EURUSD LongThe EURUSD (15M) chart currently shows a market recovering from a recent short-term downtrend, transitioning into what appears to be the early phase of a bullish reversal. The previous Break of Structure (BOS) at 1.1542 marked the completion of a bearish leg, while the most recent Change of Character (CHoCH) at 1.1608 suggests that sellers have lost control and buyers are beginning to reclaim dominance. This structural shift implies potential continuation to the upside, especially if price maintains higher lows above the 1.1550 area.
The demand zone between 1.1545–1.1565 is strong—buyers stepped in with clear strength, generating a decisive bullish impulse that broke through lower internal highs. The supply zone around 1.1600–1.1620, however, has already shown signs of partial mitigation and lacks the same aggression as before, which weakens its ability to hold on a retest. The higher supply cluster between 1.1645–1.1665 remains the more significant barrier where prior selling pressure initiated, and this is likely where the next major reaction may occur.
Within the current marked region, price has just bounced strongly from demand and is now testing a minor short-term supply area near 1.1585–1.1595. Price action suggests that buyers are building momentum but may require a small retracement before pushing higher. A shallow pullback into the 1.1565–1.1570 pocket could provide the energy needed for continuation toward the 1.1640–1.1660 zone.
The trade bias is bullish, with expectations of an upward continuation targeting the 1.1640–1.1660 region. The key invalidation level for this bullish outlook lies below 1.1540—a clean break beneath that would indicate a structural failure and likely shift control back to sellers.
Momentum currently favors buyers, as seen by strong impulsive candles and shallow retracements. No major macroeconomic catalysts are present at this time, meaning this move appears to be technically driven and likely fueled by liquidity collection from the recent lows.
In summary, EURUSD shows early bullish structure development with demand holding firm and momentum aligning with an upside continuation. A brief retracement could precede a push toward 1.1640+, provided price holds above 1.1540.
Trade ideas
French political instability weaken the euroPolitical uncertainty in the Eurozone intensified following the renewed collapse of the French government. Concurrently, German **Industrial Production** unexpectedly contracted by -4.3% MoM, driven by a decline in orders from the US after a front-loading period and recent contractionary signals from the **Manufacturing PMI**.
Meanwhile, the Bloomberg ECBSpeak index is approaching neutral territory, signaling a less dovish stance from ECB governors. This shift is attributed to a recent inflation spike, uncertainty over potential US tariffs on pharmaceuticals, and growing pessimism in consumption, as evidenced by the **saving rate** rising to 15.4% in Aug from 15.2% in Jul. Consequently, markets anticipate the ECB will maintain its current interest rate for the remainder of the year.
A less dovish ECB stance should provide longer-term support for the euro. However, any significant policy signals from the US government or major data releases in the US could introduce high volatility for the currency pair and other major currencies.
From a technical perspective , EUR/USD is trading below the expanding 21 and 78-period EMAs, signaling a continuation of the downtrend.
Should the pair sustain a move above 1.1600, the price may retest resistance at 1.1650 and the 21-period EMA.
Conversely, a close below 1.1600 could prompt a further decline toward the next support level at 1.1550.
EURUSDEURUSD is likely just retesting the 1.13 zone before continuing its bullish move.
This pullback could be a healthy correction within the main uptrend structure.
#EURUSD #ElliottWave #ForexAnalysis #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #WaveTheory #SmartMoney #TradingSetup #ForexTrader #MarketOutlook
EURUSD Under Pressure as Fed’s Hawkish Stance PersistsHello everyone,
The EURUSD pair remains under notable pressure as the US dollar continues to gain support from expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer. While the ECB has already tightened policy, sluggish growth and recession concerns are weighing on the euro’s ability to recover. Upcoming US macroeconomic data — particularly CPI and the jobs report — could be pivotal in determining whether the USD maintains its dominance in the coming weeks. At the same time, lingering geopolitical tensions are further fuelling demand for the greenback as a safe haven, adding additional downward pressure on EURUSD.
