EUR USD weekly key level - longEUR USD was in downtrend and recently price went below the support from where mice pulled up and currently looks like consolidation and is likely go up. Let us see how it plays out
Trade ideas
EURUSD potential short ahead of CpiUnderlying conditions for this: USD Strength across the board.
Setup criteria
✅ Quick fall
✅ Pullback to a good level
What is still pending?
A clean sweep of that level and then an engulfing bearish candle into the level
What do we do now? We wait.
If this doesn't happen what do we do? Nothing.
" The game taught me the game "
EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W43 | D24| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W43 | D24| Y25 |
📊 EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
OANDA:EURUSD
Global IPO trends and SME listings1. Macro picture: why IPOs dipped and why they’re coming back
From the 2021 frenzy to the 2022–2024 slowdown, three macro forces depressed IPO supply: rising interest rates, equity market volatility, and geopolitical policy shocks (trade/tariff announcements, sanctions, etc.). Those same variables determine the timing and size of any recovery: when volatility eases and public valuations become predictable, IPO windows reopen. By H1–Q3 2025 many markets recorded year-on-year increases in IPO counts and proceeds compared with 2024, signalling a cautious but visible rebound in investor risk appetite and issuer confidence. Major advisory firms reported a stronger pipeline and bigger average deal sizes in 2025 versus the trough.
Key takeaways:
Market sentiment and index performance remain the gating factor. When broader indices are stable or rising, companies and underwriters are more willing to price primary offerings.
Policy shocks (tariffs, regulation) can cause abrupt freezes—as seen in mid-2025 in some reporting—so recovery is patchy and regionally uneven.
2. Regional patterns — Americas, Europe, Asia
Americas (US/Canada): The U.S. market led global deals by proceeds in 2025’s first half, helped by both traditional IPOs and a revival of SPACs. Institutional appetite for high-quality growth names returned gradually; Nasdaq and NYSE regained traction for tech and fintech issuers. PwC and market banks flagged strong H1 2025 proceeds in the Americas, albeit with SPACs making up a significant portion.
Europe: Activity recovered more slowly but steadily. European exchanges and advisors pointed to unused capacity—investor demand exists but issuers and banks are selective about timing and valuation. Several jurisdictions enhanced SME support programs and pre-IPO education to stimulate listings.
Asia-Pacific: The region showed resilience and, in parts, growth—China and Japan saw notable listings and larger offerings. India’s domestic platforms recorded strong SME listing activity (see below). Overall, regulatory facilitation and local investor depth helped Asia outperform other regions in some periods.
3. The SPAC story: back — but different
After the 2020–2021 SPAC boom and the 2022–2024 cooling (regulatory scrutiny and poor post-deSPAC performance), 2025 brought a measured SPAC reappearance. Sponsors and investors are more disciplined: fewer overly ambitious valuations, more sponsor skin in the game, and clearer disclosure/earnout structures. SPACs accounted for a materially higher share of listings in early-to-mid 2025 versus 2024, but they are operating with tighter governance and (in many cases) better alignment with private equity and institutional exit strategies. Analysts expect SPACs to feature as one option among many for sponsor exits rather than the overwhelmingly dominant vehicle they once were.
4. SME listings — scale, purpose and platforms
SME listing platforms have evolved from niche curiosities into mainstream capital-raising mechanisms for smaller growth companies. Exchanges tailor admission rules, disclosure requirements, and investor education for SMEs to balance access to capital with investor protection.
Why SMEs list? Access to growth capital, brand visibility, liquidity for founders, and the ability to use publicly traded equity for M&A and employee incentives.
Popular SME venues: Euronext Growth (continental Europe), London AIM (though AIM’s structure is different), NSE Emerge and BSE SME (India), TSX Venture (Canada) and various regional growth boards. Exchanges increasingly offer pre-IPO programs and index inclusion to attract issuers. Euronext explicitly markets tailored listing journeys and investor pools for SMEs.
India as a case study: India’s SME markets (BSE SME, NSE Emerge) saw large volumes of small listings and notable capital raised historically; BSE’s SME crossing 600 listings and significant funds raised shows the scale and appetite for this route. Local retail and HNI investors play a disproportionate role in IPO allocations on SME boards, and many SMEs use these markets as stepping stones to main exchanges. However, regulators and exchanges warn about uneven due diligence standards and the need for investor education.
5. Structural features and investor behaviour in SME markets
Lower entry thresholds and lighter continuing obligations make SME boards attractive, but they also increase information asymmetry.
Investor mix: Retail and domestic institutional investors dominate many SME markets; that makes them sensitive to local sentiment and sometimes less correlated with global capital flows.
Price volatility & illiquidity: Many SME listings experience high initial pops or post-listing declines; long-term liquidity and governance can be variable. This means SME investing requires more focused research and risk tolerance.
