THE NEXT MOVE WILL BE PARABOLIC! CRYPTO GOING TO FOLLOW!We are in a bubble phase, the next move will be big until start of Q2 2026.
Trade ideas
SPX500 Local Short!
HI,Traders !
#SPX500 made a nice
Bullish move up and
made a retest of
The horizontal resistance
Level of 6750.77 from where
We are already seeing a bearish
Reaction and so we will be
Expecting a further move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
A healthy consolidation should dip lowerA healthy consolidation should dip lower (around $6,648 or even better $6,000) before bouncing.
But will the billionaires manipulating this market have the patience — or will they fire their money into the air too soon?
Hopefully, we get a deeper correction for a solid long setup by the end of the week and a strong rebound next week.
Patience is key. 🕒
Expected Moves (Old Favorite)Last week: +/- 94
Next week: +/- 178
Huge expansion next week! Broke the lower end of the expected move this week (red bar).
All credits to Don at Theotrade
SPX Pulls Back Hard — Testing Channel Support After Trade ShockPost:
SPX saw a sharp reversal after Trump’s renewed tariff threats on China, sparking a broad risk-off move. The index broke sharply from the upper channel, tagging the 21-day EMA and now sitting right on a minor key level within the ascending channel.
Momentum clearly flipped short-term, but the question now is whether there’s enough downside energy to break through both this key level and the channel’s lower boundary — a move that would shift structure from controlled pullback to confirmed trend break.
Key Levels:
• 6,535–6,550: Minor key level + channel support
• 6,750–6,780: Prior rejection zone
• 6,200: Major support if channel breaks
Focus: Watch for confirmation — either buyers step in at channel support, or momentum extends into a deeper structural break.
SPX500 — 4H ChartSPX500 — 4H Chart 📈
If the 4H candle closes above 6751.8, creating a new Break of Structure (BOS), we could see a pullback.
I’ll be watching for price action confirmation to buy on the retest.
Target: 6803
Today Fundamental Analysis Confirmed my Technical AnalysisSee my previous post where I stated that we were getting rejected the triple top was confirming the market was rolling over at least in the short term. Today Trump stating that China was becoming openly hostile caused a sell off. But the tape was telling the tale before it happened.
Crash ... 10 % and up 6760 is very important Pivot that price can`t pass for many reasons :
its 720 GANN angle since the uptrend begins in apr 2025 @ 4840
and it comes with upper trend that contain the price and face it down evey time it touch
Now . its matter of time before the movie start
This is how the big whales punish you when you trade in the markets
Gold at a record high
The dollar is also rising
Bonds are rising
Political tensions are increasing
Inflation is rising
Unemployment is increasing
Government shutdown
High tariffs
Yet the market hits a new record every other day by day
Patience is a virtue
Wait for a 10-15% crash before the end of the year
After they wipe out the sellers, as they always do
have a sit , have a kit kat
Is this real or not? SP500 and VIXA quick overview. SPY now under it's 18ma. Vix breaking out and holding above 18 dollars is an ominous sign. High Yield continues to fall. Gold probably makes another high.
US500 Remains Fundamentally ConstructiveFundamental Analysis
US500 remains fundamentally constructive, with robust year over year growth above 15% driven primarily by optimism in the technology and AI sectors. However, sentiment has cooled, leading to recent profit taking following fresh record highs. Key fundamental risks include worries over stretched valuations in tech and persistent uncertainty stemming from the ongoing US government shutdown and the resulting shortage of key economic data. Near term direction will be heavily influenced by the release of the University of Michigan sentiment index and the crucial September CPI, alongside the upcoming banking sector earnings.
Technical Analysis
The US500 is currently consolidating near 6,735 points after its recent peak. The dominant trend remains bullish, supported by the fact that all major Moving Averages (10 to 200 periods) are in "strong buy" territory. Momentum indicators like the RSI are approaching overbought levels, suggesting the rally needs a brief pause but have not yet signaled a reversal.
Key technical levels to watch are:
Immediate Resistance: 6,805 Stronger technical target for the medium term.
Pivot Support: 6,700, Potential bounce zone/trend continuation threshold.
Critical Support: 6,570, Key downside buffer; breach could signal a deeper correction.
Analysis by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
S&P 500 Watching 6,700 Support as Seasonal Tailwinds Strengthen.Hey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re keeping a close eye on US500 for a potential buying opportunity around the 6,700 zone. The S&P 500 remains firmly in an uptrend, with price currently in a healthy correction phase approaching a key support and trend confluence near 6,700.
Beyond the technical setup, seasonality adds a bullish layer — over the past 15 years, the S&P 500 has advanced 14 times in October to early November, averaging significant gain during this window.