From a technical perspective, the pair continues to follow a clear short-term downtrend, with a consistent series of lower highs and lower lows. After touching the 1.1600 support zone, price shows a slight recovery, though the bullish momentum remains weak. Key Fair Value Gap (FVG) areas at 1.1610–1.1620 and 1.1650 serve as critical levels to watch — filling them could trigger a short-term rebound, while early rejection would likely extend the bearish move. The Ichimoku cloud structure also favours the downside, with span B acting as a near-term support around 1.1600. Should the price break below this level, the next target may fall toward 1.1550, which is a crucial bottom that might temporarily stall the decline.
Overall, EURUSD remains in a defensive position, with a higher probability of drifting lower toward 1.1550–1.1570 in the short term. Only a clear reversal pattern above the support zone could pave the way for a recovery toward 1.1650–1.1700. For now, sellers continue to dominate the market.
EURUSD Bears Still in Control – Rallies Are for SellingAs I explained before, my bias on EURUSD is bearish.
In yesterday’s DXY analysis, I mentioned that as long as the 98.60 zone remains intact, the U.S. Dollar Index has high chances to extend its rise toward 100.00.
That scenario is playing out perfectly so far.
Yesterday, EURUSD erased the entire Friday’s up move, falling back to its local support area. This type of reversal structure is typically seen in weak markets — when bullish attempts are quickly negated by strong selling pressure.
From a technical standpoint, this is very bearish price action. The market keeps testing the same support level without any meaningful bounce, which usually leads to a breakdown rather than a reversal.
My strategy remains unchanged:
• Bias: Bearish
• Plan: Sell rallies
• Short-term view: Pressure remains on the downside
• Medium-term target: 1.1400, with respect for the 1.1500 psychological level
As long as DXY holds above 98.60, EURUSD should remain under pressure. The pair might consolidate briefly, but the broader structure still points lower.
25-09-2025 EURUSDAs shown in the figure: 1H Bullish Bat
The market is not always chaotic and disorderly, and there is a precise geometric beauty hidden in price fluctuations. The harmonic form long strategy is a powerful tool for accurately identifying potential market reversal points based on the Fibonacci ratio. When the form forms perfectly at the key support level, it often indicates the depletion of bearish momentum and the initiation of bullish trends.
Bearish drop off?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1620
1st Support: 1.1455
1st Resistance: 1.1711
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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What Happens Next with EUR/USD? - Oct 13 AnalysisHi, My name is Alan, and I´m on a mission to help people learn to trade by understanding the charts.
In today´s video I review the previous trading setup from this morning, as well as how we managed to catch the trade.
At the same time, we´ll help you prepare for this afternoon´s session.
As always if you have any questions don´t hesitate to ask
We are still in Wave BA distinct WXY pattern (or possibly WXYXZ) appears to be forming. The B wave is anticipated to end at the level indicated by the red box on the chart. It is unlikely that the correction will extend below the dotted line. This assessment takes into account the current market conditions, which exhibit a bluish trend resembling an A-B-C pattern.
EUR/USD Bearish Rejection from Supply Zonea bearish setup on EUR/USD in the 1-hour timeframe. After a strong bullish move, price entered a highlighted supply zone, showing potential exhaustion and rejection from resistance. The projection suggests a downward movement toward Target 1 (1.15900) and Target 2 (1.15700), with a Stop Loss positioned above the recent swing high at 1.16299.
EURO/USD ) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of EUR/USD Bearish Continuation Setup (1H Chart)
Technical Overview:
Instrument: Euro / U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD)
Timeframe: 1-Hour
Current Price: ~1.1575
Bias: Bearish
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Chart Breakdown:
1. Bearish Channel Structure:
Price continues to trade within a descending channel, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows.
The bearish momentum remains dominant as price respects channel resistance.
2. FVG / Supply Zone (Yellow Box):
The highlighted area around 1.1600–1.1620 represents a fair value gap + supply zone.
Price recently retested this area and rejected it sharply — confirming seller strength.
3. Market Structure:
The recent lower high confirms continuation of bearish structure.
The market appears to be targeting liquidity resting below the 1.1526 level.
4. Target Point:
Primary Target: 1.1526 — aligning with the next support / equal lows area.
This move offers a potential ~50 pips downside from current price.
5. Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: Around 1.1580 – 1.1600 (retest of minor resistance).
Target: 1.1526
Invalidation: Above 1.1625 (if price breaks the supply zone).
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trading Insight:
This setup fits a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) bearish continuation model — where price mitigates a supply zone, rejects, and continues lower.
