Amazon (AMZN) forming inverse H&SNASDAQ:AMZN has formed an inverse head & shoulders pattern which has bullish implications but there is a sustainable breakout. Given the good results in past few quarters, fundamentals also support the bullish view.
Having said that, recessionary fears are here to stay though it might still be some time before something starts showing up in charts.
AMZN trade ideas
AMZN ~ Snapshot TA (Daily / Nov 2023)NASDAQ:AMZN chart mapping/analysis.
Consolidation within ascending parallel channel (green).
Bull target(s)
Ascending trend-line resistance (white dotted)
Upper range of parallel channel (green) + 78.6% Fib confluence resistance zone
Overhead gap fill (~163.27)
Bear target(s)
61.8% Fib
Underlying gap fills (~133.57 / ~121.64)
50% Fib
lower range of ascending parallel channel (green)
38.2% Fib
Upper range of descending parallel channel (light blue)
Amazon Cup and Handle Breakout Possibility Next WeekAmazon has formed a cup and handle on the weekly.
Current sentiment has turned bullish, yields are pushing lower and seasonals are great too for Amazon at this time of the year.
Fundamentally, AWS is the engine for Amazon and I expect revenue to pick up in that department in the coming months. As for retail, it should steadily deliver.
We need to finish above 147 in the coming week or get a bullish daily close in the daily and then the coast should be clear.
1st Target is 180.
5 Technical Indicators for Smart TradingNavigating the intricate world of trading requires a keen understanding of technical indicators. These powerful tools serve as guiding stars, illuminating market trends and potential entry or exit points. Today, we unravel 5 top technical indicators that stand as pillars in the realm of trading. Whether you're a beginner seeking foundational knowledge or an experienced trader aiming to refine your strategy, consider these indicators to enhance your analysis.
1. Moving Averages: Riding the Waves of Market Trends
Moving Averages (MA) are foundational tools in technical analysis, smoothing out price data to identify trends over specific periods.
Simple Moving Averages (SMA) provide straightforward trend indications, while Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) offer more weight to recent prices, making them highly responsive to market shifts. Traders often use crossovers between different MAs to pinpoint entry and exit points and utilize different lengths on different time frames. One common way traders use MA’s is to identify the overall trend using one or two moving averages.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Gauging Overbought and Oversold Conditions
RSI measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between zero and 100, traditionally using levels of 70 for overbought and 30 for oversold. Traders interpret divergences between RSI and price movements, seeking potential reversal points. Additionally, hidden divergences, where RSI disagrees with the underlying trend, are valuable for trend continuation strategies.
3. Bollinger Bands: Embracing Volatility for Profitable Trades
Bollinger Bands consist of a middle line being an MA (often 20 period) and two outer bands representing standard deviations from the middle band.
Volatility increases the distance between the bands, offering a visual representation of market volatility. When the price touches the upper band, it signals potential overbought conditions, while touching the lower band indicates potential oversold conditions. Traders also observe "band squeezes" as precursors to significant price movements.
4. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): Capturing Trend Changes
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a trend-following momentum indicator that highlights the relationship between two Moving Averages (MAs). The MACD line represents the difference between a short-term EMA (often 12 periods) and a long-term EMA (typically 26 periods). The signal line, usually a 9-period EMA of the MACD line, acts as a trigger for buy and sell signals.
Traders observe MACD crossovers, where the MACD line crosses the signal line, as potential entry points. Additionally, MACD histogram bars visualize the distance between the MACD and its signal line, offering insights into the strength and direction of a trend. By understanding these components, traders gain a nuanced understanding of potential trend changes and momentum shifts.
5. Average Directional Index (ADX): Measuring Trend Strength
The Average Directional Index (ADX) is a trend strength indicator that quantifies the strength of a market trend without specifying its direction. Typically, an ADX above 25 indicates a strong trend, while below 20 suggests a weak trend.
Traders use ADX crossovers and divergences with the price chart to distinguish between trending and ranging market conditions. A rising ADX suggests a strengthening trend, while a falling ADX may indicate a weakening trend strength.
Combining ADX with other technical indicators enhances a trader's ability to identify robust trends and potential reversals, providing a more comprehensive view of market dynamics.
Wrapping Up:
This article scratches the surface of the indicators listed, there are whole books written on some of them. We have gone more in-depth with most of these indicators in our previous articles. We have linked those articles below if you would like to learn more about any of these foundational indicators. Remember, while these indicators provide valuable data, combining them with a robust risk management strategy, other indicators for confirmation, and a deep understanding of market fundamentals ensures a holistic approach to successful trading. Happy Trading!
𝗔𝗺𝗮𝘇𝗼𝗻 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: $AMZN Weekly. Huge bull setupOver 145 and should see a nice run to 170 resistance. Large accumulation pattern (inverse H&S) with an implied target ~$200 🤯
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W PATTERNThe first ;eg of a W pattern pattern is Down.
The last leg, leg 4, is Up.
Valley 2 (V2) is lower than valley 1.
This brings a few patterns to mind as only a few have this scenario.
A Cypher is measured from the top of the 1st leg to the bottom of the 3rd leg (V2) and terminates near the .786. Price pierced the .786 today with a candle shadow.
The Nen-Star is measured in the same way but terminates at the 1.272 or very close.
A shark is measured using the 1st leg only, the down leg and the 4th leg terminates near the .886 for a Shark and the 1.113 for the Alternate Shark.
So I will wait and see.
No recommendation.
The market can be an endless procession of surprises. The expected rarely occurs and seldom in the expected manner.