eurusdIn this case, it reacted to the daily trend line.
No new lows were recorded on the 4-hour timeframe.
We will wait to see the reaction to the 1-hour high.
If the 1-hour high is broken, we can buy with a good risk-reward.
Trade ideas
EURUSD Possible Sell EntryEURUSD Possible Sell Entry with great Risk to Reward. Lets see what's gonna happen.
EURUSD 4 Hour analysis - Sell opportunityThere is a selling opportunity on the EURUSD in the long term (4Hour chart) as the price may fall from the 1.16950 level because it left behind a liquidity void that will attract the price to fall in addition to the EQL at the bottom, which makes the possibility of breaking this level very likely.
EURUSD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1657
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1623
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD in channel resistance rangeHello friends
The EURUSD currency pair has reached the ceiling in the channel resistance range and you can take a sell position at this price.
The stop loss if the price stabilizes above the trend line in the 4h time frame is in the price range of 1.16900
The take profit is in the channel bottom range in the price range of 1.14800
Dear traders, please do not forget about capital management, risk management and adherence to the stop loss.
When the price reaches the target, the update for this currency pair will be posted again, so follow me to be informed about low-risk and successful trading ranges and be the first to know
I hope you are profitable.
EUR/USD Made Clear Reversal Pattern,Long Setup To Get 200 Pips !Here is my 4H Chart On EUR/USD , The price creating a very clear reversal pattern ( Double Bottom pattern ) and the price made a very good bullish price action now and the price above my neckline. so we can enter a buy trade right now and targeting from 50 to 100 pips with a decent stop loss , if we have a 4H Closure below neckline this idea will not be valid anymore.
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- Reversal Pattern Confirmed By Closing Above Neckline .
5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
6- Clear Reversal Pattern .
Short EUonly possible when we close below the fvg looking for purge and revert yesterday we purged last thursday high and failed to close above it.my most ideal setup is when we go below wednesday low
Eurusd Trend is changing I think the eurus get to up step by step but it is slow. The fundamental frequency cover the chart.
Todays buy is better than sell.
EUR/USD – Reversal Setup Building UpEUR/USD Technical Outlook – Early Signs of Bullish Reversal After Heavy Selloff
- Market Context
After several consecutive lower highs and sustained downward momentum, EUR/USD has started to show early signs of stabilization.
Price experienced a sharp and aggressive selloff, followed by a strong rejection from a key demand zone, hinting at potential exhaustion among sellers.
The structure now suggests a possible shift from bearish continuation to short-term accumulation, as shown by the recent higher-low formation.
- Key Technical Levels
Immediate Support: 1.1600 – 1.1620
Major Support: 1.1530 – 1.1550
Near-term Resistance: 1.1700 – 1.1720
Extended Target Zone: 1.1770 – 1.1800 (Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement area)
- Technical Insights
The 1H chart reveals a clear descending structure, followed by a reversal pattern with higher highs and higher lows, suggesting that momentum is gradually shifting to the upside.
The EMA alignment is starting to flatten, and RSI has climbed above the 50-line, both supporting a short-term bullish bias.
If buyers manage to defend the 1.1600–1.1620 zone, the next logical target lies around 1.1770–1.1800, where sellers may re-enter.
- Trading Strategy
Primary Setup – Buy on Retracement
Entry: 1.1610 – 1.1630
Stop-Loss: 1.1570
Take-Profit: 1.1700 – 1.1780
Look for a minor pullback into support to confirm bullish continuation before entering.
- Summary
EUR/USD is recovering from an oversold condition, showing early bullish structure after weeks of selling pressure.
As long as price holds above 1.1550, the short-term bias remains bullish, targeting 1.1770–1.1800 in the coming sessions.
Stay patient and trade reactively — confirmation from lower-timeframe structure will be key for validating this bullish scenario.
Follow for more daily EUR/USD insights and refined trade setups designed for disciplined traders.
EURUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast -Q4 | W42 | D16 | Y25|
📅 Q4 | W42 | D16 | Y25|
📊 EURUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:EURUSD
DXY-EURUSD10 Simple average works fine. For EURSD short trading, let's wait for DXY to retreat a little more and touch the yellow moving average.
Long EURUSDActually I play m1, m5 but can't publicize this Timefame, so I can only give my opinion based on m15. Everyone please follow the results.
