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USOIL: Check lower levels after breaking out of the rangeThis is my previous analysis — feel free to take a look for reference. OIL PRICE OUTLOOK (Week of Oct 06 - 10, 2025) 1. Institutional Forecast Updates ● IEA (Sep 15, 2025): WTI targets $64.2/bbl for 2025 and $47.8/bbl for 2026 Brent targets $68/bbl for 2025 and $51/bbl for 2026 ● Goldman Sach (Jul 14, 2025): WTI targets $63/bbl for H2 2025 and $52/bbl for 2026 Brent targets $64/bbl for H2 2025 and $56/bbl for 2026 ● J.P. Morgan (May 16, 2025): WTI targets $63/bbl for H2 2025 and $52/bbl for 2026 Brent targets $64/bbl for H2 2025 and $56/bbl for 2026 www.rigzone.com www.reuters.com www.jpmorgan.com 2. Key Drivers & Risks 🔹 Updates on Supply–Demand and Geopolitical News OPEC+ announced a milder-than-expected production increase of around 137 kb/d for November, leaving the oversupply outlook through 2026 largely unchanged. Geopolitical tensions in the Red Sea / Gulf of Aden have flared up again. U.S. inventories and weekly data: API estimated a draw of 3.7 mb (Sep 26), while recent EIA reports have shown mixed, inconsistent trends. Market consensus: Reuters’ latest survey keeps the Brent forecast at ~$67.6/bbl for 2025, unchanged from last month, with expectations for lower prices around $60 in 2025 and further weakness into 2026. 🔹 Watchlist for Next Week Official details on OPEC+’s November production implementation API / EIA weekly U.S. oil data Maritime security developments Any notable demand-side signals 🔹 Overall View Governments appear to favor keeping oil prices lower to support economic growth, though current levels are near or below breakeven for many producers. Oil prices are expected to gradually decline within a relatively narrow range of $70–$50, while potential supply–demand shocks remain key factors to monitor for any sharp volatility. 3. Technical Analysis * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ George Vann @ ZuperView
TVC:USOILShort
by ZuperView
XTI/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Falls Below $60XTI/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Falls Below $60 Friday’s comments from President Trump about the potential introduction of 100% tariffs on trade with China pushed WTI crude oil below the $60 level for the first time in four months. The bearish sentiment stemmed from fears of a global economic slowdown amid escalating trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies. The decline was further supported by news of peace efforts in the Middle East, which reduced the impact of geopolitical risk on oil prices. As the XTI/USD chart shows, WTI is currently trading below $60. How might the situation unfold next? Technical Analysis of the XTI/USD Chart In the long-term view, oil price movements (following the flare-up in the Middle East in June) have formed a descending channel shown in red — notably, the current price has fallen below its lower boundary. In the shorter term, we can observe an acceleration of the decline, emphasised by the purple trajectory lines. These observations suggest that selling pressure remains dominant, while any recovery attempts are likely to meet resistance near: → the psychological level of $60; → the lower boundary of the red channel; → the purple median line. Given that the White House is reportedly in favour of lower oil prices (as a means of stimulating the US economy and exerting pressure on geopolitical rivals), WTI crude could drift towards the year’s low around $55. However, from the demand-side perspective, it cannot be ruled out that the oil market, known for its false breakouts above previous highs (A, B, C), may repeat a similar move above peak D — a pattern that, in Smart Money Concept terms, would represent a liquidity grab. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
1
Crude oil -DAILY- 13/10/2025Oil prices rebounded after President Trump suggested he was open to a trade deal with China, calming markets rattled by his recent announcement of 100% tariffs and China’s retaliatory port fees on U.S. ships. The softer tone sparked a short-term recovery as traders covered losses from last week’s heavy selloff. The move is likely temporary, with limited upside unless genuine progress is made in trade talks. Meanwhile, rising OPEC+ production and easing tensions in the Middle East are keeping supply pressures elevated and capping further gains in the oil market. On the technical side, crude oil price has declined quite extensively late last week and has , for the time being, found sufficient support on the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. Currently, the price is trading just below the $60 price mark, which is also the psychological support of the round number, while at the same time, the moving averages are validating the overall bearish trend in the market. The Stochastic oscillator is still in the extreme oversold levels, but it has been in this area for quite some time, so the validity of the oscillator cannot be taken into consideration due to the prolonged period of oversold conditions. Even though the Bollinger Bands are quite expanded, there are no major signs of a reversal just yet; therefore, a sideways movement might be the most probable scenario in the upcoming sessions. Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
TVC:USOIL
by antreas_themistokleous_exness
