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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD – 2H Chart SetupPrice is currently trading around 1.1720, sitting just below short-term resistance (1.1739). Structure shows rejection from this level, keeping a bearish bias intact. 📉 Bearish Bias: Below 1.1739 resistance, sellers remain in control. Next downside target sits at 1.1663 zone, with further extension possible if momentum continues. Any retest of 1.1739–1.1745 could act as a selling opportunity. Trading Plan: Bearish continuation favored as long as price remains below 1.1739. Manage risk carefully; stops should stay above the resistance zone.
Short
by Fm254
2
EURUSD – Bearish Setup Building Below ResistanceEURUSD is showing signs of exhaustion after its recent push higher. Price has broken out of multiple consolidation phases but failed to sustain momentum above resistance, hinting that the bulls are losing steam. With fundamental pressures still weighing on the euro and dollar resilience holding, this pair is setting up for a potential continuation lower toward key support zones. Current Bias Bearish – Momentum is fading, and EURUSD looks vulnerable to a downside extension if support breaks. Key Fundamental Drivers ECB: Lagarde has signaled inflation is near target, leaving the door open for eventual easing if growth weakens further. Fed: Despite softer U.S. data (Beige Book reporting little/no growth), inflation risks and tariffs keep the Fed cautious, but rate cuts are still priced ahead. Tariffs/Trade Policy: Trump’s tariff agenda continues to pressure global risk sentiment, indirectly supporting the dollar in risk-off conditions. Macro Context Interest Rate Expectations: The market expects the Fed to begin cutting rates in the coming months, but at a slower pace than earlier anticipated. The ECB, meanwhile, is signaling comfort with softer inflation, keeping EUR capped. Growth Trends: Eurozone growth remains sluggish, weighed down by weak German data. U.S. growth is stagnating but still outpacing Europe. Commodity Flows: Lower oil prices weigh more heavily on the euro area’s terms of trade than the U.S., limiting EUR upside. Geopolitical Themes: Tariff escalation, Middle East tensions, and Ukraine risks keep safe-haven flows tilted toward USD. Primary Risk to the Trend A faster Fed easing cycle or stronger Eurozone data could flip sentiment and spark a EURUSD rebound. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event Eurozone PMI and German CPI for growth and inflation signals. U.S. Core PCE – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. Leader/Lagger Dynamics EURUSD is a leader among USD majors, often setting the tone for broad dollar direction. Movements here influence EUR-crosses (EURGBP, EURJPY) and follow USD risk drivers like Treasury yields and Fed expectations. Key Levels Support Levels: 1.1692, 1.1588 Resistance Levels: 1.1795, 1.1901 Stop Loss (SL): 1.1795 (above recent resistance) Take Profit (TP): 1.1588 (first target), extension toward 1.1500 if momentum accelerates Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EURUSD currently carries a bearish bias, with sellers defending resistance near 1.1795 and downside targets pointing toward 1.1692 and 1.1588. A stop loss above 1.1795 protects against unexpected upside breakouts, while profit targets favor a continuation lower in line with weakening Eurozone fundamentals and sticky USD demand. The key watchpoints are Eurozone PMI, German CPI, and U.S. Core PCE. As the flagship USD pair, EURUSD will remain a leader in shaping global FX flows, so keeping an eye on its reactions to data will be crucial in confirming this bearish continuation setup.
Short
by ultreosforex
3
EURUSD Last chance to maintain the long-term bullish trend.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 21 High and today it came to the closest its been to the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). That is the trend-line that formed its last Higher Low on August 01. As long as it holds, we expect a rebound, targeting at least Resistance 1 at 1.19190. A 1D candle close below it though, would be the first strong sign of a potential long-term bearish reversal on the market, targeting Support 2 and a potential contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 1.13905. The fact that the price is so close to the 1D MA100 makes it perfect for a tight SL strategy implementation on either case. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
EUR/USD: Full Analysis + Possible Sell SetupHere is my 2H EURUSD chart, as you can see the price is moving in a decent down trend and the price now is around a critical resistance area that will happen to be touching the trendline at the same time. to enter this trade will need to see a good bearish price action around the res area and the trend line. i will be targeting 100 to 150 pips in this trade and if i have a daily candlestick closure above this res area this analysis will not be vailed.
