Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to the area of the maximum of wave “A”.Colleagues, the past forecast has not been canceled, but I see some changes and therefore feel it is necessary to make a fresh forecast.
Apparently, the corrective wave “B” has extended to the area of 57.930. This is quite close to the low of wave “C” at 56.408 and the price should not update it, otherwise there will be a full-fledged break of the structure.
In connection with the above, I think that the price is already completing the downward movement and I expect the resumption of the upward movement at least to the area of the maximum of wave “A” - 62.990.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Trade ideas
OIL: Time To Rise AgainOIL: Time To Rise Again
Oil is moving within a "Descending Channel Pattern" which is clear and well defined.
Every time the price tested the lower support of the pattern, the price moved back up and every time Oil tested the upper boundary of the pattern, the price moved back down.
It is more likely that Oil has found strong bullish momentum again near the 57.40 support area and is probably preparing to move higher as shown in the chart.
KeyTargets:
58.70
59.50
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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🇺🇸 USOIL – Big Money Steps Back In | Fresh Sell Order BlockUSOIL continues to follow its broader downtrend as Big Money steps back into the market.
After a brief bullish correction, price was rejected sharply and formed a fresh VShark Order Block, supported by strong volume and a clean Imbalance zone.
This reaction reveals clear footprints of large players preparing for the next bearish leg.
🔻 Sell Idea
VShark suggests looking for short entries at the newly formed OB zone, targeting RR 1:2, respecting the prevailing bearish structure.
⚠️ Risk Notice
Always size your positions properly and manage risk carefully.
This is a technical analysis idea — not financial advice.
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✍️ VNSHARK Signature
Following the footprints of Big Money to understand the market’s true intention.
🏷️ Tags
#USOIL #WTI #BigMoney #OrderBlock #VSharkOB #Volume #Imbalance
#SmartMoney #PriceAction #InstitutionalTrading #VNShark #Commodity
Oil Upd:Price at Resistance–But the Real Story Is in OptionFlowRight now, price has reached the upper boundary of the 1σ Expected Range (ER).
A pause or rejection here is possible.
But that’s not the main story.
Bears are getting active in the options market.
First sign: A significant Put Condor has appeared — large enough to stand out.
Target range: $55–$57
Timeframe: 20 days to expiry
📌 For those still learning:
A Condor profits most when price stays within a tight range at expiry.
Second wave of bearish positioning:
Additional players are placing Put Spreads targeting $54–$55, but with a much shorter horizon — 5–7 days.
This shows a layered approach:
Short and mid- term pressure expected
🧠 Bottom Line:
I’m not jumping into shorts right now — and I wouldn’t advise it blindly.
But given this growing bearish sentiment, it’s smart to start looking for short setups
Sentiment is building.
WTI OIL Short-term relief rebound before a Lower Low?WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 1-month Channel Down and has just completed its strongest Bearish Leg (-5.91%). All previous three Bearish Legs eventually bottomed and rebounded into the new Bullish Legs towards the Sell Zone consisting of the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) - 1D MA50 (red trend-line) range to form a new Lower High.
In 2 out of those 3 cases, it even exceeded the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, we expect a short-term rise now to subsequently be sold towards the -0.236 Fibonacci extension. Our medium-term Target remains 56.500.
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USOIL : Don't be fooledHello friends
Well, you see that we have a descending channel that has hit the ceiling twice and the ceiling three times.
Well, in the third encounter with the bottom or support, you see that the buyers provided good support for the price and pushed it up and broke our medium-term ceiling. Now, if the breakdown is confirmed, the price will go to the ceiling of the channel and from there, a price correction can be expected.
The specified range is very important for a sell trade. Why?
Because there are many orders here, if the price reaches this area, it will inevitably correct. And there is another reason that we have, and the most important reason is that our trend is down and we should not open a trade against the trend.
This analysis is technically reviewed and is not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Avoid emotional behavior and observe capital management.