If history rhymes, the current pullback could offer a compelling buy-the-dip opportunity into one of the market’s strongest seasonal periods.
Trade safe,
Joe.
SPX500USD 4H – Bullish Continuation SetupThe market continues to maintain an upward structure, with price consolidating just below the 6,770.00 resistance area. This zone remains key for buyers looking to confirm a continuation toward the next target at 6,830.74.
Support at: 6,700.00 /6,647.95/6,585.00 🔽
Resistance at: 6,770.00 / 6,830.74 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A strong 4H close above 6,770.00 would likely extend the bullish move toward 6,830.74, continuing the broader uptrend.
🔽 Bearish: Rejection from 6,770.00 and a break below 6,700.00 could lead to a pullback around 6,647.95 and even a deeper pullback toward 6,585.00.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
SPX500 – Futures Rebound Amid Shutdown Uncertainty and AI RepricSPX500 – Overview | Futures Rebound After Market Pullback
U.S. stock futures edged higher on Friday after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite retreated from record highs.
Investors are re-evaluating the AI-driven rally, rate-cut expectations, and the ongoing government shutdown, now entering its ninth day.
The shutdown’s continuation delays key U.S. economic data releases, increasing uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.
Technical Outlook
The price tested its support zone and rebounded, but momentum remains mixed.
To confirm renewed bullish strength, SPX500 must break above 6,757, which would open the way toward 6,770 → 6,791.
As long as the price trades below 6,757, short-term bearish pressure may persist toward 6,738 → 6,730.
A confirmed break below 6,730 would extend the correction toward 6,716 and signal further downside potential.
Pivot Line: 6,757
Resistance: 6,770 · 6,791
Support: 6,738 · 6,730 · 6,716
Summary:
SPX500 is consolidating after the pullback, with near-term bias depending on a break of 6,757 or 6,730.
Traders should expect volatility as the shutdown drags on and the market reassesses Fed policy expectations.
Global IPO Trends and the Rise of SME ListingsSection 1: Understanding IPOs in the Global Context
An Initial Public Offering (IPO) represents a company’s transition from private ownership to public trading on a recognized stock exchange. It allows businesses to raise funds from institutional and retail investors while providing liquidity for existing shareholders.
Over the past decade, IPO markets have evolved significantly, with technology-driven platforms, regulatory modernization, and global cross-listings simplifying the process. The increasing participation of retail investors, coupled with innovations like fractional investing, has made IPO participation more inclusive.
However, IPO performance tends to mirror global macroeconomic cycles. When markets are buoyant and investor confidence is high, IPO volumes surge. Conversely, during economic uncertainty or tightening monetary policies, new listings decline. This cyclical nature of IPOs underlines their sensitivity to interest rates, inflation, geopolitical risks, and currency fluctuations.
Section 2: The Changing Dynamics of Global IPO Markets
Between 2020 and 2025, the global IPO landscape underwent significant structural shifts:
Technology and Digitalization:
Technology firms, particularly in fintech, AI, and green tech, have led the IPO wave. Digital-first business models have attracted investors seeking growth and innovation, especially post-pandemic.
Sustainability and ESG Focus:
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) principles now influence investment decisions. Companies emphasizing sustainability and ethical governance tend to receive higher valuations and investor trust during IPOs.
Regional Diversification:
While the U.S. and China remain major IPO hubs, emerging markets — especially India, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East — are seeing record IPO activity. These regions offer young demographics, digital penetration, and pro-market reforms that make them attractive IPO destinations.
Rise of Cross-Border Listings:
Globalization has encouraged companies to list in multiple markets. Dual listings in exchanges such as NASDAQ, LSE, and Hong Kong have become common for firms seeking both capital and global visibility.
Private Market Maturity:
The rise of venture capital and private equity funding means startups are staying private longer. However, once they mature, IPOs remain the ultimate exit route, offering liquidity to early investors and founders.
Section 3: SME Listings — The New Engine of Global Growth
Traditionally, IPOs were dominated by large corporations, but the past few years have witnessed a paradigm shift. Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) are increasingly leveraging IPOs to raise capital, particularly in emerging economies.
The SME segment forms the backbone of most economies — accounting for nearly 90% of businesses and 70% of employment globally. Despite their economic importance, SMEs often face funding constraints due to limited access to credit, high collateral demands, and lack of investor visibility. The introduction of dedicated SME boards on stock exchanges has changed this dynamic.
What Are SME Listings?