Start Trade on - Crude Oil 📢 Side ways Range - 59.575 to 60.001- Don't Trade' 📢 On 4 Hours Chart Market Breaks below- 59.583 expect MKT fall down - Target Level 1- 58.308 Target level 2 - 56.233 .......................................................... 📢 If break above 60.005 can Take Buy Entry" Target Profit - 61.331 .................................................... HI Retail Trader. This subject to Educational Purpose" ✅ Please Do your own Analyzation and Use Proper Risk - Money management And Trade"💰💰💰 Smart Money Concept Make sure Use Stop Loss " ❌❌❌ - Risk Management Please Follow me" Subscribe My Channel 🔥🔥🔥
FX:USOIL
by MastermindIntelligent
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 58.884Colleagues, it appears that the downward movement is not over and I see several reasons to continue to look short. The higher order wave “C” is looking to complete the correction and I expect the start of the middle order wave “3” to see the low update and reach the support area at 58.884. Fundamental context Oil remains under pressure as supply increases and demand outlook weakens. OPEC+ decided to slightly raise output for November, while U.S. inventories keep growing. Crude lost about 8% last week, and EIA now expects lower prices by the end of the year — all of which supports the idea of a continued downside move within wave “3” toward the 58.884 support area. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
5
Usoil - Retracement to FVG Before Bullish ContinationMarket Structure & Key Levels Resistance Zone: Price reacted from this supply area, showing short-term rejection after BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside. FVG (Fair Value Gap): Price is expected to retrace into this imbalance zone for demand before resuming higher. Watch for bullish price action here. Weak Low: If price breaks this low, the bullish scenario becomes invalid and deeper downside may follow. Structure Highlights: BOS (Break of Structure): Several BOS points confirm previous bearish trend and recent short-term bullish correction. CHoCH (Change of Character): Marked at the base of reversal near FVG zone, indicating possible trend shift. EMA Confluence: Price hovering around short EMAs, showing possible slowdown and setup for a pullback. Trade Scenario Expected Move: Price could retrace to the FVG zone (imbalance fill) before a bounce. From there, bullish momentum may resume toward the target zone above resistance. Bullish Confirmation: Look for price to tap into the FVG, form bullish structure (e.g., BOS, CHoCH), and engulfing patterns or lower-timeframe entries. Target would be near recent highs or break above resistance at ~$59.90–60.00. Invalidation: Break below the Weak Low would invalidate this bullish setup and open room for further downside.
TVC:USOILLong
by Hamza_Gold
WTI Crude Oil Short Setup: Former Support Acting as New ResistanHello TradingView Community, This post outlines a potential short trade setup for WTI Light Crude Oil (XTIUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe. Technical Analysis: The chart highlights a key horizontal price level at approximately $59.83. This level previously served as a solid support base, holding the price up. We have recently witnessed a decisive breakdown below this support, indicating a shift in momentum to the bearish side. The price is now pulling back to retest this broken structure from below. This is a classic "support-turned-resistance" scenario. The expectation is that this level will now act as a ceiling, rejecting the price and leading to a continuation of the downtrend. Trade Setup: The short position tool on the chart visualizes a potential trade plan based on this bearish outlook: Entry: Approximately $59.83 (at the retest of the new resistance). Stop Loss: $61.00 (placed above the resistance zone to invalidate the idea if the price reclaims the level). Take Profit: $56.07 (targeting a new potential swing low). This setup provides a structured plan with a clear risk-to-reward ratio for a potential move lower. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and discussion purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading commodities involves significant risk. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately before making any trading decisions.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by professionaltrading70018
Can USOIL Break Higher? SMA Breach & Target at $68🛢️ USOIL Energy Market | Cash Flow Management Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 📌 Trading Plan: 👉 Bias: Bullish (pending order setup) 👉 Confirmation: When Simple Moving Average (SMA) is breached by buyers, trend confirmation is valid. 👉 Entry Style: Layered buy-limit entries after breakout confirmation (Thief Strategy 🕵️‍♂️ = multi-layer entry). 📥 Layered Buy Limit Orders (example setup): 64.00 ✅ 64.50 ✅ 65.00 ✅ 65.50 ✅ (You can increase the number of layered entries based on your own style — flexibility is the thief’s edge!) ⚠️ Important: Buy-limit layers are only valid AFTER breakout confirmation. Do not jump in without confirmation. 🎯 Risk Management (SL & TP): 📌 Stop Loss (Protective Level) Example stop placement: 63.50 (🔑 Note: This is my style. Manage risk in your own way — never copy-paste without adapting!). 