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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD THE EURZONE CONTINUES TO HOLD STRONG ON THE EXCHANGE WINDOW. my key support will be a push back into 1.16112-1.16162 for buy ...low risk due to FOMC outlook. KEY FUNDAMENTAL INFORMATION. The US 10-year Treasury yield is steady at around 3.985% Treasury yields have declined marginally in recent weeks amid expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts.​ Federal Funds Rate The Federal Funds rate target range 4.00% -4.25% ands a 25 basis point cut expected at the October 29 FOMC meeting.7:00pm FOMC Statement 7:30pm USD FOMC Press Conference The Fed is likely to continue a cautious easing path in response to slowing economic growth and inflation signs.​ Head of ECB Christine Lagarde has been President of the ECB She plays a key role in guiding the ECB’s monetary policy in a context of inflation targeting and economic uncertainties.​ Head of Fed Jerome Powell is Chairman of the Federal Reserve Powell is overseeing a delicate balancing act between inflation control and supporting economic growth during this period of policy normalization and easing. EU10Y =2.617% the current European Central Bank (ECB) main refinancing rate is 2.15%. This rate is the primary interest rate used by the ECB for its regular open market operations and serves as a key monetary policy tool to provide liquidity to the banking system. Deposit Facility Rate: 2.00% Marginal Lending Facility Rate: 2.50% The ECB has maintained this rate level signaling a relatively cautious approach to monetary tightening given economic conditions in the Eurozone. Market expectations suggest the ECB may hold rates steady into 2026. thus if this rate cut come in at 25 basis point my EURUSD LONG WILL BE COMPLET REACTION. GOODLUCK #EURUSD #US10Y #EU10Y #DXY #DOLLAR
Long
by Shavyfxhub
2
EUR/USD (W) — Channel Rejection, Bearish OutlookPrice has tested and rejected the upper boundary of the long-term descending channel that has contained price action since 2018. Weekly momentum shows exhaustion around 1.16–1.18, forming a strong confluence of resistance with the trendline cap and prior structure highs. As long as EUR/USD remains below this zone, the bias stays bearish, with expectations of a multi-leg decline back toward: 📉 1.10 → 1.05 → 1.00 in the coming months. A weekly close above 1.22 would invalidate this outlook and signal a potential trend reversal. Summary: EUR/USD remains in a long-term downtrend. Recent rejection at key resistance supports continuation lower within the descending channel. Patience for weekly confirmation is key.
Short
by GeorgeSylva
1
EURUSD at yearly top: reversal play in placeEURUSD reached critical level and with bearish shooting star on weekly that we saw recently, daily downtrend (price started to make lower highs on daily) we are likely to see a move to 1.12 next weeks. If price would hit 1.20 there would be a potential of reversal on weekly and monthly charts what is unlikely if consider interest rates. Hence I will be looking for short trades on minor timeframes. Price will not touch or trade above 1.20...1.19+ area is yearly top (very max, and it rejected from there already but might spike until 1.195 again - I dont exclude that). Ultimately it will moving to 1.12. Hence I recommend to follow lower highs on daily - they act as safe stops for shorts. Since downtrend lasts since 2008 (over 15 years). So 1.20 is very solid and important historic resistance now. I dont exclude of course that major geopolitical event as World War III might change it. But as things are now its unlikely. For educational purposes only.
Short
by ICFX
1
EUR/USD Technical AnalysisThe EUR/USD pair continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel on the 15-minute chart. Price is currently testing the lower boundary of the channel around 1.1623, showing early signs of support as buyers attempt to defend this key zone. From a structural standpoint, the uptrend remains valid as long as the lower trendline holds. The RSI shows mild exhaustion on the downside, suggesting a potential short-term rebound. In addition, the price aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent upward leg, adding further confluence to this support area. Support zone: 1.1610 – 1.1620 Resistance zone: 1.1648 – 1.1660 Trend bias: Intraday bullish while above 1.1610 Strategy: Buy zone: 1.1620 – 1.1615 Take profit: 1.1648 Stop loss: 1.1610 If the pair manages to sustain above 1.1620, a rebound toward the upper channel boundary near 1.1648 remains highly probable. However, a decisive break below 1.1610 would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger a short-term correction toward 1.1580. Traders are advised to monitor the 1.1620 key pivot for directional clues as the European session unfolds. Remember to follow this analysis for continuous EUR/USD updates and refined entry setups based on real-time market reaction.
