Usoil Next MoveUsoil Under Selling Pressure We Sell At 62.045 For Tp 52.02
Usoil In Bearish Structure Don't Miss This Opportunity Manage Your Risk Properly
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us oilHI GUYS,
UPDATE and CORRECTION on US OIL
we wait for sells Friday morning, a few hours from now,
(MON, TUE) Double bottom buy price is calling for a sell price pattern (FRI, MON) Head shoulder
Oil Prices Record Their Worst Monthly Performance Since 2023!Oil prices are heading toward their worst monthly performance since 2023, with Brent crude down about 15% this year due to expectations of a significant global supply surplus. The OPEC+ alliance is expected to maintain its decision to freeze production increases in early 2026, while long-term reviews of members’ production capacities are underway. Forecasts also point to a daily surplus reaching 2.8 million barrels in 2026 and 2.7 million barrels in 2027, adding further selling pressure.
Additionally, geopolitical developments may impact the market, as Russia has expressed readiness to discuss proposals to end the war in Ukraine. This could eventually lead to easing sanctions and the return of Russian oil flows to global markets, which would increase supply and weigh on prices.
On the technical side, the price on the 4-hour timeframe has risen and formed a higher high above the 59.16 level, shifting the trend from bearish to bullish in the short to medium term.
The price may rise directly from the current levels near 59.126, or it may retrace toward 57.64 before rebounding again to target the 59 level.
The opposite scenario to the current bullish outlook would be a decline below 57.20 and the formation of a lower low on the 4-hour timeframe.
USOIL Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 59.046.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 58.167 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
🇺🇸 USOIL – Big Money Steps Back In | Fresh Sell Order BlockUSOIL continues to follow its broader downtrend as Big Money steps back into the market.
After a brief bullish correction, price was rejected sharply and formed a fresh VShark Order Block, supported by strong volume and a clean Imbalance zone.
This reaction reveals clear footprints of large players preparing for the next bearish leg.
🔻 Sell Idea
VShark suggests looking for short entries at the newly formed OB zone, targeting RR 1:2, respecting the prevailing bearish structure.
⚠️ Risk Notice
Always size your positions properly and manage risk carefully.
This is a technical analysis idea — not financial advice.
—
✍️ VNSHARK Signature
Following the footprints of Big Money to understand the market’s true intention.
🏷️ Tags
#USOIL #WTI #BigMoney #OrderBlock #VSharkOB #Volume #Imbalance
#SmartMoney #PriceAction #InstitutionalTrading #VNShark #Commodity
USOIL : Full analysisHello friends
Well, you see that we have a descending channel in which the price is moving, and considering that the price reached the ceiling of the channel, we had a Sharpe decline, and now it seems that the sellers want to break the channel, and the first support identified could be the buyers' stronghold, where we need to see if they support the price or not.
If they support, there is a significant resistance in their way. This area is full of sell orders and can naturally correct the price. In this regard, breaking this resistance is very important and vital for price growth.
Now what if the buyers cannot support the price in the support area and the price falls further?
Well, we need to find areas again for a sell trade because if the descending channel is broken, the fall will be heavier and it is better to move with the trend.
This analysis is purely technical and is not a buy or sell recommendation.
*Trade safely with us*
CRUDE (USOIL) – (1H) Bullish LCM Structure in PlayPrice has completed a clean Liquidity Cycle Model sequence:
1. Liquidity Sweep
Market swept the major low at 5780, clearing the downside liquidity and tapping a higher-timeframe demand.
2. Reversal Phase
Following the sweep, price reclaimed the 5811–5816 refined demand zone, creating a solid bullish shift.
3. Continuation Setup
The current pullback is respecting the refined OB at 5825 – 5810, forming the basis for continuation.
🔹 BUY SETUP (LCM)
Entry Zone: 5825 – 5815 (White Line)
Intraday Invalidation: Below 5785
hard Invalidation: Below 5760
🎯 TARGETS
TP1: 5945 Mid-range supply flip
TP2: 6025 Imbalance fill + next structural level.
TP3: 6225 – major HTF resistance and full LCM continuation target.