*Trade safely with us*
Oil – Geopolitical Engine Ready to Fuel a Surge to $100My view: I believe that oil is one of the best investments for the upcoming years. There is a strong bullish potential, with targets up to $100 a barrel, based on geopolitical and fundamental factors
Geopolitical Risk
There is a real risk of conflict between the U.S. (with Trump) and key oil-producing nations such as Venezuela. Any intervention or sanction could generate a geopolitical risk premium in the oil market.
Saudi Arabia, a central OPEC+ member, may manipulate production to maintain high oil prices. Riyadh’s strategy could be driven by its need to fund its major development projects, especially under its Vision 2030 roadmap.
OPEC+ members have made varied production decisions: while some increase supply, heavier-weight countries like Saudi Arabia restrict production to defend prices.
Saudi Arabia is diversifying its economy, but petroleum remains a cornerstone to finance its transformation agenda.
To support its budget and future mega-projects, Riyadh may aim to keep oil prices elevated, which supports a long-term bullish case.
My target: $100/barrel in a scenario where geopolitical risks intensify or remain structurally elevated.
I believe investing in oil now has strong upside potential: the market may not yet fully price in all geopolitical threats or Saudi strategy.
Of course, risk scenarios must be considered (demand drop, energy transition), but from my perspective, the bull case is very credible.
USOIL : Full analysisHello friends
Well, you see that we have a descending channel in which the price is moving, and considering that the price reached the ceiling of the channel, we had a Sharpe decline, and now it seems that the sellers want to break the channel, and the first support identified could be the buyers' stronghold, where we need to see if they support the price or not.
If they support, there is a significant resistance in their way. This area is full of sell orders and can naturally correct the price. In this regard, breaking this resistance is very important and vital for price growth.
Now what if the buyers cannot support the price in the support area and the price falls further?
Well, we need to find areas again for a sell trade because if the descending channel is broken, the fall will be heavier and it is better to move with the trend.
This analysis is purely technical and is not a buy or sell recommendation.
*Trade safely with us*
USOIL Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 59.046.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 58.167 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Oil Market Outlook: Range-Bottom Reaction AheadHello traders,
Today I’m here with an analysis of Crude Oil.
Based on the chart, as you can see, the price is currently sitting on a support level.
Considering the global geopolitical situation and ongoing conflict news, we may see a potential rise in price.
Overall, we are looking at a sideways (range) market, and the price is now at the bottom of this range.
Therefore, our target will be the top of the range.
WTI🌎 Major investment banks forecast two stages for oil: a decline due to oversupply, followed by growth from 2027 due to a lack of investment.
After 2027: A prolonged growth period will begin due to a shortage of raw materials.
A gradual, slow decline in oil prices is observed.
We are near a support level, a break of which could accelerate the decline in prices.
Oil Prices Record Their Worst Monthly Performance Since 2023!Oil prices are heading toward their worst monthly performance since 2023, with Brent crude down about 15% this year due to expectations of a significant global supply surplus. The OPEC+ alliance is expected to maintain its decision to freeze production increases in early 2026, while long-term reviews of members’ production capacities are underway. Forecasts also point to a daily surplus reaching 2.8 million barrels in 2026 and 2.7 million barrels in 2027, adding further selling pressure.
Additionally, geopolitical developments may impact the market, as Russia has expressed readiness to discuss proposals to end the war in Ukraine. This could eventually lead to easing sanctions and the return of Russian oil flows to global markets, which would increase supply and weigh on prices.
On the technical side, the price on the 4-hour timeframe has risen and formed a higher high above the 59.16 level, shifting the trend from bearish to bullish in the short to medium term.
The price may rise directly from the current levels near 59.126, or it may retrace toward 57.64 before rebounding again to target the 59 level.
The opposite scenario to the current bullish outlook would be a decline below 57.20 and the formation of a lower low on the 4-hour timeframe.
USOIL Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 58.48
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 58.94
Recommended Stop Loss - 58.19
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅WTI OIL is returning into the higher-timeframe supply after clearing buy-side liquidity, signaling distribution. If rejection confirms, bearish displacement could drive price toward the sell-side liquidity target below.