by Henrybillion
2
EURUSD – Bears Remain in Control Despite Temporary USD WeaknessAlthough U.S. consumer confidence data showed a slight decline in October, which may lead to a short-term correction for the USD, the overall trend of EURUSD remains bearish. On the chart, price has broken below the short-term ascending channel and is forming a series of lower highs — a clear signal that buying momentum is weakening. The 1.1645 zone serves as the nearest resistance, aligning with the descending trendline . Price may see a minor rebound toward this area before continuing its decline. The 1.1608 level is a short-term support to watch — a decisive break below it could open the door for further downside toward the 1.1570 – 1.1550 zones. While there are expectations that the Fed may cut rates by 0.25% , given that the U.S. economy remains relatively stable, any USD pullback is likely to be technical rather than a shift in the broader trend.
Short
by Kairo_Vexen
4
EUR/USD Technical Outlook – October 29, 2025The EUR/USD pair is currently trading around 1.1628, showing a mild pullback after failing to hold above the 1.1660 short-term resistance. The broader structure on the H1 timeframe still suggests a bearish bias, as price remains below key swing highs and continues to respect descending structure points. Key Technical Levels Resistance 1: 1.1660 – Short-term supply zone and potential retest area. Resistance 2: 1.1720 – Major structure resistance aligned with previous liquidity grab. Support 1: 1.1570 – Key short-term demand zone. Support 2: 1.1500 – Extended target area if bearish continuation holds. Trading Strategy Idea Price may attempt a minor retracement toward 1.1660, which aligns with the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of the recent downswing. A rejection from this level could confirm renewed selling pressure, leading to a potential move back toward 1.1570 – 1.1560 zone. Traders may look for bearish confirmation (RSI divergence or EMA crossover) before entering short positions. Market Bias: Bearish below 1.1660 Invalidation: A clear breakout above 1.1720 would shift bias to neutral.
by Henrybillion
2
EURUSD NEYORK BUY FLOOR ECB Rate vs Federal Funds Rate ECB Main Refinancing Rate: 2.15% US Federal Funds Rate: Approximately 3.75% to 4.00% (per recent Fed policy decisions) The US Federal Reserve continues to maintain a notably higher interest rate level than the ECB, roughly a 1.5-2.0 percentage point differential. The Eurozone economy grows modestly and Inflation has stabilized near the ECB's 2% target. Despite global trade uncertainties and geopolitical tensions, the Eurozone exhibits economic resilience supported by a robust labor market and solid private sector balance sheets. United States: The US economy is experiencing slower growth compared to earlier years, impacted by prior tariff implementations and other headwinds. Inflation remains elevated but gradually moderating, supporting a cautious Federal Reserve stance to balance growth and price stability. the dollar index bridged a 4hr resistance and turn it to support despite rate cut by feds and this buy indication sent euro selling off. on technical we are at DEMANDfloor now, hopes it buy . #eurusd
Long
by Shavyfxhub
4
Bullish on USDThe USD has been showing strength lately, but the question is how much further can this bullish momentum really go? We’ve had supportive fundamentals (resilient economy, cautious Fed, geopolitical risk premium), yet at the same time, inflation data and dovish expectations for 2025 rate cuts are slowly capping that upside. Technically, DXY is approaching key resistance zones - so while the bias remains bullish for now, it’s worth asking whether this is the final leg before a broader correction. In short: still bullish, but with one foot on the brake.
