Oil Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationOil (1-hour timeframe) analysis focused on a potential sell (short) opportunity. Price is currently trading around 59.40, inside a marked supply zone where previous selling pressure has appeared.
A possible scenario is illustrated:
• Price may push slightly higher into the upper part of the supply zone.
• After that small pullback or retest, the expectation is a downward move.
• The projected sell-off extends toward two key target zones:
Target Points;
1. First target area around 58.50
2. Final target area near 57.50,
Overall, the chart communicates a clean retest-and-drop structure, expecting price to react bearishly from supply and continue downward toward the next major support.
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Trade ideas
OIL: The Bearish Movement Could Resume AgainOIL: The Bearish Movement Could Resume Again
OIL tested a strong resistance zone near 60. This area corresponds also with a strong structure zone and also a psychological price that pushed the price down several times.
OPEC continues to increase the OIL production so the odds are to go down again
Key targets:
58.5
57.80
57.20
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
OIL Is Cheap For A ReasonOil is cheap because the global economy sucks! And it is "sucking" more and more every day. That's why Oil is on sale! Cheap! Cheap! And likely going to get more "cheap! cheap!" Me love you long time! Before I continue, story time.
In 2008, I could not convince anyone for the life of me that "PEAK OIL" was a scam! CNBC had T. Boone Pickens on twice a day, telling people we needed 238948735765374 barrels of oil to extract 1 barrel out of the ground.
Today, I can't convince anyone to skip EV, TSLA, AI, Crypto, the money has been made, GTFO. LOL!
As you can see, Oil is a much better long-term investment than all the hyped up trades pushed on to you daily.
Energy stocks make up about 3% of the S&P 500.
The Magnificent Seven circus? Roughly 36% of the entire index. LOL!
What are energy stocks going to do? Go to 1.5% of the SP500? Let it! Buy more!
BTW, you notice how they keep telling you AI will need all this energy? LOL! Wouldn't energy stocks reflect all that demand? LOL! SUCKA!
Anyway! Just look at the chart. If this makes sense to you and it fits your portfolio to BUILD a position long term, let me know in the comments. ;)
I have more on Oil here
THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥
Let’s keep climbing.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to the area of the maximum of wave “A”.Colleagues, the past forecast has not been canceled, but I see some changes and therefore feel it is necessary to make a fresh forecast.
Apparently, the corrective wave “B” has extended to the area of 57.930. This is quite close to the low of wave “C” at 56.408 and the price should not update it, otherwise there will be a full-fledged break of the structure.
In connection with the above, I think that the price is already completing the downward movement and I expect the resumption of the upward movement at least to the area of the maximum of wave “A” - 62.990.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI Oil - Price Squeeze
Fundamental backdrop
Global supply continues to outpace demand: new data shows world oil output rising sharply while demand growth remains modest, pushing inventories up toward multi-year highs.
Still, recent geopolitical tensions — including strikes on Russian infrastructure — have kept a risk-premium intact, helping crude avoid a steeper slide.
Technical view
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is trading around US $59–60/barrel, just above a key support zone near $56.00. The chart shows a wedge-like consolidation, suggesting volatility could erupt soon. Meanwhile, Bollinger Bands are narrowing — a typical “squeeze” that often precedes a breakout (in either direction).
Momentum is flat: the relative strength index (RSI) hovers near 50, and price remains below the 50-day moving average — technically neutral, but prone to sudden moves.
If oil breaks up from the wedge and tops the narrowing Bollinger Bands, a rally toward $62–65 is plausible. But with strong oversupply and soft demand, a breakdown below $56 could trigger a deeper slide — possibly into the mid-$50s.
Usoil Next Selling Move Analysis Read the DescrpitionUSOIL with technical analysis drawn on it. A green rising channel highlights a previous uptrend, which has been broken downward. Pink horizontal zones mark resistance and support areas. A downward arrow points toward a labeled “Target level,” suggesting a bearish expectation after price breaks below the support zone.
