Get started

U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewNewsIdeasMindsTechnicalsSeasonalsEconomic Calendar

Trade ideas

Potential bearish drop off pullback resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support. Pivot: 1.1552 1st Support: 1.1471 1st Resistance: 1.1603 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by IC Markets
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceEURUSD is rising towards our sell entry at 1.1547, which is a pullback resistance, aligning with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss is an overlap resistance at 1.1578 and slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. While the take profit is at 1.1493, which is a pullback support, aligning with the H4 FVG. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Short
by Tradu
EURUSD -DAILY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Here’s a professional breakdown of EUR/USD daily timeframe chart: --- 🧭 1. Overall Market Structure The pair is in a clear bearish trend, characterized by a sequence of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). The dominant descending trendline reinforces bearish momentum — every attempt to retrace has been rejected at this trendline. --- 📉 2. Supply (Institutional Sell) Zones You marked three visible supply zones on the chart — these represent areas where institutional orders previously pushed price downward: Zone Approx. Price Range Description Zone A 1.1850 – 1.1900 Highest and most significant supply zone. Major origin of bearish impulse. Zone B 1.1720 – 1.1770 Mid-level supply; secondary retracement rejection. Zone C 1.1640 – 1.1670 Most recent rejection zone aligning with trendline resistance. All these zones remain unmitigated, meaning price hasn’t yet revisited them deeply — institutions may have pending sell orders waiting. --- 🧱 3. Key Price Levels Immediate support: around 1.1510, where price is currently resting. Next downside target: if 1.1510 breaks cleanly, next support zone could be around 1.1450 – 1.1420. Trendline confluence: The descending trendline continues to cap every bullish rally, maintaining downside bias. --- ⚖️ 4. Institutional Positioning Institutional traders are likely stacking shorts within the highlighted supply zones aligning with trend continuation logic. --- 📊 5. Volume & Momentum Volume bars remain steady during bearish pushes, confirming active participation in the downtrend. Bullish candles show weaker volume, implying limited buyer conviction. --- 💡 6. Trading Outlook Scenario 1 – Bearish Continuation (Most Likely): Wait for minor retracements back into 1.1600–1.1650 area (previous supply + trendline). Watch for bearish rejection candles or liquidity sweeps at that zone to confirm re-entry short. Target: 1.1450 → 1.1380 zones. Scenario 2 – Bullish Pullback (Low Probability for Now): If price breaks above 1.1670 and sustains, that would signal weakening bearish pressure. Only then look for retracement buys toward 1.1740–1.1760 zone before reassessing. --- 📌 Summary Trend: Bearish Bias: Short continuation below 1.1670 Institutional Zones: 1.1640–1.1670 (active), 1.1720–1.1770, 1.1850–1.1900 Immediate Support: 1.1510 → 1.1450 Sell Confirmation: Rejection at supply zone + trendline confluence
Short
by enwemadufranklyn1989
EURUSD – Falling Wedge Completion | Bullish Reversal SetupOn the 4H timeframe, EURUSD has completed a clean 3-tap structure inside a falling wedge pattern. Price tapped the lower trendline respecting the descending structure and printed bullish reaction from the demand zone, indicating exhaustion in downside momentum. This setup also aligns with the completion of a corrective move (waves 1-2-3), suggesting the potential start of a new impulsive bullish leg. Key Points: 3-tap pattern inside a falling wedge Bullish reaction at major demand zone Momentum divergence | Buyers stepping in at structural low Potential breakout continuation toward previous major high Entry: Current breakout/early reversal confirmation Stop Loss: Below wedge low & demand zone structure Take Profit: Return to wedge top / major resistance zone near 1.1917 Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above invalidation level below structure low. I will be monitoring price action for continuation and dynamic support formation. A clean break above the wedge resistance would further confirm bullish momentum. 📌 This idea builds on structure, demand, and wedge pattern breakout probability. Manage risk accordingly and adjust stop to breakeven once price gains momentum.
