Trade ideas
EURUSD: Bulls Will Push
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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EURUSD FRGNT Forecast - Q4 | W44 | D28| Y25 | 📅 Q4 | W44 | D28| Y25 |
📊 EURUSD FRGNT Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
OANDA:EURUSD
EUR/USD: The Ultimate Stop Hunt Setup is Cooking!🚀 EUR/USD: The Ultimate Stop Hunt Setup is Cooking! 🎣 BULLISH BIAS CONFIRMED! ✅
Are you ready to connect the dots on EUR/USD? 🤯 This chart isn't just drawing lines; it's plotting the path of Smart Money. 🧠 We're seeing a classic setup brewing that could launch us into the 1.16800s after clearing a key pool of liquidity. 💰
The Setup Breakdown: 👇
SMT Divergence is the Signal: Price has already shown a Bullish SMT (Smart Money Technique) divergence against the DXY (Dollar Index). This is a HUGE clue 🕵️♀️ suggesting the real move is to the upside. ⬆️
The Magnet is Below: 🧲 We're consolidating now, but the real target for a sweep is the area around 1.16000. This zone contains a trifecta of institutional levels:
The Previous Daily Low (Liquidity target). 💧
A clean FVG (Fair Value Gap) on the 1H to be filled. 🕳️
A CRTL (Candle Rotation Theory Low) to be respected. 🛡️
The Anticipated Hunt & Rally: 💥
Look for price to make a final, aggressive push down, sweeping the low and filling the 1H Bullish FVG right into our Point of Interest (PO3) around 1.16009.
This is the perfect Turtle Soup setup—a false break to trap sellers. 🐢🥣
From this launchpad, expect an explosive expansion that takes out the current high at 1.16477 and drives price toward the next major draw-on-liquidity near 1.16800! 🚀
🎯 Key Levels to Watch:
1.16009Point of Interest (PO3)ENTRY ZONE.
Look for a low timeframe MSS (Market Structure Shift) here after the sweep.
👀1.16477 Current High First Target. Price must clear this to confirm expansion.
🔓1.16800Draw on Liquidity Final Target. The ultimate price objective for this move. 🏆
Posting daily setups.
Greetings,
MrYounity
EURUSD Analysis week 44🌐Fundamental Analysis
Business activity in Germany and the Eurozone continued to improve in October. This positive data helped the Euro maintain its strength in the European session.
However, experts warn that the growth outlook remains fragile, despite the current favorable conditions.
In the US, CPI inflation in September is forecast to increase to 3.1%, with core CPI rising 0.3%. A higher than expected figure could strengthen the USD and put pressure on EUR/USD; conversely, weak data would support the Euro's recovery in the US session.
🕯Technical Analysis
EURUSD is making a strong upside recovery towards the resistance of 1.172. A break above the 1.162 zone would immediately become an important support zone supporting the EURUSD's upward momentum. The BUy strategy will be paid more attention next week. The weekly support zone of 1.158 will play a key role for the buyers, if this zone is broken, the pair will fall into a strong Downtrend.
📉Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD 1.172-1.174 Stoploss 1.179
BUY EURUSD 1.158-1.15600 Stoploss 1.153
EUR/USD (W) — Channel Rejection, Bearish OutlookPrice has tested and rejected the upper boundary of the long-term descending channel that has contained price action since 2018.
Weekly momentum shows exhaustion around 1.16–1.18, forming a strong confluence of resistance with the trendline cap and prior structure highs.
As long as EUR/USD remains below this zone, the bias stays bearish, with expectations of a multi-leg decline back toward:
📉 1.10 → 1.05 → 1.00 in the coming months.
A weekly close above 1.22 would invalidate this outlook and signal a potential trend reversal.
Summary:
EUR/USD remains in a long-term downtrend. Recent rejection at key resistance supports continuation lower within the descending channel. Patience for weekly confirmation is key.