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Entry: 58.70$
Stop Loss: 59.00$
Take Profit: 58.12$
Time Frame: 3H
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SHORT🔥
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USOIL BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 58.63
Target Level: 57.35
Stop Loss: 59.48
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Temporary Long .. Would have thought this is the bottom but it is hard to decide these things. There seems to be a little support at $57.4,
The only pattern i see it oil getting rejected at the 50mma (green line), so any up move might stop at that line. Will wait for price action this week to see if it still is in this downward channel.
Analysis of Core Factors in the Short-Term Oil MarketSupply Side: The oversupply situation has become a consensus, and the geo-political support has failed
- Global supply remains consistently tight: The OPEC report in November adjusted the global oil situation to be in an oversupply state. The current daily production exceeds demand by 500,000 barrels, while the previous month's estimate was a shortage of 400,000 barrels. The IEA has continuously raised the expected global crude oil supply surplus for six consecutive months, and it is predicted that in 2026, there will be a record-breaking surplus of nearly 4 million barrels per day. At the same time, the supply increase in the United States is significant. As of the week of November 21, the total number of oil drilling rigs in the United States increased to 419. The Trump administration also plans to open new drilling areas in the west coast and the Arctic. Additionally, although OPEC+ has suspended production increases in the first quarter of next year, the overall supply growth trend remains strong, making it difficult to change the oversupply situation.
- Geopolitical risks have marginally eased: There have been signals of peace talks in the Ukraine conflict. US officials stated that Ukraine has agreed to the terms of the peace agreement, with only some details yet to be finalized. Zelensky expects to "as soon as possible" visit the United States to advance the agreement. This news has weakened the geopolitical risk premium for oil. Although Russian refineries and export ports have been attacked multiple times recently, Russia can buffer through methods such as temporary storage in floating tanks, and the short-term export pressure is limited, making it difficult to have a substantive impact on supply.
Crude Oil Strategy Analysis
sell:58.5-59
tp:58-57.5
sl:59.5
WTI Crude Holds at Its Lowest Levels of the YearWTI crude oil continues to show a steady bearish bias below the 60-dollar area in the short term. For now, selling pressure has remained firm, while recent comments regarding the military conflict between Ukraine and Russia point to an increase in reinforcements aimed at achieving a possible ceasefire. Such a scenario could reduce the economic sanctions currently imposed on Russia and, over time, become an important factor that drives a stronger-than-expected recovery in global crude production. This backdrop has kept confidence in the price of the barrel limited, reinforcing a persistent bearish tone that could continue if an official ceasefire is eventually reached.
Medium-Term Trend Remains Firm:
During the second half of the year, the prevailing bearish movements in WTI have maintained a perspective aligned with a solid medium-term downward trendline. So far, no meaningful buying corrections have appeared that could threaten this bearish structure in recent weeks, making it likely that this formation will continue to dominate most price movements in the medium term—especially if the market continues to trade below the 50-period simple moving average.
Neutrality Begins to Emerge in Indicators:
At the moment, both the RSI line and the MACD histogram remain oscillating within the neutral range of their respective indicators. This suggests that, in the short term, both the average selling and buying impulses and the directional strength of the moving averages remain in a neutral and indecisive zone, which can partly be explained by the price interacting with important support areas. What matters here is that as long as both indicators maintain this neutral stance, they could open the door for potential bullish corrections to develop in the coming sessions.
Key Levels to Watch:
60 dollars: This is the main resistance on the chart, aligned with the current downward trendline, the barrier marked by the 50-period moving average, and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Buying moves that manage to break above this area could trigger a break of the bearish trend, potentially activating a more constructive bullish tone.
58 dollars: This level corresponds to the most recent zone of indecision and could become the reference area to monitor if bullish corrections begin to form within current price movements.
57 dollars: This marks the lowest level of the year and stands as the most relevant bearish barrier at the moment. Selling moves that break below this level could open the door to a more aggressive bearish bias, extending the current downward trend even further.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT - Market Analyst






