EURUSD SELL PROJECTION As we can see price is in a downtrend and we can see the confluence with the breaker block on the downtrend which and also a third touch on the trendline line. So I expect price to go short
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.16827.Colleagues, the recent continuation of the downtrend has made me reevaluate my wave analysis a bit.
If everything is correct, we are now witnessing a correction - triangle (ABCDE).
In this case, wave “C” should not update the minimum of wave “A”. This means that I expect the upward movement to start either from the current values or after the correction is completed around 1.14876.
Then I expect the beginning of the upward movement at least to the resistance area of 1.16827 - the middle line of the triangle.
Fundamental context
The U.S. dollar is showing signs of weakness — recent labor data came out softer than expected, and markets continue to price in further Fed rate cuts. This reduces demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset.
At the same time, the ECB is likely to keep its current policy unchanged, as there’s limited room for additional easing. That gives the euro a slight fundamental advantage.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
small business is businessif price touches our first entry point but close above it, we are bullish
we will consider entering the market at the first entry level
if price goes below the RedFlag we will start looking for exit strategically because price will probably take the low that's below the RedFlag
EUR/USD: Bearish Pullback to 1.156?FX:EURUSD is flashing bearish signals on the 4-hour chart , where price is testing a downward trendline with successive lower highs, signaling continued weakness in the pair. The good entry point aligns near the EMA 200 (acting as dynamic resistance) and a key resistance zone, setting up for a potential downside continuation if sellers step in. 🎯
Entry zone between 1.167-1.169 for a short position. Target at 1.156 near the support zone for solid risk-reward. 📊 Set a stop loss on a close above 1.1725 to protect against upside breaks. 🌟 Look for confirmation on a break below the entry with increasing volume, amid ongoing USD strength against the EUR.
On the fundamental front , today—Wednesday, October 15, 2025,today's Eurozone Industrial Production data stands out as a key event for EUR, while speeches from several Federal Reserve members could influence USD movements. 💡
📝 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry Zone: 1.167 – 1.169 (short setup near resistance & EMA 200)
❌ Stop Loss: Close above 1.1725
🎯 Target: 1.156 (major support & take-profit zone)
What's your outlook on this setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 16, 2025 EURUSDThe euro is strengthening against the dollar and holding above 1.16 amid USD weakness driven by rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and ongoing U.S.–China trade frictions. The dollar index is correcting lower, and the 10-year Treasury yield is fluctuating around 4.0–4.1%, which reduces the dollar’s appeal as a defensive asset and supports the euro. An additional factor has been the softer tone from some Fed officials regarding the policy path amid signs of a slowdown in the U.S. economy.
In the euro area, the preliminary inflation estimate for September showed an acceleration of the annual rate to 2.2% y/y, which continues to bring readings closer to the target but does not resolve the question of the pace of subsequent ECB decisions. Markets assume that the difference in the speed of easing between the Fed and the ECB may remain in the euro’s favor in the near term, as the probability of a U.S. rate cut by year-end is considered high, while in the eurozone the regulator prefers a gradual approach without rushed steps.
Risks for the euro are linked to the dynamics of U.S. Treasury yields, headlines on trade negotiations, and the EU energy market. However, given the current balance of factors, the advantage lies with the European currency: a weaker dollar, relatively stable inflation expectations in the euro area, and an improvement in risk appetite.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.16650, SL 1.16150, TP 1.17150
Understanding Global Event Risks1. Defining Global Event Risks
Global event risks refer to sudden or prolonged events that significantly affect global systems — from trade and finance to security and natural resources. These events are often unpredictable in timing but can have measurable impacts once they occur.
Examples include:
Geopolitical tensions such as wars, border disputes, or terrorism.
Economic crises like financial meltdowns, debt defaults, or currency collapses.
Pandemics such as COVID-19, which disrupted global supply chains and labor markets.
Natural disasters including earthquakes, tsunamis, or climate-driven catastrophes.
Technological disruptions, such as cyberattacks or digital infrastructure failures.
The key characteristic of global event risks is their interconnected impact — what begins as a localized issue can quickly become a global concern.
2. Classification of Global Event Risks
Global event risks can be broadly classified into several categories:
a. Political and Geopolitical Risks
These involve government actions, regime changes, conflicts, or diplomatic breakdowns that affect trade routes, investment flows, and international alliances.
Examples:
Russia-Ukraine war and its impact on global energy prices.
US-China trade tensions affecting technology supply chains.
Middle East conflicts influencing oil markets.
b. Economic and Financial Risks
These include global recessions, inflationary shocks, debt crises, and stock market collapses.