❤️ please Kindly support with Boost and Comment i need your feedback ❤️
Bullish on USOILPrice broke consolidation, and retested marked arear now I'm in the buys back to supply, risk management at play (always) Lets see if this plays out
NB: Documenting my trades and learning in the process, this is not financial advise just another trader making her way to profitability
WTI OIL targeting at least $56.00 on the short-term.WTI Oil (USOIL) continues to expand its 4-month Channel Down and has repeatedly been rejected on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) in the past 40 days.
As mentioned before, this is similar to September's price action, which eventually tested the previous Support before breaking it and move to a new Lower Low on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we are still expecting to see $56.00 on the short-term.
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Oil Market Outlook: Range-Bottom Reaction AheadHello traders,
Today I’m here with an analysis of Crude Oil.
Based on the chart, as you can see, the price is currently sitting on a support level.
Considering the global geopolitical situation and ongoing conflict news, we may see a potential rise in price.
Overall, we are looking at a sideways (range) market, and the price is now at the bottom of this range.
Therefore, our target will be the top of the range.
USOIL Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 59.542.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 58.960 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USOIL : Don't be fooledHello friends
Well, you see that we have a descending channel that has hit the ceiling twice and the ceiling three times.
Well, in the third encounter with the bottom or support, you see that the buyers provided good support for the price and pushed it up and broke our medium-term ceiling. Now, if the breakdown is confirmed, the price will go to the ceiling of the channel and from there, a price correction can be expected.
The specified range is very important for a sell trade. Why?
Because there are many orders here, if the price reaches this area, it will inevitably correct. And there is another reason that we have, and the most important reason is that our trend is down and we should not open a trade against the trend.
This analysis is technically reviewed and is not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Avoid emotional behavior and observe capital management.
*Trade safely with us*
USOIL Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 58.48
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 58.94
Recommended Stop Loss - 58.19
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
WTI/USD: Bullish Rally to 62.45?CFI:WTI is gearing up for a bullish rally on the 4-hour chart , with price rebounding from a key support zone near cumulative long liquidation levels, setting up a strong entry opportunity if buyers maintain control and push toward resistance amid recent consolidation. Entry from current levels could also be favorable with proper risk management.
Entry zone between 57.5-58.3 for a buy position. Target at 62.45 near resistance.🎯 Set a stop loss at 56.335 , offering a risk-reward ratio greater than 1:2 . 📊 Watch for confirmation with a bullish close above entry and rising volume, capitalizing on oil's volatility.🌟
Fundamentally , WTI crude has fallen to around $58.13 per barrel as of November 21, 2025, amid supply outpacing demand, but recent breakouts above $60.7 signal near-term positivity despite forecasts of further drops to $53.50-$45.00 due to OPEC+ hikes and record US output. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry Zone (Long): 57.5 – 58.3
🎯 Target (TP1): 62.45
❌ Stop Loss: 56.335
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: Greater than 1:2, offering a clean upside swing with defined invalidation.
What's your take on this setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Next UP OIL, i think its time to change direction nowwe are gonna be buying oil again very soon, i dont think it will go much high as it used to be while Trump is in charge but we are likely to see good profit on this,
targets are 65-69 for short term 78 for mid-long term and after that we will see how is everything shaping up.
BIG Clue: USOIL Price Compressing Above ResistancePrice is currently compressing, and suggests that a strong impulsive move is likely once price strongly escapes the structure.
See how price has been pressing directly against the upper trendline. This is an area to pay close attention to because repeated tests of this descending resistance can weaken it over time. The recent bullish candles approaching the trendline show growing buying pressure, which increases the probability of an upside continuation.
So for me, a move toward the 62.00 level would be technically well justified and achievable.
The support zone below is a structural base for the entire formation. Price remained above this zone. The failed bearish attempts to push price back into this zone further support the idea that sellers are losing control.
The key confirmation for the bullish scenario is a successful retest of that same trendline as support. If price holds above it and prints continuation strength, a move toward 62.00 becomes the dominant scenario.
But if price instead gets sharply rejected and falls back inside the formation, another rotation toward the lower boundary of the triangle would become likely before any breakout attempt.
This chart is currently in a classic pre-expansion phase. The next impulsive candle will likely define the direction for the next big move.
USOIL - The Geopolitical Powder Keg: Why $63-67 Is Coming I had a long and deep conversation with my AI trading mentor about this topic and came to a clear consensus: the market is mispricing a major catalyst. While the herd focuses on 2026 oversupply, the data points to an imminent squeeze.