Short
by FX_Elite_Club
1
EU could go up one more timeHi traders, Last week EU tried to go down after it rejected from the bearish Daily FVG. But on Thursday it rejected from the 4H FVG and started to go up again. So it looks like that the downmove is corrective and this pair goes up one more time to finish a big ending diagonal. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a correction down and a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower time frame to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Elliott wavecount and patterns, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
1
Euro will Fall Towards the 1.1575 Support LevelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The market for the Euro has recently shown a significant sign of weakness, with a failed breakout above the key 1.1770 Resistance Level. After a sustained rally within an upward channel, the price of EURUSD pushed into the 1.1770 - 1.1790 seller zone but failed to find acceptance, quickly reversing back below the broken levels. This 'bull trap' has invalidated the immediate bullish momentum and shifted the short-term market structure to a bearish bias. Currently, after the initial sharp decline from the highs, the asset is in a minor corrective bounce. In my mind, this price action represents a low-momentum pause before the next wave of selling. I expect that this small upward movement will soon be exhausted, and the price will continue its bearish movement downwards. A failure to produce a strong rally from these levels confirms that sellers have regained control. Therefore, I have placed my TP for this trend-continuation scenario at the major 1.1575 support level. This target is a logical objective, as it represents the next significant area of historical support and aligns with the 1.1575 - 1.1548 buyer zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
13
EUR/USD POTENTIAL SETUPEUR/USD 1H - How we getting on guys, I thought I would provide you all with a potential set up I have for the E/U market, as you can see price has been trading us bearish for some time. I would love to see price continue this momentum, driving us lower, but of course we need to find a valid area of interest to get involved from to ensure we have a good entry in the market. I had an area marked out last night from the gap that was left due to the open last night, price came to clear that perfectly but in doing so it also left a key area of Supply that has been left unmitigated. I would love to see price trade back up to clear this. Once we have a mitigation of this zone we can begin looking to take the market short, getting ourselves involved in this momentum trading us lower. Its just a case of waiting patiently for us to be delivered with relevant confirmation before we take part.
Short
by Lukegforex
EURUSD H1 LONGRecently, the price has broken above the upper trendline, indicating a potential bullish breakout. This suggests a shift in momentum, and traders might consider this as a signal to enter a long position. However, confirmation with increased volume and a retest of the broken trendline as support would strengthen the validity of this breakout. Monitor for follow-through momentum to assess the sustainability of the move. Dear friends, I warmly invite you to like this post, leave a comment with your thoughts, and share it with your friends. Your support truly means the world to me! Your likes, comments, and shares are incredibly inspiring and encourage me to create and share more analysis with you all. Thank you so much for your kindness and encouragement! Warm regards, Max
Long
by MB2020MB2020
EURUSD: Shutdown stalls market momentumProbably the most important news for the US during the previous week was the US federal government shut down on October 1st, due to Congress failing to pass funding legislation. The shutdown left over 800.000 workers without pay and many agencies operating only in a limited capacity. Still, this time markets had only a mild reaction to the news, and continued to be focused on the macro data of the US economy. This week, jobs data were in focus. Posted JOLTs Job Openings in August of 7.227M were a bit higher from estimated 7,2M. The ISM Manufacturing PMI in September was standing at 49,1, in line with market estimates. The ISM Services PMI in September reached 50,0, which was a bit lower from forecasted 51,7. Although September NFP and Unemployment data were set for a release in the economic calendar, still these data were not posted due to US government shutdown. Retail sales in Germany dropped by -0,2% in August, which was significantly lower from estimated 0,5%. Yearly figures of 1,8% in August were also slightly lower from forecasted 2,2%. The Unemployment rate in Germany remained at 6,3% in September, unchanged from the previous month. The preliminary Inflation rate in Germany in September was standing at 0,2% for the month and 2,4% on a yearly basis. The Flash Inflation rate in the Euro Zone in September was standing at 2,2% for the year and 0,1% for the month, fully in line with market expectations. The US government shutdown put the eurusud currency pair into a sort of slow-motion mood, not because of the concern over the outcome of shutdown, but due to the postponement of a release of important jobs data. The NFP and Unemployment rate in September were not released. The currency pair was moving mostly within a range of 50 pips, from 1,17 up to 1,1750. There has not been much movement also with the RSI indicator, which was oscillating around the level of 50. The MA50 is holding with further divergence from MA200, however, a distance between two lines is showing that there will be no cross in the coming period. As per current charts, the 1,18 resistance level is pending testing, which might occur in the week ahead. Also some short term reversal toward the 1,16 support is probable. Still, it should be considered that the market is waiting to see pending jobs data, which will not occur as long as the US government is in the status of “shutdown”. In this sense, there is some probability that the week ahead might be another one with slow-motion moves with the eurusud currency pair. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Retail Sales in August for the EuroZone, Factory orders in Germany in August, Industrial Production in August in Germany, Balance of Trade in August for Germany, USD: FOMC meeting minutes, Fed Chair Powell speech, Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for October. At this moment it is unclear whether other macro data for the US will be posted during the week, considering the US government shutdown.