EUR/USD – Triangle Breakout After Fed’s Cautious CutThe Fed cut rates by 25 bps, but Powell’s cautious tone killed the dovish mood — hinting this might be the last cut for a while. That shift powered the USD back up, leaving the euro on the defensive.
Technically, EUR/USD broke out below a contracting triangle that had been squeezing price for days. The breakout near 1.1615 shows that the range has resolved to the downside, confirming fresh bearish momentum. As long as the pair trades below 1.1650, I’m eyeing 1.1550–1.1530 as the next target zone.
For me, both sides align perfectly — fundamental disappointment + technical breakout = clean bearish setup.
A second chance entry on a high probability structure setupYesterday I posted an idea for a High Probability Market Structure Setup (Short) on EUR/USD.
Here
Based on market structure statistics, we observe that the last internal low has a 69% probability of being broken - providing very favorable probabilities for short biased trades.
The move kicked off with the smallest of inducements (smaller than we were expecting) and many may have missed the entry.
This idea provides a second chance entry level to take advantage of the statistical advantage we have on this trade.
Here are the details:
The level we can look to short from is the 1- VWAP (anchored to prior internal low) and 2- The LVN (low volume node) in the volume profile for the last push to the upside.
The confluence of these two factors make this level a high probability entry area to take advantage of further downside.
You can play this entry two ways:
1- Risk entry right on the level
2- Confirmation entry:
Drop down to a 5 or 15 minute timeframe and wait for the first bearish imbalance (Fair Value Gap). Set a limit entry order on that FVG, with your stop just above the high preceding the FVG.
If you choose a Risk entry, you'll have to consider a wider stop - which I'd recommend is near the SD1 band of the VWAP (first band above the vwap).
However, even with that wide of a stop, you still have a very favorable risk to reward as we're playing a break of the prior internal low.
Trade smart,
Cheers!
Euro Coils Ahead of Fed / ECBEuro plummeted more than 3.1% from the yearly highs with price exhausting into technical support for the past three-weeks and the focus is on possible inflection into this zone with the medium-term risk still weighted to the downside while below the monthly open (1.1734).
Initial weekly support rests with the July low-week close (LWC) / 61.8% retracement of the July advance at 1.1586/93 and is backed by 1.1497-1.1505- a region defined by the March 2020 high, the 2022 high, and the 100% extension of the September decline. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached with a break / weekly close below needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger correction is underway within the broader uptrend. Subsequent support objectives eyed at the Aril high close at 1.1394 with the next major technical consideration eyed at the 2024 high-week close (HWC) / 38.2% retracement of the yearly range at 1.1228/54.
Weekly resistance is eyed at the 1.1747/75- a region defined by the 2025 HWC, the June high-close, and the 61.8% retracement of the September decline. A breach / weekly close above this pivot zone is needed to mark resumption of the broader uptrend with key resistance steady at the 100% extension of the 2022 advance / 38.2% retracement of the broader 2008 decline at 1.1917-1.2020 (area of interest for possible exhaustion / price inflection IF reached. Subsequent resistance eyed at the 2021 HWC at 1.2218 in the event of a breakout.
Bottom line: Euro is trading just above support, and the focus is on inflection off this zone in the days ahead with a weekly close below needed to fuel the next leg of this pullback. From a trading standpoint, rallies should be limited to 1.1734 IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a close below 1.1497 needed to fuel the next leg of the decline.
-MB
EURUSD H1 | Possible Bullish ReversalEUR/USD could fall towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support and could bounce off this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 1.1620, whic is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 1.1583, which is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit is at 1.1646, which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
EUR/USD Turning Point – Trend Continuation or Trap Setup?🥇 EUR/USD "The Fiber" Setup: The Institutional Pullback Heist 🥇
The Fiber is serving up a classic institutional-grade pullback, and the thief is ready to load up! A confluence of bullish signals is aligning, suggesting the dip might be a gift.