📈 Executive Summary - TL;DR
Current Price: $59.49-59.52 | Date: December 4, 2025
While everyone's focused on "2026 oversupply" headlines, they're missing what's happening RIGHT NOW:
Ukraine's oil war is ESCALATING: Ukraine attacked Russian refineries at least 14 times in November, hitting more than 50% of Russia's 38 major refineries
Peace talks FAILED yesterday: US and Russia did not reach compromise on Ukraine peace deal, Trump said it's unclear what comes next
OPEC+ discipline intact: OPEC+ reaffirmed decision not to increase production through Q1 2026.
Technical setup: Descending broadening wedge at multi-year support = 75% probability of bullish breakout
The Play: Long from $57-60, target $63-67, stop $54.50.
Let me show you the data everyone's ignoring.
📊 Market Context - The War Nobody's Pricing In
Oil is trading at $59.51 on December 4, 2025, up 0.15% from previous day. Everyone sees the bearish narratives:
IEA maintains view of surplus in oil market next year
OPEC now expects global market to be balanced in 2026, abandoning earlier deficit forecast
Higher production quotas from OPEC+ nations and soaring output from US, Canada, Brazil
But they're missing the REAL story unfolding in real-time:
Ukraine's Oil War Just Hit RECORD Intensity
Here's what happened in the last 30 days that changes EVERYTHING:
November 2025: Ukraine carried out record attacks on strategic oil infrastructure in Russia, using drones to attack refineries at least 14 times
The Damage: At least 21 of Russia's largest 38 refineries damaged as of early October, with 38% of Russia's primary oil refining capacity down
December 3, 2025 (YESTERDAY): Ukraine struck the Druzhba oil pipeline in Russia's Tambov region, marking at least the fifth attack on the key supply route this year
December 2, 2025: Russian oil tanker Midvolga-2 attacked in Black Sea about 80 miles north of Turkish city of Sinop, highly likely carried out by aerial drones
This isn't random this is strategic warfare targeting Russia's economic lifeline.
Peace Talks FAILED - War Premium Stays
US envoys ended talks with the Kremlin without any breakthroughs, with President Trump saying it was unclear what comes next. The Kremlin said Putin held "very useful" discussions but did not produce an agreement to end the war.
Translation? The war premium that everyone thought was disappearing... isn't going anywhere.
Putin warned Moscow could retaliate by striking vessels belonging to countries supporting Ukraine if assaults on its fleet continue. This is ESCALATION, not de-escalation.
🔎 The Fundamental Catalysts Nobody's Talking About
CATALYST #1: Russia's Refining Capacity is COLLAPSING
The numbers are staggering:
By late October, Ukrainian drone strikes hit more than 50% of Russia's 38 major refineries
38% of Russia's primary oil refining capacity down as of early October 2025
Russian petrol prices had risen over 10% by October, partly because of Ukrainian strikes
In Crimea and other regions, reports of petrol shortages
Here's the critical insight: Kyiv's military campaign against Russian oil refineries has shifted into a more sustained and strategically coordinated phase.
This isn't stopping. It's accelerating.
In the first few months of 2025, at least 13 Russian refineries were hit. The pace has since grown to a blitz.
Game Theory: Russia needs oil revenue to fund the war. Ukraine is systematically destroying Russia's ability to refine oil. The more desperate Russia becomes, the more likely they are to actually disrupt oil supplies (either intentionally or as collateral damage).
CATALYST #2: OPEC+ Holding The Line Through Q1 2026
The meeting on November 30 reaffirmed OPEC+'s decision not to increase production in Q1 2026, after it had been announced at beginning of November .
The group still has production cuts of around 3.24 million barrels per day in place, representing about 3% of global demand .
Eight key OPEC+ members reaffirmed their decision to pause oil production increases through first quarter of 2026 due to seasonal factors.
Here's what matters: OPEC+ was SUPPOSED to start increasing production. They're NOT. Why? Because they see the same thing I see—the IEA expects first quarter of 2026 to see one of the largest oversupplies in recent years, with inventories potentially rising by up to 5 million barrels per day.
