Trade ideas
Weekly trend swing trading idea Usd/RubHello Traders,
Here you can find my weekly trade ideas (unconventional fundamental trading Style, not that what most People know as "Normal"). They mainly serve to achieve a possible learning effect or to show other perspectives how other traders set their positions and act, should be very interesting. The focus is on the "point of view" (learning through seeing).
All trades amount to Fundamental, Economical, Mathematical, - Technical information.
In the 4 1/2 years that I have been trading now, I have simply learned that the trades are only as good as the information that is based on them, the higher the density of information, the better and more likely that the trade will work.
Every week on Sunday there is an update, because new information is published over the period. Depending on how these end, the trade is either closed "early" or it continues on its way towards TP (Take Profit).
CRV (opportunity-risk ratio) is ALWAYS 1 to 3 (Can sometimes deviate a little, as I define target zones and stop loss by volume in order not to unexpectedly miss the TP or trap a stop hunt for a victim).
Trading style includes hedge and trend based swing trading and position trading approaches.
I also recommend that you use your own criteria for entry, exit and stop loss. Personally, the drawdown doesn't bother me because I've been using the system profitably for a long time. But I know myself, (especially when you start) that you are very impatient and expect too much, too quickly, then many quickly become emotional.
Be careful and don't fall for quick rich systems, they'll ruin your trading psychology.
Have a nice Week :)
USDRUB | D1 | Technical AnalysisI drew the scenario of the Dollar Ruble that will take place in the short and medium term. Namely, when the price will be sold up to the level of 72.50, then from the moment that level breaks, sales can be made to the level of 68.52.
$USDRUB - Looks bullishHello everyone!
Bullish flag is formed on a USDRUB chart. wait for the breakout and go long.
US Dollar / Russian Ruble SCHEME VIFractal config in red circle
Pattern test in current market condition.
+ Background scheme to backup the fractal's scenario.
POSITIVE CORRELATION:
DXY/UKOIL
USDRUB - LONG SETUPUSDRUB we are bullish, on the daily timeframe market has made a nice bullish impulse followed by a correction, now im expecting the continuation to the upside, on the 4hr timeframe market has formed a double bottom and broke above the counter trendline forming new 4hr bullish structure. We will be entering a long if this support holds.
Traditional|USD/RUB|Long and shortLong and short USD/RUB
Activation of the transaction only when the blue zone is fixed/broken.
Working out the support and resistance levels of the consolidation zone.
* Possible closing of a trade before reaching the take/stop zone. The author can close the deal for subjective reasons, this does not completely cancel the idea and is not a call to the same action, you can continue working out the idea according to your data, but without the support of the author.
The "forecast" tool is used for more noticeable display of % (for the place of the usual % scale) of the price change, I do not put the date and time of the transaction, only %.
The breakdown of the upper blue zone - long.
Breakdown of the lower blue zone - short.
Working out the stop when the price returns to the level after activation + fixing in the red zone.
Blue zones - activation zones.
Green zone - take zone.
Red zone - stop zone.
Orange arrows indicate the direction of the take.
Red arrows indicate the direction of the stop.
Priority - The value of the priority parameter implies the author's subjective opinion about the more likely activation zone on this idea, this does not mean that this idea will be 80% activated by this parameter, the purpose of the parameter is to provide for the risk of the inverse of the zone parameter.
Example: "Priority Long: So the author inclines more in the direction of the activation zone open long trades, in this case, when reaching the activation zone in short you should be very careful, because this area may be highly likely to be punched about the breakdown/do not get to take/activate transaction from go to stop."
Please consider this parameter if you use my ideas.
SUM PNL: This parameter displays the total % of all closed ideas of the "new" format (according to the author) for this sector at the time of publication of the idea. The calculation is very "clumsy" just the sum of the profits of all the ideas, based on this indicator, you can more accurately assess the risks when working with my ideas of this sector. I present you the construction of the idea, you can use it yourself as you like based on your subjective view and risks, the calculation of the PNL indicator is carried out only on transactions that the author closed on TV in manual mode or by take.
P.S Please use RM (risk management) and MM (money management) if you decide to use my ideas, there will always be unprofitable ideas, this will definitely happen, the goal of the system is that there will be more profitable ideas at a distance.
USDRUB 4H (temporary uptrend)Same as EURUSD
The current uptrend is the continuation of wave (B) of (ABC), whereby wave B is rather complicated consisting of (wxy). Further on the pair will go down one more time to 73 prior to the major depreciation of the rubble.
So in general, the Russian rubble is not ready to devalue at this time and will start depreciation together with the major correction on all the markets which I presume to start at the end of May-June 2021 and will last till October 2021
USDRUB as I predicted !! see the linkJust give you an update of USDRUB. please see my prediction a couple of days ago that USDRUB made a false breakout of weekly support.
USDRUB has made a false breakout to the important weekly supportUSDRUB has made a false breakout of the weekly support zone and may continue aggressively upwards.
USD/RUB Correlation to DXY/UKOIL Testing USDRUB pair patterns for positive correlation to US_Dollar_Index/Brent_Oil
USDRUB Just bounced from Weekly and Daily supportUSDRUB is likely to rise up to test the trend line before it breaks the weekly and daily support. A buy trade can be a high probability.
Please like the idea and share. Thank you.
USDRUB - POTENTIAL SHORTEntering my 3rd short position on USDRUB. This pair has been bearish for quite some time and we can see the price coming up and retesting 74.400 and strongly rejecting it on the daily time frame. Planning on holding full profits until the price reaches 72.800 where I will secure 50% of profits from all 3 positions running.
Please note, just because I stacked 3 active positions onto this trade, doesn't mean you should do the same.
This is not a trade signal.
US Dollar / Russian Ruble SCHEME V
High oil prices might push USDRUB lower in the short-term.
So the price can head towards blue area, where it will reverse!
Because oil market needs stability in order to make Ruble appreciate significantly against Dollar.
Dollar index has been in downtrend for a year. The following stimulus package will push USD into the lowest but reversal level.
Therefore, It's better to accumulate periodically USDRUB on every drop, because the general direction is always headed upwards.
❗❗❗ Another important scheme for USDRUB levels:
USDRUB: Possible Triangle Formation and Furhter BreakoutsUSDRUB is likely to form a triangle pattern that could break in both directions. As the longer term trend is bullish the longs are more preferable.
