$TSLA: Symmetrical wedge breaking down. NASDAQ:TSLA
Symmetrical wedge breaking down. ⚠️
Volume confirms exit pressure — sellers controlling equilibrium.
Lower highs compressing liquidity.
Fib confluence supports a leg toward $411–$401 zone (1.0–1.272 extension).
RSI momentum flattening under 50.
DSS bias = short-term bearish continuation.
Target → $401–$400 liquidity pool
Invalidation above $436.50
This could be a slow liquidity drain before a bigger displacement. 🧠
#VolanX #LiquidityZones #AITrading #TSLA #SMC
Trade ideas
TeslaFriday was a rough day for anyone that was long...pretty much anything lol. There were a few tickers like MP that posted a green day, but they were far and few between. Tesla was no exception to this and closed down over $22. This should not have come as a surprise for anyone though. Maybe the magnitude in which the market turned downwards, but not that it did. I have been saying for 2-3 weeks that the top was near. that being said, although price tanked the way that it did, we technically do not have the confirmation needed for a top. Do I think it likely we have a top in place? Yes, I do. However, one cannot definitively say it is in for a fact. The absolute confirmation doesn't come until we can breach $368.33 unfortunately.
We will get clues and data pointing to a top on the way down though. The first thing I want to point out is that we have officially breached the last TWO wave 4's of a lesser degree. This in itself is a very good sign the top is in. Also, MACD made a new local low. When you look at the yellow fibs tracking the possible abc down, the 1.382 is just below that minor A wave top. This means over half of the standard target area for minute ((c)) of minor A is below the minor A high.
Another thing I want to point out is that in the overnights, Robinhood is showing Tesla trading @ $423 currently, and has raised as high as $425. This could be pointing to a couple things. The first is that the minute ((c)) wave is just subdividing into a smaller 3-wave pattern that will ultimately end within the target box to conclude minor A wave. The other is that Friday's low was the minute ((a)) wave low with ((b)) currently underway. Then lastly, it could be pointing to my ALT turquoise count that suggests another high to the low $500's is needed.
I do not like the turquoise count, but I cannot rule it out with 100% certainty yet, so it stays for now. The count that I favor is the white count, and ((c)) being carved out in three waves. Hopefully we get some clarifying data tomorrow, but if not, we should get some this week. For now, we continue observing. Should you not be able to help yourself and want to enter into a trade...use TIGHT stops. I am not a gambling man, so I will remain on the sidelines. Ultimately, I believe it is only a matter of time until we see price back into the $100's...
$TSLANASDAQ:TSLA earnings this week ⚡️
I passed through Tesla Texas and noticed their construction speeding up.
The average price of a new vehicle just topped $50K (Cox Automotive – Kelley Blue Book).
This could accelerate demand for affordable EVs and ease pressure on auto consumers.
Based on my observation, Tesla has strong momentum right now. 🚗
Tesla – ABC Formation as Trend Continuation#Tesla – ABC Formation as Trend Continuation
Current price: $435.8
Tesla is developing an ABC corrective structure that may act as a continuation pattern within the broader uptrend. Price action is consolidating after a strong impulsive leg, preparing for the next directional move.
🧩 Technical Overview
• The correction from the recent high appears to have formed a descending wedge, with the last swing down completing near the C-wave low.
• Price is now recovering from that area, suggesting a possible upward continuation phase.
• As long as the current low holds, the market structure supports bullish continuation through the upper Fibonacci levels.
📈 Scenario
• Structure: ABC correction completed; price attempting breakout to resume the dominant uptrend.
• Stop-loss: below the C-wave low (~$408).
• First upside objectives:
– $448–$458 — short-term resistance zone
– $470–$483 — key breakout area and prior swing high
– $507–$530 — potential extension zone if momentum builds
• A breakout above $470 would confirm trend continuation.
⚙️ Market Context
• The larger bullish trend remains intact after strong momentum from early September.
• Consolidation within the current wedge has reduced volatility — a typical setup before expansion.
• The pattern favors continuation as long as price holds above $408–$410 support.
🧭 Summary
Tesla is completing an ABC correction that could transition into the next bullish leg.
Holding above $408 keeps the structure valid for continuation toward $470–$530.
