USDEUX trade ideas
EURUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.1655 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.1697
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1635
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
What’s your view on today’s EUR/USD trend? Hello traders! 🔥 Welcome to today’s EUR/USD analysis with GreenFire_Forex.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support: 1.16300–1.16440 zone 📉
Resistance: 1.16700–1.16800 zone 📈
Bullish Scenario
If EUR/USD holds above the key support zone (1.16440), a move toward the resistance at 1.16700 is possible. A breakout above 1.16800 could open the path to higher targets near 1.17000.
Bearish Scenario
If price fails to hold above support and breaks below 1.16300, expect bearish momentum to accelerate, potentially testing lower targets beneath 1.16300.
Simple Trading Plan
Buy near support (1.16440–1.16300) if bullish signs appear.
Sell near resistance (1.16700–1.16800) if bearish signs emerge.
Wait for a clear breakout above resistance or below support for confirmation before entering new trades.
What’s your view on today’s EUR/USD trend? Share your thoughts in the comments and don’t forget to follow GreenFire_Forex for more daily insights! ❤️📈
London Session ShortThe first volume candle of London showed buyers' strength. After being railroaded on the 1 Hour TF and the 15 minute TF, I am looking short for London. I would like to see price return to the Session High for another rejection. This will be my confirmation for an entry short for London Session.
EURUSD THE TREND IS YOUR FRIENDOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Euro-dollar bounces from $1.16Broadly speaking, economic data from the eurozone have improved in recent weeks, especially activity and business morale, while the American job market seems to be slowing more than expected this summer. Although the ECB has cut rates this year, it now seems less likely to loosen further while the Fed will probably call for two cuts before the end of the year. If correct, that would leave the difference between the main refinancing rate and the funds rate at 1.6-1.85% by the end of December.
The main clear evidence sought for the end of the uptrend would probably be another lower high within the next few days or weeks, but in the short-term at least the trend is clearly sideways. Volume over summer has been low as usual so another clear directional movement might occur in September, especially around the upcoming NFP or the ECB or Fed’s meeting. $1.173 is a possible resistance in the short term while $1.16 is confirmed as an area of support, having been tested unsuccessfully three times in August.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
EUR/USD: An opportunity for the last rallyEUR/USD: An opportunity for the last rally
Sometimes the market whispers. Today, it shouts.
What we see on EUR/USD right now is a mirror of the past: the first bull wave has already unfolded, and price action seems to be sketching out a second wave of almost identical strength and length. A 100% extension points directly to 1.20.
And that’s not just any number.
It aligns with the long-term bearish trendline (blue).
It echoes the central banks’ narrative that EUR should trade around 1.20
This confluence is rare but powerful, the kind of setup traders dream of.
📈 Plan: Watch for a clean breakout . If EUR/USD breaks resistance, it could be the Euro’s final surge, a last breath before gravity takes hold again.
Trade the breakout, ride the wave, and remember: passion in trading comes from seizing those moments when price, fundamentals, and psychology align. The risk is really tight as far as a break happens, the price shouldn't come back to the current pattern, so placing a Stop Loss is easy here.
The Day AheadFriday, Aug 29 – Key Events
US: July PCE (core inflation focus), personal income/spending, advance goods trade, wholesale inventories, Chicago PMI, KC Fed services.
Europe:
Germany: Aug CPI (flash), unemployment, July retail sales, import prices.
France: Aug CPI, July PPI, consumer spending, Q2 payrolls.
Italy: Aug CPI.
UK: Lloyds Business Barometer (Aug).
Japan: Tokyo CPI (Aug), July jobs data, industrial output, retail sales, housing starts, confidence.
Canada: Q2 GDP.
Sweden: Q2 GDP.
Central banks: ECB July consumer expectations survey; VP Guindos speaks.
Earnings: Alibaba, BYD.
Market focus:
US PCE - Fed pricing.
Eurozone CPI flashes - ECB September outlook.
Tokyo CPI - BoJ watch.
Canada GDP - CAD, BoC path.
Alibaba/BYD - China sentiment gauge.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 29, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is losing ground after three days of decline, trading around 1.1660 during Asian hours on Friday.