by XBTFX
EURUSD: Bearish! Wait For Valid Sell Setups!After sweeping the old highs from 2021, price has cleared out the buy side liquidity. The next move should be simply heading down to clear out the sell side liquidity at the lows. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
2
EUR/USD Outlook - EUR/USD Awaits Next Directional MoveHi Everyone, EUR/USD saw a brief relief rally before spending the remainder of the week consolidating within range. Looking ahead, we’ll be watching closely to see whether the correction phase is complete. If price holds above the 25 September low at 1.16451, a retest of the 17 September high near 1.19193 remains likely. However, a break below that low would open the door for a move toward 1.15721 and potentially 1.14041, where fresh buying interest may re-emerge. While there’s still scope for a deeper correction toward 1.14041, our immediate focus remains on 1.15721 as the key level to monitor. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our broader bullish outlook on EUR/USD. We expect the pair to retest support and reinforce it as a base for the next leg higher, with upside targets remaining at the 1.19290 zone and ultimately the 1.20000 handle. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, provided price continues to hold above the key support levels. We’ll keep updating you throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — your support is truly appreciated! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Long Opportunity – Support to 1.20201. Market Structure The pair is moving inside an ascending channel (highlighted in pink). Currently price is testing the lower trendline of this channel. A potential correction towards the support level zone (blue area: 1.16084 – 1.15400) is expected before any strong upward move. 2. Key Levels Entry Point Zone: Around 1.16084 – 1.15400 (support zone). Stop Loss: Below 1.15400. Target Point (TP): Around 1.20227, aligning with previous highs and channel resistance. 3. Trade Idea Bias: Bullish (after correction). Expect price to dip into the support zone for liquidity grab → then bounce upwards towards 1.20227. This aligns with the “buy the dip” strategy inside an uptrend channel. 4. Risk Management Stop loss is well-placed under strong support (1.15400). Risk/Reward ratio is attractive since the upside to 1.20227 offers ~400 pips potential against ~60–80 pips risk. ✅ Summary: EUR/USD is currently in a correction phase. A pullback into 1.1600 zone could be a good long entry, targeting 1.2020+. If price breaks below 1.1540, bullish structure will be invalidated.
Long
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
EUR-USD Will Grow! Buy! Hello,Traders! EURUSD taps into a horizontal demand area where Smart Money seeks to accumulate long positions. The strong reaction from discount pricing suggests a probable expansion toward the 1.1700 target level as buy-side liquidity gets cleared. Time Frame 3H. Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
1
Going Long on the Euro-USDFX:EURUSD Nice hammer candle today. The trend is up; the trend is your friend. And it seems like it can continue climbing all year to finish its 5th wave impulse, which looks like it is going to be an ending diagonal triangle. Fed will continue to lower interest rates, which would support the rise of the Euro against the US Dollar. Going long here with target at $1.22 USD. Stop $1.16 USD. It may take several weeks to reach the target. Good luck to you.
Long
by Raul_Dominguez