📌 Summary
Price swept the lows, reclaimed structure, and is now positioned for bullish expansion as long as the refined demand at 5815 holds. A break above 5890’should unlock continuation toward 5935 and 6034.
LCM rewards patience, not prediction
Pls like and comment if you find this useful, that encourages me share more.
BolaXChange 🖤🖤
USOIL🎙 Market Update – U.S. Oil
U.S. Oil continues to move under bearish pressure, and in the current outlook, we’re targeting the $56 support level.
This expectation remains valid as long as price stays below the $60 zone.
Stay focused, follow the levels, and manage your risk wisely.
Crude Oil Fails to Pull Away From This Year’s LowsBroad-based weakness in WTI crude has persisted in the short term, and the price has lost more than 3.5% over the past three trading sessions, bringing it increasingly closer to the 2025 lows around 57 dollars per barrel. For now, selling pressure remains firmly in place, partly because OPEC+, the world’s most influential oil-producing group, continues moving toward higher production levels heading into 2026. Additionally, the possibility of a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine raises the chance that certain economic sanctions on Russia could be lifted, further increasing the outlook for global supply. As long as expectations of a potential oversupply in 2026 persist, this scenario may continue to exert downward pressure on WTI and act as a key catalyst for sustained selling pressure in the sessions ahead.
Downtrend Remains Firm
For several months, crude oil has been following a consistent downward path, and the current trendline remains strong despite occasional upward corrections that have been insufficient to break it. As a result, this bearish formation remains the most important technical factor to watch. If selling pressure continues to push prices into new lows or keeps them below 60 dollars per barrel, the bearish bias will likely continue to dominate short-term price action.
RSI
At the moment, the RSI line is fluctuating near the neutral 50 level, suggesting a balance between buying and selling impulses in the short term. If this behavior holds, it may give way to a period of price indecision.
MACD
A similar scenario is observed in the MACD, whose histogram remains near the zero line, indicating an equilibrium in short-term moving-average strength. If this pattern continues, it may lead to a period of sustained indecision in WTI over the coming sessions.
Key Levels to Watch:
61 dollars: The most relevant resistance level, aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A bullish breakout above this area could threaten the broader downtrend and open the door to a stronger bullish bias in WTI.
58 dollars: An intermediate barrier aligned with the downtrend line and the 50-period moving average. Price action that remains near this zone may trigger a short-term sideways range, increasing uncertainty in WTI.
57 dollars: This level corresponds to the 2025 lows and currently acts as the most important support. A break below it could confirm a dominant bearish bias and extend the downtrend into the coming sessions.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
CFD great chartThe US Federal Reserve is expected to cut the policy rate at the last meeting of 2025.
The revised Summary of Economic Projections and Fed Chair Powell’s comments will be key as a rate cut is largely priced in.
The US Dollar could stay on the back foot unless the Fed delivers a hawkish surprise.
The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, with markets widely expecting the US central bank to deliver a final 25 bps cut for 2025. While the move is widely priced in, this may be overshadowed by the vote itself as dissent within the Committee is anticipated from both hawks and doves.
Crude oil is about to officially fall intoYesterday's decline validated our short-selling strategy and the continued validity of the current wave count. Crude oil closed with a large bearish candlestick, completely erasing the gains from Friday and Thursday of last week. It's worth noting that when there's no news or geopolitical support, the bears often outperform the bulls in terms of technical movement. Yesterday's decline also confirmed that the chart pattern wasn't a flat 3-4 wave structure, but rather a zigzag 3-4 wave. Looking at the daily chart, the price was pressured after touching the 60-day moving average, indicating that this upward move, forming a long and complete 3-4 wave, was a preparation for the 3-5 wave decline. The easing of tensions between Russia and Ukraine has also contributed to the bearish trend in crude oil. The current 3-5 wave hasn't yet gained momentum, but once it does, it could break below $55. Therefore, we will continue to trade with a bearish bias today, using small stop-loss orders to aim for larger profits.
Today's crude oil recommendation: 1. Sell at $59.20, with a stop loss of 30 points and a take profit at $57.40. (Alternatively, consider selling near $58.95).
2. If you feel that selling at $59.20 in strategy 1 is too risky, you can sell at $59.50 for a more conservative approach, with a stop loss of 30 points and a take profit at $58.