Long
by zubeyrfx20
EURUSD DAILY PERSPECTIVE .TECHNICAL OUTLOOK. EURUSD EXCHANGE RATE =1.15294 LONDON RATE . IF EURUSD BRAKOUT OF 1.5653 ,LOOK FOR POSITION AND GO LONG,AS A BROKEN DAILY SUPPLY ROOF BECOMES A DEMAND FLOOR AND THE TARGET COULD BE AROUNT THE 1.17925 ON A FLIP SIDE IF DOLLAR INDEX AND US10Y STAYS STRONG ON APPROACHING KEY RESISTANCE EURUSD COULD LOOSE THE BUY POTENTIAL TO 1.15653 ,ITS IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND THAT 1.15653 WAS A BROKEN DEMAND FLOOR AND IF IT REJECTS IT NORMAL( BREAK AND RETEST) SO IF WE REJECT 1.15653 THEN THE SELLING WILL CONTINUE INTO ANOTHER KEY DEMAND FLOOR AT 1.14054 +EMA 200 ON DAILY . THE DAILY EMA 200 PROVIDING ANOTHER PROVE OF STRONG BUY IN COMBINATION WITH OUR MARKET STRUCTURE . NOTE ; THE DOLLAR INDEX AND US10Y WILL BE FACTORED BEFORE GOING LONG AGAIN ON EURUSD. FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK US10Y=4.089% EUR10Y=2.651% 10-year German Bund yield: ~3.1% ECB RATE the current European Central Bank (ECB) main refinancing rate is 2.15%. This is the primary rate used by the ECB to provide liquidity to the banking system and guide monetary policy. Head of ECB President: Christine Lagarde She has been leading the ECB and continues to oversee monetary policy decisions aimed at maintaining price stability and supporting economic growth in the Eurozone. FEDERAL FUND RATE =3.75%-4.0% INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL= 1,6%-1.85% BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL=1.438% CARRY TRADE = FAVOUR USD FROM BOND YIELD AND RATE PERSPECTIVE . HEAD OF FEDS (FEDERAL RESERVE)=SIR Jerome Powell ECONOMIC OUTLOOK DESPEITE BOND AND RATE ADVANTAGE . EUR/USD is continuing to show strength or “going long” despite the apparent interest rate and bond yield advantage favoring the USD for several key reasons: 1. Market Uncertainty and Fed Outlook The US Federal Reserve’s recent rate cuts have introduced some uncertainty about the future trajectory of US monetary policy. Traders are cautious as upcoming US economic data and geopolitical risks (like ongoing government shutdowns) create hesitation. This uncertainty tempers the strength of the USD despite higher nominal rates and yields relative to the Eurozone. 2. Eurozone Economic Resilience Economic data from the Eurozone indicates stabilizing inflation near the ECB’s target and moderate but resilient growth. Investors are factoring in the Eurozone's improving fundamentals, supporting the euro even against higher US yields. 3. Risk Sentiment and Technical Factors Global investors often use the euro as a diversification or risk-on currency relative to the safe-haven dollar. Technical analysis shows EUR/USD holding key support and resistance levels that attract buyers, sustaining momentum. 4. Yield Differential is Not the Sole Driver Although interest rate and bond yield differentials importantly influence currency flows, other factors such as capital flows, trade balances, geopolitical risk, and market positioning also shape EUR/USD behavior. The market is currently weighing a complex mix, where USD strength from higher yields is balanced by political and economic risks, leading to net euro demand. UPCOMING ECONOMIC EVENTS AND DATES . 5TH NOVEMBER 2:15pm USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change Forecast 31K previous -32K Final Services PMI forecast 55.2 55.2 ISM Services PMI forecast 50.7 50.0 7th November Average Hourly Earnings m/m Non-Farm Employment Change Unemployment Rate Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 53.0 53.6 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations. NOTE ;TRADING IS 100% PROBABILITY,ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL . RISK MANAGEMNET IS KEY. #EURUSD #EU10Y #US10Y #DXY
by Shavyfxhub
EUR/USD – Bullish Reversal Potential from Demand Zone EUR/USD – Bullish Reversal Potential from Demand Zone (Smart Money Outlook) 🧭 Market Structure Overview The EUR/USD pair has been trading within a larger bearish framework, as evidenced by the prior Market Structure Break (MSB) and Bearish Change of Character (CHOCH) that confirmed bearish intent after price rejected from the Bearish Order Block (BE-OB) near the 1.17787 level. However, recent price action indicates potential accumulation near the Demand Zone Area (1.15507 – 1.15005). This zone aligns with prior Break of Structure (BOS) support and a clear volume imbalance fill, signaling possible Smart Money interest in building long positions. 🔍 Key Structural Highlights Liquidity Sweep (LQDT) above previous highs marked the start of the bearish leg, confirming liquidity engineering before mitigation of the BE-OB. The MSB confirmed bearish control, followed by a Bearish CHOCH, maintaining a lower-high and lower-low sequence. Price eventually tapped into the Demand Zone Area, causing a Bullish CHOCH, which indicates potential reversal or at least a short-term bullish retracement phase. The IDMT (Internal Daily Manipulation Target) zone shows internal liquidity being swept, further validating Smart Money activity. 