The first step to professional tradingThe first and primary challenge for you in the first step of learning the system and trading is to commit all your efforts to learning the system.
The result of your work should be:
correct identification of the signal from the system,
correct placement of an order,
correct management of it until you exit the market.
Therefore, your first step towards professionalism is correctness.
When you reach this level it will be time for the next one: Convincing yourself that you are capable of making money with this system.
Important note: The first goal is the correctness of the signal execution. It is not to make money in the market.
Making money as a goal will come a little later (as soon as possible so be patient).
Learn to walk first before you think about running. Learn to stay afloat first before you think about competing in swimming competitions. :)
Quick entry with money into the market pleases the great and experienced traders - they know that if you are with money in the market they will make money.
We have the same attitude among other representatives of the other side of the transaction - some of the brokerage companies.
Remember: your first step towards professionalism is the correct execution of all elements from analysis, market entry, position management and exit.
Correct signal execution and a loss is a reason to be happy! You stuck to the rules and they are the ones that pay (later I will explain to you very important reasons why).
Take an important rule at the beginning that will stay with you forever: you can have two benefits from an order. Either earnings or learning. A clear awareness of your goal will help you. The goal contains two elements: the what and the why. The first defines what is to be done and the second motivates you to act.
Now we will focus on your goal. The first is to make money in the markets and have long-term success allowing you to realize your dreams and aspirations. The freedom to live where you want and do what you feel like doing, without a boss, without someone telling you what to do and when to do it.
The way to do this is by learning to make money systematically in the markets - over many years. A very important step to this is to convince yourself that you are capable of making money with the system you have. To do this as soon as possible it is worth having some helpful tools:
- A System Manual - you can get one from an author or system trader, or you can prepare one yourself. It should contain dozens of examples discussed.
- Analysis and Trade Book - containing your historical analysis, perhaps simulations and then trades. Its periodic review is to help you learn the realities of the system as quickly as possible.
Review the trades at least once a week and analyze them. It helps a lot if they are printed out and you can make notes in the margins.
- A short - written down on one page (max two) the main rules of the system and the types of inputs (if there are several). Have it always at hand when trading.
If you have 30 examples of analysis (from the Book or Manual) - then periodically return to them, for example, every day (at the beginning) you can review five trades each. The next day - another five. The next day - another one. Within 7 days you repeat all of them. Then start over again, until it takes you 5-10 seconds to look at a trade, you already know everything about it and nothing new comes up.
How do you organize your study time?
Allocate some time each day to study, let it be a minimum of a quarter of an hour per day, but systematically. Start thinking of time as your resource to invest. Start investing your time, ask yourself "what can this time bring me useful"? Maybe it's worth spending it on my life goals? This is a completely new approach for many people: start thinking of your time as something you can invest - good or bad.
Take advantage of "empty runs" - time on the bus, subway, train. Take notes and review them.
Limit the amount of TV, it's opium for the masses, it annoys, stupefies and manipulates. A good movie is one thing, but stupid series or news full of manipulation is something else.
Take care of yourself and don't try to do everything at once or at any cost. Don't become a machine to achieve your goals. Be gentle and good to yourself, enjoy and reward yourself for being on the right track.
Don't punish yourself for not doing something "on time." Reward yourself for what you have done, your work is worthy of respect and admiration and associate it that way, not with something negative.
Devote the best time of the day to investing in the future: learning the system and trading. The best time is when you are at your best intellectually.
The best work plan (always) is a step-by-step plan.
If you don't get a "System Manual" from someone - prepare it yourself (with a trader friend, with a group). Break down each major thing into smaller ones and focus on each one in turn.
For example: spend consecutive days on descriptions of historical trades. It may take you up to two days to prepare the first one. And celebrate that success already! That's a big deal!
Successively prepare the next ones - this way you slowly but steadily move forward. And in a month you may already have, for example, 15-20 analyses. And in two months - 30-50. Do it this way with each major challenge - break it down into smaller ones.
Don't forget to enjoy and reward even small successes. This is an important signal to your psyche that you are on the right track, it builds good associations.
In this way, the time spent studying will be nicer and more enjoyable than if you demand harshly of yourself and punish for "deviations from the plan." Believe me the latter is a road to nowhere.
The smaller the portion to learn the better to start with.
The simpler the system the faster you will master it. If you have several types of inputs limit yourself to one - two of the simplest and set yourself the goal of mastering them to perfection and then - reach profitability with them.