USOIL Bearish Continuation After Trendline RejectionUSOIL Trade Setup (1H Chart)
Key Levels:
Resistance Trendline: Downward sloping
Support Zone: 59.00 – 59.50
Target Zone: 58.20 – 58.40
“WTI Crude Oil continues to trade within a clear bearish structure, marked by a consistent series of lower highs. The descending trendline shows strong seller control, as price repeatedly fails to break above it.
A major support zone is highlighted around 59.00 – 59.50, where price is currently moving toward after another rejection from the trendline. This reaction confirms the bearish continuation pattern.
If the support zone breaks, the next downside target lies near 58.20 – 58.40, where previous demand and liquidity accumulation occurred.
As long as price remains below the descending trendline, the bearish bias stays intact. Only a clean 1H close above the trendline would weaken this bearish setup.”
Trend: Strong bearish continuation
Bias: Sell below trendline
Support Zone: 59.00 – 59.50
Next Targets: 58.20 → 58.40
Invalidation: Breakout and close above the descending trendline
USOIL: Market Sentiment & Price Action
The analysis of the USOIL chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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wti 1h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
Update on the oil analysisBased on yesterday’s analysis on oil, we said it was a good buying opportunity and that the price had a high chance of reaching $62 per barrel. Today, the price didn’t make any significant move, and we’re only seeing a lot of lower wicks on the candles, which is a good sign and shows strong buying interest.
I don’t think there will be any major movement for the rest of tonight, so we’ll keep the position open for next week and see how the move continues.
Daily Market Report — Thursday, Dec 4, 2025📉 Market Moves
WTI (CLF26): +1.22% → 2-week high
RBOB (RBF26): –0.01% → flat-to-negative
Crude rallied on geopolitics + stalled peace talks, while gasoline stayed weighed down by weak demand signals and pricing cuts from Saudi Arabia.
📊 Key Drivers
Bullish Drivers (major upside catalysts)
1. No breakthrough in US–Russia peace negotiations
Market takeaway:
War is not ending soon
Sanctions on Russian energy remain
Expected return of Russian supply is pushed further out
This was the primary reason WTI broke to a 2-week high.
2. High geopolitical tension in Russia + Venezuela
Russia:
Putin threatens to attack ships helping Ukraine
4 Russian tankers hit in Black Sea
Baltic terminal and CPC pipeline disruptions continue
Russia has lost 13–20% of refining capacity
Venezuela:
Trump declares airspace “closed”
Potential U.S. military strikes
This combination adds a multi-regional risk premium that directly supports crude.
3. Russian export collapse continues
Vortexa shows:
Russia product shipments at 1.7m bpd (3-yr low)
Structural supply tightness persists.
4. OPEC+ pauses increases for Q1-2026
This ensures:
No new supply coming
Market won't be flooded during a surplus-risk period
Bullish because it caps non-Russian supply growth.
5. Rig count collapse (4-year low)
US production risk tilts mildly downward:
Rigs now at 407, down from 627
Signals lower US output in future months
Bearish Drivers (limiting or reversing price strength)
1. Saudi Arabia cuts OSP to Asia → lowest in 5 years
This is a big demand signal:
Aramco cutting Arab Light by 30 cents
Lowest pricing since Jan 2021
Market interprets as weak Asian demand
This was the top bearish driver of the session.
2. Stronger dollar (intraday reversal from multi-week lows)
Dollar rose through the session → capped crude gains and flipped RBOB red.
3. Floating storage at a 2.5-year high
Vortexa:
124.64 million bbl, +12% w/w
The highest since mid-2023
Reinforces the “market saturated” narrative.
4. OPEC + IEA highlight global surplus outlook
OPEC’s Q3 revision → +500k bpd surplus
IEA’s 2026 surplus outlook → +4.0m bpd
Underlying long-term sentiment remains bearish.
📝 Post-Mortem — Thursday, Dec 4, 2025
Why WTI broke to a 2-week high?
War isn’t ending → sanctions remain
Russian tanker attacks escalate supply risk
CPC + terminal disruptions keep pressure on flows
Risk-on sentiment early session
OPEC+ supply cap confirmed
These outweighed the bearish factors.