🟩 Demand Zone Analysis The Demand Zone Area (1.15507 – 1.15005) has been highlighted as a key accumulation region. This zone sits below prior equal lows, making it a high-probability liquidity grab region. Strong reaction wicks and volume buildup in this area suggest that institutional players may be filling long orders. A potential bullish CHOCH from this zone could confirm the start of a new short-term bullish leg targeting premium levels. 🟥 Premium Supply Zones (Sell Areas) 1.16179 – Minor intraday supply level, potential first rejection area for pullbacks. 1.17256 – Intermediate liquidity target and imbalance fill zone. 1.17787 – Major Bearish Order Block (BE-OB), serving as a high-probability reversal area if bullish retracement extends. 🔄 Projected Price Path (Outlook) Price is expected to follow a reaccumulation pattern inside the demand zone: A final liquidity sweep below 1.15507 may occur to trigger late shorts. A bullish displacement from the demand zone could signal a short-term BOS to the upside. Price may then target 1.16179 → 1.17256 → 1.17787, where further liquidity rests above internal highs. If buyers fail to defend the 1.15005 level, bearish continuation toward deeper discount levels would be confirmed. 📈 Trading Plan (Educational Purpose Only) Buy Scenario: Wait for a confirmed bullish CHOCH and displacement from the Demand Zone Area, then look for mitigation of a bullish order block. Sell Scenario: Watch for bearish rejections or liquidity sweeps around 1.17256 – 1.17787 (premium region). 🎯 Target Levels 🎯 Bullish Targets TP1: 1.16179 → First structural target (previous minor supply zone). TP2: 1.17256 → Key liquidity pool & imbalance fill zone. TP3: 1.17787 → Major BE-OB (final upside mitigation before potential sell-off).
Long
by ZACKFX7
3
EUR/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup (5 Nov 2025)📊 Technical Structure TICKMILL:EURUSD EUR/USD has paused its five-day slide and is stabilizing around 1.1480–1.1490, just above the highlighted Support Zone (1.1481–1.1475). The recent candle structure shows rejection from below 1.1470, suggesting dip-buyers are defending this area. Overhead, the next key Resistance Zone comes in at 1.1521–1.1526, where recent breakdown started and where supply is likely to re-emerge. As long as price holds above 1.1470, a corrective push toward 1.1520+ remains on the table. However, the broader trend is still down from last week’s highs, so any bounce is treated as corrective unless we see a strong hourly close above 1.1530. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Buy the dip into support, target a corrective move into resistance. Entry: 1.1475 – 1.1481 (on pullback toward support zone) Stop Loss: 1.1470 Take Profit 1: 1.1520 Take Profit 2: 1.1530 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.27 A clean break and hourly close below 1.1470 would invalidate the long setup and reopen downside risk toward 1.1420–1.1430. 🌐 Macro Background EUR/USD is holding gains near 1.1500 as the Euro finds support from expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will maintain a cautious, data-dependent stance rather than rushing into more easing. FXStreet’s Akhtar Faruqui notes that the pair “halts its five-day losing streak, trading around 1.1490… as traders expect the ECB to adopt a cautious stance in its upcoming policy meeting.” ECB side: In October, the ECB left rates unchanged for a third consecutive meeting, signaling that the inflation outlook is broadly stable while uncertainty persists. Recent data showed Eurozone inflation only slightly above the 2% target, Q3 GDP beating expectations, and October surveys hinting at better sentiment. Policymakers Villeroy and Kazaks both stressed that the ECB is in a “good position” and that risks to inflation and growth are more balanced, advocating no hasty moves and a data-dependent approach. This cautious tone reduces immediate easing bets and offers support to the Euro. USD side: The US Dollar faces headwinds from the ongoing US government shutdown, which has now entered its sixth week and is on track to become the longest funding lapse in history. The Senate has repeatedly failed to pass a short-term funding bill, keeping political uncertainty elevated and limiting further USD upside. Overall, a cautious but steady ECB vs. a politically constrained US backdrop justifies a short-term corrective bounce in EUR/USD, even if the broader trend remains fragile. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 1.1521 – 1.1526 Support: 1.1477 – 1.1481 Intra-day Pivot / Psychological Level: 1.1500 📌 Trade Summary EUR/USD is trying to base out above 1.1470 after a five-day decline. The technical picture, combined with a cautious ECB and a politically pressured USD, favours a short-term buy-the-dip strategy into the 1.1520–1.1530 resistance band. A break below 1.1470 would negate the idea and shift focus back to the downside toward mid-1.14s. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global
EURUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off 50% Fibonacci SupportBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside. Buy entry is at 1.1510, whichis a pullback support that aligns witht he 50% Fibonacci retracemnt. Stop loss is at 1.1461, whichis a pullback support.| Take profit is at 1.1580, which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Long
by Tradu