Unlocking EUR's Value: A Data-Driven Analysis of Macro Factors

📊 EURUSD Technical Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀💶💵

Asset Class: EURUSD (CFD) Closing Price: 1.17432 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)

🔎 Technical Overview

Trend Context: EURUSD has been consolidating near 1.1740, with mixed signals across short- and mid-term charts.
Momentum Check: RSI (H1/H4) → Neutral, close to 50 ⚖️
Volatility: Bollinger Bands tightening → Expect breakout soon 💥
Volume Flow: Anchored VWAP → Buyers defending 1.1720 📈

🕵️ Chart Patterns & Theories

Elliott Wave: Wave 4 correction nearing completion – possible Wave 5 uptrend. 🌊
Wyckoff: Signs of re-accumulation in H4 range. 📦
Ichimoku: Price hovering near cloud → watch for bullish breakout ☁️
Gann Levels: Key resistance around 1.1785, support at 1.1700 ⏳
H&S Watch: No clear head & shoulders yet, but traps possible around 1.1760/1.1720 ⚠️

📈 Intraday Levels (Next 24–48H)

🔹 Buy Zone: 1.1710 – 1.1730 (tight stop below 1.1690)
🎯 Targets: 1.1760 → 1.1785
🔻 Sell Zone: 1.1785 – 1.1805 (stop above 1.1825)
🎯 Targets: 1.1745 → 1.1720

📊 Swing Trading Outlook (Weekly)

Bullish Scenario: Sustained break above 1.1805 → eyeing 1.1880 – 1.1925 🌟
Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below 1.1690 → drop toward 1.1625 – 1.1580 🕳️

⚖️ Strategy Recap

Intraday: Range trading between 1.1720 – 1.1785 🎯
Swing: Watch breakout levels for trend confirmation 🚀 or ❌

🌍 Market Context

Geopolitics & ECB vs Fed divergence → driving sentiment.
Dollar Index (DXY) consolidation near highs → closely linked.

📌 Key Takeaways
✅ Buy dips near 1.1710–30, target 1.1760–85.
✅ Sell rallies near 1.1785–1.1805, target 1.1720.
⚠️ Major breakout zones: Above 1.1805 = bullish 🚀 | Below 1.1690 = bearish ⛔

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📝 TRADING CHECKLIST

Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment

⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.