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SPX GEO+ Cycle Update: "SPX: April Low Called, Target 8000+"SPX GEO+ Cycle Update: April Low Called Precisely (Next Target: 8000) On January 5th, 2025, when SPX was trading at 5942, I published an analysis in Italian using my GEO+ Cycle methodology that made two specific projections: 📉 A low around 5000 in April 2025 📈 Then an advance targeting 8000 by 2026 Update: April delivered exactly as projected. The geometric patterns suggested April would mark a significant turning point, and the market found strong support right in the anticipated zone and timeframe. About GEO+ Cycles: After 15 years studying market geometry, I've developed a framework that identifies multi-decade structural patterns. These aren't traditional technical indicators—they're mathematical relationships that help project major turning points with remarkable precision. Current Phase: We're now in the advancing phase of this cycle. Based on geometric projections, the target window for 8000 remains January 2026. Important Context: This represents cycle analysis for educational purposes, not trading advice. The methodology focuses on identifying major structural turning points rather than short-term movements. What's Next: I'll continue tracking this cycle's development and provide updates as we approach key geometric levels. For those interested in learning more about geometric market analysis, feel free to follow for updates on this and other cycle progressions. The mathematics of market geometry continue to unfold... Note: Originally published in Italian, now sharing these insights with the global TradingView community.
SP:SPX
by Actragea
Macroeconomic analysis of the American marketHello investor friends, today I bring an update on the macro economic state of the American economy which generally moves markets around the world. From the graph we can see the S&P 500 index on which 4 lines have been superimposed which coincide with: - FED interest rate - FED balance sheet - US inflation rate - US unemployment rate The vertical line on the graph coincides with the date of the last update I made 5 months ago. The central bank decides interest rates and the injection of money with the aim of keeping inflation low and avoiding too much unemployment. At the moment we have: - Unemployment rate at 4% (remained unchanged) - Inflation at 2.4% (decreased compared to 5 months ago) - The balance / release of printed money (continues to fall) - The interest rate remained unchanged (current 4.33%) Compared to 5 months ago the situation seems to have improved and is quite stable. The FED has decided to keep rates unchanged due to political issues as it would like to see clearly before making cuts. In general we can say that the situation seems quite good as, unemployment is low, inflation is at optimal levels, we see that the budget/money injection is decreasing and therefore leads to maintaining regular inflation and finally the interest rates being stable maintain a low level of unemployment. Given these factors we see that since the last update 5 months ago (i.e. in February), in the following weeks there was a collapse due to Trump's policies but that it was certainly an excellent opportunity to increase positions given that the macroeconomic situation was positive as it currently is. From today we could certainly expect further declines due to other monetary policies or other news, but as long as the macro situation is positive we have no reason to worry. 👍 Like if you want more macro updates in the future 🙋‍♂️ Follow me so you don't miss my future analyses ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research before making investment decisions. SP:SPX FRED:SP500 VANTAGE:SP500 AMEX:SPY VANTAGE:DJ30 AMEX:DIA CME_MINI:NQ1! FX:NAS100 NASDAQ:QQQ FX:EUSTX50 FOREXCOM:GER40 FX:AUS200
TVC:SPX
by LuTrader_LB
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this trading week, the S&P 500 Index has shown a predominantly downward/upward course of action and created a new Key Resistance at 6280. Currently, the index exhibits a bullish bias, with the Outer Index Rally objective set at 6420. However, it is crucial to note that the current price action may cause prices to see in a new light from their current fluctuation to push toward the Mean Support at 6200 before resuming their upward movement.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
