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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD: Bulls Are Winning! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16566 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.16659.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EUR/USD (15-Minute Timeframe) - LONGTrading Idea: EUR/USD (15-Minute Timeframe) This setup focuses on a Liquidity Sweep and Last Breakdown Low (LBL) concept. Market Context: The market has been in a downward structure, forming lower highs and lower lows. After a strong bearish leg, price consolidated near the previous structural low area, indicating potential liquidity buildup below that level. Key Levels & Concepts: LBL (Last Breakdown Low): The LBL marks the point where price previously broke structure to the downside, creating a key area of interest for potential liquidity grabs. As shown, price swept liquidity below this level, grabbing stop-losses of early buyers before reacting sharply upward. Liquidity Sweep (xxx Liquidity Sweep xxx): Price made a false move below the LBL to collect liquidity, then reversed, signaling potential short-term bullish intent or relief rally. Equal Highs (Label “1”): The prior equal highs around 1.1675 acted as liquidity resting above, serving as a clear target for the market before the next bearish continuation. Trading Idea: Scenario 1 (Bullish Reversal): If price holds above the LBL after the liquidity sweep and confirms a higher low on the lower timeframe, it may push back toward the equal highs at 1.1675 for a short-term retracement play. Scenario 2 (Bearish Continuation): If price fails to sustain above LBL and reclaims the liquidity zone (gray area), it signals continuation to the downside, targeting lower liquidity zones around 1.1635–1.1640. Bias: Short-term bearish, until a confirmed break and retest above 1.1675.
Long
by Jamtara_Trader
EUR/USD - Long BIAS Analysis EUR/USD Long Bias Analysis 💶📈 The price has recently swept significant liquidity levels, including the Previous Day’s Low (PDL), the prior Asian session low, and the London session low. We also have previous Asia Low and London Low forming EQ Lows right above our POI. This liquidity grab aligns with a key point of interest (POI), identified as an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the daily timeframe. From this POI, we anticipate a bullish reaction, with price likely to rebound towards out draw on liquidity (DOL), targeting the London session high and an unfilled Sell-side Imbalance Buy-side Inefficiency (SIBI) on the H4 timeframe.
Long
by TheProfitRoomFx
EURUSD Bulls and BearsFor a moment I have softened my consecutive bullish position stance following an observation of recent performance of the pair. Today I maintain that the momentum is fading away unless there is an introduction of a new catalyst as the CPI. Trump already softened the 100% tariff on China which has resulted to a slow down in bullish momentum as opposed to last week. Where the pair is we are likely to experience a short term sell in form of an aim to reverse. But also close to 1.15800 to 1.1500 zone we are likely to experience some buyers with an aim to maintain the bullish trajectory and retest on the reversal. What I can do for this week given that the month is also coming to an end is focus on buying or selling those key points indicated on my chat towards CPI.
by WisdomArnold
Demand Zone in Focus: MSS Shift Signals Potential LongHello Traders, Wishing everyone a productive week ahead! Today, price action is sitting at a clearly defined demand zone, and we’ve just seen a shift in market structure (MSS). Based on this, I’m looking to go long from the potential demand area. However, keep in mind there’s still a strong external bearish trend. For added confirmation, consider waiting for a break of the last lower high (LH) before entering a long position. Stay sharp and trade safe! 💪
Long
by fxtrends28
Monday Setup You Don’t Want to Miss | EUR/USD ForecastWelcome traders! 👋 I’m glad to have you here — we’re all learning and growing together in this amazing trading journey. Let’s dive into today’s analysis on EUR/USD 👇 🧠 Weekly Outlook (October 21st – Monday) On the weekly timeframe, EUR/USD remains in a bullish trend. However, this week we might see liquidity sweep below the double-bottom lows, with potential movement toward the 50% of the previous weekly candle’s wick — a key zone that may get filled. On the daily timeframe, the pair is still bearish, currently in a bullish corrective phase. Meanwhile, on the 4-hour timeframe, buy-side liquidity has been taken and price started dropping afterward. 🎯 Monday Scenarios I’m watching two possible setups for the start of the trading week: Scenario 1: Price reacts to the 4H imbalance / supply zone (P.I.), then drops toward the identified liquidity pool (X – Obstacle zone). Scenario 2: Price skips the 4H P.I. zone, drops directly, and sweeps sell-side liquidity below the recent lows. Remember: The market is never 100% certain. Always wait for confirmation before entering any trade, manage your risk wisely, and keep an eye on economic news this week. ⚠️ This analysis is valid for Monday only. Let me know your thoughts below 💬 Do you agree with this outlook or see a different setup forming? 