Graduation pathway: Exchanges promote “graduation” from SME boards to the main market—this pathway creates an investment narrative (list, scale, graduate) that attracts some growth companies.
6. Regulatory & policy shifts affecting listing dynamics
Regulators in multiple regions have been balancing two objectives: broaden access to public capital for growth firms while protecting retail and unsophisticated investors. Typical policy moves include:
Strengthening disclosure and minimum corporate governance standards for SME boards.
Running pre-IPO education programs for management teams and investors (exchanges like Euronext emphasize educational support).
Closer monitoring of sponsor and promoter actions (especially after SPAC turbulence).
Incentives—tax or listing cost reductions—to encourage listings or relistings in domestic markets.
7. Challenges and risks (global & SME-specific)
Macro sensitivity: IPO pipelines can re-freeze quickly if interest rates or geopolitical tensions spike. (Mid-2025 tariff headlines illustrated this risk.)
Valuation gap: Private markets still sometimes price growth more richly than public markets will tolerate, delaying exits.
Post-IPO performance: A significant portion of IPO underperformance stems from immature governance, overly optimistic forecasting, or market rotation away from growth.
SME risk profile: SME boards have higher issuer-specific risk (concentration of promoter ownership, limited operating history). Robust disclosure and investor due diligence are essential.
8. Practical implications for stakeholders
For issuers (SMEs & midcaps): A public listing remains a credible route to scale. Plan the listing only when financials and governance can withstand scrutiny; consider whether an SME venue or direct main-board listing better serves long-term strategy. Use pre-IPO education services exchanges provide.
For investors: Diversify between established listed companies and a select set of SMEs—apply active due diligence on SME financials, promoter track record, and liquidity. Treat SME allocations as higher risk/high return.
For exchanges/regulators: Continue improving surveillance, standardise disclosure across SME platforms where possible, and invest in investor education campaigns to reduce information asymmetry.
9. Outlook (near term)
Most major advisory houses and banks saw a cautiously improving pipeline through H1–Q3 2025: more issuers willing to test the market, SPACs returning in a curated way, and regional variability (Americas and parts of Asia leading proceeds while Europe rebuilds). SME listings are likely to remain active where local investor demand and exchange support are strong (e.g., India, parts of Europe). However, a sustained recovery requires macro stability—lower volatility, clearer global trade policy, and accommodative capital markets. If those conditions hold, expect opportunistic pockets of high-quality IPOs and continued maturation of SME listing ecosystems.
10. Short recommendations (one-line each)
Issuers: prepare governance and communications early; choose the listing venue that fits growth stage.
Investors: treat SME allocations as active, research-intensive bets.
Exchanges/regulators: keep improving disclosure, investor education, and mechanisms to promote liquidity.
Advisors/underwriters: price conservatively, stress-test deals against volatility scenarios.
EURUSD Short 100 Plus pipsI see macroeconomically dollar demand and euro weakness. I think interest rate cutting is already priced in, but the US government shutdown issue is not solved. The US government shutdown issue has now been a few weeks, and I expect that problem to be solved as soon as possible, so after we get back to normal, US government news will also support the US dollar.
Time for some news!Today at 1:30 PM (London), the U.S. inflation data will be released.
This announcement is highly anticipated and will have a major impact on the markets.
Make sure to manage your risk and avoid opening new positions before the news.
The confirmed opportunities will come after the market reacts.
EURUSD: H1 Momentum PlayDaily Timeframe:
Price is now below the EMAs, which is a technical downtrend according to my definition. Although this is weak, the past two days have been inside bars. This tells me there's barely any movement or strength to the upside.
The bar for this latest session will likely engulf the previous bars. If the current session's bar closes below and engulfs the prior session's bar, there's a stronger indication of momentum to the downside.
H1 Timeframe:
The confluence with the daily timeframe is that the current session's bar is likely to engulf the inside bar that occurred over the past two days.
Right now, price is crossing below the EMA band, which we I anticipate momentum to the downside will pick up.
Price has not crossed the daily level, but I'm not too concerned there. On the H1 timeframe, price failed to make a higher high, which further makes me lean towards having a bearish sentiment.
EURUSD H1 | Possible Bullish ReversalEUR/USD could fall towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support and could bounce off this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 1.1620, whic is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 1.1583, which is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit is at 1.1646, which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
EURUSD 1:2 RR trade setupEURUSD at the previous days high and DXY at the Asia session low and the New York session low. The market has been in a consolidation phase recently so if it stays in this range then should be a good setup. On the other hand the market may be ready to break out of this area now, so time will tell.
EURUSD BUYSEURUSD - Accumulation
Price is at key levels.
Coupled with an accumulation which is in its last phases
If we see Msos that will indicate to me that buyers are in control.
We have CPI soon, could we get the boost needed to push price higher ???
EURUSD LONGSearching for acquisitions once the market has reached its weekly target, which then traps sellers.