📊 The Master Plan (Bullish Confluence)
Trend & Momentum: Price is holding beautifully above the key 786 Volume Weighted Moving Average, confirming the underlying bullish momentum.
Pattern Recognition: A pristine Double Bottom pattern is in play, and we are currently witnessing the crucial pullback retest of its neckline.
Reversal Signal: The retest is being validated by a Heiken Ashi Doji reversal candle, indicating a potential exhaustion of the bearish move right at a key support level.
This isn't just one signal; it's a symphony of confirmation. 🎻
🎯 The Thief's Entry Strategy (Layered Limit Orders)
Why enter at one price when you can scale in like a pro? The "Thief Strategy" uses multiple buy limit orders to average into the position.
🛒 Buy Limit Layers:
Layer 1: 1.16600
Layer 2: 1.16400
Layer 3: 1.16200
Layer 4: 1.16000
💡 Pro Tip: Feel free to adjust the number of layers and prices based on your own risk appetite and market depth.
🚨 Risk Management (The Escape Plan)
Stop Loss (The Getaway Car): 1.15800
A note from the Thief: "Dear Thief OGs, this is MY planned escape route. Your risk tolerance is your own; manage it accordingly. A true thief always has an exit plan!"
Take Profit (The Score): 1.17600
This target aligns with a strong resistance zone. With potential overbought conditions and liquidity traps, it's wise to escape with your profits intact!
Another note: "Ladies & Gentlemen, profit is profit. Take it at your own discretion. I'm just showing you the vault; you decide how much to carry!"
🌐 Related Pairs to Watch
FX:GBPUSD (Cable): Often moves in correlation with EUR/USD. A strong bullish move in the Fiber should be confirmed by Cable.
OANDA:USDCHF : The classic "anti-EUR." A bearish USD view here (CHF strengthening) would support a bullish EUR/USD thesis.
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): THE KEY ONE TO WATCH! A drop in the DXY is a direct tailwind for EUR/USD. If the DXY is breaking support, our bullish heist is a go.
✨ Final Community Message
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#Forex #EURUSD #TradingSetup #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #DoubleBottom #TradingStrategy #ThiefStyle
Euro Bears Test the Floor — EUR/USD Daily ViewHello everyone!
EUR/USD holds steady near 1.162 after testing last week’s floor at 1.1580. Bulls need a clean close above 1.1700 to reclaim momentum.
🧭 Bias: Neutral-to-bullish (above 1.1580)
📊 Key Levels
Support: 1.1580 → 1.1545
Resistance: 1.1685 → 1.1745 → 1.1765
💡 Trade Setups
Plan A – Breakout Long: Buy 1.1705 | SL 1.1660 | TP1 1.1745 | TP2 1.1765 | TP3 1.1820
Plan B – Support Buy: Buy 1.1605–1.1615 | SL 1.1570 | TP1 1.1665 | TP2 1.1695
💬 If you found this useful, drop a like 👍, leave a comment, and follow for more setups!
Happy trading and good luck!
— ForexCracked Analysis
Euro Holds Support as Buyers Eye Recovery Ahead of Fed DecisionEURUSD has rebounded from a key support zone after forming a higher low on the 1H timeframe. The pair remains within a bullish corrective structure, signaling potential for further upside as long as the support area holds. A short-term push toward the resistance zone is likely as momentum builds ahead of major U.S. events.
Key Levels:
Buy Entry: 1.16333
Take Profit: 1.16573
Stop Loss: 1.16194
Reasoning:
Technically, the price is reacting strongly from the support area with bullish momentum showing early signs of continuation. The 1H chart suggests a potential shift in structure favoring buyers.
Fundamentally, traders await the FOMC statement and Federal Funds Rate decision, which could weigh on USD sentiment, potentially supporting EUR strength in the short term.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
EURUSD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.165.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.175 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURUSD: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.16583 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 116654.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
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