WTI Crude, caution ahead of new US tariffs on IndiaThe WTI Crude Oil is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the resistance, suggesting a further selling pressure within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 6600, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 6600 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 6200, followed by 6100 and 6000 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 6600 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 6710, then 6800.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 6600. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
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WTICOUSD trade ideas
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Faces HurdlesMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Faces Hurdles
Crude oil is showing bearish signs and might decline below $62.80.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- Crude oil prices failed to clear the $65.00 region and started a fresh decline.
- There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at $64.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil, the price struggled to clear the $65.00 level and started a fresh decline below $64.50.
There was a break below a major bullish trend line at $64.00, opening the doors for more losses. The price dipped below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $61.56 swing low to the $64.85 high.
XTI/USD even dipped below $63.50 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bulls are now active near $63.00. If there is a fresh increase, it could face a barrier near $63.70.
The first major resistance is near $64.10. Any more gains might send the price toward $64.85 and call for a test of $65.50. Conversely, the price might continue to move down and revisit the $62.80 support and the 61.8% Fib retracement.
The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is $62.35. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $61.55. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward $60.50.
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USOIL Bearish Reversal & Selling OpportunityUSOIL (WTI Crude Oil) – Bearish Setup Analysis
The chart shows a clear bearish structure with multiple confirmations:
Trendline Rejection & Break: Price rejected from the upper rejection line and later broke the rising trendline, confirming bearish momentum.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Selling Zone: Price retested the imbalance zone (63.53–63.94), creating a strong selling opportunity.
EMA Confluence: Both the 70 EMA and 200 EMA are above the price, acting as dynamic resistance, supporting bearish bias.
Market Structure Shift (MSS): Breakdown of higher lows signals shift to bearish structure.
Target: Downside continuation expected towards 61.65, the next liquidity and support zone.
Stop Loss: Above 63.94 (selling zone invalidation).
📉 Strategy: Look for sell entries around 63.53–63.94 zone, with target at 61.65 and stop loss above 63.94.
USOIL - OutlookAreas of interest marked on 4H.
If price drops to the discount zone, always wait for confirmation as it could go either way. (Momentum is our friend)
Avoid yellow zone.
Red zone speaks for itself, we do have EIA inventory data releasing later tonight. I would keep an eye on that for incoming volatility.
NFA
OUR TRADE ON OIL FOR TODAYToday we went long on OIL after that the market grabbed a liquidity and gave us our entry point to take.
The market went straight to our target which was again a liquidity level, then it came lower.
I couldn't share the trade today since when we entered I was in a live trading session with my students.
Follow for more!
Will oil continue its upward trend?
Hi dears
Oil will remain bullish if and only if the price condition on the chart is met. This resistance area must be broken with a strong and bearish candle, otherwise we should continue to see oil prices rally.
It is best to watch for the current situation to determine the status of this resistance area.
Whatdo you think?
WTI OIL technically more chances to test the 1D MA50. Buy.Last week (August 20, see chart below) we issued a bullish break-out signal on WTI Oil (USOIL) that reached our $65.60 Target within 3 days:
This time we get a new buy signal, despite today's sharp pull-back. The -12.78% decline since the July 30 rejection, resembles the one since the October 08 2024 High.
This rebounded to just above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) to form a new Lower High and get rejected again.
As a result, our immediate short-term Target is $66.30.
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Crude Oil (WTI / USOIL) Technical AnalysisThe price of oil is currently in a downward trend on both the daily and hourly timeframes, and it is testing a support zone at $63.50.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks the $63.50 support level and holds below it, we may see a target of $63.00.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If the price returns to break above $63.90 and holds, this could push the price toward $64.50 as an initial target, followed by a retest of $65.00.
USOIL Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 63.688.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 60.936 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WTI Edges Up On Big EIA Draw, Risk-on ToneFundamental approach:
- Last week, USOIL was modestly higher amid risk-on sentiment and tighter supply signals after a larger‑than‑expected US crude draw.
- Support came from the EIA’s reported six-million-barrel crude draw tied to lower imports and stronger exports, reinforcing a tightening balance even as Cushing stocks ticked up; broader sentiment also leaned on expectations of looser Fed policy aiding demand.
- Gains were tempered by mixed macro cues, fading Eastern Europe risk headlines, choppy dollar moves, and cautious positioning ahead of the next API/EIA prints.
- However, China's Sinopec last week reported a sharp profit drop, citing weak fuel consumption. The trend of subdued fuel demand is likely to continue as factors including lower consumer confidence, rising electric-vehicle adoption and improved fuel efficiency are reducing petroleum demand in China.
- Into late week, USOIL could firm if US inventories show continued draws and risk tone improves, while any surprise builds or de‑escalation of supply risks may cap rallies; follow‑through from Fed‑cut pricing and geopolitics could potentially steer near‑term direction.
Technical approach:
- USOIL found support quickly after closing below the key level at 63.90. The price is retesting both EMAs and closed above the key level at 63.90, signaling a make-or-break situation. The market awaits a clear breakout to determine the short-term movement.
- If USOIL closes above both EMAs and breaks the descending trendline, the price may continue to advance to retest the following resistance at 67.50.
- On the contrary, closing below the support at 63.90 may prompt a further weakness to retest the next support at 60.00.
PS: I shared a piece of the above ideas on The Wall Street Journal: www.wsj.com
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
WTI Crude Awaits Breakout Amid Sanction RisksWTI Crude Oil – Overview
Oil Holds Steady on Fed Cut Bets and Sanction Risks
Oil prices are flat in early trade as markets weigh the likelihood of a U.S. Fed rate cut in September against potential disruptions to Russian crude flows. Brent trades at $67.18 (-0.1%), while WTI is steady at $63.64, following a 2.5% gain last week.
Fading optimism over a Russia–Ukraine summit and renewed U.S. tariff threats against India add to volatility. Markets are closely watching the Aug. 27 deadline, when secondary U.S. tariffs against India for Russian oil purchases are expected to take effect.
🔹 Technical Outlook
WTI is trading in bullish momentum as long as it holds above 63.47.
Price is likely to consolidate between 63.47 – 64.72 until a breakout.
✅ Above 64.72: Bullish continuation toward 65.83 → 67.20.
⚠️ Below 63.47: Bias turns bearish, targeting 61.83.
🔹 Key Levels
Support: 63.47 – 61.83
Resistance: 64.72 – 65.83 – 67.20
✅ Summary:
WTI crude remains range-bound but biased to the upside, supported by Fed cut expectations and geopolitical risks. A decisive break from the 63.47–64.72 range will set the next trend direction.
WTI Steadies as Rate-Cut Bets and Supply Risks CollideWTI Steadies as Rate-Cut Bets and Supply Risks Collide
WTI crude hovered around $64 on August 25, steady after last week’s gains as traders balanced U.S. rate-cut expectations with geopolitical risks. The Fed is seen 85% likely to cut rates in September, boosting demand outlooks.
Supply concerns persist after Washington threatened 50% tariffs on Indian imports over Russian oil purchases, while India signaled it will keep buying from Moscow. Stalled Russia-Ukraine talks and renewed attacks on energy infrastructure add to uncertainty.
US OIL LONG RESULT Oil Price had been in multiple falling channel until reaching the support from which it consolidated in a sideways falling wedge and broke to the upside, from which I took the long setup, but price didn't retest the zone to fill it, so I took another entry from the next demand zone and boom, TP done ✅
_THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.💪🔥