📘 Educational Note: This analysis is for educational and illustrative purposes only. Always follow your own plan, confirm with your strategy, and manage risk carefully. Success in trading comes from discipline, patience, and consistency. 💪 🚀 Empowering traders through clarity, confidence & clean charts. Follow 👉 parisa_tl for more liquidity setups and weekly insights 💙 #EURUSD #forexanalysis #smartmoneyconcepts #smcstrategy #forexeducation #priceaction #tradingpsychology #liquiditytrading #forexsetup #eurusdforecast #mondayanalysis #forexcommunity #marketstructure #fxtrader #eurusdstrategy #forexmentor #technicalanalysis #forexcharts #fxsetup #supplyanddemand #forexsignals #smartmoney #fxinsight #smccommunity #forexlife #tradingview
by parisa_tl
EURUSD W43 FRGNT Forecast -Q4 | W43 | Y25|📅 Q4 | W43 | Y25| 📊 EURUSD W43 FRGNT Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR/USD - 2HR TRADING CARD🔶 EUR/USD Trading Card | October 19, 2025 🔑 Key Pivot Zone 1.17220 - 1.17520 📍 Highest Volume Area of Institutional Control 📊 Context: Bullish Primary Trend | Below Pivot | Current 1.16556 ⚠️ Key Levels: Active Supply = 1.18170 - 1.18570 Active Demand = 1.15530 - 1.15770 Halfway to Supply = 1.17870 Halfway to Demand = 1.16510 ─────────────────────────────────────────── 🔴 Bearish Correction Phase ⚡ Trigger: Short from 1.17220-1.17520 • When price shows supply response (wick rejections/strong breakdown) 🎯 T1 = 1.16510 🎯 T2 = 1.15770 🎯 T3 = 1.14888 (38% Fib Extension) ❌ Invalidation: Back above 1.17520 ─────────────────────────────────────────── 🟢 Bias Flip back to Bullish if price reclaims and holds above the pivot ⚡ Trigger: Long from 1.17220-1.17520 • When price shows demand response (wick rejections/strong bounce) 🎯 T1 = 1.17870 🎯 T2 = 1.18170 🎯 T3 = 1.18969 (38% Fib Extension) ❌ Invalidation: Back below 1.17220
Long
by ANROC
Climate Change Impact on the Global MarketIntroduction Climate change has emerged as one of the most pressing challenges of the 21st century, with consequences extending far beyond environmental degradation. It is reshaping the global economy, altering trade patterns, influencing investment flows, and redefining business strategies across industries. The rise in global temperatures, frequent natural disasters, and shifts in weather patterns have disrupted supply chains, reduced agricultural productivity, and challenged energy security. Consequently, climate change has become both a financial risk and an opportunity for innovation and sustainability in the global market. This essay explores the multi-dimensional impact of climate change on the global market, analyzing its effects on various sectors, trade, finance, labor, and investment, while also addressing how governments and corporations are adapting to these transformations. 1. Economic Disruptions and Market Volatility One of the most immediate effects of climate change on the global market is economic instability. Extreme weather events such as hurricanes, floods, droughts, and wildfires cause billions of dollars in damages annually. According to data from the World Bank, climate-related disasters have caused global economic losses exceeding $250 billion per year in recent years. For example, the 2020 wildfires in Australia and California led to massive insurance claims, destroyed infrastructure, and disrupted business operations. Similarly, floods in South Asia and droughts in Africa have crippled agricultural production, leading to food shortages and price volatility in global commodity markets. Climate-related disruptions increase market uncertainty, discouraging long-term investments and affecting stock market performance. Investors now monitor environmental risks as part of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) criteria, integrating sustainability factors into financial decisions. As climate risks intensify, economies reliant on fossil fuels or resource-heavy industries face growing pressure, while green sectors gain prominence. 2. Agriculture and Food Supply Chains Agriculture is one of the most climate-sensitive sectors in the world economy. Rising temperatures, unpredictable rainfall, and soil degradation have significantly affected crop yields. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) estimates that global crop yields for staple foods such as wheat, rice, and maize could decline by 10–25% by 2050 if current trends persist. These changes influence global trade and food prices. Developing countries—especially in Africa, South Asia, and Latin America—are most vulnerable because their economies depend heavily on agriculture. Declining productivity affects exports, rural incomes, and food security, which in turn increases social unrest and migration pressures. Meanwhile, developed nations face challenges related to food imports, quality control, and supply chain resilience. The shift in agricultural zones—such as wine production moving from southern to northern Europe—reflects how industries are adapting to new climatic realities. However, such transitions require significant capital and time. 3. Energy Markets and the Green