The more complex the system - the more time it will take you to master it, the more frustrations you will have and the more chances you will give up on it. Therefore, focus on the simplest inputs that pay and leave the rest for later.
There will always be time to expand your system.
Set aside complicated systems with complex, elaborate decision-making processes for later years.
An introduction to building your decision-making skills
Once you've tackled the system learning materials, the next important step is to train your decision-making skills. This process looks different for different systems - so I'll simplify it to asking two questions:
Where on this chart would you make a decision to enter the market?
Where would you put SL and where would you put TP?
It is important to realize that being a trader is quite different from being a good analyst. Good analysts rarely become good traders - these two skills (analytical and decision-making) stand in some opposition to each other.
At some point a trader - analyzing the situation and comparing it with the requirements of the system - makes a decision to enter the market. We practice these skills by observing the charts and studying whether the criteria that our system implies are met. And if so - we indicate where the market entry would occur.
Speaking of the number of such simulations - we can say that an experienced trader-expert has, for example, two or three thousand such decision-making processes behind him. We will not need such a large number, about a maximum of 100-200 will suffice and this is for two reasons.
The first - after such a number of examples, we will have a fairly good picture of how the system may work, but it will be incomplete. No simulation can replace reality: stress, emotions, market pressure.
Second - after such a number of examples, there will no longer be a growth in understanding of the system.
Self-made screenshots with the further part of the chart obscured can help here - only the part needed to make a decision is visible. The next page can be shown the later course. Dozens of such sheets - drawn up and prepared in the form of tasks for us will allow our brains to quickly become familiar with the system and the critical moment of entering the market.
It is puzzling that, for example, mechanics for any car have several hundred pages of manuals explaining the operation, assembly and disassembly, while traders learning to invest tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars - have nothing even close.
This kind of help, whether prepared on your own or received from outside, is simply invaluable in terms of getting to know the mechanics of the system inside out, and is hard to replace with anything else.
Therefore, if you do not yet have your "Task Collection" prepare it at the earliest possible time. If you work in a group - share the work with your colleagues and let each prepare tasks for the other. Divide by month, for example, and let each prepare the tasks of a different month with a separate document containing the answers. Then have everyone rework the tasks from their colleague(s).
USDPLN trade ideas
How to make decisions in tradingAn investor (trader) is an analyst plus a decision maker. But the system and correct recognition of signals are not enough. Investing (trading) is an activity that requires making good decisions. And it is decisions of a specific type - under the conditions of the existence of risk. This very important topic. Today we will cover the first step towards making your decisions the best they can be.
Step 1.
The first step is to get a certain amount of tasks to solve. The idea is that in the market, you will make a decision on the signal you see when trading.
Looking only at historical signals, you see both the signal itself and the movement that followed.
But in a real market situation you will only see it as it draws up. Hence, prepare yourself a dozen (several dozen) screenshots (graphics) with the movement that followed the signal removed.
The idea is to make the situation realistic: to get your brain used to seeing the signal as it will look in real time.
The more examples you have of this:
the faster your brain gets used to seeing the signal "in real time"
the faster you will make good decisions - correctly identifying the signal.
Note: many people do not know moderation in analysis, they learn more and more tools and become analysts. However, analysts do not earn as much as traders, and in general you should be very careful with these analyses. Analytics can and often are an instrument for fooling and misleading the masses of traders and investors who trust them. This ends in losses, of course.
Your task is to become a good analyst (from your system) and immediately educate your decision-making skills as well.
The first goal you strive for is to correctly execute the trade from start to finish. And this is what you should focus all your energies on at the very beginning of using your new system.
Correct execution of the trade consists of the following:
correct pre-trade analysis and preparation.
Correct identification of the signal and entering the market, knowing that you may feel pressure to trade, greed, fear, etc. emotions.
Correctly managing the order from opening to closing.
Corre
ctly closing the order at SL or TP - or exiting for some other but well-founded reason.
Step 2.
Post-Trade Analysis. Studies show that only those traders/investors who perform post-trade (after-the-fact) analysis systematically increase their profits.
That is why it is so important that you do it systematically as well. Analyze your preparation (pre-trade analysis before trading - whether it was done correctly), entries, position management and exits.
I will suggest a few questions that will speed up this process (of learning and earning):
did I make a correct analysis of the market and was I well prepared to trade (about that in a moment)?
did I correctly identify the signal and enter the market in a good place?
did I put SL and TP in the right place?
did I manage the order (and myself) correctly - minute by minute?
did I exit the order correctly? In the right place?