The EUR/USD pair is depreciating amid a recovery in the US dollar (USD) due to US economic growth in the second quarter. Annual gross domestic product (GDP) in the US grew by 3.3% in the second quarter, exceeding initial estimates of 3.1% and the previous 3.0%.
However, the US dollar may face difficulties amid renewed dovish sentiment regarding the prospects for Federal Reserve (Fed). According to Reuters, Fed member Christopher Waller said on Thursday that he would support lowering interest rates at the September meeting and further cuts over the next three to six months to prevent a collapse in the labor market.
Concerns about the Fed's independence have intensified following recent statements by US Vice President Jay D. Vance. He noted: "I don't think we should allow bureaucrats to make decisions about monetary policy and interest rates without taking into account the opinions of people who were elected to serve the American people... The US president is much better equipped to make such decisions."
Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1690, SL 1.1610, TP 1.1790
DeGRAM | EURUSD rebound📊 Technical Analysis
● EUR/USD bounced from the 1.1590–1.1610 support zone, rejecting the descending channel base and triggering a bullish takeover candle.
● Price is attempting to reclaim the 1.1630–1.1640 pivot, with confirmation above 1.1670 opening the way toward the 1.1716 resistance.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US GDP revisions and cooling inflation expectations weighed on the dollar, while ECB officials reaffirmed restrictive policy guidance, supporting euro demand.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 1.1610; targets 1.1670 → 1.1716. Invalidation on a close below 1.1590.
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EURUSD: Bullish Move After the liquidity GrabFollowing a test of a significant intraday support level, 📈EURUSD has exhibited distinct bullish signals.
Specifically, the price action demonstrated a liquidity grab, succeeded by a bullish breakout above minor resistance and a confirmed local change in character.
The potential for the pair to rebound towards the 1.1720 level is under consideration.
EUR/USD - Potential Targets TodayDear Friends in Trading,
## CORE PCE TODAY - Be safe!
## EUR Inflation data shortly - Can demand hold?
A shorter-term outlook - Let me know if anything is unclear.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
EURUSD – Double Demand Zone Test Ahead?EURUSD continues to show weakness after multiple rejections from the 1.17 supply zone (red area). Sellers are still in control, and the market looks set to test critical demand levels.
🔻 Bearish Outlook
First demand zone: 1.13–1.14 → short-term support.
If broken, price could extend toward the deeper demand zone at 1.10–1.11.
Invalidation: A clean daily close above 1.17 would flip bias back to bullish.
⚡ Trading Idea: Look for bearish confirmations on lower timeframes. Targets can be set around the highlighted demand zones.
❤️ That’s my outlook — what’s your bias here? Drop your thoughts below and hit the like button if you found this useful
EURUSD H4 | 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Signals Bearish ReversalThe Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 1.16743, whihc is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1724, whihc is a pullback resistance.
Takeprofit is at 1.1588, which is an overlap support.
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EURUSD BUY TRADE PLANDATE:** EURUSD – 29 Aug 2025
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### **PLAN OVERVIEW**
* **Category:** Intra-Day → possible swing if breakout sustains
* **Trade Type:** Trend Continuation (Buy)
* **Direction:** Buy
* **Confidence:** 74%
* **Min R\:R:** 1:3
* **Status:** VALID
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### **MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE**
✅ **WITH Trend & WITH Macro Bias** – Macro sentiment supports EUR strength vs USD weakness (ECB holding neutral-hawkish tone, USD pressured by softer yields and data). Technical D1/H4 structure is bullish within a larger range, with recent higher-low formation intact.
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### **LEVELS CARD – PRIMARY SETUP (Higher Probability)**
* **Entry:** 1.1650–1.1660 (H1/H4 demand confluence with prior breakout zone)
* **Stop Loss:** 1.1615
* **TP1:** 1.1700
* **TP2:** 1.1735
* **TP3:** 1.1770 (stretch target if bullish momentum and macro tailwind hold)
* **Order:** Market after confirmation (H1 engulf / strong bullish close from zone)
* **Session Preference:** London → NY overlap
---
### **ALTERNATE SETUP**
(High-probability counter only; independently ≥70% confluence)
* **Type:** Tactical Short from liquidity sweep / resistance fade
* **Entry:** 1.1770–1.1785 (D1 supply & equal highs zone)
* **Stop Loss:** 1.1815
* **TP1:** 1.1725
* **TP2:** 1.1695
* **Rationale:** Significant HTF supply + liquidity cluster; short-term mean reversion possible if overextension into resistance before major data. Requires H1 rejection wick + BOS confirmation.