📌 Target Zone Projected resistance near 68.00, aligned with: Weighted Moving Average (WMA) resistance Overbought conditions Possible “trap” zone ⚠️ 💡 Best approach: Secure profits step by step. Escape once the target region is approached. 📢 Note for Traders (Thief OG’s): I’m not recommending only my SL or my TP. This is just a framework. You’re responsible for your own money management, profits, and exits. Trade at your own risk, and take the bag when you feel it’s right. 💰 🔗 Correlation & Related Pairs to Watch: Energy markets are heavily correlated across multiple assets: 🛢️ TVC:USOIL / BLACKBULL:WTI – Main setup 🛢️ BLACKBULL:BRENT – Moves in sync with USOIL, watch for confirmation 💵 TVC:DXY – Stronger USD often pressures crude oil prices 💹 AMEX:XLE (Energy Sector ETF) – Tracks US energy stocks, gives indirect flow confirmation 🪙 FX:NGAS – Energy sector cousin, can sometimes give early signals of demand shifts Keep an eye on these related pairs/assets for flow confirmation and stronger conviction. 🧾 Key Points Recap: ✔️ SMA breach = buyers’ control confirmed ✔️ Layered entries (Thief Strategy 🕵️‍♂️) ✔️ Stop loss = personal choice (mine @63.50) ✔️ Target = 68.00 escape zone ✔️ Risk & reward = your own responsibility ✔️ Watch related assets for confirmation ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #USOIL #WTI #CrudeOil #EnergyMarkets #SwingTrade #DayTrade #TradingStrategy #PriceAction #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntries #XLE #BRENT #DXY #NGAS
TVC:USOILLong
by The-Thief
WTI Oil Shorting Opportunity | Technical + Macro Confirm📌 WTI CRUDE OIL | Money-Making Thief Plan 🛢️ (Swing/Day Trade) 🗡️ Thief Strategy Plan (Bearish Bias) Plan: Bearish setup confirmed — sellers in control after MA rejection of bulls 📉 Entry (Layered Style): 63.000 🔪 62.500 🔪 62.000 🔪 61.500 🔪 (You may increase or adjust layers based on your own plan) Stop Loss (Thief SL): @64.000 ❌ ⚠️ Adjust SL according to your risk & strategy Target (Thief TP): Key resistance zone + overbought trap @4.6700 🎯 Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I don’t recommend locking only my TP. Take your profits wisely & manage risk responsibly. 💰 ❓ Why This Plan? Moving average rejection confirms sellers’ dominance ⚔️ Technical indicators showing strong sell bias 📉 Layered entry strategy helps in catching moves efficiently 🎯 Oversupply risk + weak demand = bearish fuel 🔥 Retail & institutions both leaning short-side heavy 🐻 🔍 Market Analysis (Technical + Fundamental + Macro + Sentiment) 📊 Real-Time Price Action - Sep 05 Daily Change: -1.03% Monthly Change: -2.84% Yearly Change: -8.44% 😊 Retail & Institutional Sentiment Retail Traders: 35% 🐂 | 55% 🐻 | 10% 😐 Institutional Traders: 30% 🐂 | 60% 🐻 | 10% 😐 🌡️ Fear & Greed Index Current: 25/100 — Fear 😟 Mood: Cautious, driven by oversupply fears + weak demand ⚒️ Fundamental Score: 40/100 (Bearish) U.S. crude inventories unexpectedly +2.42M vs. -2.19M expected 📈 OPEC+ considering production increase 🌍 Weak China demand signals 📉 🌐 Macro Score: 35/100 (Bearish) Fed rate cut expectations (25bp likely in September) 💸 Global slowdown fears 🌎 (Europe + Asia weak data) Geopolitical risks (Russia-Ukraine) limited impact 🚨 🏁 Overall Market Outlook: Bearish (Short Bias) 🐻 Declining prices + rising inventories + OPEC+ supply hike risk Technicals = Strong Sell (daily/weekly) Sentiment favors sellers across the board 🔮 Key Takeaway WTI/USOIL remains heavy under supply pressure + demand weakness. Market sentiment is fearful, with both retail & institutions leaning short. ⚡ Keep eyes on U.S. jobs data + OPEC+ decisions for any trend shifts. 📌RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH BRENT CRUDE ( TVC:UKOIL ): $66.42 (-1.8% daily) NATURAL GAS ( FX:NGAS ): $2.84 (-0.7% daily) ENERGY ETFS: XLE, USO, UCO OANDA:CADJPY : Oil-correlated currency pair ENERGY STOCKS: NYSE:XOM , NYSE:CVX , NYSE:COP , NYSE:SLB ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #USOIL #WTI #CrudeOil #ThiefTrader #EnergyMarkets #Commodities #OPEC #SwingTrade #DayTrade #OilAnalysis
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by The-Thief
The US-Oil will jump from the historic Support LevelHello Traders In This Chart US-OIL HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today US-OIL analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (US-OIL market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on US-OIL Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
TVC:USOILLong
by ForexMasters2000
1
WTI 4H🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths. As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels. ⚠️ Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way. ✅ Recommendation for Use: To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
CFI:WTI
by Deltafx_Broker
WTI with bearish momentum dominatingDue to a larger-than-expected increase in crude oil inventories, WTI prices fell. From the daily chart perspective, oil prices have broken below the lower edge of the trading range, and the medium-term objective trend is downward. Currently, oil prices are fluctuating near the lower edge of this range. The fast and slow lines of the MACD indicator are below the zero line, with bearish momentum dominating. It is expected that the probability of oil prices moving in an oscillating downward pattern in the medium term is relatively high. Sell 60 - 60.2 TP 59 - 59.5 SL 60.5 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
CFI:WTIShort
by Clarke_analysis