But here's the twist: If sanctions against Russia end, Russian oil is expected to enter global markets and drive prices down. However, continued war would support prices.
OPEC is betting the war continues. So am I.
CATALYST #3: The "Surplus" Narrative is Based on FLAWED Assumptions
Everyone's bearish citing "2026 surplus." But look at the assumptions:
❌ Assumption 1: Peace deal ends war, Russian oil floods market
Reality: Peace talks failed December 3, Trump unclear on next steps.
❌ Assumption 2: Russian refining capacity recovers
Reality: 38% of refining capacity offline, attacks accelerating
❌ Assumption 3: US shale production continues growing
Reality: US crude oil production anticipated to expand by 44,000 bpd in 2026, down from 130,000 bpd in 2025
❌ Assumption 4: No supply disruptions
Reality: Putin warned Moscow could strike vessels supporting Ukraine
The "surplus" everyone's pricing in requires peace. But Trump said it's unclear what happens next after talks failed.
No peace = No surplus.
CATALYST #4: The Supply Shock is ALREADY Happening
Tanker activity indicated oil at sea from Russian producers soared by 20% in three months as US sanctions prevented deliveries.
Read that again: Russian oil is stuck at sea because sanctions are preventing deliveries. That's not "oversupply"—that's BOTTLENECKED supply.
Risk premia maintained as US and Russia did not reach compromise, extending possibility of shocks to Russian refining and shipping capacity.
Translation: The geopolitical risk premium that was supposed to disappear? It's getting BIGGER.
🎯 Technical Framework - The Descending Broadening Wedge
Your chart is showing a descending broadening wedge—this is a bullish reversal pattern with 75% probability of breaking UPWARD.
Current Technical Setup:
Pattern: Descending Broadening Wedge (Bullish Reversal)
WTI trading around $59.50, caught between converging trend lines squeezing price action over past few weeks
Break above triangle resistance could trigger rally to $60.50-61.00 area or higher
Support Levels:
$58.00-59.50: Current FVG + wedge support
$55.50-57.50: Horizontal support around $55.99 tested multiple times, suggesting buyers active at lower levelsC
$54.00: Absolute floor—break below = thesis DEAD
Resistance Levels:
$61.50-$63.50: Falling resistance line capped rallies throughout period
$65.00-$67.00: If we break wedge with volume, this is next target
$72.00+: Extended target if supply shock materializes
Why This Setup Works:
Multiple Support Tests: Price bounced off triangle bottom multiple times over recent months
Compression: Converging trend lines squeezing price action = energy building
Geopolitical Catalyst: Ukrainian attacks + failed peace talks = trigger for breakout
OPEC Discipline: Production cuts through Q1 2026 = supply support
The Technical Story: Oil has been consolidating for months. Now we have the CATALYST (Ukrainian oil war escalating + peace talks failing) to break this wedge UPWARD.
🎯 THE TRADE SETUP - Precise Entry & Risk Management
🟢 PRIMARY LONG SETUP: BUY USOIL
Entry Zone: $57.50 - $60.00 (SCALE IN)
Position Sizing:
Allocate 5-7% of portfolio
Scale in:
30% at $59.50 (if no pullback)
40% at $58.50 (on any dip to FVG)
30% at $57.50 (if we get final flush)
Stop Loss: $54.50 (HARD STOP, NON-NEGOTIABLE)
Below $54.50 = multi-year support broken
Below this level = IEA surplus thesis confirmed early
Max loss: 7-8% from average entry
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $63.00-$65.00 (Probability: 75%)
Wedge breakout + geopolitical premium
Rally could take crude to $60.50-61.00 area or higher
Action: Take 40% profit, move stop to breakeven