Transition The energy sector lies at the core of the climate–market relationship. Fossil fuels—oil, coal, and natural gas—have powered industrial growth for centuries but are now under scrutiny as major contributors to greenhouse gas emissions. As governments introduce carbon pricing, emission taxes, and renewable energy incentives, the global energy market is undergoing a structural transformation. Countries are diversifying their energy portfolios by investing in solar, wind, hydro, and hydrogen technologies. The shift toward renewable energy is not only environmental but also strategic—reducing dependency on volatile fossil fuel markets. For instance, Europe’s transition to renewable energy accelerated after geopolitical disruptions such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, highlighting how climate and politics intertwine. However, this transition poses short-term challenges. Traditional energy sectors face stranded assets, where fossil fuel reserves lose value due to policy changes or technological advancements. Oil-dependent economies, such as those in the Middle East, must restructure their markets to remain competitive in a decarbonizing world. On the other hand, the green energy market—including electric vehicles (EVs), battery storage, and carbon capture technologies—is rapidly expanding. BloombergNEF projects that global investment in clean energy could exceed $2 trillion annually by 2030, creating new jobs, industries, and trade patterns. 4. Trade and Global Supply Chains Global trade networks are increasingly vulnerable to climate disruptions. Ports, transportation systems, and production hubs located in climate-sensitive regions face heightened risk. For example, rising sea levels threaten major coastal cities like Shanghai, Mumbai, and New York—key centers for global commerce. Climate change affects logistics and insurance costs, as companies must adapt to new shipping routes or build resilient infrastructure. The 2021 Suez Canal blockage demonstrated how even temporary disruptions can ripple through global markets; climate-induced events could have far greater and longer-lasting effects. Moreover, international trade policies are evolving to incorporate climate considerations. The European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), for instance, imposes tariffs on imports from countries with lax emission standards. This marks the beginning of carbon-based trade regulation, which will influence global competitiveness. Developing economies may find it harder to compete if they lack the resources to implement green technologies, deepening economic inequality. However, climate-smart trade strategies—such as investing in sustainable manufacturing and regional cooperation—can offer resilience and growth opportunities. 5. Financial Markets and Investment Trends Climate change has redefined the way financial markets operate. Investors, regulators, and institutions now view climate risk as financial risk. The rise of green finance, carbon markets, and ESG investing reflects the growing integration of environmental factors into financial decision-making. Central banks, including the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, have begun incorporating climate stress tests into financial stability assessments. Insurers, too, are recalibrating models to account for climate-related losses, which affect premiums and underwriting practices. The carbon credit market—where companies trade emission allowances—has become a multibillion-dollar sector, incentivizing corporations to reduce emissions. Similarly, green bonds and sustainability-linked loans finance projects related to renewable energy, conservation, and clean technology. However, climate-related financial transitions also bring risks. For instance, the reallocation of capital from high-emission industries to sustainable alternatives can cause asset devaluation and job losses in traditional sectors. Policymakers must manage this transition carefully to avoid financial instability while ensuring a just and equitable shift. 6. Corporate Strategy and Innovation Corporations are increasingly recognizing that climate resilience is essential for long-term profitability. Leading companies across industries are adopting sustainability strategies, investing in renewable energy, and rethinking production models to minimize environmental impact. The rise of the circular economy—where materials are reused, recycled, or repurposed—represents a major shift in business philosophy. Companies like Apple, Unilever, and Tesla are pioneering sustainable practices, from sourcing ethical materials to reducing waste and emissions. Climate change is also driving technological innovation. Advances in artificial intelligence (AI), big data, and remote sensing allow businesses to predict weather risks, optimize supply chains, and monitor emissions in real time. Green innovation is no longer a niche pursuit but a competitive necessity. Moreover, corporate accountability is growing. Investors and consumers are demanding transparency in sustainability reporting, forcing firms to disclose environmental footprints under frameworks such as the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD). 