Breakout confirmation above $470 would reinforce the bullish scenario, while a drop below $408 would invalidate it.
Tesla Momentum Builds Post-EV Sales Surge: Why $500 is in Sight
Current Price: $439.31
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $465.00
- T2 = $500.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $425.00
- S2 = $410.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. Tesla’s stock continues to draw significant interest as traders align around the increasing demand for its electric vehicles and growing revenues from complementary businesses such as energy storage solutions, vehicle software offerings, and charging networks. Professional sentiment suggests that Tesla’s leadership in autonomous driving and robust infrastructure investments may drive further upside.
**Key Insights:**
Tesla’s strong positioning in the EV market has seen ongoing demand even in 2025 despite the tightening macroeconomic environment. Analyzing recent trading patterns, Tesla’s robust revenue growth across Q3 showcases resilience, supported by increased adoption of advanced batteries like the new-generation 4680 cells. The CEO’s remarks about scaling manufacturing facilities globally—especially the Gigafactory expansion in Mexico—carry forward the vision of doubling production capacity, stimulating long-term growth prospects. Tesla’s diversified revenue streams, including solar and energy storage products, provide an additional financial buffer as they tap into global sustainability trends.
The recent rally in the stock price further underscores positive investor sentiment, with large institutional inflows reflecting faith in Tesla’s brand and technological advantage. Additionally, the sustained consumer demand for higher-margin vehicles such as the Model X and S continues to buoy the stock’s fundamentals.
**Recent Performance:**
Tesla’s stock surged by approximately 6% over the past two weeks, recovering from previous volatility tied to concerns over EV pricing pressure. As of October 2025, Tesla’s improved gross margins—highlighted in the Q3 earnings call—provide relief and optimism, with the stock stabilizing above $430. High trading volume has reaffirmed consolidation zones, indicating strong levels of support near $420 while opening room for upside potential heading into the next fiscal quarter.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market analysts are bullish on Tesla following its strong Q3 beat on earnings-per-share estimates, confirming its profitability is intact despite pricing challenges and increased competition. Tesla’s use of AI in its Full Self-Driving (FSD) beta saw meaningful adoption rates recently, further increasing its moat against rival automakers. Additionally, Tesla’s financial prudence ensures that it remains one of the few tech-centric automakers able to consistently operate without dilutive equity raises.
Technicals reveal Tesla has formed a solid base above its 200-day moving average with an RSI currently neutral but trending bullish—signaling momentum for a further breakout. Resistance zones at $450 have been tested and surpassed, with the next confluence zone near $465 aligning estimates for an extended move higher.
**News Impact:**
Tesla’s announcement of upcoming fleet expansion and partnerships with global logistics firms significantly reinforce its scaling potential while easing investor worries about profitability. Furthermore, Tesla's transparency in discussing supply chain improvements during the Q3 earnings call lends credibility to its operational growth outlook. These factors, paired with advancements in autonomous driving technology, could bolster Tesla’s revenue potential in 2025 and further validate its premium valuation.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Based on technical analysis, recent financial performance, and strong fundamentals, Tesla presents a compelling LONG opportunity with targets set at $465 and $500, supported by growing market dominance and consistent operational excellence. Investors should watch for confirmation of support levels at $425 to manage risk effectively. With institutional confidence high, traders are well-positioned to benefit from Tesla’s growth trajectory as the company continues its strong performance in the EV market and sustainable energy sectors.
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$TSLA | Wave Count Outlook: 2025–2026 Projection👇
🔮 NASDAQ:TSLA | Wave Count Outlook: 2025–2026 Projection
The larger structure is forming a clean Elliott Wave sequence, suggesting a potential top near the completion of Wave (5) before a corrective phase unfolds.
🧩 Structure Overview:
Primary impulse appears complete between $527–$540
Corrective phase (ABC) projected toward $384 → $332 → $319
If confirmed, this would align with the macro liquidity contraction and potential market re-pricing post-Fed actions
🔍 Technical Confluence:
Wave (5) targets align with 1.236–1.618 Fibonacci extensions
RSI divergence already forming — early weakness
Volume momentum decelerating across higher timeframes
🧭 Outlook:
Short-term bias: Neutral to bearish
Medium-term (1–3 months): Potential correction toward $380s
Long-term (Q2–Q3 2026): Bullish resumption possible if liquidity stabilizes
“Wave completion precedes transformation — patience pays.”