Why gasoline closed flat-to-negative?
Because gasoline is demand-led:
Saudi OSP cut = huge demand warning for Asia
Dollar strengthened intraday → imports more expensive
Crack spreads soften when economic signals weaken
Thus gasoline diverged from crude and closed red.
What the session tells us
The physical supply side remains tight, but not tightening further.
The demand side is weakening, with Saudi pricing cuts confirming it.
Market is now extremely headline-sensitive, especially around peace talks.
Expect jerky, volatile sessions until clarity emerges from either:
Peace negotiations
Russia export flows
Saudi pricing shifts
OPEC+ messaging
US macro data
U.S. Crude Oil (WTI) The upside barrier is located at $59.66
U.S. crude Oil continues to post mixed results as we hold within the corrective channel formation.
We have a resistance zone between $59.66 and $59.80.
Price in this area continues to attract the sellers.
We could be analysed as holding within a large Wyckoff accumulation zone. This would have an eventual bias to break to the upside.
A 261.8% extension level is currently located at $58.22. This is close to the base of the range
Conclusion: I would expect continued mixed and volatile trading. I look for rallies to be sold within the resistance zone
Bullish breakout?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is reacting off the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 59.54
1st Support: 59.01
1st Resistance: 60.82
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CRUDE OIL Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL price is reacting inside a major supply zone, suggesting a potential shift as liquidity begins to unwind. If orderflow confirms, price may slide back toward the target level as SMC dynamics align with bearish distribution. Time Frame 2H.
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Is a sharp move in oil close?A relatively long-term analysis of oil is giving the signal that there’s a possibility of a sharp move down toward $65 per barrel. So on the lower timeframes, we can look for entries and quicker triggers to catch this move. My personal view is that a sharp move is forming.
WTI Crude downtrend continuation resistance at 6980The WTI Crude continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 5980
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
Bearish Scenario (rejection at 5980):
A failed test and rejection at 5980 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
5796 – Initial support
5728 – Intermediate support
5667 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 5980):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 5980 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
6025 – First resistance
6100 – Further upside target
Conclusion
WTI Crude remains under bearish pressure, with the 5980 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
WTI Outlook: Downtrend Bias vs. Bullish HoldFrom a weekly timeframe perspective, crude’s price action has been trending within a downward-sloping parallel channel since October 24, inside a larger downtrending channel from June 2025, which itself sits within an even broader downtrend dating back to December 2023. This multi-layered structure frames the overall bias as bearish and defines the key levels that must be breached to shift the outlook from short-term movements toward a more favorable long-term structure.
Starting with the one-month channel:
• Key upside breakout levels lie at the 60-mark.
• The next resistance sits near the upper boundary of the six-month channel at 62.60.
• A confirmed close above this level could extend gains toward the two-year channel boundary at 66.40 first, then 70, before confirming a longer-term bullish breakout structure.
On the downside, beginning with the one-month channel again:
• A sustained hold below 56 is expected to extend declines toward the six-month channel support at 55.
• A confirmed close below 55 could extend losses toward the original long-term channel boundary at 49, offering another potential buy-the-dip opportunity.
A possible double-bottom reversal pattern could emerge, either from the 55 low or from the 49 low, for a longer-term rebound. However, as long as price remains within the bounds of the downtrending channel established since 2023, the broader bearish bias is expected to persist.
The key levels mentioned above remain the main dividing lines between structural bullish and bearish shifts in crude oil, despite the complex mix of fundamental drivers shaping the market.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) – 30-Minute Analysis1. Bullish Rejection at Support
Price is holding above the 58.40–58.50 demand zone, showing strong rejection and signs of buyer interest.
2. Long Setup Active
Entry: 58.50–58.70
Stop Loss: Below 58.25
Target: 59.90–60.00
This provides a solid risk-to-reward structure.
3. Structure Outlook
Market is attempting to form a higher low. A break above 59.20 may confirm bullish continuation.
4. Key Levels
Support: 58.30 / 58.50
Resistance: 59.20 / 59.60 / 60.00
Short-term bias: Bullish as long as the support zone holds.