You may already see - that by making a trade you can benefit in two big ways: either you learn something or make money, or both.
You have above a ready-made excerpt to analyze your own trades and learn from your experience. And if you have a problem with something - you will know (when it occurs) what part of your trade you should work on.
When learning and then making trades, systematize your analyses:
1. the first analysis can be right after trading, fresh, whether you performed everything correctly (according to the questions above).
2. The second analysis can be at the conclusion of the week: e.g. you sit down on the weekend when there is no market and review the trades of the whole week and once again analyze them with your notes.
3 You can also do periodic analyses - for example, once a month, at the end. It's worth doing them because you'll see that you're moving forward and gradually, systematically learning and being at a higher level. You will then realize that your learning a new profession is a certain process, that you are on the right path (of the best) and that in some time you will realize your life plans thanks to your success in the market.
As you can see, we consistently set everything up so that you learn the key things as quickly as possible and can systematically earn and live from the markets as soon as possible.
How to effectively start learning the systemThe path from "zero" to "Top Investor" requires knowledge of how our brain learns the fastest. This is part of the knowledge of the path of success in trading.
The best traders started from scratch - they knew nothing. One of the critical moments of their development was when they began to understand the system. It was often preceded by various events, moments of resignation, discouragement, parting ways with the market and subsequent returns.
Many trading systems are based on recognizing formations (price and candlestick), recognizing signals from indicators. In other words - you need to see a certain number of examples to be able to correctly identify signals when they will draw in real time in the market.
Usually this process goes as follows:
observation on the historical chart, when we see the signal and the subsequent course of the movement,
observation of what the signal looks like without what happened next,
observation of the signal in real time,
learning how to make a decision to enter the market on the drawing signal.
If you want to speed up this process as much as possible - then know that the fastest to develop (and the fastest to reach the level of independent, correct identification) are people who have seen a lot of examples.
When you look at the perspective of what I wrote - it's pretty obvious, right?
If so, why do 90% of books describing systems contain only a few or a dozen graphic examples? I have seen 120 or so such books. The pinnacle of modesty was one (about a fairly popular system), which contained only nine screenshots. Nine!
With such a number of examples, do you think you can learn anything enough to risk your money on this system? I'm sure you won't.
No one can succeed in this way. Our brain needs to see a lot of examples - preferably in the most market-like conditions. Only then will it correctly solve the tasks posed by the market situation.
This is simply how our brain works, and if we want to follow the path of development quickly, we should respect these laws.
Introduction to rapid learning of systems
Imagine that you have a system and you know it very well. It is easy to understand and apply. The signals are clear. Their identification leaves no doubt. As a result, trading becomes simpler and more rewarding for you.
Every day when you sit down to trade you have at hand a document in which you have briefly written down the next steps of analysis you perform on the market before taking a position. This document is called "Market Analysis."
On the second sheet, "List of trades," you have written down the set-ups you trade. Your market activity boils down to doing some simple analysis and then setting an alert and waiting for one of the setups to be drawn.
If you had any doubts you still have another powerful document at your disposal - detailed descriptions and analyses of 100+ signals, which you can always refer to in case of even slight doubts. "System Manual.
You look at the market from a long perspective, if even one, two or three entries do not pay, the next ones will more than make a profit. You are not in a hurry, you have a plan that you follow without haste. Looking at the growing account you begin to realize that your earlier dreams were too modest, you will be able to afford more.
Nice description of your possible future, right? Then let's make it a reality.
I described above three documents: "Market Analysis", " List of Trades" and "System Manual". And here is the easiest way to get into possession of such:
1. if you are lucky - you will get such documents from someone who teaches you the system. However, this is rare. In most cases you will not have them for two reasons:
some vendors don't think they are needed ("it's enough for me to show the system") and that's OK, their right
some system vendors know they can't provide them, because either their systems are a scam or a short-lived ephemera. Then such a document would work against them. Without a system manual, however, it is difficult to achieve any success, it is virtually impossible.
2 You can prepare such a document yourself The plus side of this solution is that you will learn a lot with it, and there is not much work involved. The second plus is - that with it you will learn the system much faster. So let's move on to a description of how to prepare such materials yourself.
Step 0.
Take a book or training on the system you have. Perhaps you are already a more experienced trader and have a system "in your head" and it is, for example, a modified version of some other system. In this case, the preparation of the mentioned documents will give you a lot: it will clearly reduce the stress before and during the trading and will clearly increase your profits.
Step 1.