by Sir_Samwell
1
Approaching Potential SuuportAfter a strong reaction from 1.19187 and then near 1.18200, more distribution has been seen on the top left near 1.17750 zone, on this 30 min chart. The distribution was followed by a trending move on the downside, contained at 1.15400 zone with a double bottom formation. RSI divergence and absorption signs on the volume profile made it a valid but risky buy. Above 1.16310 resistance zone, the pair broke the LL-LH streak and pushed up strongly to 1.17283 which comes within the previous distribution zone on the left. The sharp reaction is representing a change in behavior but at the same time, the 1.16310 zone can't be neglected as this may now act as support. Although the RSI is entering in its oversold zone yet further evidence like RSI divergence or absorption in volume profile may further confirm if a solid reversal trade is possible in the zone or not. In simple words, some slow down near the key level mentioned above, after grabbing some liquidity below 1.16432, would be a preliminary sign of strength. On the flipside, a vertical fall past 1.16310 may take it to the next important level, that is below 1.15275 zone. Any signs of reversal at this level may offer a quick sharp move on the upside. What are your views on the pair? Do you think it will resume up or down? Do comment and boost for more such ideas. #The above analysis is for educational purpose, not a buy sell recommendation.
by Bravetotrade
13
EUR/USD Technical Outlook – October 28, 2025EUR/USD Technical Outlook – October 28, 2025 Bullish Channel Intact | Buyers Target 1.1670 Zone The EUR/USD pair continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel on the 15-minute timeframe, showing consistent higher highs and higher lows. After several sessions of sideways accumulation around 1.1630–1.1645, price has regained momentum and is currently heading toward the upper boundary of the channel near 1.1670. From a technical perspective: Trend structure: The pair respects a clear bullish channel, with dynamic support near 1.1620 and resistance around 1.1670–1.1680. Momentum: RSI remains firm above the 50-level, suggesting ongoing buying pressure. EMA alignment: Short-term EMAs (20-50) point upward, confirming intraday bullish momentum. Liquidity zone: The previous consolidation block near 1.1630 may now act as strong support for potential pullbacks. - Trading Plan Suggestion: Buy on dips toward 1.1635–1.1640 with stop loss below 1.1620. Take-profit targets: 1.1670, and extended target 1.1690 if bullish momentum accelerates. Invalidation: A breakout below 1.1620 could shift short-term bias back to neutral. As long as EUR/USD stays above the channel’s midline and the U.S. dollar remains under moderate pressure, the path of least resistance favors the upside. Stay tuned for more actionable setups — follow to get daily strategies and precision entries.
by Henrybillion
2
EURUSD Bullish Continuation: VWAP & Volume Profile Trade PlanI’m currently analyzing EUR/USD, and on the 4-hour timeframe, the pair continues to show a strong bullish trend 📈. Earlier in the session, price broke structure to the upside, confirming bullish intent. In this breakdown, we utilized both the VWAP and the Anchored Volume Profile 🧭 to plan a potential trade setup — focusing on how these tools help identify key liquidity zones, volume imbalances, and value areas. We also discussed broader market structure, price action, and the three-drive pattern 🌀 — demonstrating how combining these concepts can give traders a strategic edge in timing entries and managing risk. As always, this is not financial advice — purely educational content intended to enhance your market analysis skills. ⚠️
Long
by fxtraderanthony
4
Bullish Run on EURUSD?OANDA:EURUSD has shown a shift in structure on the 1-hour timeframe after forming a higher low around the 1.1610 level, suggesting potential bullish momentum. The pair has been consolidating within a narrow range following a prolonged downtrend, forming equal lows (signifying possible sell-side liquidity) around 1.1620. Recently, price swept that liquidity and rebounded strongly, reclaiming the short-term structure high near 1.1640. This move indicates that buyers are stepping back in, potentially targeting the next area of inefficiency or resistance around 1.1718. The setup aligns with a liquidity grab and structure break concept — where the market clears out late sellers before reversing higher. A sustained move above 1.1640 would likely confirm bullish continuation, while a drop below 1.1610 would invalidate the setup and suggest further downside. Bias: Bullish Entry: 1.1635 Invalidation (Stop Loss): 1.1610 Target: 1.1718 If the bullish momentum holds, EURUSD may aim for a short-term retest of previous imbalance zones before pushing further up in line with intraday structure shifts.
Long
by DUOMIJUN
1