SMART MONEY CONCEPT📊 Bearish Analysis (EUR/USD – 15M)
The market created a fake out at the 15M Order Block (1.1614 – 1.1620), followed by a bearish Break of Structure (BOS).
This indicates institutions induced buyers before rejecting the price downwards.
🔎 Key points of the analysis:
• OB-15M: Rejection zone at 1.1614 – 1.1620
• Fake Out: Clear manipulation before the bearish move
• BOS: Structure break confirming bearish intent
• Sell-Side Liquidity: Target at 1.1592
🎯 Setup:
• Entry (Sell): 1.1614
• Stop Loss: 1.1620
• Take Profit: 1.1592
• Risk/Reward: 1:3
💡 Institutional narrative: Distribution → Manipulation → Bearish continuation towards liquidity.
GOOD LUCK TRADERS….;)
EUR/USD Extends Its Downtrend — Fifth Wave Targets 1.1490–1.14 The overall downtrend continues to dominate the EUR/USD pair, with price action remaining confined within a well-defined descending channel since mid-September. The current wave structure suggests the completion of the fourth corrective wave and the beginning of the fifth downward wave within the broader bearish trend.
At present, the pair is trading near 1.1608, after failing to break above the upper boundary of the descending channel around 1.1675, which aligns with the 100- and 200-period moving averages — a confluence that reinforces selling pressure. The formation of successive lower highs confirms that sellers remain in control over the short-term outlook.
From a technical perspective, the most likely scenario points to a resumption of the decline toward the 1.1493 support level as an initial target, representing the lower boundary of the channel, with a potential extension toward 1.1450 should bearish momentum accelerate. Conversely, a break and close above 1.1675 could trigger a broader corrective move toward 1.1817, although this scenario remains less probable as long as price stays below the major moving averages.
Overall, the technical outlook remains bearish while the pair holds below the key resistance zone at 1.1675, with expectations favoring a continuation of the fifth downward wave, targeting the 1.1490 – 1.1450 area in the upcoming sessions.
EUR/USD ANALYSIS For Swing Forex Traders by MrPhotonIn the long-term squeeze, a long position can be profitable in line with the data of the RSI and MACD indicators.
Bullish reversal?EUR/USD is falling towards support level, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1604
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1585
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.1636
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the
Why we like it:
There is. pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.1636
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.16081 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD-SHORT IDEAEURUSD is in a downtrend now accumulating in a range and continuously getting rejected by the resistance as the higher timeframe is bearish so this resistance can surely work. forming a higher high on lower time frame to confuse trader.
EURUSD | Key Zone Reaction SetupMonitoring a potential reaction at the marked zone on the 15-minute chart.
The setup remains valid only if price leaves a wick into the zone and closes below it, confirming rejection.
Execution will occur on the next candle, even with a slight (1 pip) move in my direction.
Stop-loss: above the wick.
Take-profit: the marked low.
Precision. Patience. Execution.
That’s the blueprint behind every setup.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
POTENTIAL LONG: EURUSD, 1H.Potential long setup on 1H EURUSD, always do your own analysis before took someone's else.
EURUSD Sell Setup | HTF OB + Asia Liquidity Grab📉 On EURUSD, the overall market structure remains bearish — price has been consistently forming lower highs and lower lows, clearly showing that sellers are still in control on the higher timeframe.
Currently, the market is just in a corrective phase, retracing upward after a strong impulsive drop. This correction aligns perfectly with a Higher-Timeframe Order Block (HTF OB), which sits just above the Asian session liquidity.
💧 Liquidity Context:
During the Asian session, liquidity built up above recent minor highs.
Now, the market has swept that liquidity, tapping into the area where institutional orders are likely resting (HTF OB).
This combination of liquidity grab + OB retest gives a strong bearish confluence for a potential sell-side continuation.
💡 Setup Plan:
1️⃣ Let the market fully take out the Asian session liquidity above the recent high.
2️⃣ Once liquidity is taken and price taps into the HTF OB, shift focus to LTF confirmation zones (1M–5M).
3️⃣ Watch for clear bearish confirmation such as:
Minor CHOCH or MSS,
Strong bearish engulfing candle,
Formation of lower highs & lower lows on LTF.
4️⃣ After confirmation → plan for sell entries following the dominant bearish flow.
5️⃣ No confirmation = no trade ❌ — stay patient and disciplined.
🎯 Target:
The next swing low or liquidity pool below recent lows — depending on intraday momentum and volatility.
🧩 Setup Summary:
Market Bias → Bearish
Confluence → HTF OB + Asia Session Liquidity Grab
Entry → Only after strong LTF confirmation
Target → Next Swing Low / Liquidity Pool
Type → Scalp to Intraday Sell Setup
Risk Rule → Confirmation-based entry only
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is my personal analysis and not financial advice.
Always trade according to your own plan, and manage your risk wisely.