Analysis. If your system requires you to analyze markets before entering - list one by one what you are analyzing and how. Strive to make the criteria you use objective. Example "is condition X met or not".
Entries. Write down all the types of entries your system has. If it is an indicator system and you have one type = signal from the system, describe exactly what should point to which indicator.
Fundamentals. If the system requires some additional situation, for example, some information about the instrument ("fundamental" data) then write that down too. What information is needed, what values the fundamental indicators must take.
Position management rules. Write down the rules for entries, position management and exits.
Itd.
Note what the goal here is: I would like you to have a complete description of OBJECTIVE criteria for entries, position management and exits. So that nothing will depend on your mood, your vision, or your "intuition".
Having such detailed descriptions - you will know at any time:
1. what you should currently focus your attention on.
2. What decision to make based on the reading of what you see.
This is very important, because if you enter the market with money and emotions are turned on - you will be compounding losses and cutting profits, as most beginners do (why they do this I will describe later). And you have NO CHANCE of achieving success.
With money in the market and under pressure - if you don't have objective, independent criteria, your decisions will be bad and it's only a matter of time when someone will take your money away from you.
Step 2.
Once you have the rules of analysis written down (the first sheet) and entries, exits and position management (the next pages, 2-3 at most) then analyze about 30 historical signals.
1 "Reverse" the market on your platform, for example, by a few months.
2. Open the platform with news from the markets of that day. If you have not taken them into account before - add what you do when the strongest movements/news are approaching (most day traders pull back from the market then).
3. Analyze the market according to your documents.
4. Take screenshots of entry and exit signals.
5. Answer the questions:
a. What readings did the indicators have?
b. What did the set-ups look like?
c. Where exactly did we enter the market?
d. At which point did we exit?
e. What did the indicators look like at the time you managed the position?
6. Make notes of your observations in an additional section "What I learned today".
If you do 2 analyses a day according to your written rules, in 30 days you will have as many as 60, and that's a lot - your understanding of how the system works will be very good.
There are two types of investors in the world, those who make money and those who are providers of capital to the market. If you put work into your education you have a good chance to be in the first group, if not - you will definitely be in the second.
USDPLN Breakthrough: Rally Ahead or Resistance at Play?The rising USD against PLN has finally broken through its descending trendline. This strength in the dollar can be attributed to rising bond yields (amid an unmoved Federal Reserve) and the prevailing economic challenges in Poland and the European Union (recessions).
On a technical note: The USDPLN pair has successfully broken out of a descending trendline on the daily timeframe that was evident since October 2022. Post breakout, a retest of this trendline occurred and the pair has since persisted in its upward journey. When zooming in to the 4-hour chart, the upward trend remains unblemished. However, a key observation here is our current position relative to the 'overbalance' level, which stems from February's bullish correction phase. Should the USDPLN manage to breach this overbalance threshold, we could be looking at potential resistance in the 4.27 - 4.33 region. This zone not only houses the 200-day moving average but also coincides with January's previous low and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
#USDPLNAnalysis #ForexTrends #BondYieldImpact #TechnicalBreakout #FiboWatch #CurrencyTrading #EuropeanEconomyInsights
Trading Signal: FOREX Buy Dollars Sell PLN (USDPLN) breakout froUSDPLN pair broke out from downtrend 2 weeks ago and continues to go up.
Entry Point: Consider entering a long (buy) position in USDPLN once the price breaks first resistance at 4.15300 marked on a chart.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order at 4.11500.
Take Profit Targets:
Target Price 1: Set the first target price at 4.24200-4.26500 between two first resistance.
Target Price 2: Set the first target price at 4.4600 below major resistance.
USDPLN: Hidden Bullish Divergence at Channel Demand LineUSDPLN on the Higher timeframes has generated some PPO arrows and Hidden Bullish Divergence at the Demand line of an Upwards Slopping Channel, which also happens to align with the 200 SMA. If it can hang on from here, I think it will make a run back up towards the top of the channel.
USDPLN: Seizing the Bullish Momentum๐๐ USDPLN: Seizing the Bullish Momentum! ๐๐
๐ Technical Analysis: USDPLN, the forex currency pair, is currently exhibiting a picture-perfect bullish trend on the 1-hour chart! ๐ The price action is riding the waves of a strong and steady bullish trend line. ๐๐ Additionally, the Momentum Indicator RSI shows no signs of divergence, confirming the sustainability of the bullish sentiment. ๐๐น
๐น Trade Plan:
๐ Long Entry: 4.015097 ๐
๐ Stop Loss: 3.992900 ๐
๐ฏ Take Profit: 4.037315 ๐ฏ
๐ Rationale: The technical indicators align beautifully, paving the way for a long trade on USDPLN. We've entered at 4.015097 to capitalize on the ongoing bullish momentum. With the stop-loss set at 3.992900, we are effectively managing risk and ensuring protection against unforeseen market movements.