7. Labor Markets and Employment Shifts Climate change affects global labor markets both directly and indirectly. On one hand, extreme heat and natural disasters threaten workers’ safety and productivity, particularly in agriculture, construction, and manufacturing. On the other hand, the green economy is generating millions of new jobs in renewable energy, waste management, and sustainable infrastructure. According to the International Labour Organization (ILO), the green transition could create over 24 million new jobs globally by 2030, offsetting losses in fossil-fuel sectors. However, this shift demands reskilling and education programs to prepare workers for emerging industries. Regions that depend heavily on carbon-intensive industries face structural unemployment if transitions are not managed fairly. Therefore, the concept of a “just transition”—ensuring social protection and equal opportunities—is becoming a key part of global climate policy. 8. Regional and Sectoral Disparities The economic impacts of climate change are not evenly distributed. Developing nations in tropical and coastal areas bear the brunt of physical climate risks but often lack financial resources to adapt. In contrast, developed economies have better infrastructure, insurance systems, and technological capacity to mitigate damage. Sectors such as tourism, agriculture, and fisheries are among the most affected. For example, coral reef degradation and rising sea levels threaten tourism industries in the Caribbean and Southeast Asia. Meanwhile, melting Arctic ice opens new shipping routes, benefiting some countries but raising geopolitical tensions. Global inequality may deepen as climate change alters comparative advantages. Wealthy nations with access to advanced technology may gain from green innovation, while poor nations face resource scarcity, migration crises, and declining trade competitiveness. 9. Policy Responses and Global Cooperation Governments and international institutions are increasingly aware that climate change is not just an environmental issue but a profound economic one. Agreements such as the Paris Climate Accord aim to limit global warming to 1.5°C by encouraging emission reduction targets (NDCs) and promoting sustainable development. Carbon pricing mechanisms—like taxes and cap-and-trade systems—are being adopted worldwide to internalize the environmental cost of emissions. Public investments in clean energy, green infrastructure, and climate adaptation are reshaping fiscal priorities. Multilateral organizations, including the World Bank, IMF, and UNEP, are developing climate finance initiatives to help vulnerable nations transition sustainably. However, the success of these programs depends on global cooperation, political will, and equitable access to resources. 10. Future Outlook: Risks and Opportunities The coming decades will determine how the global market adapts to climate change. The risks—ranging from financial instability to resource conflicts—are significant. Yet, the opportunities for innovation, sustainable growth, and technological advancement are equally vast. The global green economy could become the defining growth engine of the 21st century. Countries that invest early in renewable energy, circular production, and low-carbon technologies are likely to dominate future markets. Businesses that fail to adapt may face obsolescence as consumers and regulators favor sustainable alternatives. In essence, climate change is transforming capitalism itself—from a model based on extraction and expansion to one grounded in resilience and regeneration. Conclusion Climate change is no longer a distant environmental concern; it is a present and pervasive economic force reshaping the global market. From agriculture to finance, from trade to technology, every sector is being redefined by the realities of a warming planet. The challenges are immense, but so are the opportunities for reinvention. The global market’s response to climate change will determine not only economic prosperity but also the survival of ecosystems and future generations. Sustainable development, green innovation, and collective action are the cornerstones of a resilient economic future. The sooner markets internalize the true cost of carbon and embrace climate responsibility, the more stable and prosperous the world economy will become.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
EURUSD| Bullish Flow Within structureBias: Bullish 4H Overview: Price continues to respect bullish structure, breaking significant highs while remaining within the broader weekly flow. The midterm discounted order block aligned perfectly with a higher timeframe OB — giving strong confluence for continuation. 30M–5M Confirmation: After mitigation, price broke internal lower highs, signaling a clear CHoCH and shift in direction. Expectations: Looking for sell-side liquidity to be swept before another leg up. Closest internal OB may fail — I’m anticipating a deeper discount tap before continuation. Mindset Note: Patience pays when structure and liquidity are aligned. Let price come to your zone — not the other way around.
Long
by Juicemannn
2