Examples:
The 2008 Global Financial Crisis.
The European Sovereign Debt Crisis.
Inflation surges after the COVID-19 pandemic due to disrupted supply chains.
c. Environmental and Climate Risks
Climate change has become a persistent global threat. Rising sea levels, floods, droughts, and wildfires can devastate infrastructure and food systems.
Examples:
The 2023 heatwaves in Europe and Asia affecting energy demand.
Flooding in Pakistan (2022) disrupting agriculture and industry.
d. Technological and Cyber Risks
The increasing digitalization of global systems brings vulnerabilities to cyberattacks, data theft, and digital espionage.
Examples:
Cyberattacks on critical infrastructure or financial systems.
Disruptions in semiconductor supply chains.
AI-driven misinformation campaigns influencing markets and politics.
e. Health and Pandemic Risks
Global health emergencies can halt production, trade, and travel.
Example:
The COVID-19 pandemic, which caused the biggest global economic contraction since World War II.
f. Social and Humanitarian Risks
Mass migrations, social unrest, and inequality can destabilize societies and economies.
Examples:
Refugee crises due to conflicts or climate disasters.
Civil protests affecting industrial output or governance.
3. The Interconnected Nature of Global Risks
In today’s globalized economy, risks rarely exist in isolation. Political instability may trigger economic sanctions; economic downturns can lead to social unrest; and environmental disasters can fuel migration crises.
For instance:
The war in Ukraine not only created a geopolitical crisis, but also an energy shock, food shortage, and inflationary wave across Europe and Asia.
A cyberattack on a financial institution could lead to market panic, liquidity shortages, and regulatory crackdowns.
This web of interdependence means that risk management today must take a systemic approach — considering how one event can cascade into others.
4. Measuring and Analyzing Global Event Risks
Understanding risk requires both quantitative and qualitative assessment. Analysts use several tools and indicators to measure the probability and potential impact of global events:
a. Economic Indicators
GDP growth rates, inflation, and employment levels help identify potential downturns.
Bond spreads and currency volatility signal financial stress or geopolitical uncertainty.
b. Geopolitical Analysis
Political stability indexes, sanctions data, and defense expenditures give clues to upcoming conflicts or policy shifts.
c. Climate and Environmental Data
Monitoring global temperature anomalies, carbon emissions, and disaster frequency helps assess long-term environmental risks.
d. Cybersecurity Reports
Institutions like Interpol, Europol, and private cybersecurity firms track attack trends and vulnerabilities.
e. Scenario Planning
Organizations simulate various “what-if” scenarios — for example, a war in a major oil-producing region or a cyberattack on banking systems — to test their preparedness.
f. Global Risk Reports
The World Economic Forum (WEF) and IMF publish annual risk reports that rank threats by likelihood and impact. These reports help governments and investors prioritize their strategies.
5. Impact of Global Event Risks on the Economy and Markets
Global events influence nearly every aspect of economic life:
a. Trade Disruptions
Wars, sanctions, or pandemics can disrupt shipping lanes and supply chains. Businesses face shortages, higher costs, and delays.
b. Financial Market Volatility
Investors often react quickly to uncertainty. Stock markets may fall, currencies fluctuate, and bond yields shift. Safe-haven assets like gold and the US dollar typically rise.
c. Inflation and Commodity Prices
Energy and food prices often surge during crises, as seen in the post-Ukraine war inflation spike.
d. Corporate Strategy and Investment
Companies may delay expansions, diversify suppliers, or relocate operations to manage risk exposure.
e. Policy Responses
Governments and central banks intervene through stimulus packages, interest rate changes, or fiscal reforms to stabilize markets.
f. Social and Labor Impacts
Job losses, wage pressures, and reduced consumer confidence can follow prolonged global shocks.
6. Case Studies of Major Global Event Risks
a. The 2008 Financial Crisis
Triggered by the collapse of the US housing bubble, it spread globally due to interconnected banking systems. The crisis led to mass unemployment, austerity policies, and long-term shifts in regulation.
b. The COVID-19 Pandemic
Lockdowns halted travel, production, and trade. Governments injected trillions in stimulus, but inflation and debt burdens grew. The event redefined global health governance and digital transformation.
c. Russia-Ukraine Conflict (2022-Present)
The invasion disrupted global energy markets, food supply chains, and international alliances. Sanctions on Russia reshaped trade flows, pushing countries toward alternative energy sources and defense spending.
d. Climate-Driven Events
Extreme weather in the 2020s has affected agricultural yields, insurance costs, and migration patterns. These long-term risks now feature prominently in global financial planning.
