and empowers the United States with unparalleled economic influence. For nations around the world, holding and trading in dollars is both practical and necessary. While challenges exist—from geopolitical shifts to technological innovations—the dollar’s entrenched position is resilient. Its story is not just about money, but about trust, stability, and the interwoven fabric of the global economy. Understanding the dollar means understanding the world economy itself: how trade flows, how nations interact, and how financial power is distributed. The dollar is, in every sense, the world’s common language of trade.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
Oil Wars: The Hidden Geopolitical Battles Introduction The global oil market is not merely a reflection of supply and demand dynamics; it is a complex arena where geopolitical maneuvers, strategic alliances, and international conflicts play pivotal roles. Oil, often termed "black gold," has been at the heart of numerous geopolitical strategies, influencing global power structures and economic landscapes. From the early 20th century to the present day, oil has been both a catalyst for conflict and a tool for diplomacy. The Historical Prelude: Oil as a Strategic Asset In the early 1900s, the discovery of vast oil reserves in the Middle East transformed the region into a focal point of international interest. Nations like the United Kingdom and the United States sought to secure access to these resources, leading to the establishment of influential oil companies such as the Anglo-Persian Oil Company (now BP) and Standard Oil (now ExxonMobil). These entities not only dominated the oil industry but also shaped the political contours of the regions they operated in. The strategic importance of oil became evident during World War I and World War II, where control over oil supplies was crucial for military operations. The U.S. emerged as a dominant oil producer in the post-war era, further solidifying oil's role in global geopolitics. The Cold War and Oil: A Dual-Edged Sword During the Cold War, oil became a tool for both the Western bloc, led by the United States, and the Eastern bloc, led by the Soviet Union. The U.S. sought to ensure the free flow of oil from the Middle East to prevent Soviet influence in the region. Conversely, the USSR aimed to secure energy resources to fuel its industrial ambitions. This competition led to proxy wars and political interventions in oil-rich regions. The 1973 Oil Crisis marked a significant turning point, where OPEC's oil embargo led to a quadrupling of oil prices, highlighting the geopolitical leverage of oil-producing nations. This event underscored the vulnerability of oil-dependent economies and the intricate link between energy resources and geopolitical power. The Middle East: Epicenter of Oil Conflicts The Middle East has been central to many oil-related geopolitical conflicts. The Iran-Iraq War (1980–1988) was partly fueled by disputes over oil-rich territories and control of the Shatt al-Arab waterway. Similarly, the Gulf War (1990–1991) was precipitated by Iraq's invasion of Kuwait, aiming to control its oil reserves and access to the Persian Gulf. In recent years, the region has witnessed renewed tensions. Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian oil infrastructure, such as the Primorsk terminal and the Kirishi refinery, have disrupted supply chains, leading to fluctuations in global oil prices. These incidents highlight the vulnerability of oil infrastructure to geopolitical conflicts and the ripple effects on global markets. The Role of Major Oil Players: OPEC and Non-OPEC Nations The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has been a significant force in shaping oil prices through coordinated production cuts or increases. However, the dynamics within OPEC are complex, with member countries often having divergent interests. The 2020 Russia–Saudi Arabia oil price war exemplified the challenges within OPEC+, where a breakdown in negotiations led to a dramatic fall in oil prices. Non-OPEC countries, particularly the United States with its shale oil revolution, have also influenced global oil markets. The U.S. became a significant oil producer, challenging OPEC's dominance and leading to shifts in global oil supply and pricing mechanisms. Sanctions and Their Impact on Oil Markets Economic sanctions have become a tool for nations to exert pressure on oil-producing countries. For instance, sanctions on Iran and Venezuela have led to declines in their oil exports, affecting global supply. Conversely, countries like India have continued to import sanctioned oil, citing strategic energy needs, thereby challenging the efficacy of such sanctions. The enforcement of sanctions has also led to the emergence of a "shadow fleet" of tankers, circumventing traditional shipping routes and insurance mechanisms, further complicating the global oil trade. The Future: Renewable Energy and the Decline of Oil's Geopolitical Influence The global shift towards renewable energy sources is gradually diminishing oil's central role in geopolitics. Countries are investing in alternative energy to reduce dependence on oil, leading to a reconfiguration of global power structures. However, oil remains a critical component of the global energy mix, and geopolitical considerations continue to influence its production and pricing. Conclusion Oil has been more than just an energy resource; it has been a cornerstone of geopolitical strategies, influencing international relations, economic policies, and global power dynamics. Understanding the intricate relationship between oil and geopolitics is essential for comprehending current global affairs and anticipating future developments in the energy sector.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
