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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD | Basing at 1.1600 Support – Channel Inflection AheadThe dollar has regained footing as front-end yields firm, but FX volatility remains subdued. That steadier backdrop sets the stage for a technical decision point on EUR/USD. Technical Lens: Price is basing above the 1.1600 zone — a horizontal and trendline confluence that marks the lower bound of a descending channel. The pair has shown early signs of demand here after several sessions of controlled downside. Scenarios: If 1.1600 holds → potential for a short-term rebound toward 1.1750, the mid-channel and prior supply zone. If 1.1600 breaks → opens room for a deeper retracement toward 1.1450, aligning with the next structural support. Catalysts: Upcoming U.S. GDP and PCE data later this week could guide the next directional impulse as markets reassess Fed repricing. Takeaway: EUR/USD is at a technical crossroads — 1.1600 remains the line between stabilization and renewed downside momentum.
by Alchemy Markets
Euro can Continue its Rally After a Minor CorrectionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The market for the Euro has been through a highly complex series of structural shifts, transitioning from a prior upward channel into a well-defined downward channel. After multiple failed rallies and a final drop into the 1.1600 buyer zone, the price action for EURUSD has shown a significant reversal, breaking out of the downward channel and establishing a new short-term bullish momentum. Currently, after this strong breakout, the asset is undergoing a minor corrective phase. In my mind, this price action represents a healthy pullback before the next leg higher. I expect that the price will make a small dip to find support, likely retesting the broken channel structure from above. I think a confirmed bounce from this area will validate the bullish breakout and trigger a continuation of the rally. Therefore, I have placed my TP at the major 1.1780 Resistance Level, which aligns with the seller zone and represents a logical objective for this recovery. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by LegionQ8
13
Swing LOW!Hey Commercial Flyers, How is everyone. Hope you are all prosperous and well 😊. Im back! Ready to tackle this market and its new sentiment. Starting w. EURUSD for a short. Whats my reason, simple…The Market is halloween town scary 🫣. The driving economy is on a shutdown affecting risky markets ability to take that leap BUT the US did manage to ensure that despite being shutdown the information they DID have prior to the inability to accurately collect information was on an upside direction with inflation being contributed to tariffs and not long term inflation. They confirmed a soft job market which is pretty obvious with an entire unemployed government but it seems very convenient with limited means to update data that the data they collected right before the shutdown is in their favor 😑. HEY 🤷🏽‍♀️ buy whats being sold not whats in the window. Besides the US suspicious timing all the other economies reported a similar sentiment of a soft labor market and tight monetary policies due to strain on the markets ability to spend and reserve money. With all that said I'm shorts off with all Scary assets 🤭. I’ve got a few more trades I’m watching with some really good potential you don’t want to miss so brace yourselves for take off and send us to the moon. Follow Me so you never miss a move and as always… Prosperous Trading & God Bless
Short
by NKE_TheAn0maly
2
EURUSD📊 EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Summary: Price is approaching a strong demand zone with EMA confluence and a rising trendline, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. ✅ Entry: From the demand zone after confirmation. 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 1.15430 (previous swing low). 📈 Confirmation: Break and close above 1.17291 signals a structural shift and bullish momentum. 🎯 Targets: TP1: 1.18501 TP2: 1.20041 This setup offers a strong 3:1 risk-to-reward. Wait for the structural breakout above 1.17291 before entering for higher probability.
Long
by al_bloushy1992
EURUSD reaching pivotal 1.1590 levelThe EURUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 1.1590 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 1.1590 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 1.1710 – initial resistance 1.1740 – psychological and structural level 1.1780 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 1.1590 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 1.1550 – minor support 1.1500 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the EURUSD holds above 1.1590 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by Trade Nation
The Day Ahead Data: US: Philadelphia Fed non-manufacturing index (awaited) — follows a sharp drop in manufacturing activity, suggesting slower growth. UK: September borrowing £20.2 bn, highest in five years — raises fiscal concerns before November’s budget. Canada: September CPI expected around 2.3% YoY — could shape Bank of Canada rate-cut expectations. Central Banks: ECB’s Lagarde, Nagel, Lane, Escriva speak — likely to stress caution on further rate cuts, keeping euro yields firm. Earnings Highlights: Reports from major names including Netflix, GE, Coca-Cola, Philip Morris, RTX, Texas Instruments, Capital One, Lockheed Martin, 3M, GM, Western Alliance Bancorp. Focus: guidance, margins, demand trends, and rate sensitivity. Strong results could lift risk sentiment; weak outlooks may trigger caution. Market Tone: Macro data and central-bank signals likely to guide early sentiment. Corporate earnings will drive intraday direction — tech and industrials in focus. Overall mood: cautious but data-driven, with traders watching for confirmation of economic slowdown or resilience. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by Trade Nation
EUR/USD Forecast: How I Plan to Trade the Euro Next WeekOn the daily chart, we can see the formation of a new trading range as a result of interaction with the weekly key level. We can mark D FVG as a zone of interest from which I would like to work on continuing the trend in long. Entry into the position will be executed upon confirmation of the volume on the 4-hour chart. If you found this useful, please write about it in the comments. Feedback is very motivating to publish more useful material.
Long
by MomentumXAlgoritmA-B
EUR/USD – Bullish 2618 in PlayPEPPERSTONE:EURUSD The pair retraced to 1.1613, touching the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and completing a bullish 2618 setup (double bottom + 61.8% retracement). This pattern could trigger a potential AB=CD formation targeting the 1.1800 area. Key level to watch → 1.1542 support fractal: 🔻 A break below would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend from the September 17 highs. Happy Trading, André Cardoso
Long
by Andre_Cardoso
EURUSD 30-Min — Volume Bearish Reversal Triggered 🩸 Key Technical / Direction (Bearish Reversal Scenario) Bearish Reversal Zone: Price Range: 1.17100 Reasons for Entry: 🩸Volume Cluster Resistance (2+ sessions confirmed) 🩸Unretested POC Above Current Session 🩸Delta Imbalance Showing Seller Control 🩸10:30 Fixed Range Sweep Above POC (Liquidity Cleared) 🩸17:00 Candle Failed to Reclaim Above POC 🩸Cluster Volume Expansion (Shift to Supply) 🩸Liquidity Pool Above Previous High 👽Bias Summary: Distribution confirmed at volume peak. Cluster rejection aligns with delta flow — reversal logic active.
Short
by Path_Of_Hanzo
24