#TSLA #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #Macro #VolanXDSS #WaverVanir
Is Tesla Setting Up for a Rebound? Key Entry Levels Inside🎯 TSLA: The "Thief Strategy" Playbook | Swing/Day Trade Setup 📈
🔥 Quick Overview
Asset: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
Bias: 🐂 BULLISH
Strategy Type: Thief Layering Entry Method
Risk Level: Medium-High (Swing/Day Trade)
💰 The "Thief" Entry Strategy Explained
The "Thief Strategy" uses multiple limit orders (layering method) to accumulate position at different price levels. Think of it like setting traps at various floors of a building—you catch opportunities wherever price decides to visit! 🎣
📊 Entry Zones (Layer Your Orders):
Layer 1: $430.00
Layer 2: $435.00
Layer 3: $440.00
💡 You can add more layers based on your own risk appetite and account size. The beauty of layering? You average your entry and reduce timing risk!
🛡️ Stop Loss (SL):
Thief SL: $415.00
⚠️ Important Note: This is MY stop loss level based on the Thief Strategy framework. You're the captain of your own ship! 🚢 Adjust your SL based on YOUR risk tolerance and account management rules. Trade at your own risk—make money, take money, manage wisely!
🎯 Target (TP):
Primary Target: $490.00
🚨 Why $490? This zone represents a confluence of:
Strong resistance area
Potential overbought conditions
Historical trap zone where bulls get exhausted
📢 Thief OG's Reminder: I'm NOT saying you MUST take profit only at my TP level. If you see profits that make you smile, SECURE THEM! 💵 The market gives, and the market takes. Be greedy when you can, be smart always.
🔍 Technical Analysis Breakdown
Tesla is showing bullish momentum structure with potential for continuation toward the $490 resistance zone. The layering strategy allows us to build position as price potentially dips into demand zones before the next leg up.
Key Technical Levels:
Support Zone: $430-$440 (Our entry layers)
Invalidation: Below $415 (Stop loss)
Resistance Target: $490
📌 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Play)
Understanding correlated assets helps confirm your thesis:
AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF)
TSLA often moves with broader market sentiment
Watch SPY for overall risk-on/risk-off environment
NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq 100 ETF)
Tech-heavy index where TSLA is a major component
Strong correlation with TSLA price action
NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA)
Both are high-beta tech growth stocks
Often move together during risk appetite shifts
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
Inverse correlation: Strong dollar = pressure on growth stocks like TSLA
Weak dollar = tailwind for equities
💡 Key Point: If SPY/QQQ are bullish + DXY weakening = Strong confirmation for TSLA upside!
⚡ Trading Tips for Thief OG's
Don't FOMO — Let price come to your layers
Manage position size — Each layer should be equal weight
Trail your stop — Once profitable, protect gains
Watch volume — Confirm breakouts with volume spikes
Stay flexible — Market conditions change; so should you!
🎬 Final Words
This setup is all about patience, precision, and profit extraction! 🎯 The Thief Strategy isn't about stealing from the market—it's about being SMART and setting yourself up for success with calculated entries.
Remember: The best trades are the ones where you're prepared, not scared! 😎
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#TSLA #TeslaStock #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #LayeringStrategy #StockMarket #TradingIdeas #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #StockTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingCommunity
Volatility Period: Around October 22nd (October 21st-23rd)
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Have a great day.
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(TSLA 1M Chart)
The key is whether the price can rise above the target level of 488.54 by following the rising channel.
If the price fails to rise, we should check for support near 381.59.
-
(1W Chart)
The rising trend line (1) has formed, forming an ascending channel.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can maintain above the rising trend line (2) and rise along the rising channel.
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1W chart is formed in the 382.40-421.06 range. If the price remains above this range, a stepwise uptrend is expected to continue.
-
(1D chart)
The key question is whether the price can continue its upward trend toward 488.54 after passing through this volatile period around October 22nd (October 21st-23rd).
To do so, we need to see if it can find support and rise around 439.60-442.79.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Tesla's New Range. Hello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we are revisiting Tesla (TSLA).