๐ฏ Take Profit Target: Our take-profit level is set at 4.037315, aiming to capture potential gains as the bullish trend continues. This level marks a significant resistance area where the price might encounter selling pressure.
๐ Trade Responsibly: Always remember the importance of responsible trading. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose, and maintain a sound risk management strategy. Stay informed about market developments to make well-informed decisions. ๐๐ช
๐ Chart Indicators:
๐ Bullish Trend Line
๐ No RSI Divergence
๐ก Stay Technical, Stay Informed! ๐ก
#USDPLN #ForexTrading #BullishTrend #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeResponsibly #BullishMomentum #TradingView #HappyTrading #MoneyBag ๐ผ๐ฐ
USDPLN : Bullish Outlook ๐๐ USDPLN: Bullish Outlook for Monday Trading! ๐๐
๐ก Technical Analysis: The USDPLN forex currency pair is showcasing a perfectly bullish trend on the 1-hour chart!
๐ The price action is forming higher highs and higher lows, supported by a strong bullish trend line.
๐๐ Additionally, the Momentum Indicator RSI exhibits no signs of divergence, reinforcing the robust bullish momentum. ๐๐น
๐ Trade Plan: Preparing for a LONG position on USDPLN as the market opens on Monday.
๐ Entry: 4.008740 ๐
๐ Stop Loss: 3.990300 โ
๐ฏ Take Profit: 4.027180 ๐ฏ
๐ Rationale: The technicals suggest a highly opportune moment to go LONG on USDPLN. The entry at 4.008740 aligns with the ongoing bullish trend, while the stop-loss at 3.990300 ensures prudent risk management, guarding against unexpected price movements.
๐ฏ Take Profit Target: Our take-profit level is set at 4.027180, aiming to capitalize on the continuation of the bullish trend. This level represents a potential resistance area where the price may encounter some selling pressure.
๐ผ Manage Your Trades: As an astute trader, always remember to employ proper trade management techniques. Adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance, and stay updated with market developments.
๐ Chart Indicators:
๐ Bullish Trend Line
๐ No RSI Divergence
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading foreign exchange carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Happy trading! ๐๐ #Forex #TradingView #BullishTrade #CurrencyPair #TradeResponsibly #BullishMomentum #ForexAnalysis #USDPLN #Bullish #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradePlan ๐๐๐น
USDPLN LongOn the USDPLN currency pair a trading opportunity to buy is building. I would look for the first purchases at a price around 4.24 and if this level does not hold, then only at a price of 3.98. I would manage the exact entries from a lower time frame only when the price approaches these levels.
USDPLN Resistance levels, Weekly EMA 200- LONGHello fellow traders,
This idea is based on the fact the price has reached 4.10 being the lowest for a long time and as it's also on the weekly EMA200 it's a good place for the price to have a turning point at least to the Fib level of 0.382 at 4.25
This is not a trading advise it's just an idea so trade carefully, place your bets with s/l being at your own nerve resistance level :D good luck!
USD?/PLN Support BulllThe USD/PLN currency pair is currently hitting a crucial support level, signaling a potentially significant opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the market's movements. This announcement brings with it a multitude of possibilities for traders seeking to enhance their portfolios and make informed trading decisions.
4.25$ SupportDollar once again hit 4.25$ level which was resistance from 2016 to february 2022 when price went above and this way created support which was tested in may/june 2022, january/february 2023 and right now. It seems solid so I would expect 5$ level retest in the near future and that way creating double bottom on current support. But if price will go below 4.25 and the volumen will be significant it can fall down. On 12th April US CPI level is going to be published and on 14th April PL CPI. Having up-to-date information, I do not plan to open a position earlier than next week.
USDPLN 1H - ABCD PatternAnalysis:
USDPLN is currently in a bearish trend. Price is printing a potential ABCD pattern. If the price breaks below 4.256599 which is level B, it will be a sign of bear trend continuation. In this case we can enter in a short trade. For this trade the stop loss will be level C at 4.308155.
------ Trade ------
Type: Short
Entry: 4.256599
Stop Loss: 4.308155
TP1: 4.205043
TP2: 4.153487