Best spot to go long on OIL / WTINeed I to say more.
Oil has had not one but three attempts to go and break the $56 level which we consider as a base price since some time now for this commodity and it has failed. Then it has has a very decent upwards impulse (which for the time being we will take as an A wave) followed by quite a long and structured correction with a false break out inside as well. At this point, it cannot get better than this to go long from today's low.
First target is the +0.27% of the aforementioned impulse that took the price from $56 of October 20 to $62 of October 24.
Levels on the chart, trade with care. If structured properly this is at least a 1:10 risk to reward operation.
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Trade ideas
USOIL H4 | Bearish Drop OffMomentum: Bearish
The price is currently moving along a descending trendline and remains below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating continued downside pressure.
Sell entry: 60.35
Pullback resitance
Stop loss: 61.42
Pullback resistance
Take profit: 58.21
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Bullish Move After Trap
There is a high chance that Crude Oil will pull back
from the underlined daily key level.
I see a confirmed bear trap followed by a bullish imbalance
candle on an hourly.
I expect a rise at least to 58.51 level.
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Crude Market Stalls as Prices StruggleCrude Market Stalls as Prices Struggle
Fundamental Analysis
1. USOIL remains under pressure on persistent oversupply concerns, with weak economic activity weighing on demand.
2. This is further compounded by a stronger U.S. dollar, which continues to pressure oil prices.
Technical Analysis
3. Technically, USOIL is trading within a descending channel, making lower swings while a bearish EMA stack confirms the prevailing downtrend.
4. The recent rebound lacked momentum and quickly slipped back below the EMA stack, suggesting it was only a short-term rally within a broader bearish trend, with no signs of a bullish reversal so far. Any rebound would be an opportunity to make a lower high.
5. The rejection of resistance around 61.50 signals renewed downside risk, opening the way for a potential move back toward the previous low near 55.00.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
US OIL SUPPORT, RESISTANCE & TRENDLINE ANALYSISHello Guyzz apologies for ghosting out.
Let's do this. Go "LONG" only if it break 60 and above its a key hurdle and sellers are active with 60.22 and 60.69 as the possible targets.
Go "SHORT" below 59.92 with 59.60 as the first target and breaking that might lead to 59.29 and breaking further might go till 58.98 and lastly 58.52.
USOIL BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 59.57
Target Level: 56.37
Stop Loss: 61.70
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
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Potential bullish reversal?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 59.38
1st Support: 59.01
1st Resistance: 60.16
Disclaimer:
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WTI OIL Is it possible to crash at $30.00?WTI Oil (USOIL) has been declining for 3 straight months (current red 1M candle is the 4th one) since the June 2025 rejection on the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). That has been the last rejection of a series of Lower Highs rejections on the 1W MA100 in the past 2 years.
On the much longer-term scale, this is the aftermath of the March 2022 market Top, made as a direct result of the Ukraine - Russia war. On a 17-year horizon, that was the 2nd Lower High of the multi-year Channel Down that WTI has been trading in since the July 2008 Top of the Housing Crisis.
As you can see, there is a high degree of symmetry on this pattern with Lower Lows in particular (market bottoms) getting formed around every 5-6 years. The use of the Time Cycles can fairly accurately project this. The next one is estimated to be towards the end of 2026, which matches perfectly the projected Bear Cycle bottom on the stock markets.
Based on this model, we may very well see WTI drop to as low as $30.00. A fairly solid bottom buy indicator would be when (if) the 1M RSI breaks below its 30.00 (oversold) barrier.
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WTI resumes slideExcess supply concerns continue to hold back oil each time it tries to stage a recovery, and today it looks like the market has decided that it wants to trade below $60 per barrel. WTI has been testing this barrier from underneath for a few days but today it looks like the advance has been rejected once again. Prices have broken below the lows of the past two days, thus triggering some stops. From here $58.00 could be the next stop, below which there is nothing significant in terms of support until $55.00.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
WTI Crude capped at 6100 ahead of weekly inventoriesThe WTI Crude continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 6100
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
Bearish Scenario (rejection at 6100):
A failed test and rejection at 6100 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
5835 โ Initial support
5768 โ Intermediate support
5667 โ Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 6100):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 6100 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
6150 โ First resistance
6220 โ Further upside target
Conclusion
WTI Crude remains under bearish pressure, with the 6100 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Extends RecoveryMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Extends Recovery
Crude oil price is rising and it could climb further higher toward $62.00.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices are moving higher above the $60.00 resistance zone.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $59.80 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil, the price started a decent increase from $58.00 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke $59.00.