Last article we identified the Key seller before this big extension. Today I have identified the last key seller, and how you can capitalize.
Price has now entered into the Light Supply Zone , a place where sellers will try to slow things down.
It is likely that you will want to play TSLA at the Extremes. Strong Supply , and Strong Demand levels are going to give you the best chance at a stronger reaction. So if you are playing the short term, These two plays marked on the chart will be your best bet.
If the Strong Buyers hold at around 417, This will put a lot of pressure on that last strong seller at 461. A push through them should see you ATH's (not without a strong reaction from the Strong Supply first).
Missed out on the move and want to add TSLA to your long term?
Long Term
These Prices should match your conviction on TSLA:
Aggressive : 409 - 419.50 (Top of Demand, even better if you get into those strong buyers)
Value : 333-344
Extreme Value : 288-294 or the Conservative Trendline.
Expect big things from TSLA in the coming years. I would not be surprised to see TSLA reach over 1,000 again.
Happy Trading,
@thecafetrader
TSLA ShortMarket Structure:
Tesla is currently in a bearish market structure following a failed attempt to sustain higher highs. After a Change of Character (CHoCH) around $443.55, price shifted from a bullish correctional phase into a downward sequence. The prior upward leg that established short-term higher highs has now been rejected decisively, and price is printing lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish control. The recent Break of Structure (BOS) is expected near $411.44, indicating that sellers regained dominance and are likely targeting liquidity beneath recent lows.
Supply & Demand Zones:
The supply zone between $435.00 and $439.00 remains significant—price dropped sharply from here after a clean retest, showing strong institutional selling pressure and minimal buying defense. This zone remains structurally strong and continues to cap upside attempts. Below, the demand zone around $425.00–$421.00 has provided short-term support in the past, but the reaction there was weak, suggesting that buyers stepped in cautiously rather than with conviction. The next deeper demand zone lies around $411.00–$407.00, where buyers previously showed more commitment with larger wicks and impulsive upward movement.
Current Price Action:
Price is currently pushing down toward the $425.00–$421.00 demand zone after rejecting the supply above. The short-term expectation is for a minor pullback toward $428.00–$430.00, potentially forming a lower high, before a continuation lower toward the $411.00 zone. The projection on the chart aligns with this view, anticipating a temporary pause before renewed selling.
Bias & Outlook:
The trade bias is bearish, with expectation of continued downside movement toward $411.00–$410.00. A confirmed close above $439.00 would invalidate this view and shift short-term sentiment back to bullish. Until that happens, sellers remain in control.
Momentum & Candle Behavior:
Momentum currently favors the sellers, as seen in consecutive bearish candles with solid body structures and smaller wicks. Bullish candles show limited follow-through, indicating fading demand strength. No strong reversal patterns are visible yet; only mild compression before another expected impulse down.
A Top for Tesla?Tesla ended the third quarter on a strong note, but some traders may see risk of the EV maker stalling.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the $463 price area. TSLA peaked at that level twice last December before reversing lower. Sellers appeared around the same level this month, which may confirm resistance is in place.
Second, the rejection day featured a higher high and lower low. That bearish outside candle is a potential reversal pattern.
Next, MACD has turned lower. Notice how previous downward reversals corresponded with deeper price declines. (Marked by white arrows in the lower study.)
Finally, TSLA is an active underlier in the options market. (Its average volume of 2.7 million contracts in the last month ranks first in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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TSLA Week Ahead - ShortTSLA looks like a classic post-rally consolidation after that sharp pop from late September lows around $340. The candlesticks show solid volume on the upside thrusts (those red-to-green hammers mid-September), but we're seeing some profit-taking wicks lately, with the price hugging that rising EMA channel (orange line) around $410 support. That unfilled gap down at $396-$402 (from early October open?) is screaming "magnet" if we get any broader market weakness—gaps like that on high-beta names like TSLA often fill on light-volume Fridays, especially with no major catalysts this week.
The gap is likely to close 70% of the times in 30 day span.
What to Expect by EOD Friday (Oct 17)
No earnings till Oct 22, so this week's all about macro vibes (Fed chatter, CPI print Wed) and TSLA-specific noise like Robotaxi buzz or delivery whispers. Q3 deliveries hit 462k on Oct 2 (beat estimates), so that's baked in—focus shifts to affordable model teases.