EURUSD | Short-Term Dollar Weakness, Long-Term Euro StrengthMy bigger picture view on EURUSD stays bullish. The euro has structural support, and over time I expect higher levels to be reached. But zooming into the short-term, the dollar isn’t looking strong right now. Momentum is fading, and intraday flows suggest EURUSD could still push higher before any real pullback. So the playbook is clear: Long term → Favoring euro strength, staying bullish. Short term → Dollar weakness keeps pressure tilted upward, but watch for potential corrective moves once positioning gets crowded. The key is not confusing the short-term setup with the longer trend, both can coexist. 📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. 📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. 📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. 🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely 📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box! 📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction! 📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results 📊 TIAUSDT | Still No Buyers—Maintaining a Bearish Outlook 📊 OGNUSDT | One of Today’s Highest Volume Gainers – +32.44% 📊 TRXUSDT - I Do My Thing Again 📊 FLOKIUSDT - +%100 From Blue Box! 📊 SFP/USDT - Perfect Entry %80 Profit! I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Long
by UmutTrades
EUR/USD Trading Plans EUR/USD Trade Plan 1. Bearish Setup (higher probability right now) Entry: If price closes below 1.16945 on the daily chart. Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.1765 (recent resistance). Take Profit (TP): TP1 → 1.1500 (psychological level & prior demand) TP2 → 1.1135 (major demand zone marked on your chart). 📉 Risk/Reward: Good (approx. 1:2 to 1:3 depending on TP). --- 2. Bullish Setup (if support holds) Entry: If price rejects 1.16945 with a bullish engulfing or strong pin bar. Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.1640 (under support wick). Take Profit (TP): TP1 → 1.1867 (immediate resistance) TP2 → 1.2191 (major resistance / supply). 📈 Risk/Reward: Decent (1:2 if aiming for 1.2191). 3. Neutral Zone (wait mode) If price is stuck between 1.16945 – 1.1765, better to wait. That’s a “decision zone” → market could flip either way. ✅ Summary Bias: Short-term bearish after rejection at 1.2191. Main level to watch: 1.16945 (support). Best plan: Sell below 1.16945 → aim for 1.1500 → 1.1135. Buy only if bullish rejection candles form at 1.16945. ⚠️ Always use proper risk management (1–2% risk per trade max).
by Switczyfx
The Day Ahead - The triple witching day!Data UK: September GfK consumer confidence and August retail sales → signals for household demand momentum; public finances update in focus for fiscal stance. Japan: August national CPI → key inflation read ahead of today’s BoJ decision. Germany: August PPI → important for eurozone disinflation trends. France: September manufacturing confidence → industrial outlook update. Canada: July retail sales → gauge on household spending. Central Banks Bank of Japan: Policy decision today; markets watching for any shift in yield curve control or forward guidance after recent inflation trends. Trading Impact FX: JPY volatility likely around BoJ; GBP moves tied to consumer sentiment/retail sales. Rates: UK gilt yields could react to retail sales/public finances; JGBs in focus on BoJ outcome. Equities: Japan equities sensitive to BoJ stance; European stocks watching German PPI and French confidence for growth/inflation signals. Commodities: German PPI a useful read on industrial demand trends across Europe. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 19, 2025 EURUSDThe US Department of Labor (DOL) reported on Thursday that the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to 231,000 for the week ending September 13. The latest data was lower than the initial estimate of 240,000 and lower than the previous week's figure of 264,000 (revised from 263,000). Meanwhile, the number of people continuing to claim unemployment benefits fell by 7,000 to 1.920 million for the week ending September 6. The US dollar remains strong after the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced an expected rate cut on Wednesday but did not indicate that it would rush to lower borrowing costs in the coming months. The decline in the EUR/USD pair may be limited as the euro (EUR) could be supported by growing expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will end its cycle of rate cuts after the release of the latest inflation data. ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos said the central bank should take a “very cautious” approach given the high uncertainty. Guindos added that the current rate is adequate given inflation trends and monetary policy transmission. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1735, SL 1.1765, TP 1.1685
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Euro Falls Near $1.18 as Dollar Strengthens and ECB Policy HoldsThe euro is trading around $ 1.18, just less than its highest levels in the four years reached earlier in the week, as the dollar rose after the decision of the Federal Reserve Policy. While in Europe, the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged for the second meeting in a row last week, indicating that the interest rate reduction course may have ended. Technically, the dollar recovery left the opportunity for the strength of the bears to dominate the momentum indicators for the 4-hour interval on the EURUSD pair, so the pair is likely to continue to decline during today's trading, targeting the next support levels around 1.1715, especially in case the support levels around 1.1735 do not succeed in stopping the price slippage
by shymaasheta029
