USDEUX trade ideas
EUR/USD | From Tariffs to Targets – Testing 1.1800EUR/USD has staged a clean rebound since August as soft U.S. data and dovish Fed expectations weighed on the dollar, while Eurozone resilience added support. July’s pullback was tied to U.S.–EU tariff developments, but momentum has since shifted, with RSI showing further room to the upside.
Key resistance at 1.1800 is now under pressure—holding above here opens the path toward the 1.20 multi-month target. If resistance caps price again, we could see another corrective pause.
The story remains centred on U.S. data surprises and rate-cut expectations, alongside Eurozone growth signals.
EURUSD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.173.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.179.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURUSD Above 1.1810 But Faces “Hidden” Resistance and FOMCEURUSD finally cleared 1.1810 today, but the pair is already pressing into a "hidden" resistance near 1.1880 tied to the 2023 channel high.
This week’s FOMC rate decision and Powell’s press conference could decide whether the breakout holds or fails.
Key areas I’m watching:
1.1810 support region
1.1880–1.1910 resistance
Meanwhile, the DXY is testing long-term channel support and the poor lows at 96.60. A breakdown there would support further EURUSD gains, but a bounce could trigger a pullback.
Safest play here is to wait for the FOMC volatility to pass, then watch to see what we get on the high time frames. I'm partial to high-time-frame fakeouts, so that's exactly what I'll watch for on Wednesday into Thursday.
EURUSD buylimit at key levelHello everyone! Here is a buy limit for us to get into a trade offering us a lower price with Smart Monet Technique, the price lies inside the ICR Silver bullet window, which is already an edge with a FVG inside the zone making it more linear for me. I expect this trade to go very well.
Tighten your seat belts and take the affordable risk, just do manage the risk, CHEERS!
EUR-USD Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a bearish
Pullback from the horizontal
Resistance just as I predicted
And the pair will soon retest
A local horizontal support
Level of 1.1706 so after
The retest a local bullish
Rebound is to be expected
Buy!
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EURUSD BUY LIMIT
Trend Structure
The pair is currently in a clear bullish trend, making consistent higher highs and higher lows.
Recent impulsive push shows strong bullish momentum, with price extending above the 1.1800 psychological level.
Key Levels
Resistance: 1.1818 – 1.1820 (current rejection zone). If broken with strong momentum, 1.1850 – 1.1880 could be next targets.
Support:
1.1750 – previous structure high, now acting as support.
1.1744 – marked demand zone aligned with FVG (fair value gap).
1.1712 – strong liquidity pool and stop-hunt area, also coinciding with your stop-loss placement.
Order Block & Imbalance
A bullish order block was respected around 1.1715 – 1.1740, fueling the rally.
The chart shows imbalance/fair value gap from the breakout push, which is a sign of institutional buying.
Price filled the gap partially, then continued upwards, showing buyers are still in control.
Trade Setup on Chart
Entry: Around 1.1744 (demand zone retest).
SL: 1.1712 (beneath demand + liquidity sweep).
TP: Above 1.1818 (running trade, nearly reached target).
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~2.5 – favorable setup.
Momentum Indicators (Chart Behavior)
Strong impulsive candles → bullish dominance.
No clear bearish engulfing or reversal patterns yet.
However, RSI/MACD divergence should be checked on higher timeframes to confirm sustainability of this bullish move.
🌍 Market Sentiment Comparison
COT Data (Commitment of Traders)
Institutions have been gradually increasing EUR long positions in recent weeks, showing bullish bias.
USD positioning has weakened slightly due to expectations of slower Fed tightening.
Retail Sentiment (Forex Factory / Myfxbook Data)
Retail traders are still net short on EURUSD, trying to fade the rally.
Historically, retail is often on the wrong side → supporting continuation of the bullish move.
Macro Drivers
EUR Strength: ECB has maintained a more cautious stance, but Eurozone inflation holding firm keeps EUR supported.
USD Weakness: The dollar is under pressure as Fed’s hawkish narrative is softening, with markets pricing fewer rate hikes ahead.
Combined, this creates a bullish fundamental sentiment for EURUSD.
📊 Conclusion
Technical Outlook: EURUSD is bullish, with demand zones respected and higher timeframe liquidity grabs driving price higher. The key resistance now is 1.1818 – 1.1850. If broken, price could target 1.1880 – 1.1900.
Sentiment Outlook: Institutions remain net-long EUR, retail is heavily short, and fundamentals favor EUR strength over USD weakness.
Bias: Still bullish unless price breaks back below 1.1740. Invalidation below 1.1710.
EURUSD ahead of the newsEURUSD is testing previous highs and remains in an uptrend.
At these levels, there’s no clear reason for a new entry, so it’s better to wait for the reaction after the news.
The main focus is on Wednesday’s FED meeting, where interest rates will be announced.
This event will set the direction for the next move.
Reduce your risk and watch how price reacts at the key levels.
EUR-USD Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD went up from the
Rising support just as
I predicted in my previous
Analysis but now the pair
Is about to retest a
Horizontal resistance
Of 1.1788 and as it is a
Strong key level I will be
Expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD awaiting newsToday at 1:15 PM (London), the ECB will announce its interest rate decision.
Just 15 minutes later, U.S. inflation data will be released.
These are key events that are expected to trigger strong market moves.
It’s advisable to reduce risk on all open positions and avoid opening new ones before the news.
Once the data is out, clearer entry opportunities will appear.
EURUSD - Daily engulfing setup / shortFollowing our previous DXY analysis, for those who are able to hold a position overnight and over weekend, this daily bearish engulfing can be used as the first sell setup. Stop above the high, target at 1.139 (levels on the chart).
Trade with care and reduce size to weigh in rollover swap costs.
Stay tuned for more short setups on the way on smaller timeframes.
EURUSD: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17139 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.16966.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
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The Power of Patience Patience isn’t passive. In trading, it’s one of the most profitable skills you can master.
When you’re about to take a trade, your entry, stop loss, and take profit need to be known clearly before making the actual move. While determining these points, patience is required in order to execute without fear, hesitation, or leaving money on the table.
These past couple of weeks, I realized that my account had been stagnant. Why? I acted on my findings (previous journal entries) and discovered that most of my entries were rushed, taken with hesitation, which led to unnecessary losses. Upon that discovery, I saw that my entries had been made randomly without realizing it. I wasn’t focusing on zones, retests, or breaks. Just like that, I was rushing my entries and not waiting for the right time. FOMO played its part too.
Now, I keep a daily reminder:
I wait for price to confirm my setup, not just touch it.
If I’m unsure, if it’s floating in the air, I don’t enter.
The best system fails if you don’t execute it properly. The market rewards those who wait.