SP500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 30 MINUTE TIME FRAME 📊 Technical Analysis – SP500 CFD (30-Minute Chart) ✅ 1. Overall Market Trend: The market is currently in a range-bound structure after a sharp upward move toward the 6,296 level. Price entered a clear supply zone and reversed sharply. Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) events indicate clear shifts in price behavior. 📌 2. Key Structure Zones: 🟩 Demand Zones: 6,240–6,250: First active demand zone — could trigger bullish reactions. 6,180–6,200: Deeper liquidity zone within the Discount area, ideal for long setups if tested. Price is approaching equilibrium and preparing for a potential reaction. 🟥 Supply Zones: 6,290–6,300: This premium zone caused the recent rejection and is currently acting as short-term resistance. 📈 3. Price Action & Candles: Price created a rising wedge near the highs, which broke down. Strong bearish candles followed, breaking key short-term structure levels. Price is now heading into the equilibrium zone and testing demand. 📌 4. Possible Scenarios: 🔻 If Price Falls: Watch for a reaction at the 6,240–6,250 demand zone. If this area breaks, the next downside target is 6,180–6,200 — a high-probability liquidity zone. 🔺 If Price Rebounds: A bullish reaction from the current zone could send price back toward 6,270+. A confirmed break of 6,296 would open the door to higher highs. 🧠 Summary Table: Condition Analysis Current Status In corrective phase after bullish impulse Short-Term Trend Bearish structure active (BOS, CHoCH present) Key Support 6,245 → 6,180 Key Resistance 6,290–6,300 Buy Opportunity Bullish confirmation at demand zones Sell Opportunity Weak reactions or breakdowns below BOS ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a buy/sell signal. Always trade based on your personal strategy and risk management plan. VANTAGE:SP500
VANTAGE:SP500
by AliSMA25
The S&P 500 Is Hitting New Highs, But Its Charts Look MixedThe S&P 500 SP:SPX has made a series of new all-time closing and intra-day highs in recent days as Wall Street staged a remarkable comeback from the April lows that followed President Donald Trump's announcement of "Liberation Day" tariffs. Does fundamental and technical analysis say the key index could go higher from here ... or pull back? Let's check it out: The S&P 500's Fundamental Analysis The SPX fell more than 21% intraday in less than seven weeks between its Feb. 19 peak and its April 7 low as Trump rolled out his plan for big tariffs on foreign imports. Many investors feared that high import duties -- coupled with foreign retaliatory tariffs on American exports -- would boost U.S. inflation and unemployment at the same time, creating "stagflation." But about a week after Trump rolled out the "Liberation Day" tariffs on April 2, the president paused much of the plan for 90 days to allow for trade talks with other countries. Risk-on assets quickly started to come back as Wall Street began to think deals with trading partners might blossom. So far, only the United Kingdom, China and Vietnam have played ball, but that's been good enough for many investors. Meanwhile, consumer-level U.S. inflation has largely been beaten back (at least for now), and Trump has had other economic victories as well. For example, his "Big, Beautiful Bill" of tax cuts and spending changes recently passed into law, offering what many see as multiple pro-growth provisions. True, the Congressional Budget Office warned that the Big, Beautiful Bill could add some $3.3 trillion to the U.S. government's already huge deficits over the next decade. However, the agency's projections didn't include $2.8 trillion of expected revenues over the next 10 years from Trump's tariffs. The CBO also chose to model almost no economic growth over the next decade, which probably isn't very realistic. Of course, it's still unclear whether Wall Street has already priced in all of the "Big, Beautiful Bill" potential positives, or whether the measure's tax cuts and deregulation will have their desired economic effects. Similarly, we don't know whether there are any more bilateral trade deals around the corner, or whether the Federal Reserve will soon cut interest rates -- which could boost stocks by making bond and money-market yields less attractive. The S&P 500's Technical Analysis Now let's look at the SPX's chart going back some four months and running through midday Tuesday: Readers will see that the S&P 500 has been in a clear uptrend for the past three months, as denoted by the orange- and purple-shaded areas above. The index has colored neatly within the lines, finding support at the lower trendline in mid-June. Additionally, support came at the S&P 500's 21-day Exponential Moving average, or "EMA, marked with a green line above. More recently, the S&P 500 also enjoyed the benefits of what we call a "golden cross." That's when the index's 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line) crosses above a rising 200-day SMA (marked with a red line). That's historically a bullish technical signal for the index. The S&P 500 also experienced "Day One" bullish reversals on May 27 and June 23. Those "Day Ones" were then confirmed on June 3 and June 26, respectively. A "Day One" reversal occurs when an index reversed direction up or down on increased trading volume, followed