SME listings refer to the inclusion of smaller companies on specialized stock market platforms designed to accommodate their size, scale, and compliance capabilities. Examples include:
NSE Emerge and BSE SME in India
AIM (Alternative Investment Market) in the UK
TSX Venture Exchange in Canada
Catalist in Singapore
GEM Board in Hong Kong
These platforms feature simplified listing requirements, lower costs, and flexible regulatory frameworks, encouraging smaller businesses to go public.
Section 4: Why SMEs Are Choosing to Go Public
The surge in SME IPOs globally is not accidental. Several factors drive this movement:
Access to Growth Capital:
IPOs offer SMEs a cost-effective way to raise long-term funds without heavy reliance on debt. This capital supports business expansion, technology upgrades, and international market entry.
Enhanced Visibility and Credibility:
Being listed on an exchange elevates a company’s market reputation, improving its brand image and investor confidence. It also attracts strategic partnerships and new business opportunities.
Liquidity for Founders and Early Investors:
Listing enables founders and early investors to partially exit or monetize their holdings, creating a transparent valuation benchmark.
Employee Motivation:
Stock options and employee shareholding plans become attractive tools for talent retention and motivation post-listing.
Corporate Governance and Transparency:
IPO-bound SMEs adopt structured governance models, enhancing long-term sustainability and investor trust.
Section 5: Regional Spotlight – SME IPO Growth Around the World
India: A Model of SME Capitalism
India has emerged as one of the fastest-growing SME IPO markets globally. Platforms like BSE SME and NSE Emerge have listed over 500+ companies since inception, many of which graduated to the main board due to strong performance. Sectors like manufacturing, logistics, IT, and renewable energy dominate the Indian SME IPO space. The government’s Startup India and Make in India initiatives have further boosted investor participation.
United Kingdom: AIM’s Success Story
The Alternative Investment Market (AIM) in London remains one of the world’s most successful SME-focused exchanges. It provides flexibility in governance and attracts high-growth businesses from multiple geographies. AIM’s success proves that small-cap listings can thrive in a well-regulated, investor-friendly environment.
Asia-Pacific and the Middle East
Singapore’s Catalist and Hong Kong’s GEM Board have been pivotal in integrating smaller Asian enterprises into global capital markets. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia’s Nomu platform is fostering regional SME listings as part of its Vision 2030 diversification strategy.
North America
The TSX Venture Exchange in Canada continues to be a leading platform for SME and resource-sector listings, attracting mining, energy, and tech firms. The NASDAQ First North in Europe serves similar purposes for innovative startups.
Section 6: Global Investor Appetite for SME IPOs
Investors are increasingly viewing SME IPOs as high-risk, high-reward opportunities. While large IPOs offer stability and liquidity, SME IPOs promise agility, innovation, and rapid scalability.
Institutional investors, venture funds, and family offices are diversifying their portfolios by allocating portions to SME IPOs, especially in growth markets like India, Indonesia, and Vietnam. Retail investors are also participating, aided by digital platforms, online brokerage access, and financial literacy initiatives.
However, due diligence is crucial. While some SME IPOs deliver multi-bagger returns, others may face post-listing volatility due to limited trading volumes or governance challenges. Therefore, risk management and portfolio diversification remain key.
Section 7: Challenges in the SME IPO Ecosystem
Despite impressive growth, SME listings face several obstacles:
Limited Analyst Coverage: Smaller companies often lack research visibility, making investor evaluation difficult.
Liquidity Constraints: Lower market capitalization can lead to thin trading volumes.
Regulatory Compliance Costs: Even simplified processes can be burdensome for micro-enterprises.
Investor Education Gaps: Retail investors may underestimate the risks associated with early-stage public offerings.
Addressing these challenges through regulatory support, investor awareness, and digital tools can significantly strengthen the global SME IPO ecosystem.
Section 8: The Future of Global IPO and SME Listings
Looking ahead, several trends are expected to define the future of IPOs and SME listings:
Digital IPO Platforms:
Blockchain-based and AI-enabled IPO mechanisms are simplifying subscription and allocation processes, making listings faster and more transparent.
Green and Impact IPOs:
Environmentally sustainable SMEs will dominate future IPO pipelines, aligning with global ESG priorities.
Decentralized Capital Raising:
Tokenized equity and digital securities might become alternatives to traditional IPO structures.
Global SME Integration:
Cross-border SME listings could become commonplace as global investors seek early exposure to emerging market innovation.
Government Incentives:
Many countries are now offering tax incentives and funding support for SMEs planning to go public — an encouraging sign for sustained IPO growth.
Conclusion: Democratizing Capital Through Global IPOs
The evolution of global IPO markets, coupled with the rise of SME listings, represents a fundamental shift in how businesses access capital and how investors discover value. IPOs are no longer the domain of corporate giants alone — they are becoming the growth engine for millions of SMEs worldwide.