* **Macro Alignment:** Counter Trend, Counter Macro Bias → reduced size (0.5–1% risk).
---
### **EXECUTION CHECKLIST**
1. News gate: Avoid 15m before / 30–60m after red EUR or USD events.
2. Price taps zone in preferred session.
3. Confirmation: H1 engulf / BOS / pin rejection wick.
4. Execute defined order type.
5. TP1 partial (30–40%) → SL to BE.
6. Trail stops by structure after TP1.
7. Skip if no valid trigger.
---
### **FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS**
* **CB Bias:** ECB neutral-hawkish; Fed neutral-dovish lean.
* **Key Data (7d):** US PCE, NFP; Eurozone CPI print.
* **Cross-Asset Sentiment:** DXY softening; US yields edging lower; equities stable; VIX subdued.
* **Positioning:** COT showing moderate EUR net-long build; USD trimming.
* **Macro Lean:** EURUSD bullish bias barring unexpected USD hawkish catalyst.
---
### **MARKET MAP**
* **D1/H4 Structure:** Bullish bias; recent HL at 1.1605; upside structure intact.
* **Liquidity Pools:** PDH \~1.1700; weekly equal highs \~1.1770; PDL \~1.1615.
* **OB/FVG:** H4 bullish OB at 1.1650; clean H1 FVG entry area.
* **Play Type:** Continuation (Primary) / Sweep-Reversal (Alternate).
---
### **RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT**
* **Risk per idea:** 1–2% (Primary), 0.5–1% (Alternate – counter nature).
* **Min R\:R:** 1:3.
* **Spread Filter:** ≤1.5× typical London/NY.
---
### **CONFIDENCE (ONE SENTENCE)**
74% — Long aligns with macro & HTF trend from fresh demand; alternate short only on confirmed rejection at HTF supply.
---
### **FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY / PERSONAL NOTE**
* **Primary:** Zone is fresh, first touch pending; buy only with H1 engulf from 1.1650–1.1660.
* **Alternate:** Zone is fresh; short only if liquidity sweep + BOS at 1.1770–1.1785.
* **Stay Flat:** If price consolidates without trigger or zone invalidates.
Bearish reversal?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1678
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1776
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level,
Take profit: 1.1584
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR/USD — Buyers Still in Control, Eyes on Key US DataEUR/USD continues to hold strong bullish momentum despite the recent recovery in USD (DXY). Traders are now closely watching today’s high-impact US economic releases during the New York session:
📊 USD Prelim GDP q/q → Forecast: 3.1% (Prev. 3.0%)
📊 USD Unemployment Claims → Forecast: 231K (Prev. 235K)
🔎 Market Outlook
If US data comes out stronger than expected, the USD could regain momentum, putting pressure on EUR/USD. A potential correction may retest lower demand zones around 1.1615 – 1.159x.
If the data is neutral or weaker, buyers could push higher into the 1.1703 zone, and possibly extend towards 1.1740 resistance, a key level aligned with previous supply and Fibonacci retracements.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 1.1703 – 1.1740 (major supply / fib zone)
Support: 1.1657 – 1.1615 (short-term buy zone)
Deep Support: 1.1593 (liquidity grab level)
🎯 MMFLOW Strategy
👉 Focus on reactions to US data release — volatility will be elevated.
👉 Wait for liquidity sweeps into demand zones for clean long setups.
👉 Short-term bias: still bullish as long as 1.1615 holds.
⚡️ Only one major economic event this week — meaning all market attention is on today’s release. Expect strong volatility!
💬 What do you think? Will EUR/USD power through 1.1700+, or will USD strength drag it back towards 1.16xx?
Long day predictingEURUSD is currently respecting the limits of its three-year upward channel. On the daily chart, we see a rebound from the upper boundary. Another attempt to break the 1.178-1.185 barrier is possible, although a move toward the 1.1 level would be healthy. Today, important data is due at 2:30 PM, which could be a trigger for determining the EURUSD's path.