by a "Confirmation Day" that moves the market in the same direction as the reversal on increased volume as well. That combination typically signifies changes in an index's short-term trend. Now, astute readers might notice that the S&P 500's June 23 "Day One" reversal occurred on decreased day-over-day trading volume. However, that's misleading because the market day just prior to June 23 was a "triple-witching" day, which technical analysts therefore discard. Readers should also understand that there must be at least a one-day pause between a "Day One" reversal and a "Confirmation Day." Otherwise, technical analysts will consider both days to represent one move, and we wouldn't have a volume-based technical confirmation. Next, let's look at the SPX's chart going back to January and running through midday Tuesday: This chart shows that the S&P 500 is in danger of putting in what's called a "Double Top" pattern of bearish reversal, denoted with the red boxes above marked "Top 1" and "Top 2." With all that's going on politically and geopolitically, that's a concern. On top of that, Q2 earnings season begins next week, and analysts' consensus is for rather paltry 5% year-over-year earnings growth for the S&P 500 component companies as a whole. In addition, the S&P 500 has a conflicting Relative Strength Index ("RSI") and Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD"). The index's RSI, marked with gray lines at the above chart's top, is practically at technically overbought levels. But at the same time, the daily MACD (marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is showing signs of weakness. The histogram of S&P 500's 9-day EMA (the blue bars) is now below the zero-bound, which is historically a short-term bearish technical signal. On top of that, the 12-day EMA (the black line) is threatening to cross under the 26-day EMA (the gold line). This hasn't happened yet, but would be a short-term bearish signal if it did. Add it all up and the S&P 500 is showing a mixed technical picture right now despite trading at or close to all-time record highs. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in S&P 500-related ETFs or mutual funds at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
SP:SPX
by moomoo
Quick take on the S&P500From the very short-term perspective, the SP:SPX is currently stuck in a tight range. Waiting for a little breakout. Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
TVC:SPX
by Marketscom
20% in 60 daysSince the 90's we have seen many times where the broader market (SPX) has seen a pretty significant pull back, more than 10% and then a rally. Almost every time the market rose more than 20% in 60 days or less has been a good place to take profits. Clearly everything is super bullish right now, and I am not saying this will be the top, I am simply saying, we could experience a correction driven by profit taking. In an uptrend, you want to be a buyer on pull backs, so a pull back could give us another longer term opportunity
FX:SPX500
by OfficialTradeTalk
1
S&P 500 - Sell in May, return anther day. The truth - 2025No doubt everyone has heard a variation of the phrase: “Sell in May, return another day.” In Wikipedia it is written: “Sell in May and go away is an investment strategy for stocks based on a theory (sometimes known as the Halloween indicator) that the period from November to April inclusive has significantly stronger stock market growth on average than the other months. In such strategies, stock holdings are sold or minimised at about the start of May and the proceeds held in cash” A public comment from last year: “Over 100 years ago, the (practical) reason to sell in May and September, was to pay seasonal workers to seed the field (May) and to harvest (September). Caravans of landlords and farm owners went to New York to sell stocks and withdrew money from the banks to do payrolls so for people without agricultural business, i'll say it's okay to hold in May” If we are to take all this at face value then we should be unwinding our long term positions until the Autumn? What does the chart say? On the above monthly chart of the S&P 500 each vertical line marks the month of May going back to 2012. That is a dataset of 13 points. The facts: 1) From the month of May onwards, 11 from 13 periods returned positive price action of not less than 10%. Selling in May was a bad choice. 2) 2015 and 2022 saw corrections of 15% from May onwards. However in both examples the correction was erased within 12 months as the index continued the uptrend. In summary, 86% of the time a minimum return of 10% was seen before the year end. Amazing odds. Furthermore, corrections up and until the end of April (like we’re now seeing) represented some of the best long opportunities. Sell in May go away? I suggest it should be: Buy in June and watch it boom! Ww
SP:SPX
by without_worries
81