Base Case (60% odds): Sideways grind to $415-425. We're in that expected move band of ±6% (~$388-438 from here). Light volume mid-week could keep us coiling in the channel; that gap stays open unless we dump on risk-off. Analysts are meh short-term (avg target $361, but that's 1Y noise), but one shop just hiked to $483. I'd fade any spike above $420 for a quick scalp—RSI's overbought on 1H.
Bull Case (25% odds): Push to $430+. X crowd's frothing—folks calling ATH break by 10/17 on "unstoppable momentum" and 5Y consolidation snap to $500. If CPI undershoots and Elon tweets FSD gold, we tag resistance. One forecast pegs exactly $425 EOW.
Bear Case (15% odds): Gap fill to $400. Volatility spikes if yields rip higher or China EV FUD hits (ZEV credit chatter ending soon). That purple MACD histogram's flattening—watch for divergence.
TESLA: Long Signal Explained
TESLA
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long TESLA
Entry - 413.27
Sl - 406.92
Tp - 427.53
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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You will ask yourself "how did he know Tesla would do that"?On July 29th I suggested Telsa would follow a predicatble path. Price action has unfolded as anicipated every step of the way.
After a long run up, on Oct 1st I suggested that Tesla had topped at my green T1 and would retrace into my red support zone and bonce.
Now that this has played out, the only question that remains is Tesla going lower into my red T1...or simply all time highs from here?
Either way, Tesla may be about to melt faces (few & small retracements). For the next 2-10 weeks Tesla may form a blow off top (*"IF" Telsa continues this pattern). This blow off, will be the end of this bull pattern that I have been following since the April lows. Once Tesla hits my next range ($570-980) I expect a huge dump. I will monitor price action closely, once Tesla is in this next range.
May the trends be with you.
TSLA Short1. May/June Inside Bar: Broke to the upside on September with no re-test of break.
a. Higher timeframes take longer for this to re-test.
b. I have found that 18 days is an average re-test, but this is not 100%.
2. Daily chart shows pullback, but its extremely important to understand that the weekly and monthly show bullish momentum.
3. I have started a TSLQ short position adding slowly, with TSLA shares targeting ATH's.
4. The target is for TSLA to move back into the 5% buffer, where I will start looking for a long position. The inside bar is usually re-tested. If bullish momentum is still there, which the weekly and monthly still show, then the 5% buffer and 25% quadrant are entry zones. However, if something changes, then 50% quadrant should be the target.
Happy trading!
TSLA Slips Despite Record Q3 Deliveries AI Growth Play?TSLA – Financial Performance & SWOT Analysis
TSLA Slips Despite Record Q3 Deliveries AI Growth Play?
(1/9)
Good Morning, folks! TSLA is pulling back 📉, at $ 436.33 up 7.85% YTD per October 10, 2025. AI integration shakes up this EV play , let’s dive in! 📊🔥 Tag a friend who needs this investing hack!
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE
• Last day: $ 436.33, down slightly pre-market 📉
• YTD 2025: up 7.85%, lagging S&P 500 🔄
• Q3 2025: record deliveries, but stock dips 🚀
This EV stock’s volatility, AI hype pops! 💥
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION
• Market Cap: $ 1.45T, industry giant 🏆
• Avg Volume: 88.96M shares, high liquidity 💧
• Trend: high P/E amid growth expectations 👑
This asset’s dominance, holding tight! 🔒
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS
• Q3 deliveries: record highs, beat estimates 💰
• Stock dip: despite beats, tax credits end 🏭
• AI focus: Robotaxi event Oct 22, autonomy push 📈
This EV move, AI-driven surge! ⚡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS
• High volatility: beta 2.09 swings ⚠️
• Subsidies end: EV tax credit phaseout 🆚
• Market liquidations: $700M crypto-wide impact 📉
This ticker’s exposure, watch these twists! ⚠️🔄
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• EV leadership (deliveries.): market share 🌟
• AI integration (FSD/Robotaxi.): growth edge 🤖
• Institutional demand (ETFs.): sentiment boost 👥
This asset’s edge, built tough! 💪
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: high valuation, subsidy reliance ⚖️
• Opportunities: AI boom, EV rebound 🌍
Can this ticker beat the odds? 🎲 Reply with your take!