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.177. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.168 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Price movement of the EUR/USD currency pairEUR/USD (Euro / US Dollar) Chart Analysis This chart shows the price movement for the EUR/USD currency pair on a 1-hour (1H) timeframe. The data is from the OANDA broker, with a timestamp of 06:38 UTC on September 19, 2025. 1. Price Analysis (Top Chart) Short-Term Trend: The price is in a downtrend since reaching its peak around 1.1900 on September 17. Rebound Zone: There is a zone marked as "RETEST AREA" in the price range of 1.17993 to 1.18200. This area likely corresponds to the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement levels. This is a critical area where the price previously dropped and then rose to test that resistance level. Possible Scenarios: If the price successfully rises and breaks through this "RETEST AREA," the downtrend could weaken or reverse. Conversely, if the price touches this area and fails to break through, then moves back down, it would be a strong confirmation that the downtrend will continue. The dashed line pointing down indicates this potential movement. 2. Indicator Analysis (Bottom Chart) RSI (Relative Strength Index) Indicator: The bottom chart displays the RSI indicator. RSI Condition: The RSI line is currently below the 50 level, at 39.66. This indicates that market momentum is bearish, meaning selling pressure is more dominant than buying pressure. Caution: The blue arrow points to a flattening or leveling of the RSI movement. This could suggest that the downtrend may be losing momentum, but there are no strong signs of a reversal yet. Analysis Summary Overall, the chart indicates that the EUR/USD pair is in a downtrend. Traders or investors looking at this chart would likely monitor the "RETEST AREA" (around 1.1800) as a key point. A break of this area or a failure to break it will provide clues for the next direction of price movement. This analysis is technical and does not consider fundamental economic factors. Always perform a comprehensive analysis before making any trading decisions.
by vrbnca
EURGBP Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D19 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D19 | Y25| 📊 EURGBP Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURGBP
Long
by JCFRGNT
Sanctioned EconomiesIntroduction Sanctions have become one of the most powerful tools in modern international relations. Instead of deploying armies or engaging in direct conflict, powerful nations and global institutions often turn to economic sanctions as a means of exerting pressure on adversaries. Sanctions can range from targeted restrictions on individuals and corporations to wide-ranging embargoes that limit a country’s ability to trade goods, access finance, or integrate with global systems. The consequences of sanctions extend far beyond the borders of the targeted nation. They reshape trade flows, alter supply chains, influence investment decisions, and sometimes trigger broader geopolitical realignments. In today’s interconnected global economy, sanctioning one nation often creates ripple effects across multiple regions, industries, and markets. This essay explores how sanctioned economies function, the types of sanctions imposed, their impacts on domestic and global markets, and the ways in which countries and corporations adapt to these restrictions. We will also examine real-world case studies of nations such as Iran, Russia, Venezuela, and North Korea to better understand the dynamics at play. Finally, we will consider the long-term implications of sanctions for global trade, energy security, and the shifting balance of economic power. Understanding Sanctions What Are Economic Sanctions? Economic sanctions are restrictions imposed by one or more countries to limit the economic activities of another country, group, or individual. They are often justified as tools to punish aggressive behavior, prevent human rights abuses, or deter actions that threaten international security. Sanctions can take many forms: Trade Restrictions – bans on the import or export of specific goods (e.g., oil, weapons, technology). Financial Sanctions – freezing assets, blocking access to global financial systems, restricting loans or investment. Targeted Sanctions – restrictions aimed at specific individuals, corporations, or political leaders. Comprehensive Sanctions – wide-ranging measures that isolate an entire economy from global trade (e.g., North Korea). Why Do Countries Impose Sanctions? Political Leverage: To pressure governments into changing policies (e.g., Iran’s nuclear program). Deterrence: To prevent actions such as territorial expansion or human rights violations. Punishment: To penalize states for actions deemed unacceptable by the international community. Signaling: To show unity among nations or institutions against a perceived threat. The Domestic Impact of Sanctions Sanctions are meant to squeeze the target country’s economy. Their effects can be harsh, often hitting ordinary citizens harder than political elites. Economic Slowdown Sanctions reduce access to international markets and capital, causing GDP contractions. For example, Iran’s economy shrank by over 6% in 2019 when U.S. sanctions tightened its oil exports. Inflation and Currency Collapse Restricted trade reduces supply, driving up prices. Combined with currency devaluation, inflation becomes rampant. Venezuela, for instance, has faced hyperinflation due in part to sanctions that limited its oil exports and foreign reserves. Unemployment and Poverty When industries lose access to export markets or imported raw materials, production declines. This leads to job losses, declining wages, and growing poverty levels. Technological Backwardness Bans on advanced technology exports prevent sanctioned countries from modernizing their industries. Russia, for example, faces difficulties in upgrading energy exploration due to restrictions on Western drilling technologies. Social Strains Sanctions can create shortages of medicines, food, and essential goods. While exemptions for humanitarian trade exist, logistical challenges often prevent adequate supply. How Sanctions Reshape Global Markets Sanctions don’t just affect the targeted country—they disrupt global trade patterns. The more interconnected the sanctioned economy is with the world, the larger the impact. 