There was a sustained upward movement above $59.50 and $60.00. The bulls pushed the price above the 50-hour simple moving average, and the RSI climbed toward 70. A high was formed near $60.75 before there was a minor pullback.
The price declined toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $58.11 swing low to the $60.75 high. However, the bulls are active above $60.00. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $59.80.
Immediate resistance is near $60.75 level. If the price climbs further, it could face hurdles near $61.50. The next major stop for the bulls might be $62.20. Any more gain might send the price toward $63.50.
Conversely, the price might correct gains and retest the 50-hour simple moving average or the trend line. The next area of interest on the WTI crude oil chart is near the 61.8% Fib retracement at $59.10. If there is a downside break, the price might decline to $58.10. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward $56.50.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Energy Sector Liquidity Purge & Algo Reversal:-WTI Crude WTI Crude 19th Nov 2025: ๐ข๏ธ Energy Sector Liquidity Purge & Algo Reversal
Market Journal: WTI Crude Intraday Vector Analysis
Asset: WTI CASH (Spot) Current Price: 60.530 Time: 11:10 AM UTC+4
Strategic Overview: WTI Crude is currently testing a critical demand zone at 60.530 . Our proprietary liquidity models detect a Wyckoff Spring event on the 15m timeframe, suggesting a potential institutional accumulation phase. This aligns with a Bullish Divergence on the RSI, indicating seller exhaustion and a probable mean reversion to the VWAP baseline.
Technical Confluence & Pattern Recognition
Elliott Wave Dynamics: The market has completed a 5-wave motive down-move. We are currently in the corrective A-B-C phase, with Wave A projected to test immediate resistance. Chart Patterns: A Falling Wedge is maturing on the 1H chart, a classic reversal formation. Intraday price action is carving out an Inverse Head and Shoulders right shoulder. Indicator Matrix:
Bollinger Bands: Price has pierced the Lower Band and is snapping back, signaling an oversold bounce.
Volume Profile: Declining volume on the recent down-leg confirms weakening bearish pressure.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is below the Kumo, but the Chikou Span is approaching price, hinting at a potential breakout attempt.
Actionable Trade Plan (Intraday)
// Key Levels of Interest Resistance_Zone = 61.200 - 61.500 Pivot_Point = 60.800 Support_Level_1 = 60.200 Support_Level_2 = 59.800
๐ข Bullish Scenario (Primary): A confirmed breakout above 60.800 validates the reversal thesis. Entry: 60.850 - 60.900 Stop Loss: 60.400 Take Profit 1: 61.500 (200 EMA) Take Profit 2: 62.100 (Key Supply Zone)
๐ด Bearish Scenario (Alternative): Rejection at the pivot or loss of 60.200 resumes the downtrend. Entry: Below 60.150 Target: 59.500
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading commodities involves significant risk.
Crude oil trading strategyDemand side: Structural highlights stand out, terminal consumption resilience exceeds expectations
Asia resumes replenishment demand temporarily
China's refining margins have recovered (the 3-2-1 cracking spread has risen to $26 per barrel), with sufficient remaining import quotas in November, and it is expected that crude oil purchase volume will increase by 12%-15% in the latter half of the month. India's refineries have initiated a new round of replenishment due to the traditional consumption peak in December (increased holiday travel), with the import volume expected to exceed 5.4 million barrels per day in November. The increase in Asian demand accounts for more than 70% of the global demand increase, becoming a key support for short-term bulls.
Finished oil inventory reduction confirms consumption resilience
The latest EIA data shows that gasoline inventories have decreased for two consecutive weeks (cumulative reduction of 1.8 million barrels), and distillate oil inventories have decreased for three consecutive weeks (cumulative reduction of 2.1 million barrels). The extent of finished oil inventory reduction far exceeds market expectations, reflecting the resilience of terminal consumption. U.S. gasoline retail sales increased by 3.2% month-on-month (a new high in the past two months), and European diesel consumption decreased by 2.1% (previously 5.8%), with the improvement in the consumption side easing concerns about "weak demand", providing fundamental support for the rebound in crude oil prices.
Crude oil trading strategy
buy๏ผ59.30-59.60
tp:60.20-60.50
sl:58.80
#OIL Buy@low Sell@highPast few days I am buying #crudeoil on every drip.
I am expecting the oil could be in a Bull run for the next few months.
#buy@low #sell@high
Simple trading strategy support & resistance
All trading methods will give only 49% or 51% - #money Management is the key
Your money management only decides your profit
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@low #sell@high
Any trade money management is a tool to help you grow your portfolio.