(8/9) – POLL TIME!
TSLA’s $ 436.33 value, your vibe?
• Bullish: $500+ soon, AI beats 📈🚀
• Neutral: Steady, risks balanced ⚖️🛡️
• Bearish: $400 looms, subsidy hits 📉⚠️
Chime in below! 💬 Tag a friend for this poll!
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
TSLA’s $ 436.33 position shows resilience 💪, AI fuels it ⚡. Risks bite 🦈, yet dips are DCA gold 💎. We grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust? not advice, just our spin!
#TSLA #Investing #Markets #Trading #Finance #ETF #Commodities #DCA #Trends
TSLA is mixed as of October 10, 2025, at $ 436.33, up 7.85% YTD per TradingView. Q3 deliveries shape its path in the EV space. Here’s a factual financial and strategic breakdown.
**Financial Performance**
Price Movement: YTD at $ 436.33, up 7.85%. Broader period shows pullback from highs. Q3 adds upside, with record deliveries.
Volume & Market Cap: Avg volume 88.96M shares. Market cap at $ 1.45T.
Key Metric: Trailing P/E 256.20, forward P/E 172.41.
**SWOT Analysis**
Strengths:
- Record Q3 deliveries.
- AI and autonomy integration.
- Institutional interest.
Weaknesses:
- High valuation multiples.
- Subsidy phaseout impact.
- Recent stock pullback.
Opportunities:
- AI and Robotaxi growth.
- EV market rebound.
- New model launches.
Threats:
- Intense competition.
- Market corrections.
- Regulatory changes.
**TSLA vs. SPY: Key Comparisons**
| Aspect | TSLA | SPY |
|--------|------|-----|
| Purpose & Scope | EV and AI focus | Broad market index tracking |
| Dynamics | Beta 2.09 volatility vs. lower 1.00 | Steady benchmark |
| Market Position | Up 7.85% YTD, high P/E vs. S&P gains | Stable exposure |
**Investor Considerations: DCA**
Dollar Cost Averaging: TSLA’s volatility suits dip-buying. At $ 436.33, $10,000 buys ~23 shares; a 10% dip to $ 393 nets ~25 shares. Time in the market, not timing it, wins.
**Outlook & Risks**
TSLA’s $ 436.33 position shows AI edge, with delivery beats. Subsidy ends loom, yet dip grabs turn volatility into gains. AI or EV growth could sway it, but time’s our edge. Gem or fade? Depends on autonomy adoption.
Breakout Incoming!Tesla remains within a well-defined channel range, consolidating near lower channel support on declining volume, which reflects healthy consolidation after prior momentum. The recent action has formed a symmetrical triangle, with price compressing between rising support and descending resistance — a classic setup for a volatility squeeze and potential breakout.
Despite short-term weakness, TSLA has consistently held above prior support levels within the channel. With bullish sentiment building ahead of earnings, it’s unlikely the stock breaks below existing support (~$416–$420).
The key resistance to watch is at $455, aligning with the upper boundary of the current structure. A decisive breakout above this level could trigger a move toward $470, which coincides with the previous high and marks a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Notably, the price breakout between September 11 and September 22 offers a useful reference; that move demonstrated TSLA’s ability to accelerate rapidly once volume returns and resistance levels are cleared - this stock is a freight train once it gets moving.
Given the technical compression, low-volume consolidation, and improving sentiment, I’d expect a breakout as early as tomorrow or early next week, especially as we lead into earnings.
Key Levels:
• Support: $416–$420
• Resistance: $455 (breakout trigger)
• Target: $470+ (prior high / upper channel objective)
• Future Target: Liftoff?
A Blow Off Top/Double Top on TESLA?Tesla's move since 9/11/25 has characteristics of a Blow Off Top
Parabolic price rise
Extremely high trading volume
Widespread optimism or “fear of missing out”
Sudden reversal and heavy selling
The high appears to match prior highs from last year, making this a double top.
Near the top, there was a period of distribution, as shareholders exited positions, creating new bagholders.
TESLA My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for TESLA below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 413.27
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 428.09
Recommended Stop Loss - 405.57
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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