Maintaining below the channel midline strengthens the downside momentum toward the next liquidity pool at 1.1526.
--- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
EURUSD More selling ahead after the 1D MA100 rejection.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a (red) Channel Down since the September 17 High, which is so far technically the Bearish Leg of the last valid Channel Up (since the July 01 High).
The break below its 1D MA100 (red trend-line) has the potential to start a new yearly Bear Cycle but on the short-term even, today's 1D MA100 re-test and rejection, validates the continuation of the Channel Down.
Given that the first Bearish Leg was -2.30%, we expect at least another such decline from the recent Lower High, which gives us a 1.15100 Target.
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Monthly EUR/USD Update
After the spring euphoria for the euro and the pound (GBP), the dollar seems to have slowed its pace, having largely priced in the scenario of a less restrictive monetary policy by the Fed.
Focusing on EUR/USD, instead of congestion, we are seeing a bullish sideways trend that has persisted since August 22, 2025. While not immune to challenges, the European economy shows signs that support this phase, although attention remains high. Conversely, the US economy is suffering in terms of the labor force, and inflation remains "sticky."
However, it should be noted that several other economic indicators (e.g., PMIs or retail sales) remain strong. All this compels Jerome Powell to maintain constant vigilance over incoming data to best balance future choices.
The upcoming NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) release will undoubtedly provide further clues. For now, the sideways range perfectly reflects this state of uncertainty. Seasonally, the dollar has historically found significant strength during this part of the year, but no one can predict the future.
Plausible Scenarios
These are the two most plausible scenarios based on the data that will be released:
Downside (Retracement Risk): A break of the dynamic support at 1.16465 could trigger a retracement of the trend down to the 1.14 area.
Upside (Continuation): Conversely, a hold of the support and weak US data could lead the price to retest the previous highs and push even further.
For the moment, we continue to witness a sideways phase with an accumulation of volumes.
Happy trading to all!
Disclaimer
WARNING: These are market data analyses and forecasts, and they do not constitute financial advice in any way. Trading involves the risk of capital loss.
EURUSD Monthly ButterflyBearish Butterfly on EUR/USD – Monthly Timeframe
A textbook Bearish Butterfly pattern has formed on the EUR/USD monthly chart, with point D completing at the 127% XA extension — a key Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). Price is reacting from this level, suggesting a possible long-term bearish reversal.
XA: Strong bullish impulse
AB: 61.7% retracement
BC: 61.3% retracement
CD: 144.3% extension
D: 127% extension of XA (beyond X)
Bias: Bearish reversal potential
Focus: Watching for confirmation of downside continuation below point D.
#EURUSD #Forex #ButterflyPattern #HarmonicPatterns #TechnicalAnalysis
EUR/USD Calm Before the Next Big Move?The Euro’s setting up for what could be a textbook correction before the next drive up.
The question now: does 1.14 hold… or do we break deeper? 👇
Here’s the simple map:
🔻 Correction zone: Price is cooling off toward 1.14.
⚡ If 1.14 holds, we could see a clean bounce and a new leg higher.
⚠️ If it breaks, then eyes on 1.12, 1.10, and in a worst-case dip, 1.08–1.07.
So basically:
👉 Hold 1.14 = bounce potential
👉 Break 1.14 = deeper pullback ahead
Momentum is slowing; this is where smart traders are patient, not panicked.
If you’re watching EUR/USD and unsure where the best risk-to-reward setups might form, DM me; I’ll walk you through how I’m mapping my key levels and what I’m waiting for before jumping in.
Mindbloome Exchange
EURUSD and GBPUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EUR USD - H1A potential Sell setup for EURUSD on H1 as price is pulling back to a resistance zone that happens to be the 0.5 - 0.618 Fib Area as well.
Confluences for the trade:
- Price forming Lower Lows and Lower highs.
- Price in a design channel.
- Price in sync with RSI
- Price Pulling back to golden fib area.
Monthly Forex Analysis:EUR/USD – Issue 211 (Free Access)The analyst predicts that the EUR/USD rate will increase within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
The validity of this analysis is based on a specific time range (until 07 Nov 2025), and after this period, the analysis will be reviewed and updated (once every 28 days).






