7. The Role of Global Institutions in Managing Risks
a. International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank
They provide financial aid and policy guidance during crises to prevent economic contagion.
b. World Health Organization (WHO)
Coordinates global responses to pandemics, sets health guidelines, and assists vulnerable nations.
c. World Trade Organization (WTO)
Mediates trade disputes and ensures smoother recovery from disruptions.
d. United Nations (UN)
Addresses humanitarian, environmental, and peacekeeping challenges, aiming to stabilize conflict regions.
e. Central Banks and Regional Alliances
The U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and others coordinate monetary policies to manage inflation and liquidity crises.
f. Private Sector and NGOs
Corporations and non-profits contribute through innovation, sustainability projects, and disaster relief efforts.
8. Managing and Mitigating Global Event Risks
Risk management is not about eliminating uncertainty but about building resilience. Key strategies include:
a. Diversification
Businesses spread their operations and supply chains across multiple regions to avoid dependence on one market or source.
b. Hedging and Financial Instruments
Investors use options, futures, and insurance contracts to protect against market volatility or commodity price swings.
c. Scenario Planning and Stress Testing
Banks and corporations conduct regular simulations to test their ability to survive shocks like currency crashes or cyberattacks.
d. Geopolitical Intelligence
Firms increasingly invest in geopolitical advisory services to anticipate policy changes and security risks.
e. Sustainable and Green Policies
Adopting eco-friendly practices reduces exposure to regulatory penalties and environmental disruptions.
f. Technological Preparedness
Cyber resilience, data encryption, and backup systems help guard against digital threats.
g. Crisis Communication and Coordination
Transparent communication between governments, corporations, and the public ensures faster response and recovery during global events.
9. Future Trends in Global Event Risks
The risk landscape is evolving rapidly. Some future trends include:
a. Technological Warfare and AI Risks
AI-driven misinformation, autonomous weapons, and data manipulation could redefine future conflicts.
b. Climate Migration
Rising sea levels and droughts may push millions to migrate, creating social and political strains.
c. Supply Chain Re-Localization
Nations are reshoring production to reduce dependency on foreign suppliers, creating new trade dynamics.
d. Digital Currency and Financial Stability
Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) may alter the global payment system but also bring cybersecurity challenges.
e. Energy Transition Risks
As economies shift from fossil fuels to renewables, transitional disruptions in energy prices and jobs will occur.
f. Multipolar World Order
Power is shifting from Western dominance to a multipolar setup with China, India, and regional blocs gaining influence. This could lead to both cooperation and competition.
10. The Importance of Awareness and Adaptability
Understanding global event risks requires not just analysis but agility — the ability to adapt policies and strategies as new challenges arise. The modern era rewards entities that are proactive, data-driven, and globally aware.
Governments must design flexible policies for energy, health, and trade.
Businesses must incorporate risk intelligence into decision-making.
Investors must diversify and remain vigilant for cross-market signals.
Citizens must stay informed, as global shocks increasingly affect local economies and daily life.
Conclusion
Global event risks are a defining feature of the 21st-century world. They remind us that our economies, technologies, and societies are deeply interconnected. From financial meltdowns to pandemics, from cyberattacks to climate disasters, each event tests the resilience of global systems.
The key to navigating these challenges lies in understanding interconnections, building preparedness, and fostering international cooperation. In an era where uncertainty is constant, risk awareness becomes not a luxury but a necessity — shaping the policies, strategies, and innovations that safeguard global stability and progress.
EUR/USD bullish setupEUR/USD is forming a bullish setup. Price is expected to retrace to the demand zone near 1.1650–1.1660 before moving upward toward the target zone at 1.1712–1.1743. Stop loss is set below 1.1609.
EURUSD on the riseEURUSD continued its bullish movement, reaching 1,1675.
The move looks stable, but the correction might not be over yet.
Be cautious with lot sizes and wait for confirmation before assuming the uptrend will continue.
BUY SELL POTENTIAL ZONE EURUSDBuy to follow trend daily - entry H4 - high win %
Sell to counter trend H4 - entry H1,m15 - for pro trader
15-10-2025 _ Short Term Bullish Idea _ EURUSD H11- Double Bottom coupled with Divergence followed by Convergence.
2- Price sustaining above Support / Resistance Zone.
3- Expect further continuation to the UP Side.