1. Energy Markets Energy is one of the most affected sectors. Countries like Iran, Russia, and Venezuela—major oil and gas exporters—have faced sanctions that limit their ability to sell hydrocarbons. Iran: Sanctions drastically reduced Iranian oil exports from 2.5 million barrels per day in 2011 to below 500,000 at times. This forced countries like India and China to diversify supply sources. Russia (2022 onwards): Restrictions on Russian oil exports shifted global flows. Europe turned to the Middle East, U.S., and Africa for crude, while Russia pivoted towards Asia, especially India and China, at discounted prices. 2. Supply Chain Disruptions Sanctions on raw materials like metals, fertilizers, and agricultural goods affect industries worldwide. For example, restrictions on Russian nickel exports disrupted global electric vehicle supply chains. 3. Financial System Fragmentation Banning banks from SWIFT, freezing assets, and blocking reserves push sanctioned nations to create alternative financial systems. Russia and China are now developing independent payment systems to reduce reliance on the U.S.-dominated dollar system. 4. Rise of Shadow Economies Sanctions give rise to parallel networks: smuggling, barter trade, and gray markets. For instance, Iran exports oil via secretive shipping routes and barter deals with allies. 5. Geopolitical Realignments Sanctions push targeted nations to build alliances with sympathetic powers. Russia has deepened ties with China, Iran, and other non-Western economies since 2022. Winners and Losers in Global Markets Winners Alternative Suppliers: Countries not under sanctions often benefit by replacing banned exporters. U.S. LNG exporters gained when Europe shifted away from Russian gas. Emerging Market Importers: Nations like India profited by buying discounted Russian oil. Technology Providers Outside the West: Chinese firms gained market share in sanctioned countries. Losers Sanctioned Nations: Severe economic damage, isolation, and reduced growth. Global Consumers: Higher prices for oil, food, and commodities. Multinational Corporations: Western firms lost profitable markets due to compliance with sanctions. Conclusion Sanctions have become a defining feature of modern geopolitics and global economics. While they are intended to discipline nations and change state behavior, their effects are far-reaching and often unpredictable. They reshape supply chains, realign global alliances, alter energy markets, and push the world towards multipolar trade structures. For sanctioned nations, survival often depends on adaptation, resilience, and finding alternative partners. For the global economy, sanctions create both winners and losers—emerging opportunities for some and severe disruptions for others. Ultimately, the rise of sanctioned economies illustrates how deeply interconnected the world has become. Restricting one nation sends ripples across the globe, challenging businesses, governments, and consumers alike. As sanctions continue to evolve as tools of statecraft, the world may witness not only new divides but also creative new forms of cooperation and resistance in the international economic order.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
2
EURUSD: Bulls Are Winning! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.18175 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.18387.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/09/2025The Judas Swing strategy is all about discipline, patience, and trusting the process, and this FX:EURUSD setup from Monday’s session was a perfect reminder of why sticking to the rules matters more than chasing results. As the Judas Swing session started, FX:EURUSD gave us the first clue we look for: a liquidity sweep above the zones high. Breakout buyers jumped in, only to find themselves trapped as price quickly reversed. This was our signal to get ready. But, as always, one signal isn’t enough. We needed the next confirmation: a break of structure to the downside. Once that shift in order flow printed, the setup was officially on our radar. Next came the waiting game. The strategy demands patience until price retraces back into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) created on the price leg that broke structure. It didn’t take long FX:EURUSD pulled back neatly, tapped into the FVG, and our entry candle closed. That was the green light. Risk per trade: 1% Target: 2% Risk-to-Reward: 1:2 Checklist complete. Trade executed. Unlike some trades where price rockets instantly, this one tested our patience. FX:EURUSD moved in our favor but reversed and even pulled against us. Momentum returned, but instead of pushing toward our 2% target, price lost steam mid-way and reversed. The result: a 1% loss The important lesson here is that a losing trade executed according to plan is still a successful trade. We didn’t chase the liquidity sweep. We didn’t anticipate the break of structure. We didn’t force an early entry. Every box was ticked, and the trade simply didn’t play out. That’s trading. The Judas Swing isn’t about winning every setup, it’s about trusting the process over the long run. By managing risk and staying consistent, we position ourselves for sustainable growth, even when individual trades don’t hit target.
by CleoFinance