Simple trading strategy support & resistance
All trading methods will give only 49% or 51% - #moneyManagement is the key
Your money management only decides your profit
#BTC #forex #supportortandresistance #tradinging #swingtradingstrategies #buy #sell #EURUSD #Gold #niftyy #s&p500 #etf #QQQ #IWM #future #options #longterm #XAUUSD #silver #USDCAD #BTCUSD
#BTC #forex #supportortandresistance #tradinging #swingtradingstrategies #buy #sellll #EURUSD #goldd #niftyy #s&p #etf #qqq #iwm #future #options #longterm #btc #forex #etf #option #money #earning #dollars #bitcoin,#btc,#spy,#forex,#bitcoin,#supportlevel,#RESISTANCELEVEL,#TESLA,#S&P500,#NVDIA,#APPLE,#AMAZON,#NIFTY,#META,#RSI,#STOCKMARKET,#SHAREMARKET,#GOLD,#OIL,#SILVER,#INTRADAY,#SWINGTRADE,#LONGTERM,#INVESTMENT,#SELL,#BUY,#BID,#ASK,#MARKET,#INVESTORS,#IWM,#OPTION,#FUTURES,#US,#ALIBABA,#CASH,#CASHFLOW
USOIL Breakout ConfirmedโIs the Uptrend Ready to Extend?๐ WTI CRUDE OIL (USOIL) โ SWING TRADE SETUP | VWMA BREAKOUT CONFIRMED ๐ข๏ธโก
๐ฏ TRADE OVERVIEW
Asset: WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) โ Energies Market
Trade Type: Swing Trade (Multi-Day Position)
Bias: ๐ข BULLISH โ Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) breakout confirmed near $61.00
๐ TRADE PLAN
๐น Entry Strategy: "Thief Layering Method"
Primary Entry Zone: Post-VWMA breakout above $61.00
Layered Limit Orders (Multiple Entry Points):
๐ฆ Layer 1: $59.00
๐ฆ Layer 2: $59.50
๐ฆ Layer 3: $60.00
๐ฆ Layer 4: $60.50
Note: You can add more layers based on your capital allocation and risk tolerance. This strategy allows averaging into the position as price pulls back.
๐ Stop Loss Management
Thief's SL: $58.00
โ ๏ธ IMPORTANT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's),
This is MY stop loss level. Adjust YOUR stop loss based on YOUR strategy and risk management plan. I do not recommend blindly following my SL โ manage your own risk and capital accordingly.
๐ฏ Take Profit Target
Primary Target: $64.00
Technical Reasoning:
SuperTrend ATR line acts as strong dynamic resistance
Potential overbought zone + bull trap risk
Escape with profits before reversal pressure
โ ๏ธ IMPORTANT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's),
This is MY take profit target. Take YOUR money at YOUR own risk. You are responsible for your profit-taking strategy โ trail stops, scale out, or exit fully based on YOUR trading plan.
๐ CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (USD-Denominated)
Monitor these related assets for confirmation and risk assessment:
๐ข๏ธ Energy Sector:
Brent Crude Oil (UKOIL) โ Typically trades $2-5 above WTI; if Brent is bullish, WTI usually follows
Natural Gas (NATGAS) โ Energy sector sentiment indicator
๐ต Currency Pairs:
USD/CAD โ Inverse correlation to oil (CAD = petro-currency). If oil rises, USD/CAD typically falls
DXY (US Dollar Index) โ Strong dollar = bearish pressure on oil. Watch for weakness in DXY to support oil rally
๐ Equity Markets:
Energy Sector ETFs (XLE) โ Tracks US energy stocks; bullish XLE confirms oil sector strength
S&P 500 (SPX) โ Risk-on sentiment supports commodity prices
โก Key Correlation Points:
Oil โ + USD/CAD โ = Strong bullish confirmation
Oil โ + DXY โ = Supportive macro environment
Oil โ + XLE โ = Energy sector momentum aligned
๐ฌ Engagement Call-to-Action
๐ If you found this analysis helpful, smash that LIKE button!
๐ฌ Drop your thoughts in the comments โ are you bullish or bearish on oil?
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USOIL ANALYSIS SETUP READ THE CAPTIONUSOIL is consolidating above a strong support zone while forming higher lows, indicating bullish pressure building. Price is currently testing the trendline resistance, and a clean breakout could open the way toward the upper target zone. As long as price stays above support, the bullish scenario remains valid.
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USOIL : LIVE TRADEHello friends
Given the price growth, you can see that buyers have repeatedly tried to break the resistance but were unsuccessful and the weakness of the trend is quite clear.
Now we can trade with capital and risk management and account management.
This is not a buy or sell offer.
*Trade safely with us*
USOIL Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 59.384.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 61.007 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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