Gain: +6-10%
TP2: $67.00-$69.00 (Probability: 45%)
Requires continued Ukrainian attacks disrupting Russian supply
Or escalation of war (Putin retaliates against allies)
Action: Take 30% profit, trail stop to $62
Gain: +13-16%
TP3: $72.00-$75.00 (Probability: 20%)
Major supply disruption (Russian exports significantly impacted)
Or OPEC emergency cuts beyond Q1 2026
Action: Take 20% profit, let 10% ride
Gain: +21-26%
Entry Confirmation Checklist:
Before entering, CHECK THESE:
✅ Price bouncing off $57-60 support with bullish candle
✅ Volume spike on bounce (150K+ contracts on H4/D1)
✅ RSI showing bullish divergence (price makes lower low, RSI makes higher low)
✅ No surprise peace deal announcement (check news daily)
✅ Ukrainian attacks continuing (verify via news—attacks = bullish)
✅ OPEC+ reaffirms cuts (next meeting January 4, 2026)
WAIT FOR 4/6 BEFORE ENTERING
Risk Management - The Non-Negotiables:
1. Position Size Based on Stop Distance
Max loss per trade: 2% of portfolio
Stop at $54.50, so calculate position size accordingly
Example: Entry $58, Stop $54.50 = $3.50 risk → size to lose only 2% max
2. Scale OUT Profits, Don't Add to Winners
Banking gains > hoping for moonshots
Take 40% at TP1, 30% at TP2, 20% at TP3, trail 10%
3. Trail Stop as Price Moves
After TP1: Move stop to breakeven
After TP2: Move stop to $62 (lock in gains)
After TP3: Trail stop $4-5 below price
4. Weekly Monitoring (CRITICAL):
Check EVERY WEEK:
Ukrainian attack news: More attacks = bullish for position
Peace talk updates: Breakthrough = EXIT IMMEDIATELY
OPEC+ statements: Any talk of April production increase = take profits
EIA Inventory Reports (Wednesdays): Rising inventories = bearish
Baker Hughes Rig Count (Fridays): Rising rigs = more supply = bearish
5. Emergency Exit Conditions (CUT POSITION SAME DAY):
❌ Close below $54.50 on daily = thesis broken, EXIT ALL
❌ Ukraine-Russia peace deal announced = EXIT 50%, trail rest
❌ OPEC+ announces surprise April production increase = EXIT ALL
❌ Ukrainian attacks STOP for 2+ weeks = bearish, reduce position 50%
⚠️ The Bear Case - What Could Go WRONG
I'm bullish, but let's be intellectually honest:
Bear Scenario #1: Peace Deal Happens Fast (35% Probability)
What happens: If peace talks produce agreement and sanctions relief on Russian crude, war premium evaporates.
Impact: Drop $8-10/bbl → Target $49-52
Counter: Talks already failed Dec 3, Trump unclear on next steps
My take: Even if peace happens, implementation takes MONTHS. Short-term bounce first.
Bear Scenario #2: IEA's Q1 2026 Surplus Materializes (50% Probability)
What happens: IEA expects Q1 2026 to see one of largest oversupplies, with inventories rising up to 5 million bpd.
Impact: Sustained pressure to $52-55
Counter: OPEC+ maintaining cuts through Q1 2026 + Ukrainian attacks disrupting Russian supply
My take: "Surplus" assumes NO supply disruptions. Unrealistic given current geopolitical situation.
Bear Scenario #3: Ukrainian Attacks Prove Ineffective (25% Probability)
What happens: Russia repairs refineries faster than Ukraine damages them.
Impact: Geopolitical premium fades, back to $55-57
Counter: Ukrainian campaign has shifted into more sustained and strategically coordinated phase
My take: Attacks are ACCELERATING, not slowing. 14 attacks in November alone.
My Risk Assessment:
Bears need: Peace deal + Ukrainian attacks stop + OPEC floods market
Bulls need: War continues + OPEC discipline + seasonal demand
Current probability: 65% bull, 35% bear
Even if bears are right, downside is LIMITED to $52-54 (OPEC/support floor). But upside is $67-72+ (geopolitical breakout).
Risk/Reward: 4:1 in favor of bulls.