As regulatory frameworks evolve and investor interest deepens, the democratization of finance will accelerate. From New York to Mumbai, London to Singapore, IPO platforms are empowering smaller businesses to dream bigger and compete globally.
In this new era of public offerings, innovation, transparency, and inclusivity are redefining the global capital landscape — making the IPO market not just a financial milestone but a symbol of global economic transformation.
If the market wants to go up, we followThe US500 is breaking the resistance level and trading to new highs. We have to remind ourselves that we are not here to predict, but rather to follow the market. The market is breaking higher, and thus we follow.
For this trade, likely best to just use a trailing stop loss using either a 2-day low price, or ATRx2 trailing stop loss.
Trendlines are one of the strongest indicators in technical analTrendlines are one of the strongest indicators in technical analysis. When we reach trendlines, it indicates something is about to happen, typically a consolidation and then either a breakout or a breakdown.
This is the weekly chart for the S&P 500, going back to 2018. The S&P is a strong gauge of the market’s health as it has a broad swath of companies and industries in comparison to smaller indices like the Nasdaq (tech) or the Dow Jones (a very small, select group of best performers). Additionally, the entire globe's indices tend to follow the S&P.
This chart shows 1-week candles dating back to 2018, where we saw the initial resistance trend we are bumping against now established. We are now testing it a third time after testing a bottom three different times, the last time exhaustively consolidating at the bottom before picking back up. The longer we consolidate at a trendline, the more chance there is for it to break down.
In our case now, if we continue up and break out of this 7-year trendline, it is a strong indicator that the stock market is about to break out even more, possibly establishing our old resistance as the new support line and reaching for unseasonably new highs.
Alternatively, if this resistance trendline holds as it has before, the S&P could easily lose 1,500 points while staying in range of its current trend.
If you are invested in equities and trying to decide whether to put more money in or move some of your investment dollars into something else in the near future, you should be paying attention to this chart!
Another thing to consider is the price of Gold, its up from $2400 to $4000 this year. Gold has definitely broke out and with no sign of weakness currently. Gold typicaly rises in price when the economic outlook is concerning to investors, as an attempt to safe haven some of their wealth. Usually when gold rises like this, the market has been dumping, not running. Mixed signals make it difficult read the coffee grounds, be vigilant and ready to react.
S&P500 fresh all time highUS equities regained momentum yesterday, with the S&P 500 up 0.58% to a fresh all-time high as investors shrugged off political uncertainty and the ongoing government shutdown. The broader risk-on tone was supported by strong global sentiment, easing bond yields, and renewed optimism across multiple asset classes.
Key drivers:
Political backdrop: Despite the US shutdown and political noise in France, markets focused on stability signals — notably President Macron’s decision to delay a snap election by pledging a new prime minister.
Global rally: Equities, bonds, oil, and gold all moved higher, reflecting a broad-based risk appetite. Gold hit a record $4,042/oz, suggesting some defensive hedging alongside equity strength.
AI momentum: The AI investment boom continued to fuel tech optimism, with Nvidia-backed startup N8n raising $180m at a $2.5bn valuation, underscoring ongoing enthusiasm around AI-linked growth.
Macro & policy: Investors largely looked past Washington gridlock, though air traffic disruptions and debate over furloughed workers’ pay added to the shutdown narrative.
Market tone:
Sentiment remains constructive for the S&P 500, with investors betting on resilient corporate earnings and continued AI-driven growth. However, elevated valuations and political uncertainty may temper further near-term upside.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6768
Resistance Level 2: 7800
Resistance Level 3: 6820
Support Level 1: 6695
Support Level 2: 6672
Support Level 3: 6642
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SPX.Poss first signs of trouble6700 pivot area.If that breaks and then becomes resistance on the bounce.Possible bear trap there first
SPX500 Tests Highs as AI and Rate-Cut Hopes Support RallySPX500 – Technical Overview
The S&P 500 continues to trade near record highs as AI strength and renewed rate-cut optimism offset lingering concerns from the U.S. government shutdown.
Markets remain supported by expectations of further Fed easing, though volatility may persist around key resistance zones.
Technical Outlook
The index is testing the previous week’s highs around 6,755–6,727.
A 1H close below 6,727 would confirm a short-term bearish correction toward 6,699 → 6,662.
Conversely, a 1H close above 6,755 would reinforce bullish momentum and open the way toward 6,770 → 6,791 → 6,820.
Pivot: 6,755
Resistance: 6,770 – 6,791 – 6,820
Support: 6,727 – 6,716 – 6,699 – 6,662
SPX...Ya might want to tighten stopsLets see if that trend can continue.?
Looks overstretched.That does not mean it will get sold
