ASTERUSDT SPOT
Long

ASTER/USDT — Retest the Fibonacci Zone: Rebound or Breakdown?

120
ASTER is standing at a critical equilibrium zone, retesting a strong demand area between 1.75–1.83, which also aligns with the Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement zone.
This area acts as the last line of defense for buyers to preserve the medium-term bullish structure.


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📊 Structure & Pattern

After failing to break above the 2.43 resistance, ASTER corrected sharply and is now retesting its previous demand base.
This setup forms a Bullish Retest Pattern, where price seeks a new footing before the next potential leg up.
However, a confirmed break below this zone could shift the market structure into a bearish breakdown, signaling a possible trend reversal.


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🟩 Bullish Scenario (Potential Rebound)

Buyers must defend the 1.75–1.83 area.

Bullish confirmation occurs when a 4H candle closes above 1.82 with increasing volume.

Upside targets:
→ 1.9469 (minor resistance)
→ 2.1319 (psychological resistance)
→ 2.3077 – 2.4331 (major distribution zone)

As long as demand holds, ASTER could form a new higher low and resume its bullish trajectory.



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🟥 Bearish Scenario (Potential Breakdown)

A 4H close below 1.7485 (Fib 0.618) would signal that buyers are losing control.

Such a breakdown could trigger a deeper sell-off toward 1.50, possibly extending to 1.20 (major structural support).

A strong rejection at 1.95–2.13 without volume follow-through would also reinforce the bearish outlook.



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📌 Technical Summary

ASTER is currently at a make-or-break zone where bulls and bears are battling for control.
Holding the 1.75–1.83 demand area keeps the door open for a +30% rebound toward the 2.43 region.
But a clean breakdown below 1.75 could invalidate the bullish setup and lead to a deeper correction toward 1.20.

The next few 4H candles will determine the dominant trend for the week.


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🎯 Key Levels

Main Support: 1.8217 – 1.7485

Major Structural Support: 1.2000

Resistance Levels: 1.9469 / 2.1319 / 2.3077 / 2.4331


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“ASTER is approaching a decision point — holding above 1.75–1.83 could trigger a sharp rebound to 2.43, but losing this zone might drag it down to 1.20.
A critical 4H battle between bulls and bears is underway.”


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