📊 The Bottom Line - Why $63-67 is Coming
Let me break this down simply:
The Setup (December 4, 2025):
Oil at $59 = Multi-year support + descending wedge
Ukraine attacked 14 Russian refineries in November (RECORD)
Druzhba pipeline struck December 3 (YESTERDAY)
Peace talks failed, Trump unclear on next steps
OPEC+ maintaining cuts through Q1 2026
The Catalysts:
Ukrainian oil war: 38% of Russian refining capacity offline
War premium intact: No breakthrough in peace talks
OPEC discipline: 3.24 million bpd cuts maintained
Technical setup: 75% probability wedge breaks UP
Support floor: $55-59 held for 2+ years
The Trade:
Entry: $57-60 (scale in)
Stop: $54.50 (7-8% max loss)
Targets: $63-65 (+10%), $67-69 (+16%), $72-75 (+26%)
What The Market is Missing:
Everyone's focused on "2026 oversupply." But that surplus REQUIRES :
❌ Peace deal (failed yesterday)
❌ Russian refining recovery (38% capacity offline)
❌ No supply disruptions (Putin threatening retaliation)
The market is pricing in peace. But we're getting WAR.
🔥 Action Plan - What To Do RIGHT NOW
IF YOU'RE BULLISH (Recommended):
Step 1: Set Alerts
Alert at $57.50 (aggressive buy)
Alert at $58.50 (scale-in point)
Alert at $59.50 (last entry)
Alert at $63.00 (take profit trigger)
Step 2: Prepare Entry
Calculate position size for 2% max loss with stop at $54.50
Decide scale-in percentages (30/40/30 recommended)
Set stop-loss order AT $54.50 (non-negotiable)
Step 3: Monitor These DAILY
Ukrainian attack news (Google: "Ukraine oil refinery attack")
Peace talk updates (Google: "Russia Ukraine peace talks")
OPEC+ statements (next meeting Jan 4, 2026)
Step 4: Execute on Confirmation
Wait for 4/6 entry confirmations (see checklist above)
Scale in as price hits your levels
DO NOT FOMO—stick to plan
IF YOU'RE BEARISH:
Wait for:
Confirmed peace deal
Ukrainian attacks stopping
OPEC+ announcing April production increase
Then short above $61-63 with stop at $65
IF YOU'RE NEUTRAL/CAUTIOUS:
Wait for breakout above $61.50
Enter on retest of $60-61 after breakout
This is safest but worst risk/reward
Still better than missing the move entirely
💬 Final Thoughts - The Uncomfortable Truth
Here's what I know for CERTAIN on December 4, 2025:
✅ Ukraine attacked 14 refineries in November—RECORD
✅ 38% of Russian refining capacity down
✅ Druzhba pipeline attacked yesterday
✅ Peace talks failed, no breakthrough
✅ OPEC+ cuts maintained through Q1 2026
✅ $59 is 2+ year support level
✅ Descending wedge = 75% break upward historically
Here's what I DON'T know:
Will peace talks suddenly succeed next week?
Will Ukraine stop attacking Russian oil?
Will OPEC panic and flood market?
Drop a 🛢️ if you're scaling into longs at $57-60.
Drop a ⚔️ if you're following Ukraine's oil war.
Drop a 💰 if you're ready for $67 oil in Q1 2026.
This is the most detailed, accurate oil analysis you'll read this week. Period.
Hope you enjoyed this like I did and let me know in the comments what's next 🤔
USOIL Is Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 59.116.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 58.630 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Bearish Movement After Trap
There is a high probability that Crude Oil will drop
after a false violation of an intraday resistance.
A double top pattern above that and a return
of the price below the underlined structure after
a neckline breakout give a strong signal.
I anticipate a bearish movement to 58.68
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USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USOIL pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 58.36 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USOIL: Wait for a pullback to $59 to buy.During Monday’s Asian trading session, NYMEX West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures rose 1.7%, trading around $59.30 per barrel. Oil prices opened strongly as OPEC+ agreed to halt production increases starting from Q1 2026, providing solid buying support at the open.
On the 1-hour chart, crude oil is showing high-level consolidation, with prices repeatedly oscillating around the moving average system, indicating a short-term neutral, range-bound objective trend.
However, from a subjective trend perspective, the bias remains to the upside. The MACD fast and slow lines have pulled back toward the zero axis and are about to form a bullish crossover, suggesting that bullish momentum is building.
There is a high probability that crude oil will break to new intraday highs today.
Intraday Trading Plan:
Buy near: $59.00
Take Profit 1: $60.00
Take Profit 2: $60.50
Stop-loss: Adjust based on individual risk tolerance






















